Darkpriest

Ouch.... I do not see Germany adding more aid to UA if they need to do such things right now. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-04/uniper-in-talks-over-bailout-package-to-plug-9-4-billion-hole

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/first-half-fubar-stocks-worst-60-years-bonds-bitcoin-worst-ever With this bad H1, a really bad outlook for Q3 and projected abmysall Q3 earnings just before midterms in US, i wonder how quickly UA will be elbowed into concessions before winter time this year. I doubt Western economies (EU much more than US) are ready to explain their citizens spending money on a foreign countries war with an economic crisis on their hands.

Considering the narrative is they aimed for somemvehicle repair building, which was also destroyed, it is not unreasonable to believe that one of the rockets got off target or operator mistaken the other building as a part of some combine. It's just not easy to admit that they have failing targeting equipment/incompetent staff... So they keep to the narrative off secondary munitions explosions causing fire

More voices to stop supporting war in UA. https://www.zeit.de/2022/27/ukraine-krieg-frieden-waffenstillstand @Lexxcan probably translate nuances

Seems EU is backing off from the confrontation over Kaliningrad. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/exclusive-kaliningrad-row-eu-nears-compromise-deal-defuse-standoff-with-russia-2022-06-29/

Let this sink in... https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-has-lost-more-troops-than-there-are-in-the-british-army-expert-2022-6

Sorry, I was under impression you are from Poland Must have mistaken with @pmp10

Was this shared here? https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/28/politics/white-house-ukraine-projection/index.html

Truth to be told, I was sure that this was a more reasonable solution. Use diplo leverage from the EU on UA to get back to Minsk accord and assign the autonomy of those regions plus make sure that UA will never be in NATO. Even as the conflict seemed ineviatable, the most logical thing to do was to run a show of force and take over those two oblasts while making UA soldiers retreat under shock and awe. The strategic territorial gain would be also extending the land corridor to Crimea and lifting blockades from Crimea, so basically what they are doing now. I would had have never imagined RU was stupid enough to go for the big cities, including Kiev. I believe i mentioned right there, that Russia effectively made the war unwinnable when they attempted assault on Kiev.

Btw, a commentary on a very anti-russian media, showing what many knowing hard data already knew for some time. It is in Polish, so @xzar_montycan translate if he wishes to do so. https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/marcin-wyrwal-o-wojnie-w-ukrainie-oto-najwazniejsze-pytanie/xgwnz1s,79cfc278

Agree mostly, however I'm quite sure sanctions will be lifted over time as governments will be facing very dissatisfied populace due to economic costs. It will be done individually per state and once a couple will lift, most if not all will be lifting.

This might be another aspect of when the support will end. With the economic crisis countries might have issues restocking what they have sent to UA and UA might run out of 'ammo' sooner than russians https://rmx.news/czech-republic/czechia-has-exhausted-its-arms-reserves-supporting-ukraine-czech-pm-reveals/ https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/return-industrial-warfare NOTE: I cannot verify for any of the sources, byt the perspective is worth to consider and evaluate in terms of risks and options

Seems eco-sustainability is dead in EU. https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-EU-Is-Buying-More-South-African-Coal-Than-Ever.html + more issues around Kaliningrad https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-710081

@BruceVC Eh? I've always been using multiple sources. Maybe not TheSun, HuffPost or other such garbage, who have zero idea on math and common sense. If you want to have a laugh though, i can point also some pro-russia link sourced at ZH and authored by the Escobar guy. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-st-petersburg-sets-stage-war-economic-corridors I do read such, because it shows what specific parties want you to think the world will look like and behave. I read throughh such mussings of some sources to challange my viewpoint and assess what if any risks are probable and how probable and in what timeframe such risk could potentially materialize.

