Mamoulian War

Johnson and probably few more politicians in the West has already announced, that it is OK to use their weapons against targets in Russia. There rumours of HIMARS being in Ukraine started to circulate around 15th April, but no "credible" source has confirmed this yet. So it is either top secret, or the people are again talking out of their asses... I see it as a 10-90 chance Hmm, I am really curious, how they want to manage all this new territory. They are already lacking the manpower to do proper fights, and according to our local analysts, Russia lost so many of the most elite forces of the Russian Army, that they are ****ed for generations, and the young Russians just do not want to join the mandatory conscription... Also there is one more thing almost no one is speaking about. A lot of fighters joined the Ukraine war from the easternmost ethnically non-russian parts of the Russia (in much bigger numbers than the ethnic Russians) and now, that the "boys" are getting back in caskets, there is growing a discontent at these regions. And last time, when some discontent grew to high, Chechnya happened. But at that time, the Russian army was at their highest. Not as crippled as they are today... And the other thing is, that some of the ex-soviet republics are starting to sense a weakness, and they might help with the rise of discontent here and there, just to get as far away from Russian influence as possible. The latest notable news from this area, is that Russia asked directly these countries to help them evade the sanctions. And Kazakhstan denied that option immediately. Anyway, here is google translate of the interview with our war/security analytic, about how much has Putin and his generals ****ed the Russian army in the last two months... https://brainee-hnonline-sk.translate.goog/spolocnost/svet/25239941-rusko-zmrzacilo-armadu-na-generacie-dopredu-prislo-o-elitne-sily-tvrdi-vojensky-analytik?_x_tr_sl=sk&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp Saying that it is complex is probably the reason, that the people do not understand a lot about that conflict, and it is just because the Western Media completely ignore it... You cannot get a qualified opinion, when the sources are missing... In Slovakia, media do not care, because like 99% of our population, have no clue where Yemen lies, and it does not bring them any clicks, not even the fact, that our corrupt ex-government, which has been under the microscope of our media in the last 12 years, were allegedly illegally selling weapons to Saudi Arabia for use in this conflict, had sparked any interest in the media. It was just to away for the people to care... That is the same as with Uyghurs or Tibet... To far away to care to cancel Disney + or Alibaba account... And instead of trying to bring a little bit more awareness to the issue, so the people start to care little bit more, they just simply abandoned it... And I bet this is the same in most of the other countries... Chasing clicks is now for media much more important, that to bring the awareness to the masses... And the Russian trolls are taking advantage of this big time for years...

I would not call it a lot of money for free, and I bet it would not be for free, but well, I can tell you what happened in Eastern Europe after the fall of Iron Curtain, all of the ex soldiers and martial arts athletes started their own Mafia style organizations, because no one cared enough to intervene. A lot of people died, and only now are some of these **** getting jailed, when people started to care... I think it happens also in western countries, if they do not have good quality social integration programs for veterans. They might get swayed onto the easy money path, because they feel everybody ****ed them over after they risked their lives for them

The rumoured guy (Nikolai Patrushev), who should be in charge while he is "away", is as big **** as Putin himself, so that would be no win... unless the other siloviks are less afraid of him than of Putin. Also there has been opened a bag with ****loads of rumours about may 9th... - Russia will attack Moldova - security experts say - Russia will start general mobilization - different security experts say - Russia will end the war - says Orban to the Pope And I bet there are circulating even more of them... and in other news Lavrov 1uped his game and accused Israel of openly supporting nazis in Ukraine...

Something like Marshal Plan needs to be done, unless you want to have on your eastern borders besides Russia, ****loads of Ukrainian people with balls bigger than whales, without a chance to integrate back to normal society... That would be a road to another disaster. It will cost a lot, but the other option would cost even more...

