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Zoraptor last won the day on June 29 2024
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The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicap
Zoraptor replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic
Pete Hegseth is just showing the administration's commitment to open government and freedom of information. Well done sir! (Would have been funnier if it had been Telegram rather than Signal though) -
The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicap
Zoraptor replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic
Sounds like a pretty ideal situation from a DOGEesque perspective though. The ideal there is that a lot of people don't turn up and get cut off so they make yuuuge savings on federal cash that they can crow about- while also assuming everyone who didn't turn up was a fraudster rather than bedridden/ sick/ uninformed about the requirement/ got annoyed at the process/ were unable to turn up etc. And yeah, using that as evidence they can then say that there was massive fraud under Biden and Obama. The only negative is that you don't really want to annoy old people since they vote, though you can at least be fairly confident that the people who vote will mostly be the ones to turn up for verification even if it is a bit onerous. -
The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicap
Zoraptor replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic
One of the methods for dealing with hardened underground facilities is a nuclear version of the bunker buster (B61m11). It's extremely likely Israel has an equivalent. Funny thing is, of course, that there was a mechanism for stopping Iran getting a nuclear bomb without the supreme irony of using nukes to do it: the JCPOA. Donald Trump should seriously consider drone striking whoever decided to renege on that deal for causing so much unnecessary threat to the world and to Israel. -
Pretty similar- identical maybe, since neither is high on the details- to the proposal that got derailed by the Kursk incursion and then brought back by Zelensky 2 weeks ago. Far less than the US/ Ukraine proposal of a week ago though. Gotta lol at the one peculiar (not really) difference in the two readouts from white house and kremlin.
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Ukraine was still getting intelligence from everyone except the US, and still had recon drones and the like. The intelligence they got from the US would also not instantaneously have become outdated, there would have been a decent lag. Further, Ukraine launched some relatively successful local counterattacks elsewhere (eg Toretsk and Pokrovsk) over the same time frame. If lack of US intelligence was immediately crucial you'd expect those to have failed and Russia to have made large gains elsewhere as well. End of the day they were in a narrow salient supplied by a single road, and that's perhaps the classic set up for failure- it was also precisely the situation the US has warned Ukraine about getting into and staying in repeatedly under the Biden admin; and which had resulted in sudden chaotic retreats multiple times previous. Default is that it happened again, without convincing evidence against. The main thing that seems to have changed on the battlefield was the number of fiberoptic drones deployed by Russia and their resistance to jamming. The Ukrainian attempt to fix that issue happened roughly 6 weeks ago, well before the Trump Zelensky meeting or intelligence freeze. It didn't succeed. (Overall, it's a classic compounding attrition scenario. You need to send in, say, 50 vehicles with supplies and replacements. Losing a few percent is fine, but if you start losing 10% it's not. Each vehicle lost has to be replaced, but so does its supplies, so you end up sending 55 vehicles in while using 110% of the previous supplies and needing 5 extra vehicles. You lose 10% of the vehicles on the way back too, so that's actually 10 per day needing replacement. But, each vehicle lost on the road makes your other vehicles more vulnerable as they have to slow or even stop because of their debris; and good luck stopping to try to recover vehicles. But if you cannot maintain that 50 vehicles your ability to resist constantly drops, and eventually everything falls apart. Numbers illustrative, obviously)
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Sounds like prime cope. The pattern in Kursk was the same as in every other localised cauldron/ salient the Ukrainians have had in the war. Lose ground slowly, but steadily, then it all goes in a rush. See Avdiivka and Vuhledar over the past ~year. This is just highly prominent because Kursk had been hyped up by the press and Ukraine.
