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Elerond

Members

Everything posted by Elerond

  1. By information that we have got from Ukraine, strategy on Kherson front has been different from Kharkiv front. In Kherson Ukraine has publicly told about offensive, they have focused on Russian supply lines, done only little to break defensive lines, where in Kharkiv they started with direct assault to Russian defensive positions and targeting Russian air defenses show that they could use drones and migs to support their assault. So in Kherson they seem to focus on wearing out Russian defenses and in Kharkiv their plan seems have been to surprise Russian defenses with direct assault. In Kharkiv they seem to have succeeded to surprise Russia and forced them to retreat to better position to avoid their troops becoming encircled. Amount of forces Ukraine has in their Kharkiv assault points that it was not just opportunistic offensive, but longer planned assault, as they used there for first time MiG's with new air to surface missiles from USA to take out Russian SAMs. Most of their heavy drones seems to also be in Kharkiv front.
  2. We could lessen Saudi's influence in oil price, if we would remove sanctions from Iran, but that would anger another ally that likes to murder people in other countries.
  3. When there was depression in Finland in 1990 and hundreds of thousands people lots their jobs, thousand companies went in bankrupt and thousands people committed suicide because they lost all hope. You would think that people would have seek change in leadership, but people voted in power same people that lead Finland to depression.
  4. It depends mostly how they feel about governing party. If they support opposition parties they will see anything that government does as bad and if their party comes in power same thing will be good. Same goes to people who support governing party/ies. Most of the people don't really have time to understand budget so their feeling come mostly from politicians and political commentators that support their party.
  5. Ukraine needs to first win, before that there will not be much of talk about it
  6. Sending arms to aid Ukraine cause quite little economical stress for countries, as they are sending their old arsenal, which has already been stored to be disposed and countries regardless of what happens will spent billions and billions euros/dollars to acquire new armaments. Meaning that every year there are new stuff that would go to dispose that could be send to Ukraine. Most of the stuff that so far has been send to Ukraine has been 50-20 years old.
  7. 4.9140 * 3.5 = 17.199 (250% increase means 3.5 times higher price) Current price (7.9469 at moment I took screen shot) has seen ~62% increase to last year (~1.62 times higher) or last year prices was ~38% lower than current price (multiplier ~0.62) when price was 4.9140 But as above graphic shows price has been quite volatile so yoy difference changes quite lot from day to day
  8. Ukraine's military command isn't that optimist they estimated that war will continue at least to 2024 in current course
  9. "Some 32% of western Europeans are now afraid their families will go hungry." Sounds more dramatic, when you drop rest of the results
  10. EU countries need to do energy reform sooner or later. It has been known for decades but politicians have delayed picking any path forward, because it has been politically easier not look solutions. So far people have accepted that it is okay to wait if energy problems just fixes itself
  11. It is bliss of the capitalism. Finland doesn't directly sell to Germany, but Sweden and Norway do. so our energy prices are piking thanks to Nord pool spot market trading. And things aren't made easier that our biggest energy company Fortum owns over 70% of Uniper, Germany's biggest gas importer, which has lots of long standing gas contracts without any clause that would give it ability to break those contracts when it doesn't anymore get cheap gas from Russia.
  12. It depends on do you count in unfinished tales or not.
  13. Galadriel is at least 500 years older than any of the soldiers with her and she already fought hundreds of years in four wars against Sauron's forces in first age. And typically for Tolkien she is also supreme special person, who is taller, stronger, more athlete and fairer than other elves, who are supreme species compared to normal humans (those without elven ancestry). As she is also highly skilled with magic even without one of the eleven rings of power. I would say they nerffed her from what she is in Tolkien's mythology. There tensions between men and elves was between descendants of men who fought in Morgoth's side and elves who fought against ancestors of those men. It is dynamic that has potential for some good drama, but most of it will be new fiction as there is quite little in Tolkien's stories about how that dynamic worked. Tolkien described Harfoots as brown skinned. So them being black is according to source material, but in Tolkien's stories Hobbits didn't come up until third age. Harfoots were first Hobbits that moved to west Middle Earth in third age. Harfoots also took their fairer skinned kin, Fallohides, as leaders because Fallohides were generally more bolder breed. Tolkien newer really specified skin color of dwarves , but as Tolkien was writing Silmarillion, Lotr, and Hobbit like they were English myth, it is lead to typically portray dwarves as white and with stereotypical Scottish behavior. Arondir belongs in Silvan Elves, which again are race that Tolkien didn't detail that much. Which gives more creative freedom when creating new characters I personally can accept most of the creative choices the series so far has taken, but not Elrond's hair cut, that just personally offends me.
  14. I mean that developer usually takes loan for its project which it pays with money it gets from the home buyer/s And developer also pays salary for its builders and other staff. So money spend in the houses don't just sit somewhere without being used and when money is in circulation bank is able to get more money from market to loan it to other buyers. So as long as bank keeps interest rates that it pays to other banks and financiers lower than interest rate it takes from home buyers it is able to make profit with money it never had.
