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Everything posted by Leferd
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Clinton is following the General Election playbook as the prohibitive favorite without any credible Primary challengers. Sanders played his role as the gadfly from the left to remind her to shore up the part base from the left wing base. She'll play with the idea of selecting Elizabeth Warren to double down on the female angle and cement progressive liberals, or go the more conventional route and pick Julian Castro --Latino son of immigrants, liberal, young but seasoned, and potential future Presidential candidate. Really, anyone who thinks Hillary Clinton isn't literally the overwhelming odds on favorite to be elected as the next American President is either delusional or completely dismissive of the salient metrics. PaddyPower is currently giving 4 to 11 odds for a Clinton victory in November and 5 to 1 on Trump. And I'm betting Valsuelm on an even 50/50! My expected Value for this wager is insane! Can't wait for November 8 to begin collecting on Val. Lols.
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Good man. If Trumps beats Clinton --from the period beginning the day after the General Election through the day of Inauguration, I will "like" and make one comment of support and/or affirmation of your brilliance/righteousness for each of your posts covering said time period. You will do the same for each one of mine if Clinton defeats Trump. Sound good to you? If nothing else- hilarity will ensue. Maybe have one of our resident lawyers --Gromnir or Amentep --come up with the legalese of the terms of our agreement?
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The sooner we can focus and support Hilary as the only Democrat candidate the better I dont mind the Republicans tearing themselves apart with these personal attacks and vitriol against each other but I dont like to see the Democrats doing it....yes I know it sounds naive as Democratic candidates aren't these perfect people but I still feel politics doesnt have to be so.....vituperative, like the Republican candidacy race has been That's overblown. This year's Democratic race has been pretty tame. Even when compared to Obama - Clinton in 08, which was more competitive and with nastier attacks on each other. And keep in mind that these were two "establishment" democrats Democrats with sophisticated campaigns going at it. '16 is the year of anti-establishment uprisings where the nut job Tea Partier is now considered the "sane" choice for the Republicans. In any other year, Ted Cruz would be considered the least electable major party candidate of the modern era...except that Trump ha him beat on that. On paper, this should be an easy November victory for Clinton. She just has to play it safe and go through the motions and not take Sanders' socialistic bait through the California primary. She'll secure the party base by either doubling down with Elizabeth Warren...or more likely selecting Julian Castro to be her running mate/VP. Obama, Biden, and Sanders will give the standard party unification speeches at the Convention and Bill Clinton will give the keynote prior to introducing Hillary when she formally accepts the nomination. All the while, convention goers will snicker with glee at the dysfunction of the Republican Party. Anybody in Ireland betting on anything other than a November Clinton victory is just throwing dead money around. Bernie is kind of a wimp. He doesn't dig into Clinton near as much as he could and should. Which leads some credence to the theory he's just a stooge candidate to make it look like there was a contest (I personally think he's legit, just naive). Trump is more than likely the Republican nominee, even without the 1237 at this point. The RNC has already begun to publicly float the possibility they will make him the nominee if he falls short of the number, which they are smart to do as if they don't the RNC is toast. Your prediction on Clinton winning is way off, which isn't surprising since you think 'tea-parties' are nut jobs. She isn't going to secure much of the party base at all. There has not been a more hated politician in the field in my lifetime, and I can't think of a candidate from history that was more hated either, both by the opposition as well as by a significant number of people within her own party. A lot of Bernie supporters will not be voting for her, a lot of democrats will be voting for Trump, and you'll have better luck finding needles in haystacks than finding a Republican or even many true independents voting for Hillary. Trump will absolutely crush Clinton in November. Bernie would have had a much better chance vs. Trump than Clinton will. Clinton would beat any other red candidate that hasn't withdrawn, but she going to get housed by Trump. It's going to be the largest victory margin since '84. I'd like to see you tangibly back this up. Wanna put a a friendly -non monetary- wager on that? We're talking about Clinton v Trump, of course.
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The sooner we can focus and support Hilary as the only Democrat candidate the better I dont mind the Republicans tearing themselves apart with these personal attacks and vitriol against each other but I dont like to see the Democrats doing it....yes I know it sounds naive as Democratic candidates aren't these perfect people but I still feel politics doesnt have to be so.....vituperative, like the Republican candidacy race has been That's overblown. This year's Democratic race has been pretty tame. Even when compared to Obama - Clinton in 08, which was more competitive and with nastier attacks on each other. And keep in mind that these were two "establishment" democrats Democrats with sophisticated campaigns going at it. '16 is the year of anti-establishment uprisings where the nut job Tea Partier is now considered the "sane" choice for the Republicans. In any other year, Ted Cruz would be considered the least electable major party candidate of the modern era...except that Trump ha him beat on that. On paper, this should be an easy November victory for Clinton. She just has to play it safe and go through the motions and not take Sanders' socialistic bait through the California primary. She'll secure the party base by either doubling down with Elizabeth Warren...or more likely selecting Julian Castro to be her running mate/VP. Obama, Biden, and Sanders will give the standard party unification speeches at the Convention and Bill Clinton will give the keynote prior to introducing Hillary when she formally accepts the nomination. All the while, convention goers will snicker with glee at the dysfunction of the Republican Party. Anybody in Ireland betting on anything other than a November Clinton victory is just throwing dead money around.
