Elerond

Chernobyl happened in spring, during fall the wind pattern is different as polar winds are stronger, so spread would have been different

Russia already uses strategic bombers, they fly over Black Sea and launch cruise missiles https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russias-secretive-long-range-bomber-operations-against-ukraine

British empire and Russian empire gave Tibet to China in 1907 http://www.tibetjustice.org/materials/treaties/treaties12.html After fighting over it and then Qing dynasty declared Chinese sovereignty over Tibet. After fall of Qing dynasty in 1912, Tibet become de facto independent as civil war in China kept Chinese busy and not interested of what was happening in Tibet. Tibet didn't established ties to rest of the world except in 1914 they gave small parts of Himalayan to British India (which Chinese government denounced illegal) In 1932 National Revolutionary Army (non-communist troops of Chinese government that currently resides in Taiwan) destroyed Tibet's army, but then Japan invaded to China and quick truce was signed and Chinese troops left to fight against Japanese. In 1949 when communist party took over China with help of Stalin, Tibet expelled all Chinese connected to government. Mao Zedong send Chinese troops Tibet soon after he come in power. In 1950 Tibetian army surrendered to Chinese forces after mostly pacifistic resistance. In June 1950 British government declared that "His Majesty's Government have always been prepared to recognize Chinese suzerainty over Tibet, but only on the understanding that Tibet is regarded as autonomous." In 1951 China and TIbet signed 17 point agreement that formalized China's sovereignty over Tibet. After that China has ruled over Tibet but situation is still quite volatile

It would be stranger if Serbia would recognize independence of areas that self declare themselves as independent China has similar opposition against part of country declaring itself independent.

They have easier time to get anything but German tanks. Germany's current political atmosphere is such that they don't make any fast arms deliveries, as they go back and forth of arms they already have decided to deliver. Although most EU countries don't tell what aid they give Ukraine and how much and when. I saw in Ukrainians tweeting pictures of hundreds of Finnish made armored personnel carries (XA-180 and XA-185) that I used to drive in Finnish Defense forces and they were equipped with all sort equipment that revealed that they could not have come from anywhere than Finland's arms storages, but officially Finland has not given them to Ukraine.

