Mamoulian War

They simply do not have the manpower to do that. So Odessa is pretty safe for now.

"coincidentally"

Well in Russia it works the way, that the only allowed view on their TV, is the view of the Kremlin. There were definitely more than one occassion of Moskva sinking and need for revenge on Russian TV. I've seen myself two snippets of official state propaganda on the matter, and both in line with "Ukraine will pay for the Moskva, which sunk because of non-professional handling of ammunition on the deck". Tucker Carlson is a nuts, but it is still impossible to compare it to the propaganda spewed on the Russian state TV.

I see Mariupol only as a tool for propaganda, because they were not able to seize it in 2014. I think it is complete foolishness to try to defeat it, because as you mentioned, they are using loads and loads of Russian troops to make the siege possible, and their soldiers are dieing at a crazy high rate. If Russia will be defeated in Ukraine one day, then their stubbornness to take Mariupol at all costs would be one of the root causes for that defeat. But that is still very long way to go, and the war still can end both ways. What is the biggest advantage of Ukraine, is that the Russian units, had no operational pause in this conflict, because 9th May is getting closer and closer. What is the biggest disadvantages for Ukraine, is that on the Eastern Front, they will now face much much bigger logistic challenges than Russia will.

Even though the town of Kreminna was taken by Russian occupants, the Ukrainians wiped out whole unit/group/BTG? (impossible to find out from the article) led by one of the top Lugansk Peoples Republic commander Lieutenant Colonel Kishchik (probably Kadyrovite), including himself, before retreating from Kreminna. The guy became "famous and high regarded commander" after the events of 2014 occupation of Donbas. Google translate of the news in Slovak language: https://www-trend-sk.translate.goog/spravy/ukrajina-zahynul-jeden-velitelov-luhanskych-separatistov-cecenec-misa?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp Day after this, Ukrainian intelligence service GUR, reported that Russia started Purge in the top ranks of LPR, due to not doing enough to defeat Ukraine. (this might or might not be connected to the above mentioned killing of the top commander and his entire unit/group/BTG?)

Today has been very fruitful for the Ukrainian air defense: 3 aircraft (1 Su-25, 2 unspecified models of Su), 2 helicopters (1 KA-52, 1 Mi-8), 1 Orlan-10

This is correct. Putin in his today's speech after stopping the assault has said, he is doing it to save Russian soldiers lives, he does not give a single **** about the children there. He specifically said, that the Russian soldier should not allow a single fly out of Azovstal. The interesting thing is, that right after that statement, Polk Azov already released video of destroyed Russian Tank, and they released a statement, that after this announcement in matter of two hours they destroyed 3 tanks, 2 BMPs, and something, which my limited knowledge of Ukrainian spoken language was not able to decipher. And this is the response from Ukrainian partizans: the approx translation is: "For occupants and collaborators: We are close, we are already working in Kherson, death awaits for all of you. Kherson is Ukraine. (this has been posted very soon after someone killed pro-russian blogger in Kherson) I have seen few Russian ex-athletes, who run away from Russia, to support this banning of Russian athletes, with the reasoning behind being, that the Russian athletes were always tools of Russian propaganda. Just think about the crazy big scandal of web of state controlled doping few years ago. Up until now, Russian have been denying, that this is truth, as much as they are still denying they shot down the civil plane over Donbas.

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Well, take it or not, so far it works. Russian put army supplies and technic there, got killed and destroyed. Ukrainians release new meme, wait for few days, rinse and repeat. They don't need ever try hard to go after them, like the joint operation guys at Donbas, they just wait. Will it have any significant outcome for the outgoing war? Probably not, but anything counts when fighting against overwhelming odds... Especially, when this happens without any casualties on the defenders side... As for Bayraktars, I've seen some videos of them directly dropping bombs overhead of tanks and MRLS, but from what I understand, it is just an additional perk of the system. The fact is, Russia is unable to detect them most of the time, and then only one Bayraktar helps to eliminate dozens units of vehicles in a single night. Like this one. (pretty long video, but it shows, how Ukraine is utilizing them in the first place - these are pictures from Lelek UAV.) Feel free to skip the first mobile artillery shooting, the reconnaissance and action part starts after that. Also, it looks like that Russia is not paying their contractors, and they start to rebel.

Apparently not for Russia

OMFG... Kherson airport for the 17th time... And Ukraine will get finally some aircraft... And long range Artillery...

