Everything posted by Gorth
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
US intelligence services have been wrong before. Wouldn't be the first or the last time they missed the mark. It's not always an exact science.
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
Maybe some Russian generals suddenly consider front line duty around Kiev a much safer prospect, than hanging around in Moscow... https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60936117 Pentagon spokesman John Kirby called the assessments "discomforting" because an uninformed Putin could result in a "less than faithful" effort at ending the conflict through peace negotiations. "The other thing is, you don't know how a leader like that is going to react to getting bad news," he said. Putin didn't even know that Russia had sent conscripts to the front... the generals and advisors all being too scared to bring any bad news. According to US intelligence services, Putin is only now waking up to the reality of the situation by checking other news sources.
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
Nah, that's the sound of peace dying. Democracy dies when you don't hold your own government to account for it's actions and question it's moves and motives. Despite rampant corruption and lack of transparency, Ukraine is still mostly democratic. Even the most democratic of countries tends to have special laws replacing peacetime laws when in a state of war.
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The All Things Political Topic - Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is an absurd one
I donโt. It might help that I got my own bed back now though ๐
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What You've Done Today - Always You Must Meddle, Looking For Trouble Where None Exists.
Got the keys to my place and got my furniture and stuff delivered. Now I just have to do the Sisyphus thing for a few weeks, carrying boxes from the garage and up the stairs ๐
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The All Things Political Topic - Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is an absurd one
Probably none. Unlike Hunter Biden, Trump had no vested interest in Ukraine ๐
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
Putin didn't think invading Ukraine was going to bite him in the ass (he might even have believed himself it wouldn't turn into a real war if Ukraine had acted like he expected). Starting a nuclear will. Even Putin will most likely realize, it means the end of any and all dreams of a USSR sized Russia if there is nothing left but radioactive rubble.
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
I'm not sure it would take that long. That is, as long as Putin is no longer there. A "palace coup" would shorten the time span considerably. I mentioned a few posts back, sometimes todays enemy is tomorrows friend. No, it wouldn't work with somebody like Navalny in power (a man that campaigned on shooting all Muslims on sight and non Slav's to be violently if necessary, deported from Holy Mother Russia, a Putin on steroids). But it does need to be someone with a strong popular backing. If Putin were to have an accident in a dark corridor in the Kremlin tonight, Russia would get plunged chaos and fracturing within a very short time and the clock would be set back to 1991. I.e. a nightmare scenario with oligarchs with their private mercenary armies and regional ex-army warlords, all with access to medium range and ICBM nukes. A point where I think the west failed badly strategically, besides constantly marginalizing Russia and fanning the paranoia (especially during the 90's), is the lack of focused support for Putin alternatives. Viable ones that is (see above comment about Navalny).
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Music: Sharing and Listening
Just rehashing some old Tim stuff while waiting for more new Rammstein singles to be released... (warning: contains Tim Minchin)
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The TV and Streaming Thread: Where is Ricky Gervais when you need him???
Something tells me Will Smith has a temper issue... stuff that needs anger management courses rather than screening?
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The TV and Streaming Thread: Where is Ricky Gervais when you need him???
...trying to imagine Will Smith and Ricki Gervais in the same room... ๐ฅ
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Qatar 2022 - The Thread!