Considering that there are no https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/business_economy_euro/banking_and_finance/documents/factsheet-agrifood-eu-sanctions_en.pdf "Contrary to Russia’s disinformation, the disruption of agricultural production and trade in Ukraine and the spike in global food prices is not caused by EU sanctions - but the very own actions of the Russian Government, such as: Russia should put an end to its actions to avoid a major food crisis. Agricultural products can be imported into the EU from Ukraine - and transferred to third countries! There are no EU sanctions on imports from Ukraine whatsoever. Even products from the non-government controlled areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts can be imported, under certain conditions (if examined and approved by the Ukrainian authorities). Phytosanitary products, including herbicides, fertilisers and agricultural machineries can be exported from the EU to Ukraine without restrictions! The restrictions on import of certain potash fertilisers under the EU sanctions on Russia and Belarus only apply to products imported to the EU and do not concern exports of them to Ukraine from the EU or from Russia. There is no cap or EU restriction for import of phytosanitary products as final products Public financing or financial assistance for trade to Ukraine is not restricted! Any EU company can invest and support agricultural production in Ukraine, except in the non-government controlled areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, Crimea or Sevastopol There are no EU sanctions targeting ancillary services for importing agricultural products into the EU from Ukraine and transfer them to third countries! EU companies can transport by road, air and sea agricultural products from Ukraine directly to the EU and onwards to partners, including via Ukrainian companies or any other non-sanctioned non-Russian companies. EU sanctions cover only bilateral trade between the EU and Russia - not international trade! EU sanctions have no extra-territorial effect. Third country persons and firms can import agrifood from Russia under EU sanctions if they do that entirely outside the EU. EU’s sanctions excluded a limited number of Russian banks from the SWIFT network. Banking relations via SWIFT can still continue via the other Russian banks. Agricultural products in Russia are not targeted by EU sanctions! EU sanctions do not prohibit EU businesses to purchase, import or pay for Russian agricultural products, provided that sanctioned persons are not involved. The EU has carefully avoided a direct and comprehensive ban on the import of Russian agricultural products. EU Member States can grant access to EU ports of vessels flying the Russian flag, as well as entry to the EU of Russian road carriers for the purposes of importing or transporting agricultural products, including fertilisers and wheat, that are not subject to prohibitions. When restricted services are necessary for importing agricultural products from Russia (including via Belarus), EU sanctions provide for specific exceptions! EU Member States can authorise Russian-flagged vessels access to EU ports and Russian road transport undertakings to operate in the EU if that is for trade in agricultural or food products, including wheat and fertilisers, if the latter is not otherwise prohibited. Public financing or financial assistance for trade by EU companies in the Russian agri-sector is also possible. Only a specific number of Russian and Belarusian banks – and not all – have been listed and/or de-SWIFTED EU businesses can make and receive payments for trade in agricultural products via other Russian and Belarusian banks EU sanctions also envisage several exceptions for humanitarian purposes By way of example, EU Member States can authorise overfly of their airspace by Russian aircraft if that is required for humanitarian purposes. EU Member States are also authorised to grant access to EU ports of Russian flagged-vessels, as well as entry to the EU of Russian road carriers for the purposes of importing or transporting agricultural products, including fertilizers and wheat, that are not subject to restrictions Agricultural products and food, including herbicides, fertilisers and agricultural machineries, can be exported from the EU to Russia, provided that no listed persons are involved! The cap and restrictions on certain fertilisers only apply to products imported in the EU and it does not concern exports of them to Russia or Belarus. EU asset freezes on Russian or Belarusian companies have minimum impact on the agricultural sector! EU sanctions target those responsible for the brutal aggression of Russia against Ukraine. The involvement of the majority of those responsible in the agricultural sector is highly unlikely. The listing of some persons owning or controlling companies in the Russian fertiliser sector does not prevent them from using their products in Russia. EU sanctions also do not bind operators from third countries that choose to maintain commercial ties with Russia." Commission's guidance about coal has not yet been published so it is difficult to say what it will contain in final form

How is housing market in SA, I have been looking house, but they are over priced here?

Today's news headlines from Finnish Newspapers "This is all that is known about Putin's mobilization order" "Finnish Defense Forces: Finland has prepared to Russian mobilization" "These civilian targets would be under threat if Russia would invade Finland" "Military expert: Russian invasion to Finland would probably start this way" "Over million Finns would need to evacuate from east to west if Russia would invade" "New study: Over 70% of older Finns fear possibility of Russian invasion" "What will happen if Russia suffers another big loss in Ukraine" "Ukraine war is making Poland an European super power - 'If Russians lose the war then someone will fill that void' " Difficult to say, as we don't know how much aid Ukraine has received and how much it has impacted their operations. And we don't have any way to measure what would have happened if Ukraine would not have received aid. You assume that Ukraine would have lost without aid and Russia would not have done mobilization in that scenario, but Russia's initial assault to Ukraine failed even without aid from west and Russia had very difficult time to have any gains in main battle front of the war from start. So it is difficult to estimate if mobilization would or would not happen without western aid. But Russia initial force was not big enough to over come resisting nation, their initial strategy was clearly based on belief that Ukraine would surrender with little resistance.

India seems to rethink their reliance to Russia https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/21/india/india-us-talks-shifting-russia-reliance-intl-hnk/index.html

It is because of the fact if referendums are held and areas are joined to Russia, it will mean in current situation that areas that Russia claim to be Russia will be held by Ukraine, which means that it can't anymore be special military operation but a war where Russia is under attack. Which means that all the laws considering state of war will come in effect and that isn't usually good for business.

I wonder if DHS agents who falsified migrants records will face any consequences

When done correctly kosher and halal style slaughtering is as humane as is the industrial slaughtering used in most of the slaughterhouses. Kosher style got bad reputation in early 2000s when it was discovered that many kosher slaughter houses were cutting costs which lead to needles suffering of animals. Most famous case probably was Agriprocessors, that not only perpetrated animal cruelty (Peta's article containing gory videos), but bribed USDA inspectors, used illegal immigrants as slave workforce, deposited its waste to local river, used its power in Jewish community to remove kosher certification form competing slaughter houses and used mafia style intimidation technics drive competitions out from the business.

