Everything posted by Zoraptor
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Gaza - conflict, war, land, water rights, bad colonional legacies...
Golan Heights --> occupied Syria, not Israel. Bit odd for Al-J not to make the distinction, since they did for Hezbollah shelling the GH and (also occupied) Shebaa Farms previously, and just regurgitating an Israeli press release. In any case, so far it's the military equivalent of #StopBibi2023 for both Syria and Hezbollah; a meaningless expression of solidarity without actually doing anything more than firing at empty fields. Which happens a few times a year, usually without much reporting. Going to be very interesting seeing how the Rules Based Order copes with a state party to their Order literally declaring they're going to commit war crimes- and you don't get much more war crimey than Israel's declaration.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Really guys, lay off on the special pleading. Pick Russia stronk! so everyone frightened of them or Russia weak! so no threat and stick to one or the other. Swapping between the two post to post is pretty silly. Yeah, nah. If it would have been a close run thing in the 70s or 80s when it was USSR/ WP vs NATO it wouldn't have been close at all once the WP and part of the USSR had swapped sides- and the start point had shifted back, what, 2500+km in places? End of the day it's, what, 750mn people vs 150mn now, and the 150mn don't really have any advantages at all. Not even nukes, since both sides have them. In any case, it's clear 'the west' would use nukes in exactly the same circumstances Russia would, ie if an invasion looks like it would be successful.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Or for a quotier response: Lord Farquaad "Some of you may die, but it's a sacrifice I'm willing to make". We're well past the stage where it's all willing volunteers fighting because dulce et decorum est pro Ucrainsca mori. Easy to say Zelensky is doing it all for the freedoms, you might not get the same response saying it to someone dragged off the street in Odessa or Poltava by conscription officers and being ordered to bum rush Russian lines in a 70s M113.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Tokmak was always the sensible option on the principle of 'under promise, over deliver'. Though in this case it looks like it'd still have been 'under promise, under deliver' it was still more sensible than talking about Melitopol, let alone Mariupol or Crimea. All that talk has resulted in is making the offensive look like a worse failure. Of course, talking too much about the offensive and its aims publicly was also a big part of the problem, albeit probably inevitable given media interest.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
The issue is probably with using 'sympathy' instead of a more neutral term. There's a bunch of things at work that is keeping them from calling it off and guilt tripping- as implied by using sympathy- Scholtz, Macron etc would be pretty low on the list. The manpower and equipment losses far outstrip gains and that is unlikely to change for sure, but the reason for keeping going is very likely to be the general political/ morale damage admitting to failure would cause. Which is a very real concern and could be lessened by taking [somewhere significant] after which they could declare victory and stop (and is also likely the reason for the number of attempted 'spectaculars' of dubious military utility). Personally, I find that approach stupid when the only targets available are Tokmak and Bakhmut which would take over a year to capture at current rates and when your manpower is bad enough you're using near Germany 1945 levels of conscription already. The 'funny' thing is how statements have ended up just about perfectly mirroring what was said about Bakhmut 6 months ago just with the people saying them reversed. That was a political decision from Russia, a Pyrrhic victory with ludicrous losses for territory gained and the last gasp of an exhausted army from one side; necessary and would make progress easier and actually losses were fine from the other. Neither of which exactly played out as stated. End of the day though at least Bakhmut and Soledar were decently large towns and you didn't have media describing Sakko/ Vansetti as a 'city' to big up the gains.