  15. It has been know for long time that republicans are actually communists
  16. In house loans there is the nice factor that money comes back to circulation in most case pretty much as soon as the loan is approved.
  17. Yes in my understanding it is to make it possible to most people buy house. But I have not familiar with reasoning behind the scheme so it is just guess
  18. Or maybe go with Swedish model where home loan is not mean to be paid back ever as people pay them back for 50+ years. I call it system where banks rent properties to people but don't need to suffer from any obligations of landlord
  19. They will do it again either same year or next depending of if course is organized multiple times in year or only once. It is grant not loan (268.23€ per month plus 80% of their rent, although there is cap that depends on city where you live). Additionally government gives guarantee for low interest loan (interest rate is 0-1% depending on bank, max amount is 18000€ in five years). Half of loan is written off if student graduates in time. So if student takes loan and does not graduate they will pay that loan back in 10-15 years depending of their plan with their bank. Government grant is for five years (in master programs) and universities kick students out after 10 years if they don't show progress in their studies. Student needs to pay back their grant money if they don't get enough study credits (30 credit points, so about 800 hours worth of credits) during a year.
  20. University education should be free, because students learn best when they focus solely in studying instead trying to joggle work and studying. Living for students is already expensive even without needing to pay for education. Educated people are benefit for whole nation. Universities should pick their students by their academic merit and nothing else. People who have been good students in elementary and high school, have ability complete university. If students don't have real interest and discipline they don't really spend any resources as they don't participate in the education. Universities should follow progress of their students and have counselors to help students to over come their difficulties. To be fair: I personally benefited of Finland's free education from preschool to university education and study grant from government for living expense. as I come from working class family with 4 kids where only one of the parents had job, so we didn't have much money to spent, but me and all my siblings were still able to get university education and high paying white collar job.
  21. It depends who did the killing. In Al Mabhouh's case most of complexity comes from fact that Israel send it own agents to do the killing. If Ukraine agents did the hit, it also adds quite lot complexity in the scenario. Like how Ukraine infiltrated its agents in Russia during war time. How Ukraine agents acquired needed information and explosives (as it not that easy to smuggle them over the border). How Ukraine agents hide from Russian authorities and (planned to) escaped the country. Killing itself is only small part of such operation regardless of fact do you blow bomb in car of suffocate person with pillow in their hotel room. As target Al Mabhouh seem one that would be more likely to be assassinated by state operators than either of Dugins
  22. It was quite complex assassination. Bomb seem to have put in car, which was registered in Darya's not her fathers name (according to leaked government documents) during cultural festival which Dugins participated. It seem that it had remote trigger or timer as it exploded five minutes after car left the festival area. Bomb seem to have designed only to kill people inside of the vehicle. Assassin(s) had pretty good knowledge about Dugins, their schedule, which car they drive. And they had access to explosives and trigger, were able to bypass Toyota's theft deterrent system and knew where explosive needs to be installed in order to kill driver instantly. They also installed explosive in festival site's parking lot during daylight. Russian investigators believe that it was contract hit, which probably will not make it easier to prove who was actually behind the hit.
  23. Metformin has worse adverse effects than any of the Covid vaccines And results to help against covid don't seem very convincing https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2201662
  24. School and other civilian buildings without civilians are just buildings and using them for military operations aren't against any international law. You can even use have troops in hospitals with weapons as long as hospital is just for military personel Journalists are civilians, so if they were present then civilians were present. Question is were their life but in risk when they shared room with Ukraine troops in the school. Your text betrays your crappy understanding of international humanitarian laws too, so you at least have something common and you can also add AI in same bunch, they also don't have good understanding of how humanitarian law works. And you seem to have something against journalist as you keep attacking them even though I have not even mentioned who was the person in question (I give hint none of them was Tom Mutch). I find it funny that you think that journalist are so bad sources but people in Russian prison camp and troll accounts are good sources. I would like to also point out as we seem to have lost from the original point which is why AI's report about Ukraine troops has got people angry, even though reports from UN and Human Right Watch that told about same issue didn't, that I do believe that Ukraine troops have broken humanitarian laws and probably also committed war crimes during the war, and AI got people angry because they just do shallow reports with poor details and their main focus is to wrote snarky summaries to make their target sound bad.
  25. Nothing according to Russia, as they say there was accident that caused their ammunition stores to explode

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