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Elerond

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Everything posted by Elerond

  1. It depends on who wins. If Russia wins then Ukraine is out of luck, if Ukraine wins it will get some level aid, level depends how long the conflict will last. Now Ukraine could get unprecedented amount of aid, but longer conflict goes less political points aid will give for politicians
  2. Flooding tunnels isn't necessary that easy as it is large industrial area close to sea. If they have not cut cost and not build flood protections and underground drain it could be easier as is seen in some places where heavy rain causes flooding, but if tunnels are build like metro stations then flooding them takes quite lot water. Below sea level tunnels need to have water drains and flood rooms, in order to avoid then filling water because of rain and strong rising tide. Industrial area also usually have flood blockers in sea side in order to prevent sea eating land under the area (of course cost cutting cases aren't that uncommon as is seen multitude of times when sinkholes have appeared in industrial and residential areas). Even easy case you need to dig channels or build pipes for the water which isn't that easy when there are hostile enemies that will try to prevent you doing so by shooting you.
  3. Considering that they have tried to attack to them weeks, it does indicate that Russian leadership didn't have accurate picture of them as they know got order just to surround area. I am not familiar of the landscape of the area, but it seem that flooding those tunnels isn't simplest operation or at least requires equipment that Russian troops don't have, as there is no indication that they have even tried such. Bunker buster bombs aren't that good against long tunnels because they are designed to direct their explosion directly downward to break bunker ceiling, but in case of tunnels they have been ineffective in past conflicts because they are more expensive than 'normal' bombs and breaking small part of under ground tunnel network usually does nothing to prevent enemy using them. Which is why USA had lots of problems with ISIS and Vietcong's tunnels, even when they were able to locate them.
  4. I think it is more because Russian's realized that it is death trap that Ukraine has build since 2014. They have dig there several kilometres worth of underground tunnels with defensive positions to make it very difficult to storm. So Russians leadership probably realized that by blockading and bombardment they can free their troops to other battlefronts and avoid losing troops unnecessary for little gain.
  5. https://casel.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SEL-in-Elementary-Math-8-20-17.pdf SEL instructions for Elementary schools seem to focus on how students are able to focus better on studying and how to do group work and to link math to real world. All things in that instruction sound pedagogically sound for me.
  6. State where head of state is leader of state's official church?
  7. Funny thing about 'Republic, not a Democracy' is that it means that people feel that country is either oligarchy or autocracy with mix of democracy. Or maybe they just think that it does not feel like democracy but they know they aren't ruled by monarch, like for example Republic of Bureaucracy (Rule by a system of governance with many bureaus, administrators, and petty officials) As Republic is form of government where primary positions of power are either appointed through democracy or mix of democracy and oligarchy or autocracy and most important thing is that the head of the state is not monarch.
  8. It carried two types of ballistic missiles that have nuclear warhead variants. But It is unlikely that they have wasted storage base for ammunition that they aren't planning to use.
  9. I am pretty sure that Ukraine will not able to join as long as Hungary is member Two big misunderstandings about of European green parties are that they are left wing and that they support green energy. As members of Greens are mostly urban capitalists, and their membership has higher percentage of private entrepreneurs than your typical economic conservative right wing parties. They also usually don't oppose fossil fuels even though they say that prefer renewable energy, but they are anti nuclear energy in their core, as protesting against nuclear energy was the thing that created 'green' movement . As urban citizen they understandably are more interested of mass transits than private motoring. Liberal societal views and refugee issues have made green parties become closer with modern left wing parties, even though their views of economy don't match, because their traditional right wing allies have started to take much more conservative stances.
  10. USA has those hundreds of billions of Russian money they froze to give Ukraine
  11. Technically all Russian soldiers in Ukraine are terrorists/murderers/other form criminals who aren't protected by any laws governing soldiers in war. EDIT: But because most of world considers it as war they would be treated like they are soldiers in international courts and get protection from most acts that are done because they were commanded to do what they have done
  12. Twitter is so easy way to spread propaganda with only very few ever to check facts
  13. If you are foreign mercenary you are most likely treated better as Russia will more likely use you in their propaganda
  14. They use two phase election, in first phase there can be any number of candidates and if no one gets over 50% of vote then there will be second election where people vote between top 2 from first vote.
  15. Sadly they aren't jokes. Carbon credits were meant to be capitalistic way to steer companies to greener tech, but ability to buy credits from less developed countries is lead to situation where they just increase total emissions, because companies get credits so cheap that they don't have any incentive the switch greener techs and seller country uses money to support industry that uses fossil energy
  16. It is quite regular, which is why Finland rises Baltic Air space safety issue every time they have meeting with Russia, USA or NATO. It is just not seen as issue by anyone else, except when they use it in their propaganda.
  17. They do it for Finland's Estonia's, Latvia's Germany's, passenger planes every month.
  18. Isn't that normal in Baltic sea area, both Russian and Nato military planes are constantly flying close by of civilian planes and violating air spaces of countries where they don't have authorization of flying. And they also often fly their transponders turned off so that civilian planes have hard time to detect them. Such has been norm in that area over 20 years now.
  19. SS units were part of deal to get arms from Germany
  20. Finland almost added 50% to territory in beginning of Continuation War. But mainly Finnish forces stopped to Finnish borders before 1939. One of main reason why Finland didn't continue to Leningrad and didn't destroy railways that supplied sieged Leningrad was that UK, Australia, Canada, New Zealand declared war to Finland and USA started to supply USSR and threatened to declare war to Finland if Finland doesn't stop it attack against USSR. Which lead to Finland to move defend its territory.
  21. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/04/world/europe/bucha-ukraine-bodies.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes It seems that Russians for some reason let Ukraine/US framing/decor teams to set up scenes of civilian massacre weeks beforehand as it is seen in satellite images that shows the prop bodies on Bucha's streets for weeks (appeared in images between 9th to 11th of March)
  22. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/02/ukrainian-children-used-as-human-shields-near-kyiv-say-witness-reports Ukraine accuses Russian using very terrorist like tactics
  23. Scheme is that buyers pay to Gazprombank , which then exchanges euros/dollars to rubles and puts them for buyer's ruble account where the payment is forwarder to seller (so usually Gazprom). Idea is that because contract prices are in euros/dollars, then if rubles value crashes during payment process which can take over week, buyers need to pay more. EDIT: which is probably unacceptable for Germany and France at least, so there is quite big possibility that they stop buying gas from Russia tomorrow.
  24. Although they actually demand that buyers pay with euros and dollars to Gazprombank which then uses that money to buy rubles.
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