- The All Things Political Topic - Politics is the entertainment division of the military industrial complex
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Eh... I wouldn't quite give it that label since he doesn't say that the holocaust didn't happen. He didn't actually say that the SS didn't contribute to it either, just that it wasn't their primary role. Which is... arguably true, though it's splitting hairs and a specious argument that relies on the SS'- the armed wing of the Nazi Party- primary role being combat, in the service of a genocidal entity, rather than genocide itself. Not an argument I'd care to defend as anything other than an example of sophistry though. Strangest thing about that article is not that Mr Giles decided to write it- people write stupid crap all the time thinking they're pearls of wisdom- but that Politico decided to publish it.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Extremely obvious case of Russia Derangement Syndrome there from Mr Giles. To say that 1st/ 14th was not specifically accused of war crimes at Nuremberg is extremely misleading at best and can probably best be described as utter sophistry- ie overt misinformation. All SS units were collectively found guilty of war crimes, there was no need to find them specifically guilty. The author obviously knows that due to the wording, and further because of the mention that foreigners got drafted into SS units. Draftees were specifically excluded from the 'intrinsic' nature of the SS war crimes, hence he can argue that Hunka, as a draftee, was innocent whereas if he volunteered for the SS he was not. He was by his own admission a volunteer, not a draftee. Of course, one suspects Mr Giles would not extend the same... generous interpretation on a draftees immunity from collective war crimes to even genuine Russian draftees, in the current conflict. Indeed, I'd put every cent I have in the bank against a bent penny that he wouldn't. The most stupid thing about it was not giving Russia ammunition for misinformation because unfortunately they don't need misinformation for this, the truth is more than enough. No, the most stupid thing was it happening while Ukraine and Poland were already having a very public spat. Because, of course, the two countries that have found 1st/ 14th to have committed war crimes are Poland and Ukraine (funnily enough, not mentioned by the author) and this was always going to be an extremely obvious wedge issue. Writing a "I'm not trying to justify the Nazis but..." type article just prolongs things too.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Given how poor both sides have been with 'x is dead' type predictions about high profile targets default has to be he's alive and Russia just doesn't really care about debunking it. (None of the debunkings of the conference call video are compelling. The 'hospital bed propped up with pillows' one for example is clearly incorrect (and even if true: not dead) since he's provably used the same chair multiple times before. The only one that works is asserting it's an old/ faked video; which is the same assertion made about Kadyrov's stroll in Grozny a week or so ago... The only high profile claim that may- may- have been accurate was Zaluzhny as I don't think anyone official on the Russian side claimed him as dead, just injured. Even then the evidence is scant- disappeared for a month with multiple provably faked pictures released in that time yes, and never regained the level or style of appearances prior, yes; but that's entirely circumstantial and there are multiple other explanations beyond him being injured)
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What are you Playing Now? - What doesn't kill you, gives you XP
You can't tell without the specs of the drive itself, but a USB drive isn't going to be NVMe/ PCIe gen3/4 fast even on paper and will have worse latency too. About 1 Gpbs in/out seems to be standard for portables so not really close to saturating the theoretical throughput on a USB 3- but I'd suspect fairly close to practical saturation. Games wise, so far as I'm aware none of them specify the type of SSD required when they're required as a min spec, so far, and I'd say it's likely that an external SSD nowadays will be faster than or at least equivalent to the old internal SATA SSDs. Mileage May Vary, practically. Probably won't be sufficient for DirectStorage stuff in the future though (iirc that requires PCIe/ NVMe by spec).
- Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
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What are you Playing Now? - What doesn't kill you, gives you XP
If you want it checked properly get the part/ model numbers/ specs- especially for the MB and PSU- and post them to Skeeters Junkyard. Dell, unfortunately, has had a bit of a habit of pairing top of the line seeming components like i9s and 4090s with less glamorous parts that are cheap and nasty and may cause massive bottlenecks. Specifically things like unlocked i9s with motherboards that can't overclock andor completely inadequate cooling or power supplies. But may be unnecessarily expensive, if Dell supplies you a MB with only two RAM slots. (one of my relatives is on their 3rd Dell PSU, inside a year, hence the skepticism. And being a Dell their custom case is designed so you can't just put in a reliable 3rd party ATX PSU, chalk it up to experience and skip the month of no PC while the PSU wends its way, by ship, from Singapore... though that delay is not one suspects so much of a problem in larger markets than kiwiland)
- Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
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Random video game news... Games are the most elevated form of investigation
Hmm. Bit of a Alpha Protocol re-release tease in one of GOG's 15 year interviews. Probably not quite as definitive as the autotranslate makes it sound, but you'd suspect they wouldn't use AP as an example unless they expected it as a release. (Then again, don't think Drakensang: RoT ever turned up and iirc it was in two GOG promo videos years apart)
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Leverage works to force people into talks in the first place as well, not just to concede more when in them. At least part of the problem is that even talking would be a major concession for Ukraine, since it would be a tacit admission things aren't going well. It's unlikely they'll ever admit that the offensive failed publicly as that could hit morale in a similar manner. The public part of the admission doesn't matter too much, if they admit it privately. (October was never going to be a good time to get Russia negotiating, same as April was not going to be good to get Ukraine negotiating. Their expectation was that energy prices would sap European support, and a cold winter would sap internal Ukrainian support. Similarly, if Ukraine expected to be in Simferopol by July there was no point negotiating in April)
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Cyberpunk 2077 continuing discussion
Ah. Yes for me the download is 2.0 already from the website as well, it's Galaxy that has the older version available. Guess they don't want another 26 segments for 1.63 there and to be fair a 100GB+ download via http will not be 100% reliable.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Since I tend to make a note of these things so know anyway, Kadyrov's last telegram (well, not like I've checked today) was a couple of days ago and was of him visiting his uncle who is in a Moscow hospital. Kind of ironic if the whole thing was a mistake from people not being able to tell two Kadyrov's apart, though to be fair they do look pretty similar. Not independently dated, but it adequately explains all the signs people were quoting, like Chechen cars at the hospital. Most of the major search engines will do a news search for 'Ramzan Kadyrov' absolutely fine.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Eh, it's obvious why the ANC takes that view though and we've been through it before. The US opposed them and labelled them terrorists- and in 2003 Nelson Mandela was still labelled one by the US- the Soviets (--> Russia) supported them. And from a non western perspective Iraq looked like blatant neocolonialism. You're never going to get much support for western imperial adventures from the prior victims of those adventures same as you aren't going to get Latvians cheerleading Putin any time soon but will get them cheerleading the US in Iraq. (It's equally obvious why for a westerner when it's their sides doing things everything that goes wrong is an honest but tragic mistake, their precise strikes accidentally kill civilians cause collateral damage, and they only invade when threatened beyond limits to protect themselves and others in what were really selfless acts of purest Love and Compassion. Because otherwise you voted for leaders who are murderers and are by extension murderers yourself. Indeed, it's extremely funny when it's the same person saying how superior democracy is but disavowing any responsibility for it doing bad things yet also saying Russia's a dictatorship but its people are somehow responsible for their unelected tyrant)
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Cyberpunk 2077 continuing discussion
There's a full 1.63 offline installer, and a few patches there for me.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
The only concrete fact around nukes is that the same number have been used in the Congo as in Ukraine, zero. (it's actually a pretty good example of the fundamental problem Euros have convincing the rest of the world though. Obviously there's concern about nuclear weapons potentially being used and it's genuine, but try convincing someone in New Delhi that a purely hypothetical threat to some rich white people 5000 miles away should be a concern and you won't make much headway as you- basically- have to convince them both that it will happen and happen in such a way that it will effect them. Otherwise... I guess they might go as far as tweeting #StopPutler2023, for all the good that'd do)
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The All Things Political Topic - Politics is the entertainment division of the military industrial complex
There was no 'stopping', Armenia has never recognised Artsakh as independent. If anyone 'stopped' that it was the Turks. Ironic of course, given Cyprus, but then that just reinforced that a 1915 repeat was certainly within Turkey's capabilities, in both meanings of the term. (Armenia's position has always been that it 'should' (have) be(en) part of Armenia in the first place under the soviets. Which it should have along with Nakhichevan, but wasn't. Once the Azeris have ethnically cleansed Artsakh they'll move on to creating a corridor through to that exclave, or at least try to. Nothing more certain under the sun)
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