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The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicap
Zoraptor replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic
Eh, not sure you'd even get the thoughts and prayers from many of them I'm afraid. Last Trump presidency the one thing every liberal commentator and tv channel loved him doing was bombing Syria. What's the Brian Williams quote? "Today he truly became our President"? Never underestimate the ability of someone to see their groups actions as uniquely justified or to shrug their shoulders because it's all a bit too hard for them. "A liberal opposes every war, except the current one". -
The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicap
Zoraptor replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic
I am not at all surprised to hear that, he does rather seem the type. (I did wonder if he was old enough yet to get Shingles, which was a bit dumb given I knew who his father was) -
The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicap
Zoraptor replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic
He's probably just an idiot. ie Chicken Pox/ varicella infection fairly famously doesn't give you lifetime immunity- hence Shingles. Would it be ironic if Mr Kennedy got a highly painful (but non fatal) condition due to not taking the vaccine that would prevent it? Yes, and not in the rain on my wedding day sense. -
That claim from Ukraine is a load of bollocks* so they don't really need to 'sell' it at all. Otherwise, same way Blair and Bush 'sell' Iraq or any other leader tries to sell something. Really though, Putin doesn't really need to sell much as western leaders have done an absolutely superb job of selling its necessity for him. Leaders always forget that much as you can use Putin's rhetoric to prove themselves right he can use theirs to prove his right. *Always a bit of a laugh that the side that has had 31k (meh, 41k) casualties out of 1.2 mn military personnel is also the one that has had 14 rounds of the draft and is actively kidnapping people off streets plus is constantly complaining about manpower issues while the one that has a billion casualties hasn't had a single round of the draft (ok, excluding the annual National Service type draft if we want to get technical) and apparently a large numerical advantage despite the 5:1 casualty ratio against them.
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Says something about how far Intel's fab arm has fallen that in house production is seen as 'risky' when they really ought to be producing everything there, and would have been even 5 years ago. There's good talk about their 18A process though and nVidia is rumoured to have been doing test chips on it. Still a decent way off, a year for 3rd party and a bit less for Intel.
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They very likely have the baseline m30/1 rockets and certainly claim to still be using them to nearly this day- yesterday's footage of the strikes on the troops coming out of the pipeline had them being used. While that footage definitely has issues there has been some other footage recently, and about as much as typical once they got jammed effectively (ie not much, but some). ATACMS... can't remember the last time there was footage or claims of them being used. Probably out, or saving in case of a high value target.
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Nope, 100% no mention of murdered civilians. Indeed, that quote makes it sound like they got caught up in fighting or similar, not systematically slaughtered in their homes. SOHR* was more than enough attribution wise previous, when they were reporting on atrocities perpetrated by people the AP doesn't like- but now suddenly cannot be verified and the people are neutrally 'killed'. Who by? It's a mystery. Better get Scooby and pals on to it so they can unmask al Jolani as being notorious wanted terrorist al Jolani, something no one could have predicted. Or it could just remain a mystery, to the AP. Biggest one day civilian death toll of the war, might warrant a little bit of investigation though? A very little bit. The head choppers being head choppers they proudly posting their handiwork all over twitter and telegram... so it's pretty clearly the AP was deliberately not looking in order to write a misleading article. Not quite as passive voice as their Israeli coverage to be sure. *since it's all a bit hard for the AP reporters, some quotes/ articles from Rami, no charge for the research guys "Despite announcement about accomplishing security campaign in Syrian coastline groups of gunmen continue crimes and violations against residents" "Genocide in Syrian coastline and Latakia mountains 72 hours on | Military and security forces commit nearly 40 massacres, killing 973 civilians"
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What a garbage article. Particularly: Oh, OK Ah, so it isn't really ending then, is it? Good thing we have APNews's crack journalist squad to immediately leap onto the obvious contradiction, eh? Also, no mention of all the murdered civilians and makes it sound like everything was started by the alawites. Reminder: they sent a unit bad enough to be sanctioned by the US for ethnic cleansing based head chopping, and then purported to be surprised at them doing the same thing again from the government. Crap journalists taking a bung from Turkey and defending genocide, awful editorial control from APnew... well no, par for the course for their coverage of Palestine actually and very obviously part of their editorial direction, which was equally full of selective facts and acritical use of often mutually contradictory quotes. As always, genocide is aok, since if its at someone we don't like it's just sparkling mass murder. Eh Bruce.