In the EU Russia economic spat https://www.reuters.com/world/moscow-summon-eu-ambassador-russia-over-kaliningrad-transit-kaliningrad-governor-2022-06-20/ Might need to dust off those coal plants, just wonder where they will get the coal from... https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europe-may-shift-back-coal-russia-turns-down-gas-flows-2022-06-20/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/less-russian-gas-puts-europes-winter-fuel-supply-in-jeopardy-11655725207?mod=mhp https://www.wsj.com/articles/germany-steps-up-measures-to-conserve-gas-as-russia-slows-supply-to-europe-11655642717?mod=mhp

In regards to China... Taiwan in year 2023? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-19/us-rejects-china-s-claims-over-taiwan-strait-as-concerns-grow Going hand in hand with RU https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/chinas-may-oil-imports-russia-soar-55-record-surpass-saudi-supply-2022-06-20/

Seems UA might have some ammo issues. https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article239461179/Carlo-Masala-Den-Ukrainern-geht-langsam-die-Munition-aus.html

Nahhh NY is too expensive, Boston too cold, and Florida... Well... Too many disasters there If I'd be moving across the pond, it would be Vancouver. It's a better Seattle, but with less crime. West Coast US is an expensive disaster, and anything in between the coasts is not that fun, unless I want to own a gun and have some horse herd

@BruceVC And there it is, slipped to the pro-western media https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/06/20/russia-slams-lithuanias-hostile-restrictions-on-rail-transit-to-kaliningrad-a78047

Btw, i've checked that one link from all you had linked https://www.philstockworld.com/2022/06/19/did-europes-latest-little-noticed-antirussia-move-just-push-the-world-closer-to-ww3/ And it clearly says its sourced from ZH. I assume this type of a topic would spread and be linked to from anything even remotely pro-russian, as it clearly fits more of a Russian PoV. (although it is not completely untrue, that it gives Russians propaganda mandate to treat Baltics as hostile) PS. It's not uncommon to have topics spread fast like fire among media outlets. You can see that in all types of info, that a lot of outlets will simply repost the same story, without mucj checking, if it fits the narrative of the publishing board and their political friends. This is also why a lot of corp. media lost credibility over last 10 years. Not enough due diligence and non-sensationalist language.

In regards to the articles you mentiond, you'd need to check if that was one of the 'authored' ones, so basically a repaste of some original source. For example i guess this guy might be pasted in at ZH later today. https://morningporridge.com/blog/blains-morning-porridge/dismal-politics-crashing-markets-inflation-and-exogenous-shocks-excellent-get-your-buying-boots-ready/

It depends, who they source from. They are a hub, which gives space to various op-eds from various sources, some of which are questionable to say the least, to outright propaganda pieces like some pieces authored by a guy called Escobar (i think i even linked one such piece to mock it here) There are however some contributions that pile in and glue together various pieces from reuters and similar, and then on top provide own narrative. I tend to overlook a lot of narrative stuff and look at a broader picture of linked events. I'm mostly looking there for non-political stuff, but sometimes it is hard to resist some clickbaity title to read it through with a bit reserved view.

There are opinions that NATO is too weak to defend the Baltics. https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/plus239329029/Soenke-Neitzel-Dann-halte-ich-es-fuer-realistisch-dass-Putin-einen-Punkt-macht.html Event the so venerated article that urges NATO to reaction is not an immediate and auto-declaration of war and military action. Read it in detail. Some even say, that with the current fragmentation in NATO, the response would not be so swift and by the time real decisions would be made, it's possible Russians would be half way through Poland... (this i find exaggerated given Russian tactics in UA, but baltics would be lost for sure)

Ehhh... Did you actually read it and the linked sources? Why for some reason people get so attached to the name, that covers as the author? First, that name is a front name for ZH staffers, unless there is a link to external source at the top, usually covering 'authored by', then it is just to provide an op-ed space and have ZH staffer insert some of their own comments in the original text (usually highlighted). Do they have an anti-Biden and anti-far left Dems bias in their own coverage? Yes, hence when reading, you look into the linked sources in the 'paper'. Do they have an anti-corp media bias? Yes, but the corp media are mostly as unreliable as any other political activist site. There is a reason why those tank in viewership and they are caught often running unverified stories or even fabricating some. ----- On the topic of the article itself, do you really believe that cutting off Kalingrad from the rest of Russia and breaking various treaties is a smart and right thing to do in the current circumstances, or is this just giving unnecessary ammo to Rusian propaganda and pave way to a nartative of liberating 'besieged' Russiam citizens? What on a strategic level such a breach of a treaty would bring in terms of political gains and paving way for a diplomatic solution near term?

@BruceVC There is nothing funny about it. Ihave some estate in Estonia, because 'reasons'. I'd hate to have it bombed or some Poland coastal stuff bombed as well... I need time to relocate capital investments to Spain/Portugal