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After tomorrow night, the Democratic race is pretty much over. Barring a major catastrophe, Bernie Sanders will have no viable path to win the nomination. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-democratic/ Trump will win NY but it'll still be a major uphill climb for him to secure the 1237 delegates to clinch a Republican nomination. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-republican/
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NHL 2015-2016 (The Panthers Stanley Cup Season)
Leferd replied to Guard Dog's topic in Way Off-Topic
The Sharks should never play at home ever again. ...atleast for the rest of these playoffs.... -
Heh, James Harden? First team? Were you high that day? This was back when the narrative was that Golden State was "lucky" and Harden or Lebron should have been MVP over Curry in '14-15.' Mea culpa. I was probably a bit inebriated when I put Harden over Klay for the Third Team this year.
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Kobe, you magnificent basterd. 60 pts on 50 shots --including 21 3-pt attempts. Even the Great Chucker in the sky did a double take. ...And the Warriors took #73.
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Name names.
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My end-of-season award picks vs. my pre-season picks: http://forums.obsidian.net/topic/82805-getting-it-in-the-hole-basketball-2k15-2k16/?p=1742845 MVP: Kevin Durant Stephen Curry ROY: Karl Anthony Towns DPOY: Draymond Green COY: Brad Stevens Terry Stotts 6MOY: Isaiah Thomas Andre Iguodala MIP: xxx C.J. McCollum All NBA First Team F: Kevin Durant Kawhi Leonard F: Lebron James F/C: Anthony Davis Draymond Green G: Stephen Curry G: James Harden Russell Westbrook ALL NBA Second Team F: Blake Griffin Kevin Durant F: Paul George C: Marc Gasol Andre Drummond G: Chris Paul G: Russell Westbrook Kyle Lowry ALL NBA Third Team F: Kawhi Leonard Paul Millsap F: Draymond Green Anthony Davis C: Boogie Cousins G: Jimmy Butler Dame Lillard G: John Wall James Harden ALL NBA Defense First Team F: Draymond Green Paul Millsap F: Kawhi Leonard C: Rudy Gobert Draymond Green G: Tony Allen Avery Bradley G: Andre Iguodala ALL NBA Defense Second Team F: Paul George F: Anthony Davis Jae Crowder C: Andrew Bogut Rudy Gobert G: Jimmy Butler G: John Wall Danny Green ALL Rookie First Team F: Karl-Anthony Towns F: Bobby Portis The Latverian Gangbanger C: Jahlil Okafor G: Emmanuel Mudiay Devin Booker G: DeAngelo Russell C: Nikola Jokic
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So is Boyarsky coming in as an artist or designer? ...old school pixel-artist/designer?? Pixel-art turn-based rpg crowdfunding coming soon???
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Is this supposed to be a revelation? The futures/prediction/betting markets have been pretty clear about a Clinton victory for a while now.
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Still waiting on Sweet, Manley, and Kovacs.
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Yup. Doesn't look random. http://www.nola.com/crime/index.ssf/2016/04/will_smiths_accused_killer_set.html
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Steve Kerr: "Nobody beats the Golden State Warriors 34 games in a row on their home court!" That's right, San Antonio. NOBODY.
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I believe sports term is choke.
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Huge multi-media franchise that hundreds of millions of people enjoyed and made boatloads of money for those involved. What's your point?
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Huh? 92% aggregate critic and 89% audience ratings on Rotten Tomatoes. http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/star_wars_episode_vii_the_force_awakens/ And it made over $2 billion at the box office. I don't know what reality you guys live in, but by most sane standards, JJ. Abrams helmed a resounding success.
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I am intrigued. Thanks for the tip.
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Genghis Khan was a rapist and encouraged his men to rape. He'll get no respect from me. Well, since 1 out of 200 people in the world are his direct descendants, many of us should feel #blessed to be alive. http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2010/08/1-in-200-men-direct-descendants-of-genghis-khan/
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"Just get the rebound!" Hahaha
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studio 60 were sports night redux... but less. sorkin did the meta-show shtick with sports night too, and while it were critical praised, it never found a niche with viewers. am not sure why anybody thought that redoing the same show but making it snl rather than sports center would sell it, particular with a less likeable cast than the one aaron sorkin assembled in 1998-2000. HA! Good Fun! Sorkin Power Rankings: 1) Sports Night 2) The West Wing (Seasons 1-4) 3) A Few Good Men 4) The American President 5) Moneyball 6) Charlie Wilson's War 7) The Social Network Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip 9) The Newsroom 10) Malice *Haven't seen Steve Jobs yet. Aside from their shared Larry Sandersesque inside baseball approach --Studio 60 just cannot be compared with Sports Night in terms of quality, writing, depth, intelligence, wit, characterization, and especially humor.
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Mon Mothma has a homogenous wardrobe.
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I play in a fantasy baseball league full of Giants fans. I picked up Adrian Gonzalez in the 11th round. Hell, even Clayton Kershaw dropped to the second round. I would've picked him up but I went third and took Bryce Harper.
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And Marcus Paige's heroics is now a footnote. Still, both shots were absolute clutch moments,