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Leferd

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Everything posted by Leferd

  1. No, I don't think Alex Smith is underrated at all. He is viewed exactly as he is: a smart, reliable and good, but not dynamic QB.
  2. Since they are already well into production and because Ziets is only a writer (and not a designer), I doubt he'll be involved further.
  3. KC 4-0 NYG 0-4 Wow.
  4. Obsidian will be using something better than cinematics - Scripted interactions. I'm very stoked about these. http://media.obsidian.net/eternity/media/updates/0054/pe-scriptedevent-wip.1280.jpg
  5. Group Love -Ways to Go Has a Wes Anderson type feel to it.
  6. In a vacuum, then yes, it would have to be player B is more productive than Player A. However, you would have to factor in age, park effects, and position in the absence of full information such as games played. However, I can infer that Player A has excellent plate discipline. When you consider that Player A also has the same SLG as player B despite a 30 pt BA deficit, you could infer that Player A has more power (extra base hits, doubles). Those can then translate to more homers in the future. Since batting average also fluctuates from year to year, the gap can also close and player A can trump player B. Sabermetrics does not remove judgement and nuance from decision making, but it can save you from spending good cash and given the data, you can predict future performance. See Nate Silver.
  7. With all due respect, the battle was waged and essentially won in 2003 by the sabremetricians. If your front office is not already on board, you better have a $200 million payroll to play with. Damn straight I bought the kool-aid. Welcome to 15 years ago.
  8. Have to disagree. Unlike other dynamic sports such as soccer or basketball, each singular event (pitch) in baseball is accounted for and indisputably quantifiable. It's the perfect zero sum game. As such baseball is the perfect platform for metric-driven study and application. So in essence, yes there is just a way to quantify just how valuable a player is. That's the difference between Billy Beane and the Oakland Athletics winning with miniscule payrolls and the Giants just committing $90 million for an average level corner outfielder on the wrong side of 31 with nice intangibles. WAR (Wins Above Replacement level) pretty much states that Trout is worth 9.1 wins above replacement level - two full wins above Cabrera's 7.1. This is accounting for offense, defense, and park factor.
  9. Actually I agree that Cabrera will win the MVP. But he's not the best player in the AL and really did not produce as many wins as Trout did for the Angels. My point is that it's not as clear cut that Cabrera should win the MVP as the advanced metrics clearly state that Trout is the more valuable player - in spite of not being in a playoff contending team. Intriguing piece by Rany Jazyerli on Trout and Cabrera: http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/9715559/mike-trout-quest-mvp-great-performance-major-league PS Slightly off topic rant...but I really dislike OPS. OBP and SLG should not be combined together (A+B =C) and used as a stat. It greatly discounts extreme players such as (going back in history) Brett Butler or on the other side, Andre Dawson.
  10. Ummm...no. A.L. WAR Bat / Pitch Tm WAR M.Trout LAA 9.1 J.Donaldson OAK 7.9 R.Cano NYY 7.6 M.Cabrera DET 7.1 C.Sale CHW 7.0 N.L. WAR Bat / Pitch Tm WAR C.Kershaw LAD 8.4 A.McCutchen PIT 8.0 C.Gomez MIL 8.0 C.Lee PHI 7.5 P.Goldschmidt ARI 7.1 AL MVP - Michael Trout and it's not even close. NL MVP - Clayton Kershaw in a clear runaway. PS Who is John Scherzer?
  11. A firm and thorough knowledge of each professional player's true worth, an explicit understanding of market inefficiencies, and the application of turning such insight into winning baseball. tl;dr - score more runs than the other team before you run out of your 27 outs.
  12. Oakland Athletics clinch. Of course, this is the biggest budget Billy Beane had to work with in his career. Baseball payrolls http://deadspin.com/2013-payrolls-and-salaries-for-every-mlb-team-462765594 1. New York Yankees $228,995,945 2. Los Angeles Dodgers $216,302,909 3. Philadelphia $159,578,214 4. Boston $158,967,286 5. Detroit $149,046,844 6. San Francisco $142,180,333 7. Los Angeles Angels $142,165,250 8. Texas $127,197,575 ... 26. Oakland $68,577,000 27. Pittsburgh $66,289,524 28. Tampa Bay $57,030,272 29. Miami $39,621,900 30. Houston $24,328,538 Glad to see Oak, Pit, and TB in contention.
  13. Pizza, wine, and beer.
  14. On and off poster/lurker on the old Black Isle and Interplay boards dating back to TotSC. Was hugely entertained by all the trolls and flame wars and stuck around. Followed Bio after the NWN schism in 2001. Heard the old Black Isle gang got back together and are opening new boards on Feb 7, 2004. Signed up on Feb 8.
  15. Animating a grimoire slam with multiple hulas might put the animation budget over the top. They only have $4 million to work with afterall.
  16. *processes* ... ... Brilliant! But only one hula hoop.
  17. Obviously it's going to be a BioWare sequel. SW: The Old Republic 2 Consolized! Lols.
  18. Have I mentioned how giddy I am that Keith Olbermann is back doing sports?
  19. Slam Dunk! A Feargus Urquhart Joint.
  20. Anything other than two would just be silly.
  21. I've stopped playing for the time being but I am liking and appreciative that CA is addressing many of the raised concerns. R2 definitely has the makings to be a really good game, but time will tell if they can really salvage the game from its current state. I'll revisit in a few weeks/months and will be fairly optimistic CA has bought plenty of goodwill from their past catalog.
  22. http://nwn2.wikia.com/wiki/Bishop
  23. Maybe it would be more appropriate for the anniversary date to take place on the actual funding date?
  24. 3 points and barely 200 yds allowed and 5 turnovers forced is a major beat down. I agree; those guys are scary good. 136 decibels whilst in the huddle and line of scrimmage can mess up any offensive play calling. Seattle definitely has the home crowd advantage there. They were publicly and unashamedly trying to (and successfully) break the world record for loudest sporting event. Just so happens they purposely crank it up when the. 49ers have the ball.
  25. Can't beat a good port!
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