And that kind of explains, why there was a great purge in Luhansk People's Republic "government" week or two ago... They probably shown to much of discontent

I am sorry if I am wrong with my English, but everything what has an engine and swims on water has a single name in my language, and that translates as a ship in English And looks like you are correct This is what has been assigned to special underwater operations during the night. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raptor-class_patrol_boat As for something completely different, On Russian social media a lot of Russians who moved to Crimea, are now preparing to leave back home, being afraid that they get trapped there, if they manage to destroy the bridge to Russia. And are afraid of possible Ukrainian retaliation, for what Putin have done to Bucha and Mariupol. Also, rumours of Lukashenko starting negotiations with Ukraine start to circulate on Russian social media, which people assume, that means, that Russia lost the war. Most of it is definitely rumour, but it shows, that it is not just bouquets of roses on the mind of Russians living close to Ukraine, and the support for Putin's war is lower day by day Also it looks like Ukraine found a hole in Russian air defense and they managed to sneak in with few planes and bombed Belgorod.

Looks like Lavrov had again his bright mood. After Moskva sunk, he immediately started threats about nuclear WW3, if NATO does not stop helping Ukraine, as they consider it as a direct NATO involvement against Russia. Few days later, he have made a statement, that Russia is not in a conflict with NATO at all. And today, in the conjunction of denazification and Zelenskyi being a jew, he made a statement, that even Hitler had jewish ancestors... And some people here are suggesting, that we should take Russian statements a little bit more serious Also two more ships "ishli na chuj" near Serpent Island Courtesy od Bayraktars. https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=741133780230854 Also considering the Gerasimov incident, there is a report of Major General Semionov being killed at that attack on Izyum. I have not seen any mentions of number of other casualties, just a mention of significant blow against the chain of command at Izyum. Also when speaking about inflated numbers, Russia has released statement, that they killed more than 200 Ukrainian soldiers in the east with air attacks in a single day. Aaaand the Kherson airport at Chornobaivka has seen another round of explosions of Russian encampment (I have lost count at bombing nr. 18 )

Hmm looks like a lot of railway bridges are having now accidents at Russian territory close to Ukraine.

The collapse of Russia has pretty high probability for one simple reason. Putin has raised no one as his successor (Unlike Yeltsin, who raised him), so it is likely that the siloviks, which survive the current ongoing purge, will get at each other throats after something happens (be it natural or unnatural) to Putin. Even if he manages to win this war..

@Lexx do you have some more information about this, please?

Russian soldiers are barbarians. Period. Nothing has changed in the mentality of their military leaders since 1700.

A week or two old interview with ukrainian soldier at Dnipro, unfortunately I am not able to find the link anymore, but it is somewhere at the Twitter of the author. Because of that, it is a google translation from transcript of the interview in Czech language. "British military author David Patrikarakos had a short interview with Dima, a Ukrainian soldier at Dnipro. It's like World War II, just with modern technology. 2014 was compared to this playground. Our biggest ally is corruption in the Russian army and their military nature. A Russian soldier reports to his superior, "It's not good, but we're sticking." He, in turn, reports to his superior "we are holding on." he will say to his superior "it's going well!" And that's exactly how Putin doesn't know what it really looks like. No one believed that war would really break out. Because you need a numerical renumbering of at least 2: 1 for an offensive operation. Today, everyone sees that they do not have a numerical advantage. It's a complete madhouse. Sometimes you play poker with the wrong cards, but Russia plays completely without cards. What shocked me the most is the lack of interest of Russian soldiers in their friends. In Mariupol, Russian soldiers have lunch in ruins just a few meters from the decomposing bodies of their comrades, and they are not bothered at all. After all, the bodies of dead comrades are thrown into a trench and sometimes they don't even bury them. We once found a mass grave of fifteen Russian soldiers that was covered with only a few inches of clay. How can they respect civilians when they have no respect for each other. That's unbelievable. Nobody understands their tactics. There is a small military airport in Chernobayivka, which the Russians have tried to conquer seventeen times, but we have always repulsed them, and they are still coming in the same numbers in the same direction! A friend asked me if they were really that stupid and I said no, they just had incompetent leadership and were unable to think individually. They just obey orders, no matter how crazy they are. Chechens? Ha-Ha! We call them TikTok Soldiers! They're still filming on social networks. They were given top equipment to look good in photos and videos, but they don't play much in the fights. We once captured a wounded Chechen and he took a selfie instead of trying to fight. Absolutely bizarre! Their job is not primarily to engage in combat, but to catch Russian conscripts who do not want to fight. As in the Soviet Union. One thing I have to say. Musk's Starlink is what tilted the scales in favor of us. From the beginning of the invasion, the Russians largely paralyzed our Internet, which they can no longer do. Starlink works even under the sharpest artillery fire and works even in Mariupol. They still use Soviet doctrine, which was obsolete thirty years ago. But the modern battlefield has changed, we have studied a lot of NATO's military operations in Afghanistan and Israel's military tactics. The Russians are still trying to attack on a mass scale, and our job is so simple: to destroy as many targets as possible. But we have limited resources, so we must be creative. It is quite easy to recognize the guerrilla action and the Russian operation under a false flag (false flag operation). The guerrillas are attacking critical infrastructure, the Russians are simply bombing something unimportant to them. would they attack important targets for them? Not in a million years. I know you British have complicated relationships with your Prime Minister Johnson, but here Boris Johnson is something of a national hero. NLAW missiles are clearly the best. They are easy to use, you just aim to shoot and destroy. Without them, we would not destroy so many Russian tanks. And speaking of tanks, we've captured more than 100, so we have more tanks than at the beginning of the invasion. We in the unit have one joke that Russia is our largest arms supplier." https://twitter.com/dpatrikarakos

We do not speak same language, but most Czech and Slovaks can understand each other, if they try The language is similar, but if you try, it can be said about most of the Slavic languages. Our strongest ties are based on the times, when we were a single country, but before WW1, we had completely different history. Czechs were part of Austria and Slovaks were part of Hungary during Austria-Hungary monarchy. I think, the closest to each other were Czech and Slovak intellectuals during these times, and thus they managed to convince Entente, that Czechoslovakia is a good thing. I have absolutely no clue, how a common people were thinking about this union of two somehow different nations. Shoot, and I thought, our secret is safe

Yes, I've seen a lot of bollocks in Western media as well, but comparing it to Russian media bollocks is like comparing sex with your partner, with sex with your hand... Some of you really are forgetting, there here on this forums are people who lived during the Soviet Occupation of some Eastern European countries, and that we have experience with Soviet/Russian soldiers and propaganda from the first hand. So we kind of know, what is bull**** and what is true. And yes, this also means we can see through the Western **** as well. My family for example was since 1950s on the blacklist of Communists and Soviet collaborators. If someone says, that Russia is forcefully evicting Ukrainians from their homes, I know it is highly plausible, because my own family was forcefully evicted from Eastern Slovakia to Czech Republic by them, because my grandad refused to convert his religion from Greek Catholic to Russian Orthodox. He ended up in jail, and died very soon after his release, with autopsy report showing the signs of manipulation... Members of my family, because of that were not allowed to study on Universities for decades, and some of them were forced to work in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_auxiliary_battalion , therefore the reports of Russians trying to forcefully conscript Ukrainian men into Russian army are also very highly plausible... And I could continue with more and more real life examples from my own family, to further prove my point... Yes, I understand, why you all might doubt some reports against Russian behaviour, because you're lucky to never experienced anything similar before, but some of us unfortunately had the bad luck of having that experience, and from the talks with some of our Russian colleagues at work, when they get some courage to speak out, after few shots of vodka, the things in Russia had not changed much, since Stalin's death...

I have not seen any information about Germany denying this rumours as well, but in Slovakian news, there was big turmoil about that BBG article today... I can not comment on Austria and Germany, but in Slovakia, the people in our current government had pretty significant anti-russian sentiments in past and nowadays. There is only one excel-**** in the government, who would be OK to make business even with a crossbreed of Mao, Hitler and Pol-Pot during nuclear holocaust, but he was silenced pretty much immediately after speaking out. So the statements about Slovakia not paying in rubles is for now pretty plausible. We'll see in a month, when there will be due another payment...

