Darkpriest

Seems the more open critique appears in Russia as well.

They will scale back and focus on south east and south. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/here-are-all-latest-news-and-developments-ukraine-war-march-25 For me, the whole thing should have been only about this fromnthe get go, if the dreamed of any success

Yes, hence why I said so far the red line was not necessarily the land bridge, but if they will take Mariupol amd secure much more of the South and sustain a lot of damage in the process, they will move that red line to the full lnd bridge. I think the earlier UA will conceed on those east republics and crimea the better chance of Putin not moving his red line goalposts.

I agree, but you can also say the same on the UA side. A lot of them are not regular soldiers but citizens volunteering and fighting with minimal training. The obvious difference are determination and knowledge of terrain, but in itslef you cannot claim that UA is having an advantage in equipment and tech, and they are fighting mostly an infantry based war

Putin's red line is Crimea, Donesk, Lughansk in full oblast boundries and some sort of no NATO/ or Russian controled Ukraine army development in Ukraine. He will not go less than that. He already conceedes on a regime change and full land bridge to Crimea and Moldova. If UA will not give him this much, he is ready to conscript tens of thousands more and send them Stalin wise to flood UA until UA submits defeat, but the longer and more bloodied it will be, he will escalate measures even more, short of tactical nukes, as that would push West towards a military response. The more things escalate and the more terrain Russians will start controlling in the south, the further red line will be pushed against Ukraine.

Something for more tactics focused ppl. And some citizens militia or as they call it in UA, territorial defense units (as you can see by behavior )

This event?

As for Russian economic isolation https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/03/16/nation/no-its-not-world-against-russia-fact-its-far-it-why-lot-nations-arent-board-with-economic-sanctions/

I wonder if people will be crying that these bio males are mistreated or that the martial law should be extended to cover also young, childless women to stay and support war effort. (in the spirit of equal rights) https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-blocks-trans-women-refugees-they-are-men-must-go-back-fight

Meanwhile, Putin wants countries labeled as hostile countries to pay in rubles for its natural gas. Which would mean most if not all of EU. This is aimed to stabilize RUB and make sure there is a demand for it and they will still be getting USD/EUR.

So Sauds have given middle finger to both US and UK, and now UAE are sticking it to the US even more. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-angered-after-syrias-assad-makes-historic-visit-uae For some reason, US is also thinking that antagonizing China even more will benefit them? https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-expands-travel-bans-chinese-officials-hours-after-demanding-beijing-condemn-russia Now, we just wait for Sauds and China to implement that Yuan based oil trade https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-admits-saudi-china-oil-trade-signals-erosion-dollar-reserve-status , and then stick it to US by inviting Assad to normalize relations? Oh, and also India does not give a damn about the whole situation. Buying Russian oil hand over fist. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/india-ignores-western-pressure-buys-cheap-russian-crude Does US plan to sanction half of the world now? Or they will start realizing they've lost the hegemon status and actually start recognizing others as partners?

Something for likes of @BruceVC and @Elerond who think that economic status quo cannot change. Perhaps check credentials of this guy ( Zoltan Pozsar https://g.co/kgs/Q4qcfm) who has exactly the same view as what I've been trying to convey here. ------ the idea of a new global reserve currency was reintroduced last week by none other than former NY Fed staffed Zoltan Pozsar who wrote in his latest note that "when this crisis (and war) is over, the U.S. dollar should be much weaker and, on the flipside, the renminbi much stronger, backed by a basket of commodities. From the Bretton Woods era backed by gold bullion, to Bretton Woods II backed by inside money (Treasuries with un-hedgeable confiscation risks), to Bretton Woods III backed by outside money (gold bullion and other commodities)." ----- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2022-03-01/zoltan-pozsar-on-a-turning-point-for-the-u-s-dollar-podcast

@BruceVC Still so sure of USD remaining dominant past the 2030? https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/petrodollar-cracks-saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-chinese-oil-sales

There is a trade deficit of Monopoly Guy Top Hats, and i need to figure out how to create the vid and not have any meta information tying to my real identity

"Past performance is not indicative of future gains" Wanna bet on it?

Money is relative and has value only of all parties involved in it believe they store value. It's basics of a definition of money. You can have all the paper dollar in the world and it will mean nothing if no one will want to send to you any resources or do any labor for you, if they will decide the paper you hold does not provide a store of value. Given huge trade deficits and almost every product line being dependent on some sort of external resources or labor, US and even more so EU have no real leverage, should more countries with actual resources and product lines decided to ignore sanctions and even more so, decided they will start ignoring dollar for commodity trades. You can ask Brits about their loss of the global reserve status for Pound.

Yes, but in essence it told US to pound sand and not to try threaten sanctions https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/china-warns-retaliation-amid-us-threats-russia-sanctions-fallout-says-not-party-war

Because MBS will not do anything that would help Biden, and this action is last ditch effort by UK/US to try and stabiize situation on the Oil markets with now Iran deal dead in the water and Russia situation

Funny enough the drop in oil is also now a result of destroyed demand side and increasing recession fears. The war in Ukraine seems to have expedited the incoming crisis. I had it mapped for this year, but more for the Q3, right on midterms in US. Seems by then we might have a depression, if FED will hike rates too aggresively. China markets suffered immensly already, so they might actually look into de-dolarization more aggresively. It feels that within 2-5 years we will be looking into a new economic reality, with less dominant USD, more commodity backed currencies and more turbulent geopolitics. Should China's property market and economy suffer, they will go and annex in full Taiwan. The CCP will need distraction and a propaganda success. Russians timing was also well placed, just as the economies did not yet recover from COVID distruptions, making sure that any sanctions will be painful to Western economies as well.

The nerve or stupidity... Must be proud, or some kind of new social justice version of a math...

Too funny, suddenly Venezuela is good again https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/oil-drops-report-chevron-set-start-trading-venezuelan-oil-once-us-relaxes-sanctions In the meanwhile, bets how much BoJo is squirming now. https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/bojo-begs-saudis-ramp-oil-production-despite-latest-round-beheadings

That, and China and India are buying Russian oil, plus a lot of brokers are still buying oil as it is not banned

India ignores US. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/india-buy-more-russia-oil-working-rupee-ruble-settlement-mechanism-west-understands

Hah and it seems my comment about a choice between food and usd bill might be more accurate by the minute. https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/russia-may-ban-wheat-rye-barley-and-corn-exports-until-june-30

Then why Germany did not stop buying oil and gas from Russia immediatelly, if it is purely consumer driven? Or maybe ask people, if given a choice, would they prefer a loaf of bread or a 100 USD bill if they are hungry?