VVER reactors are much safer than Chernobyl's RBMK reactors in case of failures of cooling system. As water around of core is used as coolant and moderator, which means that in case of technical failure of coolant circulation, water around the core will evaporate and form steam bubbles, and as water in steam form does not moderate neutrons this will reduce intensity of the reaction intensity. So only loss power from cooling aggregators will not lead to nuclear disaster, but if for example core shell is damaged by artillery shell then there is possibility of nuclear disaster but not in scale of Chernobyl. But as ZNPP has six VVER-1000 reactors, there is possibility that if they all suffer damage that combined effect will lead to significant nuclear disaster.

Question is does US want to give Ukraine weapons that they can use to strike Russia. So far Biden has insisted that USA does not give such weapons to Ukraine.

By information that we have got from Ukraine, strategy on Kherson front has been different from Kharkiv front. In Kherson Ukraine has publicly told about offensive, they have focused on Russian supply lines, done only little to break defensive lines, where in Kharkiv they started with direct assault to Russian defensive positions and targeting Russian air defenses show that they could use drones and migs to support their assault. So in Kherson they seem to focus on wearing out Russian defenses and in Kharkiv their plan seems have been to surprise Russian defenses with direct assault. In Kharkiv they seem to have succeeded to surprise Russia and forced them to retreat to better position to avoid their troops becoming encircled. Amount of forces Ukraine has in their Kharkiv assault points that it was not just opportunistic offensive, but longer planned assault, as they used there for first time MiG's with new air to surface missiles from USA to take out Russian SAMs. Most of their heavy drones seems to also be in Kharkiv front.

We could lessen Saudi's influence in oil price, if we would remove sanctions from Iran, but that would anger another ally that likes to murder people in other countries.

When there was depression in Finland in 1990 and hundreds of thousands people lots their jobs, thousand companies went in bankrupt and thousands people committed suicide because they lost all hope. You would think that people would have seek change in leadership, but people voted in power same people that lead Finland to depression.

It depends mostly how they feel about governing party. If they support opposition parties they will see anything that government does as bad and if their party comes in power same thing will be good. Same goes to people who support governing party/ies. Most of the people don't really have time to understand budget so their feeling come mostly from politicians and political commentators that support their party.

Ukraine needs to first win, before that there will not be much of talk about it

Sending arms to aid Ukraine cause quite little economical stress for countries, as they are sending their old arsenal, which has already been stored to be disposed and countries regardless of what happens will spent billions and billions euros/dollars to acquire new armaments. Meaning that every year there are new stuff that would go to dispose that could be send to Ukraine. Most of the stuff that so far has been send to Ukraine has been 50-20 years old.

4.9140 * 3.5 = 17.199 (250% increase means 3.5 times higher price) Current price (7.9469 at moment I took screen shot) has seen ~62% increase to last year (~1.62 times higher) or last year prices was ~38% lower than current price (multiplier ~0.62) when price was 4.9140 But as above graphic shows price has been quite volatile so yoy difference changes quite lot from day to day

Ukraine's military command isn't that optimist they estimated that war will continue at least to 2024 in current course

"Some 32% of western Europeans are now afraid their families will go hungry." Sounds more dramatic, when you drop rest of the results

EU countries need to do energy reform sooner or later. It has been known for decades but politicians have delayed picking any path forward, because it has been politically easier not look solutions. So far people have accepted that it is okay to wait if energy problems just fixes itself

It is bliss of the capitalism. Finland doesn't directly sell to Germany, but Sweden and Norway do. so our energy prices are piking thanks to Nord pool spot market trading. And things aren't made easier that our biggest energy company Fortum owns over 70% of Uniper, Germany's biggest gas importer, which has lots of long standing gas contracts without any clause that would give it ability to break those contracts when it doesn't anymore get cheap gas from Russia.