This is just a Russian propaganda. Austrian chancellor has denied it, and the CEO of SPP (Slovak Gas Industry) has released today this statements: "This is a unilateral step by Russia, which is testing the European Union's united approach. For the time being, Slovakia does not expect a unilateral suspension of supplies, because it has fulfilled its contractual obligation in advance by making a payment by the end of May. I assume that Slovakia will follow the joint action of the EU countries. Slovakia has no reason to pay directly with rubles. The contract declares payment in euros or dollars."

In other news, a few Russian "puppet" states are seeing the weakness of the bear, and after Kazakhstan condemning the Russian invasion, this week Kyrgyzstan has "strongly recommended" to it's citizen's to not wear anything with resemblance to Russian Z letter propaganda... This will be interesting to watch. Some analysts are predicting, if Russia will fail with Donbas seizure, that it might slowly spark unrests in less stable Russian territories and Russia will implode. And these ex-puppets might give a lot of resources to this happen... Also about the infamous Putler's picture/video. One of the famous Czech doctors, who previously successfully diagnosed Czech president health condition based on his video footage, has released a diagnose for Putler as well (the only thing which I remember is Parkinson). Unfortunately I am not able to find the article now, but if I ever find it again, I will share it here for sure.

The theory which is circulating a little bit here in Slovakia, around the people, who know more about Russian **** than I do: The Sims got a lot of flak in media and church as an advertisement of gay relationships. And gays are in Russia the second most hated demographics, right after nazis... So the guy who "prepared the assasination" is not only a Nazi, but also a LGBTI+ rights advocate. So in Russian propaganda eyes, he is a total monster who did not only wanted to kill a "journalist" but wanted turn the Russian youth to decadent life style...

Really sorry for multipost, but somehow did not notice this before... Well France and i guess probably UK are already training Ukraine soldiers for the use for some NATO equipment, preparing them for possible long war of attrition.

I found also an video of the meeting, with a little bit of clinical analysis.

There is this heretical idea... You know, maybe if Russia did not attacked Ukraine, the business would be as usual, with Nordstream 2 running and spreading hydrocarbons to happy EU, and no one would need to pay for war reparations

I do not know, if these two things can be compared based on casualties , because of the way, how the wars were waged then and now. IIRC, it is presumed, that the Russia has deployed 150000 for initial invasion, so 20k soldiers lost is in less than two months, pretty big chunk

Yesterday, there were again reports of explosions near Kherson, today Arestovych reported destruction of Russian outpost full of Russian officers. And more tanks to Ukraine from Poland. The replacement for them are British tanks.

Pro-Kremlin news readovka.net have for a brief time released the number of Russian casualties. 13414 KIA, and approx 7000 MIA. Which gives a very similar number to Ukrainian official numbers (21.5k as of today). "Coincidentally" the article was taken down after just few minutes online.

Just watched it few minutes ago. We are slowly phasing out from phase 3 to phase 4. Found this today and it is pretty much a nuclear bombshell - Evaluation of Special military operation by "father" of People's Republics idea from 2014: TLDW: - translation is not mine, but from one journalist, whom I consider pretty credible. - Strelkov, one of the main protagonists of the Russian aggression in 2014, later Interior Minister DNR, a former senior FSB agent and his statement. He doesn't hold back much: - Nothing good will come out of this military campaign, as everything is decided by people, half of whom are Putin's pulpiters (really), half of whom are simply retards and the rest will betray him at any moment. With this, it is impossible to win the war. - Not even Stalin would not be able to win this war. With such "staff" it is impossible. - FSB failed across the board. - The Ministry of Defense knows how to organize parades, but the soldiers are not able to fight. - With a battle hardened by the enemy, Russian forces were not able to achieve a single strategic victory. - Russians could not conquer anything except the cities that the Ukrainians left strategically. Volnovakh and Mariupol, who are still not conquered, are also counted there. - Diploma failed with Lavrov. The secret services have failed, the army is also failing. - The failure can also be seen in the place of the commander-in-chief - Putin.