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Everything posted by Leferd
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You misunderstand. Those measurements are already sorted by most major league teams and broken down. But there is no magical formula (advanced metric) that measures that. You can just measure it in different ways after pitch counts using conventional means. Just use the raw data.
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You don't need an advanced metric for pitch counts. One of the more useful metrics for pitchers are those that that fall under DIPS (defense independent pitching statistics) - most prominent among these is BABIP (batting average on balls in play) as developed by Voros McCracken in the late 90's/early 2000's. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defense_Independent_Pitching_Statistics Even Bill James was busting himself at not having come up with it.
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Patch 4 beta is now live. Biggest one yet. Info here: http://wiki.totalwar.com/w/Total_War_ROME_II:_Patch_4
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Hmm...Max Scherzer is pretty good.
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This is pretty neat! In four parts and funded by The Creative Assembly.
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Your thoughts on multi-classing
Leferd replied to JFSOCC's topic in Pillars of Eternity: General Discussion (NO SPOILERS)
PE will already be balanced for a six person party. I should hope that at each character can fulfill a unique designated role negating the need to have a jack of all trades. Plus, as was mentioned, 11 classes are enough - and having more variables to balance is going to take more development time - from a practicality standpoint. -
Oakland scored 34 runs on Detroit last time they met in their four game series in August. Hoping there's no regression towards the mean. Max Scherzer v Bartolo Colon Superstars v bunch of platoon hitters
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Souls in gameplay
Leferd replied to bjm123's topic in Pillars of Eternity: Stories (Spoiler Warning!)
They've included character traits on creation in many of their past games - IWD2, Fallouts, NWN2; I don't see why they wouldn't include this for PE. -
Plus technically it is a turn based strategy game with a real time tactical component.
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It's silly, but I bet some folks will buy them, which means it's a good idea from a business standpoint. Lols. Brilliant! Just like Personal Seat Licenses.
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Yep. That sounds right.
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If Obsidian kickstarts a space opera RPG, would you back it?
Leferd replied to Arcoss's topic in Computer and Console
I would sell one of Nep's kidneys and put the proceeds towards that High School RPG MCA is always talking about. They had to compromise. Elementary School RPG. http://www.obsidian.net/games/spsot Didn't need Kickstarter for that. -
Expansion? Maybe. But I'm sure they'll have to work out a new contract or hire him back outright. I think the issue with Ziets was that being only a writer, Obsidian couldn't really afford to have the luxury of having too many dedicated writers as opposed to having designers who also happen to write well.
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I'm not gonna trash Smith now because he's good. Whatever the case, it took him 6 years to live up to his potential which is a pretty long time, when you are a #1 pick. Harbaugh absolutely made the right call in making the switch to Kaepernick.
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No. Alex Smith was garbage until Harbaugh came in the picture.
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If Obsidian kickstarts a space opera RPG, would you back it?
Leferd replied to Arcoss's topic in Computer and Console
I'd probably back an Obsidian kickstarter for any genre. How much though depends on the details of the setting. -
No, I don't think Alex Smith is underrated at all. He is viewed exactly as he is: a smart, reliable and good, but not dynamic QB.
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KC 4-0 NYG 0-4 Wow.
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Cinematics : your opinion ?
Leferd replied to BillyCorgan's topic in Pillars of Eternity: General Discussion (NO SPOILERS)
Obsidian will be using something better than cinematics - Scripted interactions. I'm very stoked about these. http://media.obsidian.net/eternity/media/updates/0054/pe-scriptedevent-wip.1280.jpg -
Group Love -Ways to Go Has a Wes Anderson type feel to it.
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In a vacuum, then yes, it would have to be player B is more productive than Player A. However, you would have to factor in age, park effects, and position in the absence of full information such as games played. However, I can infer that Player A has excellent plate discipline. When you consider that Player A also has the same SLG as player B despite a 30 pt BA deficit, you could infer that Player A has more power (extra base hits, doubles). Those can then translate to more homers in the future. Since batting average also fluctuates from year to year, the gap can also close and player A can trump player B. Sabermetrics does not remove judgement and nuance from decision making, but it can save you from spending good cash and given the data, you can predict future performance. See Nate Silver.
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With all due respect, the battle was waged and essentially won in 2003 by the sabremetricians. If your front office is not already on board, you better have a $200 million payroll to play with. Damn straight I bought the kool-aid. Welcome to 15 years ago.
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Have to disagree. Unlike other dynamic sports such as soccer or basketball, each singular event (pitch) in baseball is accounted for and indisputably quantifiable. It's the perfect zero sum game. As such baseball is the perfect platform for metric-driven study and application. So in essence, yes there is just a way to quantify just how valuable a player is. That's the difference between Billy Beane and the Oakland Athletics winning with miniscule payrolls and the Giants just committing $90 million for an average level corner outfielder on the wrong side of 31 with nice intangibles. WAR (Wins Above Replacement level) pretty much states that Trout is worth 9.1 wins above replacement level - two full wins above Cabrera's 7.1. This is accounting for offense, defense, and park factor.