The USA women's team is indeed world famous in football circles for their skills and achievements over a number of years ๐
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
The BBC, always a bit late but eventually arrived at the conclusion many others arrived at, that eastern Ukraine is going to be "cleansed" Chechen style to create a new, Russia friendly demographic in the occupied areas... https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60894142 Russia is housing an estimated 5,000 at a temporary camp in Bezimenne, east of Mariupol, seen in satellite images. Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk said 40,000 had been moved from Ukraine to Russian-held territory without any coordination with Kyiv. A Mariupol refugee, now in Russia, said: "All of us were taken forcibly". Some Ukrainian officials describe Russia's actions as "deportations" to "filtration camps" - an echo of Russia's war in Chechnya, when thousands of Chechens were brutally interrogated in makeshift camps and many disappeared. Despite a hard domestic crack down on free speech and an attempt at total control of information, Russian anti special military action protesters still succeed at drawing attention to the death and suffering ๐ (Jeebus, that substitute for the word 'war' is going to linger for many years as a bad, bad meme) https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-europe-60900595 A Russian artist covered herself in fake blood and repeated the phrase โmy heart bleedsโ in a protest in St. Petersburg on Sunday. Yevgenia Isayeva stood on the steps of the municipal assembly for the anti-war demonstration before police came and took her away. She also put a canvas at her feet with an appeal to passers-by not to support the bloodshed in Ukraine. Click link for video of the performance. Quite graphic if only with special effect blood
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Coronavirus 666: This is one sick thread!!!
The very idea that something can be beyond the control of The Party is probably very offensive to them.
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Qatar 2022 - The Thread!
Congrats on qualifying As for Italy... I can't find the link now, but the BBC pointed out some structural problems that has existed for several years now. Winning the UEFA Championship masked these problems for a while, but then they returned with a vengeance. The article looked at the lack of youth and grassroot work, how no Italian club teams have won anything for more than a decade and how insignificant the number of *young* players is in the system. Basically Italian football is dying of old age with no young stars to step in and step up to the plate
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What You've Done Today - Always You Must Meddle, Looking For Trouble Where None Exists.
Just itching to get out of my hotel room. I can pick up the keys to my new place tomorrow afternoon, but the removal company can't deliver my furniture until the day after tomorrow. So, staying put for a few more days. To add insult to injury, the torrential rain is back and there is no going for a walk anywhere to relieve boredom
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Qatar 2022 - The Thread!
Yeah, World Cup, not World Series. This one has a lot of foreign teams in it ๐
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
Some UK think tanks thoughts on the change of strategy... Russia's aim is slow and methodical capture of towns - military expert Dr Jack Watling, research fellow for land warfare at the London-based defence think tank the Royal United Services Institute, gives his latest assessment of Russia's movements inside Ukraine ... The Russians advanced along more axes than they could sustain in the first part of the conflict, and are now in a position where they can only resource one axis at a time. At the moment, their priority seems to be to defeat Ukrainian forces in the Donbas if they can. Once they finish in Mariupol, they're likely to reinforce the axis against Kharkiv to the north of the Donbas. And so the intent is very much a slow and methodical capture of towns one by one, he concludes. The link also has a map courtesy of the UK MoD dating 26/03 Short version, Ukraine didn't roll over and die when asked to, so now the strategy has changed to a slow (bloody and costly too) grind... https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-europe-60890199 Also featuring a repeat story, that Zelensky is ready to consider the neutrality question, albeit not without a referendum.
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Qatar 2022 - The Thread!
The English players are currently discussing boycotting the WC because of Qatar's rather spotty human rights records... Nothing may come of it though, leaving it at discussing it.
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
Pravda, Sky News, Fox News, Daily Fail Mail, Bild (Germany), Ekstra Bladet (Denmark)... there are some tabloid sources that are just automatically disqualified as a reliable source of truth. There are probably also a lot of French, Spanish, Italian etc. sources falling into this category ๐ Edit: I should really add The Mirror too...
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Ukraine Conflict - Das Himmelfahrtskommando
Just a reminder... these threads have so far run relatively smoothly, considering the topic being of big importance to a number of community members. A few posts have been removed, but considering the volume, not enough to do drastic things. So, please keep in mind, discussing the politics, consequences, military aspects, putting figures on losses, advances and lost territory, financial consequences, and especially humanitarian consequences is fine, but there are things that are not fine. Mocking the dead and dying, those grieving lost ones and wishing death on or encourage the killing of people/groups of people (even if it's Scott Morrison) is not Ok. Such posts will be removed. Remember today's enemy is tomorrows friend (ask Germany and France or the US and Japan).
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Funny Stuff Cantina
I see neither. I guess that makes me no-brained ๐
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