Everything posted by Zoraptor
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
Not really that easy. Iran doesn't have anything specialist that has the range and numbers, assuming the US isn't stupid enough to park their carriers a hundred or so km from Iran's shoreline at least. No oniks/ zircon, no YJ## except maybe some old silkworms. Some home grown stuff with unconfirmed claims and details is all. Indeed, if you want a reason for Trump's 'vibe' that Iran was planning to attack the US them nearing a deal with China to buy something that could hit carriers (CM-302s) is a decent bet. It would certainly have made them far more vulnerable That leaves drones of various types, and ballistic missiles. Even though ballistic missiles are fast a ship may have moved multiple km in their flight time, if you even have an accurate idea of where they were at launch. Giving them the guidance and manoevrability needed to hit a moving target is also Difficult. Drones are slow and typically don't have much payload. Mostly though, if the US actually does attempt to escort ships through the Straits they'll have plenty of targets, and in a far more vulnerable position. Don't think there's any doubt that Netanyahu lied to Trump, extensively. From his pov even if Trump woke up to the fact- unlikely, he's hardly the sort for self reflection- once it's started it's started. Even if Trump wanted to he can't back out now without antagonising everyone.
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What are you Playing Now? Volume XIX: The New Beginning of the End of the Middle
The fundamental problem with evil choices is that they're so often just chaotic stupid. Not even moustache twirling cliché (alt keys back, I can once again let my pretentiousness run wild), just out and out psychopathy for the sake of being able to say there's choice. No doubt it's partly due to developers knowing that most players will never pick evil choices, so putting less effort in, but still.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
Iran War could reopen debate on Russian Natural Gas Norway says. EU ambassador not allowed to inspect damage to Druzhba oil pipeline – FT. Absolute lols. Countdown to NordStream repair being 'strategically essential' starts in... Really, whatever the platitudes most European leaders are spouting they must be absolutely livid behind the scenes. Norway- which has followed the US lead on pretty much everything including a lot of military adventurism and is Europe's largest gas producer- floating the idea of buying more Russian gas rather than less is a pretty clear indicator there's no willingness to reward the US for getting Qatari gas shut off with more gas contracts*. One thing you have to say about Trump, he has at least found a positive about that blancmange Keir Starmer: he most certainly isn't Winston Churchill. *for extra lols, the government here announced a plan to build a LNG terminal, last week. Sums up their competency perfectly. Funded, of course, by a levy since it makes zero financial sense and no private entity in its right mind would build it. Entirely done to pander to Trump; now looks even more stupid.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
Only KDP are pro Turkey. Or really, pro Barzani getting massive kickbacks from Erdogan's son in law for selling him oil at a discount (same son in law that was buying ISIS oil a decade ago; not just Trump who has a dodgy relation by marriage). That's 40ish% of 'the Kurds' in Iraq. PUK is about the same size, but- broadly- pro Iran. They were the ones who refused to fight the PMUs in 2017 after making an Iran brokered deal, leading to the KDP running away inside a day. Everything suggests even the KDP will not help, because they really don't want to end up fighting the pro Iranian PMUs. The other problem ought to be obvious to anyone with any ability to think empathetically. So it wouldn't be a surprise if Trump misses it. Soon as you start sending in ethnic militias from another country you're going to get capital letter National Resistance because it's trivial to frame that as the US trying to break up your country. Trump has already proven many of the accusations leveled at him by the Iranian government as true- Israel's poodle, negotiating in bad faith etc- and getting KDP or Azeris or Balochs or MEK to invade reinforces that. Indeed, it'd be more than enough evidence to suggest that the only thing Trump and Israel wants is to cause perpetual regional chaos.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
If the americans actually believe that they're fricking bonkers. The Houthis effectivedly closed the Bab al Mandab despite literally not having a navy nor 5% of the resources Iran has; nor even physically holding the coast near it- Hodeidah is around 200km away. And the Bab al Mandab is far less constricted than the straits of Hormuz. Absolute lolz. The largest anti Iran faction of Kurds that is active in Iran is PJAK, a sister organisation to the YPG in Syria. The same YPG Trump stabbed in the back barely a month ago to utter silence from the same media who trumpeted their bravery at Kobani 12 years ago. Unlikely to get the backing of the PUK either, whatever platitudes they may make. So, he'd be relying on bribing Barzani Iteration to use the same Kurds that ran away from the Iranian backed PMUs at Kirkuk in 2017 instead. Sums up Trump's shambolic foreign policy about as well as their incoherent messaging has*. Also one of the best indications that Netanyahu got him on side by spouting bollocks about how easy it'd all be. *I mean really, the Trump admin has been disorganised and messy before with messaging, but this has been absolute next level.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
Not the same guy. Easy mistake to make since even the Danish royal family has a more imaginative and varied naming scheme than the Pahlavis. Reza Pahlavi (I, long dead, generally referred to as Reza Khan/ Shah for reasons that will become obvious) got into power in a coup and got chucked out by the Soviets and British during WW2. He got succeeded by his son, Reza Pahlavi (II, died 1980?, generally referred to as Muhammed Pahlavi to distinguish him from his dad and son) when he abdicated. He was the Mossadegh coup, SAVAK death/ torture squads etc guy who managed to convince Iranians that Khomeini was a better alternative than him. His son Reza Pahlavi (III) is the current iteration currently wandering around praising Bibi and Trump for blowing up his countrymen.