And I have already seen Shoigu today in some video But it is impossible to say, if it was filmed before or after the rumours of his death Well. the Thing might be, as we all know, how rampant the corruption in Russian army is, that the reactive armor might have changed few hands during the modernization of the tanks Here little bit about the overwhelming corruption in Russian army by Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project oragnization. https://www.occrp.org/en/37-ccblog/ccblog/16192-2022-04-07-16-58-47 And Russia has started the offensive at Azovstal at Mariupol. With aerial bombing the nearby hospital. Allegedly 300 people ended under the rubble, no clue if anyone survived... I hope these Russian **** all burn alive... https://t.me/Novoeizdanie/10920 Only in Ukrainian language EDIT: Russian are threatening people of Mykolaiv as well in Kherson, if they do not join the Russian occupants, they will murder them all... only in Russian language

Oh, and I forgot to mention, Shoigu died. Again. Probably. After 27th heatstroke and a cup of tea with Putin. Maybe. While falling over the balcony. Allegedly. I am really curious, if this turns out true or false in few days...

@pmp10@Zoraptor@Gorth One more video about Moskva, this time from impartial source based on leaked pictures and videos. They come to an outcome, that the damage on the ship was definitely much higher than on the first sight. There are a lot of areas on the whole ship, which shows significant cook off inside the ship. Also it was said somewhere in the comments, that this ship had their officer quarter just above the storage of munition (can someone confirm that this is true?). Therefore both of these indices are showing the possibility for a lot of casualties (mostly in the ranks of officers), even though all of the rescue boats has been deployed.

Here is the video from the parade, I did not count it, but they are saying maximum 100 people present at the parade... And Russia being Russia, you never know, if this are real soldiers from Moskva or some propaganda muppets I would bet most of them are just muppets, because Putler was never before humiliated as much as with the loss of this ship, and they would never admit that Ukraine destroyed one of their crown jewels of navy and any casualty on board connected to it. Especially if the crown jewel is named after the capital of Russia. The ship was packed with dozens of rockets, so if hit at the correct place, the aftermath and cooking off could destroy a lot of people on the ship. And in other news, there was probably a tea party in Moscow Gazprombank offices Aaaand another interesting news. Remember the other ship blown up in Berdyansk port? There were two more ships running away from explosion and at least one of them burning. And today, the captain of one of these ships has been "relieved" from duty and joined the captain of Moskva.

After more than a week of Ukrainian silence from Mariupol, they shared another anti-orc counter attack. Looks like their situation is still not completely ****ed, if they are still able to do what they have shown in the video... (It pretty much shows why the Ukraine vs Russia casualties are 1:5 or greater)... It is heavily edited, but not gonna link it here. Again courtesy of Українська правда If you are really sure, what you are doing, you can try to search for it by yourself (1:39s long video), cyrillics affiliated with it under the spoiler tag...

Not all Chinese companies are operating in China. A lot of them, especially if they are in business with components, which can be used for weapon building, has ceased the operation in Russia, due to them, not willing to risk secondary sanctions against them. Same with a few biggest Chinese Banks and Chinese companies in energy business. China might be acting like a friend on the outside, but Russian defeat would open much of Russian industry for them to take.

Another news from our media, Russia has allegedly ran out of stock with components needed to assemble guided missiles for BUK batteries, which significantly cripples their AA defense in short-middle term. Also Huawei announced on 10th April, that they are stopping operations at their network component branches in Russia.

Yesterday, in our media there are starting to emerge reports, that Russia is running out of supply trucks. And even worse, they are also running out of truck drivers willing to drive to Ukraine. Which means big problem for Russian war. And today, I have found this. Russian propaganda is starting to talk about withdrawal of Russian army, due to the goals being fulfilled

The question is, how much of that 50 billion ended up in military and how much ended up in the pockets of corrupt commanders

Looks like sinking of the Moskva has started another purge in Russia And General nr.8 (this time 3 with three stars) had a state funeral since February 24th.

Anyway, we have already online the response of Finland to Russian threats, if they join the NATO. First Russia released video with the movement of coastal complexes to the border. The day after, Finns released this video And of course, one of the Ukrainian's TVs have already made a report about it If nothing else, we should give Putin credit, for completely obliterating the prestige and fearsomness of Russian army, which Soviet Union and himself tried so much to build after WW2

It is possible environmental risk, and now try to imagine if that was true, and Ukraine would be able to recover them first from the bottom of the sea. Could be kind of game changer.

I have found one hour long video analysis of the possible consequences of long term conflict for the "west", Ukraine and Russia. It was worth the watch, and it answered a lot of my questions (e.g. why Ruble is still so strong). I would hope that here is at least one or two economy savvy forumites, which will watch it whole and point out to his strong sides and flaws of his analysis, and share it with us, I would be very grateful

Are you still trying to find any logic behind Russian statements?