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Darkpriest

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Everything posted by Darkpriest

  1. Perhaps someone can quickly provide some info, but is there some historical corellation between results to the house and senate with how people vote for the president? I wonder, because it seems republicans are gaining more house presence and are not losing the senate majority. I wonder if this could somehow be tied to who is more probable to win presidential election.
  2. Bill Stepien Despite ridiculous public polling used as a voter suppression tactic, Wisconsin has been a razor thin race as we always knew that it would be. There have been reports of irregularities in several Wisconsin counties which raise serious doubts about the validity of the results. The President is well within the threshold to request a recount and we will immediately do so." https://www.theepochtimes.com/michigan-county-to-review-ballots-following-report-of-skewed-results_3565412.html This will be a lot of pull and push on both sides. Very soon i guess thin
  3. Hahaha, oh this is going to be a ride. So now dems will be calling foul play as well?
  4. I was refering to people posting things like this So if it's a matter of update issues it should also be done in a more careful way. Adjust all numbers at once. I wish I could have a more direct by the minute reporting, but this kind of data is not really something I would need and I made the decision to sit this election on the cash on US market. Too much unpredictability and I don't want to be at the mercy of algos going wild on various interpretation of words and one liners.
  5. I'm not talking about Milwaukee, that does not surprise me and the ratio for mail ins can be in realms of possibility. What is more odd is the sudden large batches of votes 100% towards Biden in the more contested areas like wisconain and michigan at around 4-5AM. This is hard to explain. Impossible? No. Improbable? Yes. And this is what will lead to contests etc. Arizona case with invalidation of votes, can be another case, etc. This election is emotionally loaded and is a mess largely due to the scope of the remote voting. This might be the ugliest election ever.
  6. This is going to ne a really wild election... https://twitter.com/mschlapp/status/1324031623785029634?s=20
  7. That guy is one of fund managers, just pointing some math related issues
  8. Wouldn't you be surprised if AZ suddenly got turned to Trump with an appearance of such a number of votes going 100% to him? The point I'm trying to make is, that if you have changes with large statistical deviations from the average distribution, you better be very transparent and have solid proofs and audit trail or things will be contested hard.
  9. https://twitter.com/MichaelCoudrey/status/1324018512055083008?s=20 EDIT: it seems the Tweet got removed, so i'll just paste tje text from what i see cached BREAKING: Wisconsin has more votes than people who are registered to vote. Total number of registered voters: 3,129,000 Total number of votes cast: 3,239,920 Just saying, that there is probably going to be a lot of calls for recounts etc. If you add auch numbers at such odd ratios and with some data that can lead to confusion, this is just lifting a lid to pandors box, and you'd rather keep it closed.
  10. Not sure, what is the procedure and what absentee is, but it could happen if those ballots were from some large dem stronghold, and given that some of the counts favored even near 70% to 30%, i can imagine this to be possible. You can't really easily explain 100% to 0% split though of a similar amount of votes. I mean, not even a single vote for any other option? Even in DC it was around 90% but not a 100%
  11. I do not think there would be such a stir now, if this lead would errode over time and as in case of these pictures, whenever one got some votes the other got some as well, you can see the jumps for both. What is a cause for a reaction is both the timing and the ratio of these sudden increases, which affected the balance in Biden's favor. You will really need to come up with some really good explanation for that (100k+ votes 100% in favor of one person counted in at around 5AM in the highly contested areas) , and I do not think you will be able to calm a lot of these people.
  12. You will really have a hard time explaining to people that a sudden appearance of 100k+ votes in the late night hours and were 100% Biden. 75% maybe, if those were from demo strongholds, but 100% is a bit hard to explain to already biased people.
  13. And it starts, now Trumps campaign will start investigations into theese 100% Biden dumps, legitimacy will be contested etc. Brace for the Fun times. @Guard Dog you better examine your defences and consider some mines
  14. Yoy might not be entirely correct on this statement. What policies show that Trump can't What policies show that Biden can by comparison?
  15. Yes, but the government, which you've voted in will be there for 4 years, and I exepct, perhaps incorrectly, that people have more expectations than just "remove Trump" and that might be a rude awakaning to a lot of current Biden's voters once the admin will start running policies. This will be interesting to watch.
  16. As in, once Trump is out, what is the actual policy stance that will be uniting all the current anti-Trumpers. This seems to be very varied group as opposed to the Trump supporters, which seem to be more cohesive in their world view
  17. So, if Biden wins. Harris will replace him in 2nd half of 2021? Do you think they will be enjoying a real support for their policies given that the motivation was mostly "anti-Trump"?
  18. That would be a hell of a result to have 80+% to win on the remaing votes. Not impossible, but rather unlikely
  19. Nah i do not think so, those do not seem to have that much of a controversy as the PA potentially has. Although I'm not an expert on election laws. Short of large amount of evidenced irreguralities and destroyed/fraudulent votes, I do not see any leverage for Trump to try to pull in order to hold onto the seat.
  20. I have a feeling that you'd love to see this
  21. If that's the case, then yes. Short of some miracle turnover in Wisconsin, this would mean its over. This is still potentially 270-268 which is a very close contest, and clearly heavily underestimated Trump, despite all the negative bias by social media giants and a lot of media channels. Let not forget that this is more anti-Trump vs Trump and not really Biden vs Trump
  22. I wish! I'd even go to see that each Sunday in such a case
  23. Really depends on Michigan, if it's Biden's then its game over. If Trump's, then prepare for a really ugly ending because of PA. I think Georgia is Trumps and Wisconsin is Bidens. Nevada is Bidems as well. AZ is a bit of a surprise to me.
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