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The TV and Streaming Thread: Enough episodes for syndication
Yeah, I guess I could see that. He did need to constantly reinforce his glamour on Celebrimbor and it seems his loss of influence on Galadriel is permanent. It seems unlikely that most men would be able to shake off that sort of influence though. The only real issue with that is that canonically he only really needed to subvert the eminently subvertable Ar-Pharazon to dominate Middle Earth. Which is in some ways a bit of a problem with the source material. If Sauron wanted to dominate ME, why send the Numenoreans off on what he must have known was a suicide mission to attack the Valar instead of just using them for the job? Because that's what happens in epic sagas, same as the perils of magic rings...
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Random video game news... video random news game
Netflix did not want WB's gaming division at all; their bid was specifically for studio and streaming assets. So it would have been sold off very cheaply or- probably, given its main assets are linked to WB IPs- shut down. Though it's unlikely Paramount specifically wants the gaming part either their offer is at least for the whole thing.
- The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
That result really ought to be the death knell for Starmer's leadership. Blocking Burnham from standing was done for purely selfish reasons (to prevent him being a potential alternative leader, for those not following UK politics) and likely made the result even worse. Favourite Starmer fact: his Labour Party got half a million votes less than the 'unelectable' Jeremy Corbyn did the previous time around. He won entirely due to the electoral system with Tory vote being split by Reform and a turnout of less than 60%, not due to growing Labour's vote base. He barely even grew the vote share, and given how awful the Tories were that should have triggered some real worries over his actual popularity.
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Ukraine Conflict - war continues on
Another body exchange, this time 1000 Ukrainian to 35 Russian. Definitely should have had the hundreds of Russians killed in Kupiansk this time, but the ratio i still in the high 20s to 1. Next time, the hundreds killed in Zaporizhia oblast maybe.
- Random video game news... video random news game
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Random video game news... video random news game
Valve getting sued in New York for loot boxes. Or at least, that's the headline version. Seems to be more about there being a marketplace for selling the results of loot boxes than the mechanic itself, which is why they're targeting Valve/ Steam specifically instead of other who just use loot boxes. IMO, should have happened way sooner.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
The mere act of casting votes is certainly not of itself a good thing. If there's no real choice it simply acts to grant legitimacy which hasn't actually been earned, which is of course why a lot of authoritarian countries still hold elections. If you look at the last US Presidential election, which Trump won handily, the proportions were: Harris ~31% Trump ~32% Didn't Vote ~36% ie ~2/3 of people in the US didn't vote for its President, and more than 1/3 either didn't like either candidate enough to vote for them nor dislike a candidate enough to vote against them. Not exactly healthy. (Really, the Roman Republic model was an awful one to choose if you wanted proper (little d) democracy since it started breaking down as soon as Rome stopped being a regional power; and along similar lines as you see in the US. Probably better than Athenian Big D Democracy at least though; nothing quite as unique in history as stampeding voters into voting to execute all your- victorious- admirals, rejecting peace and then losing the war spectacularly a year later)
- The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
- The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
Overall spending is a bit of a blunt metric anyway, for much the same reason as gdp nominal- it doesn't actually measure what the money buys, just how much is spent. Russia produces ~7 tanks for the cost of a single Leo2, and practically they're both likely to be destroyed by a thousand dollar drone made in China. The problem rump NATO has is that so much is outsourced to the US, and reliance on fancy overpriced gear that sounds great in lieu of stuff that just works. Not being able to spin up shell production properly, in the EU*, after 4 years and allegedly still being outproduced by North Korea alone kind of epitomises it; it's really really basic stuff that has been around for 150 years because it works, it should be cheap and easy, and there isn't really anything that can go wrong with it. *you do occasionally hear about how production has increased, but that increase largely comes from buying off non EU sources. They do at least have France with an independent nuclear deterrent, and while no longer EU Britain could make theirs non dependent on the US with a bit of time. It would certainly be... interesting to see how the Rules Based Order deals with (practically, justifies; not like they'd actually sanction Poland or Germany) one of its own members breaking the NPT though.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
If there's one thing Trump has proven it's that Europe does need another military union/ alliance. NATO minus the US would mostly lose the ability to wander around invading random countries- ie 'force projection'- which may be a big loss if you want to have the North AtlanticTO fighting China in the Pacific, but isn't much of a loss for a defensive alliance in the geographic North Atlantic. Europe does love convincing themselves that everything is going to work out if they just stick their fingers in their ears and sing loud enough for long enough though.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
Answer is that it probably wouldn't inconvenience me much, since I doubt I'd have much problem circumventing anything short of a full Great Firewall of New Zealand. However, compulsory use of the internet for storage of important information like your identity needs opposing on principle, especially when it's done mostly so politicians can take An Achievement to The Electorate. Last month a compulsory use privately run health database got hacked here that was used by a third of the country's population. It appears they gained access through brute forcing a password, and much of the data wasn't encrypted- about as basic mistakes as it's possible to make. So far, zero consequences for the guys running it. You also know that people will go full UK and let Peter Thiel/ Meta/ Cambridge Analytica et alia have access to all that lovely data.