Doubt strikes on infrastructure mean much in that regard. If anything it's more leverage- see NATO switching to destroying Yugoslav infrastructure in 1999, which ended up working when destroying military targets failed. There's been plenty of back room diplomacy going on without being (much) publicised anyway and that's unlikely to stop. Though how much either side actually wants a solution at this point is a very open question. Meh, the point is pretty obvious. Sure, people in the west don't care about Congo because it's in Africa and far away and they face no consequences of it. There's no problems with that per se, that's just how people work*. If you spent your time crying for everyone in the world's conflicts you'd be quite literally perpetually devastated. But if that's the argument you [general you, not specific] can't then turn around and throw a wobbly when someone a long way away doesn't care enough about Ukraine. If it's fine for Euros not to care much about a local conflict in far off Africa for those reasons then it's fine for someone outside Europe not to care much about a local conflict in far off Europe, for exactly the same reasons. Indeed, given how much Europe/ the west has managed to asterisk up the rest of the world they're pretty lucky they aren't actively laughed at for crying when the boot is on the other foot, for once. *and to be frank, indifference is far better than those forms of caring that are predominantly used just to make the 'carer' feel great about themselves for a bit- see #StopKony2012 (and yes he's still going, 11 years later) and most other kinds of slacktivism. In the end that's just getting your jollies from someone else's tragedy.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
And I'd agree, most people don't defend the US. That itself isn't the point though- they also aren't expected to say how bad the US is before saying anything critical of Russia (or ISIS, per the previous example). Very often that isn't the case when it comes to saying anything critical of Ukraine though, then some people want everything to come with a disclaimer about Russia being worse. (generally that sort of thing forms what I tend to call the Pinochet defence: yeah maybe Pinochet did some bad things. But Pinochet wasn't a bad guy compared to... Stalin! Stalin was a communist, Pinochet was anti communist. He might have done some bad things but he wouldn't have, had communism not existed. If the communists had got in things would have been worse! Now, after those facts why are you criticising Pinochet without acknowledging that he only did stuff to protect people from communism and without saying how much worse Stalin was? It's a nice rhetorical construct especially if you're Margaret Thatcher, but Pinochet was still a bad guy whatever Stalin did. much like Russian bot accusations, it's not like I really care since I tend to take people resorting to rhetorical constructs like that as, for want of a better term, a 'win'. It's just the sort of things that has tended to gum up other forums and the like and isn't really designed to be even slightly constructive; more to just get the target to shut up) I promise I will get around to reading Birnam Wood at some point.
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The All Things Political Topic - Politics is the entertainment division of the military industrial complex
Russia is not a security partner and ally of Artsakh. Armenia itself doesn't recognise Artsakh* as independent either. If they wanted Russian help they probably shouldn't have spent the last 7 years slagging them off in the hope of joining NATO- one of the most staggering stupid geopolitical stances of all time given that Turkey is a member with veto powers on matters of accession. Pashinyan is quite possibly even dumber than Sakashvili and that's really saying something. Basically their only hope is, well, Iran who doesn't want a Greater Turkey stretching from the Black to Caspian Seas. *Much like Crimea, Artsakh/ N-G should have had a referendum on independence after the USSR split up since it was in the soviet constitution that autonomous oblasts get one if their parent SSR leaves. It might even get one, once all the Armenians there have been liquidated.
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Ukraine Conflict - "The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them."
The indifference accusation is incredibly rich, really. I'd bet most people aren't even aware what the conflict is that has killed the most people in the 21st century- it isn't Iraq, or Syria, or Ukraine. The only way the vast majority of people would notice would (have) be(en) if the the coltan spigot had got turned off and their iPhones started costing $100 more. Of course, that was a long way away from Europe or the US, so why should you care... now anyone care to guess how much further away from Europe/ Ukraine New Zealand is? Given your history not exactly surprising most of the world actually does view your local troubles with supreme indifference. I'm not obligated to 'care' about the serried ranks of glorious blue eyed Ukrainians fighting off Sauron's minions in a struggle of pure light versus utter darkness; you're not obligated to care about a few million poor bastard(s) getting blatted so you can buy cheap electronics. Things will be far better once that's accepted because the Cope is extraordinarily repetitive and very, very boring. (Never understood some people's need to have everything presaged with "Russia bad because Ukraine invasion". Especially since everyone knows that they'd blow a gasket if asked to presage everything with: "US/ NATO/ West bad because Iraq invasion" next step: