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Elerond

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Everything posted by Elerond

  1. Finland even though it is only 5.5 million country tries to upkeep army that is able to stand against Russia. I think it is more about perceived threat caused by Russia towards Czechia has not merited similar military spending
  2. But Russia is not exporting grain to parts of Africa that suffering from lack of food already. Russia could decide to not import grain to Egypt, but that would be quite risk them as I am pretty sure that Egypt would retaliate and block all ships from Russia and to Russia from using Suez canal
  3. To some extent, as even though fertilizers aren't targeted by sanctions, the amount fertilizers are imported from Russia is dropped 80% and Russian fertilizer production is dropped ~40%, which is caused that many Russian beverage makers are running our of carbon acid as almost all carbon acid in Russia has been side product of fertilizer production.
  4. Russian grain is not exported to west, but mainly in countries that Russia would not like to join western sanctions. Biggest importers of Russian grain are Turkey and Egypt (~50% of total exported grain), which control canals which are very important for Russia's Black Sea operations. Russia is already blocking Ukraine's grain which mainly went western Africa With gas Russia already has stopped most of the flow (either they stopped flow fully or most of it as they claim they need to repair North Stream), which has already forced even Germany to seek fast alternative from coal.
  5. My point is that as it provably can hurt heart and some other non respiratory organs, then narrative which claims that it can't is provably false, if narrative does not use things like most likely will not, usually will not etc.
  6. You can ask from Iran when western sanctions are lifted when you let them stabilize as status quo
  7. As example how fast Russians rebuild area they occupy, Karelia which Soviets took from Finland in second world war has only seen minimal rebuilding and most of that is done by Finnish Karelians who have tried to rebuild it for nostalgic reasons
  8. Virus mainly targets respiratory organs, but it can infect and damage heart’s muscle tissue like other respiratory viruses https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/heart-problems-after-covid19
  9. Mask recommendation is probably because virus can spread through saliva in cause person has infection in their mouth How does monkeypox spread from person to person? People with monkeypox are infectious while they have symptoms (normally for between two and four weeks). You can catch monkeypox through close physical contact with someone who has symptoms. The rash, bodily fluids (such as fluid, pus or blood from skin lesions) and scabs are particularly infectious. Clothing, bedding, towels or objects like eating utensils/dishes that have been contaminated with the virus from contact with an infected person can also infect others. Ulcers, lesions or sores in the mouth can also be infectious, meaning the virus can spread through saliva. People who closely interact with someone who is infectious, including health workers, household members and sexual partners are therefore at greater risk for infection. The virus can also spread from someone who is pregnant to the foetus from the placenta, or from an infected parent to child during or after birth through skin-to-skin contact. It is not clear whether people who do not have symptoms can spread the disease. https://www.who.int/news-room/questions-and-answers/item/monkeypox?gclid=CjwKCAjw5NqVBhAjEiwAeCa97UAbJNgK0iOtHPAQjY1tdEYpq7A_Zl6HjoEOe6eIho1TNcrBS_qcCBoCpn4QAvD_BwE
  10. What I have understood, situation with Germany's nuclear power plants is such that it is cheaper and faster build new ones than trying to repair current ones back in use. This is because many of them have old and in efficient reactors meaning that new ones will outperform them and there is need for new ones in decade or two max anyway Many reactors have suffered from cannibalization where parts from already closed reactor has been used to maintain still running reactors. Also in many cases heat from reactor cooling has not been used for district heating or otherwise utilized. Which means that massive amount of energy those plants produced was not utilized. And means that Germany would still need lots of energy from other source in which they currently have two options natural gas and coal. In case of future there are some needs that needs to be addressed at least Adjustment power: Renewable energy sources like wind and solar don't have solid production rates, but produce some days more and some days less energy, so there is needs to be way to adjust how much electricity is put in electric grid. Ways to do that is constant over production where wind and solar plants always produce more than needed and over production is just wasted. Storing over production: in batteries or some other form of energy storage, which can used as energy source in day when there is underproduction Adjustment power plants (current solution where there are power plants which production levels can be easily controlled based on how much fuel is used) Heating and cooling: In big cities there is usually need for district heating solutions and as there is already existing district heating solutions where waste energy from power plants is used to warm houses in the cities there is need to replace them. One solution could be use massive ground-source heat pumps to turn electricity to heat efficiently and feed it in current district heating systems. An other solution could be build small modular nuclear rectors that are only meant to produce heat in district heating systems. And of course there is also transportation that brings its own issues
  11. Eco-sustainability is for first time possibility in EU as natural gas is not anymore considered as 'eco' option
  12. Hopefully that is stock photo and not Ukraine actually using their new weaponry in stupid way
  13. Which is why you found it from every hotel lobby, air plane, train coffee house etc. aimed for tourists for decades so that tourists get anti Russian news when they were in Russia, so that they would not think that things they see are too good.
  14. The Moscow Times is not pro-western media, as its main purpose is to market Russia to foreign people It isn't just enough pro Putin in order to allowed to publish articles in Russia these days.