- The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
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Random video game news... video random news game
2 years is a bit far the other way. How many AA level games take two years to make nowadays? I can't actually think of a single one recently. I'd also rather suspect Avowed in particular suffered somewhat from the MS acquisition; suddenly there wasn't pressure on to deliver a game in a way that would keep Obsidian solvent. Average profit margin is almost certainly rather misleading, because most games don't make any money back at all. You have 5 games with identical budgets, one makes double its costs, the other 4 make only 80% back. That's an overall/ average 20% profit over those five games. But only one was a success and made money, four lost it.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
I think Gromnir's pretty safe from that at least. You deliberately write badly, then blame others for their 'misinterpretations'. This happens very frequently and has happened at least three times in this thread. It's also happened to others. It's very much a you problem. Again, I'm specifically not arguing with you, that's why everything is just repeated. Took long enough for you to notice, since I told you in the very first reply. Bonus, takes me nearly no time at all. Probably 75% is mucking around with quotes and the disappearing cursor. OK, you brought up Blix, in the context of WMD, per the quote of yours that you keep on ignoring (this is a pattern). I just brought him up to show you didn't provide sources. Very relevant here, since you complained about me not providing them. OK, you kept repeating that searching for information about Reza Pahlavi when you wanted information on him was ridiculous while searching for iran protests was the thing to do. I even quoted you doing so the post previous. Another literal lol. Pointing out that you do exactly what you accuse others of is not whataboutism, nor is it gaslighting or any other phrase those who cannot argue their way out of a paper bag use reflexively; it's just the truth. The first defence of anyone caught out in hypocrisy is to scream whataboutism (we're talking about what is wrong with you only! anything else is whataboutism!) and the only reason you're doing it here is because you don't have an actual refutation, because you cannot have an actual refutation. All those things you've accused me of you've done yourself. I'm generally of the opinion that even people I don't like or don't value the opinion of are at least worth listening to, but this and you... I even feel bad laughing at this point.
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Random video game news... video random news game
30% doesn't seem unreasonable to me. Perhaps even quite reasonable, within the limits of what you'd expect from MBA types. I'm not sure there are any publishers that would metaphorically get out of bed for something that takes 5 years to generate a 10-20% profit even in a sector where most products lose money; the lower end is probably a practical loss due to inflation. Companies will take low reward so long as it's also low risk (and low opportunity cost, ie you don't have something better to do with the money) but gaming is really not low risk; on an individual title basis it's high risk and mostly relies on big returns from a few titles rather than moderate returns from lots. That's a not unusual length of time for games today, at least when they have pretensions about being a big hit. Which is a bit of an indictment on the industry as a whole.
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The All Things Political Topic - world tidings
It's not illogical in the slightest. It's the result of your writing in pidgin, which is a choice you make. As it stands, I'll take it as that though because this is even more boring than the rest. That's in the context of you not providing sources and congratulating you for finding one that time. Highly relevant, given your conduct here. And congratulations even if- or perhaps more so because- it showed what I was saying was correct. Really? You called looking for reza pahalvi ridiculous, on this very page, to whit: Oh dear. Well, someone can't it seems, though you do seem to be predominantly lying to yourself. Makes things easy for me, I just have to check your posts on the same page since you can't be consistent between them.
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The TV and Streaming Thread: Enough episodes for syndication
Finally finished watching Rings of Power after a bit of a summer hiatus. Overall, still rate it as being OK, and the first season would have got a lot less criticism if it had been more like this. Most of the criticisms of the first 6 episodes still stand, though most of them are just kind of annoying more than anything. Rather less of the extremely annoying once you notice it indirect speechifying in the last two eps at least due to all the ackshun. However, much of the improvement was due to what we seemed to deliberately not get much of in S1: aping the still far superior movies. Balrog, Sarumanesque wizard standoff; the siege of Eregion was... strongly reminiscent of Helm's Deep, even allowing for both having to have similarities ie both being sieges. And it still has the ultimate problem: if Sauron can subvert Celebrimbor's mind- and he'd be at worst the third greatest elf on ME behind single G and double G- then what does he really need the rings for?