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Everything posted by Elerond
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Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
One would think so, but in stock market weapon manufactures are having mixed results. -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
Ruble is not freely traded currently so it can't crash, when companies and countries are forced to buy it to do trade with Russia/Russian companies. But Russian central bank can keep Ruble from crashing, but it has quite lot economic effects, which is why Russian central bank predicts that Russian GDP will decrease 10% this year, and predicts that decrease will continue for several years EDIT: Also inflation in Russia is high, so ruble is losing it value even though its apparent value is kept same. Rubles apparent value against other currencies don't help Russian, because, there are strict limits how much foreign currencies people/companies can buy and many can't do any foreign purchases because of sanctions that block credit cards and switft payments from Russia to other countries. -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
That is not true, they will just say that it does not matter and Russia achieved what it wanted ("de-nazification" of Ukraine). -
Twitter made over billion loss in 2020, even though it revenue increased, which people have used as proof for their ideological beliefs, as in 2019 Twitter made over billion profit, but people seem to ignore that Twitter loss was because they made acquisitions, not because their business suddenly collapsed.
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Twitter is currently making profit and considering Musk plans, he also isn't planning to make Twitter more profitable (as he says that he wants stop data mining, content recommendation, etc. things that are used to sell twitter users to advertisers). In last quarter Twitter made $1.11 billion dollars from selling ads and $92 million from subscriptions. Ad revenue saw 23% growth where subscriptions saw 31% decrease. Musk would like to remove ads from twitter and move fully in subscription system. Operating cost of twitter is bit over billion Twitter censors messages because it needs to get companies to advertise and not get black listed by banks. It is same reason why youtube, facebook, tumblr, tiktok, twitch, etc. social media companies set stricter restrictions for their content each year. It is why sites like onlyfans and ph are limiting content people can post in them. Meaning that ideology is not in twitter but companies like Tesla that tell social media companies what kind content is acceptable if they want to get advertisements/business from them.
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Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
There is no unbiased data, only guesses by different people. US intelligence agencies have given following estimate 5,500–11,000 killed, 18,000+ wounded 24 February – 19 April 2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/19/world/europe/russia-ukraine-donbas-strategy.html -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
Clearly, and there is no difference between between column where author uses their own expertise as proof and articles reporting claims made by other people -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
It is always nice to see such good allies -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
Yes it seem that it only changed it to worse direction as it seem that Nato will reject Finland's and Sweden's applications and only result was to vex Russia. Yes I have been in those tunnels and similar tunnels/shelters in other cities. -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
96% (188-8) of FInnish Parliament voted for seeking Nato membership Although Turkey has said that they will block Finland's membership -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
You don't? -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
Let wait to next week, so that our parliament is able to send official application. 8:30 pm is good for me any day to go in Lappi -
Article II In the present Convention, genocide means any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such: Killing members of the group; Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group; Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part; Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group; Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group. https://www.un.org/en/genocideprevention/genocide.shtml Usually when Israel is accused of committing genocide against Palestinians it is section 3. in UN's definition, as Israel forces Palestinians to live in certain areas, which size they constantly decrease by occupying more areas themselves, they control and block trade to these areas, the control electricity, heath and other energy to these areas, which they have weaponized against Palestinians.
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Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
2013 even seeking membership was not in table, only free trade area like EU has with Turkey He also says that EU is willing to look compromise that works for Ukraine. Where Russia blocked Ukraine trade to Russia until Ukraine rejected association agreement, which is clearly signal that Russia had no problems with Ukraine making agreements with EU and EU being uncompromising jerks. -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
From full quote you see that Barroso didn't put it as them or us , or demanded that Ukraine can't be in trade union with Russia, but the agreement between Ukraine and EU needs to take account that free trade deal would be only between Ukraine and EU not with any trade partner of Ukraine "Agreements on the establishment of a deep and comprehensive free trade area between the EU and Ukraine contain obligations that need to be fulfilled. We discussed this issue with President [Viktor] Yanukovych today. Our positions were clearly defined... One country cannot at the same time be a member of a customs union and be in a deep common free-trade area with the European Union. This is not possible," Barroso said. However, he noted that there are "some pragmatic ways to address this issue." "And we have to respect the position of Ukraine," Barroso said, adding that Kyiv and Brussels have a common goal of political association and economic integration. EDIT: Also Association Agreement that was blocked was not the mentioned "deep common free-trade area" but agreement to increase co-operation between EU and Ukraine and within 10 years form agreement about free(r) trade area between EU and Ukraine. So Ukraine could have signed it and be member of customs union with Russia. -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
They did And EU didn't make it us or them. You can check it yourself https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-25162563 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis-trade-idUSKCN0HI1T820140923 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/22/ukraine-european-union-trade-russia https://www.brookings.edu/on-the-record/why-did-ukraines-yanukovych-give-in-to-russian-pressure-on-eu-deal/ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/21/ukraine-suspends-preparations-eu-trade-pact https://www.dw.com/en/harsh-words-with-russia-over-ukraine/a-17301176 https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/ukraine-stuns-eu-by-putting-association-deal-on-ice/ https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2013-11-27/ukraine-withdraws-signing-association-agreement-vilnius-motives-and -
Ukraine Conflict - "Only the dead have seen the end of war."
Elerond replied to Mamoulian War's topic in Way Off-Topic
Russia has lot of issues with EU Russia blocked EU's and Ukraine's cooperation pact in 2013 when Yanukovich was in charge -
In Finland support from Nato changed from one party publicly supporting it and 21% of population supporting joining to all put all parties publicly supporting joining to Nato and 65% of population supporting joining. Change is mainly caused by fact that Russia is willing to sacrifice so much for little gain which caused people lose faith to foundation of Finland's defense which is to make attack cost so much that there is no benefit for doing so, but such defense doesn't work against enemy which is willing to sacrifice all for nothing. Finland is also putting Sweden in difficult situation as big sunk of Sweden defense currently relies on co-operation with Finland and it seems that Swedish politicians fear that they will lose that co-operation if Finland joins in Nato and Sweden does not.
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US uses often same approach towards international agreements as Russia, meaning that if they don't like one they don't follow it. Countries could complain to UN where US and Russia use their veto powers to kill such complaints. EDIT: There is no police which enforces international law, it gets enforced only when other countries decide to enforce it. Same goes to all international agreements. “Where is the security that the security council needs to guarantee? It’s not there, although there is a security council. So where is the peace? Where are those guarantees that the United Nations needs to guarantee? It is obvious that the key institution of the world which must ensure the coercion of any aggressor to peace simply cannot work effectively.” -Zelenskiy
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US and EU acted according to Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances which Russia has also signed Russia broke their several of their international agreements and their own constitution If they have legal reason to impose sanctions then they don't break any contracts but otherwise they do. Acceptance of legal sanctions is stipulated by UN General Assembly or UN security council which both Russia is also member It is not in Russia (except cases where approved legislation is against Russian constitution and Duma didn't use constitutional change process), but it does not mean that it isn't against agreements signed by Russia,