  15. Estonia's seeing 14.1% increase in food and beverages. 63.2% increase in electricity and gas. Overall HICP 19.1%. Wage increase in Estonia is higher than euro are average 7.8%.
  16. Projected wage increase is 4.2% and projected HICP is 6.8% (projected peak 7.5%) (in comparison projected HICP without energy is 4.1%). So in 'average' wage loss is 2.6% even if we pretend that energy price spike effects everyone same and that people use all their money in products and pretend that average people don't use big sunk of their income in rents, maintenance charges etc. that aren't projected to increase, so that we can pretend people's effective income decrease full HICP percentage. And in 2023 predicted wage increase is 4.3% and predicted HICP is 3.5%. And in 2024 predicted wage increase is 3.7% and predicted HICP is 2.2%. So projected 'average' wage loss with above standard in next 3 years is 0.3%. Even downside scenario that assumes following The scenario assumes a complete cut in Russian energy exports to the euro area starting from the third quarter of 2022, leading to a rationing of gas supplies, significantly higher commodity prices, lower trade and intensified global value chain problems. Predicted HICP is 8.0%, in that scenario 'average' wage loss in with above standard would be close to that your 4% (3.8%). In this scenario projected HICP in 2023 is 6.4% and in 2024 1.9%. There is no estimates if this scenario would effect in predicted wage increases. This scenario predicts also full collapse of Russian economy. US spending in Ukraine is same as their spending in Afghanistan, so almost all the money goes to US companies, even more so than in case of Afghanistan as they don't need to pay to their troops, translators, local suppliers etc.. So US spending is not increasing 40 billion dollars when they give 40 billion dollars aid to Ukraine.
  17. That is pretty simplified reality. As it is energy and imported goods that are causing most of the inflation. So it effects will not be evenly distributed among citizens. HICP increase without energy is predicted to be 4.1%. So people who live in cities and use mass transits as their main form of transportation will not actually see any change in their living standard, which is majority of population in EU. It is the minority population that live in countryside that will see their living standard drop. So prediction is that average person/median person will not see any major change in their PP
  18. Question was about ability to continue to fund the war. In perspective that US was able to run two wars that cost more, increase its spending in new warfare outside of those wars, do countless military and intelligence operations around globe for two decades and still grow its economy significantly. Meaning that west has ability to fund Ukraine for indefinitely with current level and it will have only minor impact in their economy in long run. More meaningful question would be is current level enough to give Ukraine actual fighting change or does it prolong inevitable result?
  19. Currently West has given relatively little to Ukraine. With current speed amount of aid to Ukraine would be about half what USA spend in Afghanistan if they would continue to give aid in same speed for next 20 years
  20. That is difficult question to give truthful answer . As to answer if scoring is racist you need to determine if their methodology or data sources they use have any racial/regional bias that could cause data prefer or discriminate one or more country/population group/region So you need to determine does their criteria of selecting data sources have any racial/regional biases Is there something that causes racial/regional bias in their method of standardize data sources And does their aggregation of rescaled data cause any biases towards regions/races And how well their measure of uncertainty takes account possible biases in the data sources You can find their methodology from https://images.transparencycdn.org/images/CPI-2021-Methodology.zip
  21. So western countries aren't using famine as weapon of war in Afghanistan like you claimed With Afghanistan you somehow forgot that its infrastructure was bombed down by Soviet Union and then civil war that lead Taliban to take control it in 90s. There was quite little infrastructure left for US to bomb in 2001 or assets to steal. In 2000 Afghanistan's GDP was $3.5 billion (). 2020 it was $20 billion. In 2001 Afghanistan was suffering for famine for third year in row. WFP estimated that millions would die because of lack of food and carried out emergency programs during summer 2001 to deliver 0.5 million tons of food to Afghanistan. 2002 threat of famine ended in Afghanistan according to WFP.
  22. After Taliban took control in Afghanistan Western Countries have given it 2 billion dollars worth humanitarian aid (food, water, medicine and other basic need products)
  23. Mostly food price spikes because producers are moving future prices in product prices, meaning that many of them are currently increasing their profit margins not because their production expenses have increased. Reasoning behind it is to prepare harder times by building companies funds.
  24. 'CRT' probably needs different version if you want to taught it in SA. As it is very specific to USA history, laws and culture It is similar situation like trying to use other US civic classes outright in SA schools. CRT = "Critical race theory (CRT) is a cross-disciplinary intellectual and social movement of civil-rights scholars and activists who seek to examine the intersection of race, society, and law in the United States and to challenge mainstream American liberal approaches to racial justice." CRT itself is academic way to look things and challenge general academic narrative, so as it is it can't really be taught as it is way to do and argue academic research. I am not sure why academically solid results of CRT research is such boogie man for people that they feel that people hearing about them is much worse than censoring teachers, media, books etc.. And make people protest even idea of looking if there is any value in the results.
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