Mamoulian War

Might be to soon in the morning here, but I still do not see any connection to the information, that Grey Zone is posting again. If they really started to, well I would not be surprised, as the idea, that every single wagner propagandist died in Popasna is as Ridiculous, as the idea of Lavrov not spewing bull**** In this case, there is still fact, that their channel was silent for 7 days, right after the hit in Popasna, and there is definitely proof by their own post, that there were their lead propagandists on-site. Before the hit, they were posting a lot of content, after the hit, nothing Which makes claims, that the administrators of the channel have been either dead or injured pretty plausible. So the restart of the channel means, that either the injured guy/s recovered enough to spew his propaganda again, or Prigozhin used his money to transfer the ownership of the channel to different people. Telegram is a company founded by Russians, based in British Virgin Islands and UAE, which pretty much makes the possibility that some kind of ownership transfer might have happened pretty plausible as well

Another huge explosion at Chornobaivka/Kherson Airport. I have lost count at attack number 27 against this airport. And it was more than two months ago.

I might be blind, but there is no mention of Grey Zone in the article at all

Dugin was never at Popasna

IIRC Land Lease will effectively start only around September/October. An analysis on their mobilisation along the lines of the interview was published few days ago. In other news, the strike against Wagner Group in Popasna might not have taken out Prigozhin, but it looks like, it took out their main propagandists. The propaganda Telegram Channel of Wagner Group, The Grey Zone with more than 250k followers is “silent” since August 13 - the day of the explosion. Edit: and the second big explosion, I’ve mentioned, in Lysychansk, which allegedly took out more than 100 Russian officers, was executed based on the photo, which they released for propaganda purposes, but they did not turned off geolocation, so it contained the exact GPS coordinates of their HQ

The second tweet tries to show the similarities in the videos to some picture taken long time ago. And to me, the evidence looks plausible. anyway, it looks like that tonight is pretty hot in a lot of places in Crimea and Belgorod. There is also a video of air defence shooting near Kerch Bridge.

And here is the reason why not…

Hmm interesting. IMHO before getting to the final conclusion, we need to take into consideration few things. Prigozhin, was definitely in Popasna at least three days before the impact, as reported by Wagner propaganda Telegram channel Grey Zone. Popasna has been almost whole leveled to the ground in April/May, so a picture of him on any rubble in Popasna would be easy to make before the impact as well. I do not know how the reporting of this event went in another countries, but all the disinformation websites in Slovakia have rushed to release the statement, that Prigozhin is definitely not among the casualties. They did not even bother to edit the text. All of the sites which I checked this morning had completely same copy/paste article about the incident. This means, that the info was definitely distributed by Russian Embassy . And the last but not least thing, Russia would definitely never willingly admit such a high profile casualty, therefore unless we see Prigozhin alive and well on some pictures/footage in the near future, there will be a shadow of doubt about this event. My personal opinion is, that he was probably already away, when the incident happened, nevertheless, I want to see his newer footage as well

Nope, it was day or two ago in occupied Popasna, where Wagner Group had HQs. There are also rumours about that hit, that Prygozin, the owner of Wagner could have been on site, during the explosion… He did not appeared in any Russian media since that explosion, but if this rumour is false, we will see him very soon alive and well, as he is a very prominent figure. Edit: also there are reports, that almost no action is happening at Bakhmut after that hit. And as the siege of this city was directly under the Wagner Group command, this could mean, that the results of that doxxing might be significant. in the next few days, we’ll definitely know, if the number of casualties in these two places among the officers were as high as “advertised”, based on the reports how the attacks on Bakhmut and Soledar will move forward…

Oof… This might be the biggest blow to occupation forces yet… We’ll see how accurate these numbers are soon..

Hmm, notice this only now, but it immediately made me excited

I just went into the third year in the third installment of Atelier Arland trilogy (NG+ of Atelier Meruru). Compared to the previous two games, you spend more time doing synthesis and less time adventuring, but only if you want to go for all trophies. When I’ve played it for the first time in 2013/14, it was the simplest game from the trilogy, to play without walkthrough. The most difficult was Atelier Totori. Now with the walkthrough, it looks like you have to spent much more time to get the right synthesis to progress further into the game.

Looks like UA SOF were able to deliver another pack of cigarettes to Crimea 200kms behind enemy lines, and some Russian soldier found them.

As promised before, Kazakhstan’s oil to EU will start to bypass Russia, starting in september. https://www.euractiv.com/section/central-asia/news/kazakhstan-to-start-oil-sales-via-azeri-pipeline-to-bypass-russia/

I have found the source of the rumours. Mayor of Mykolaiv stated yesterday night, that russian command have moved thier posts away from west bank. So in a way it can be seen as an official statement. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/08/13/7363155/

There are starting to emerge rumours, that higher rank russian officers are starting to flee from the west bank of Dnieper in Kherson Oblast. No official statements on this yet, but interesting news nevertheless.

Also, today emerged rumours, that one of the most prominent collaborators in South Ukraine, Oleh Shostakh, had a very explosive day today in Melitolpol. The guy is one of the main organizers of sham referenda in the South. Let’s eagerly await now for some indeoendent sources to confirm or deny the claim. https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-08-12-22/h_570cc7f061c21c3e18909c1487b204e7

And another example how Russia adhere to international laws, for which was Ukraine so much critisized

More aftermath following the AI report. Co-founder of Swedish AI branch has resigned. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/08/10/7362634/

Belarusian MoD confirmed explosions on the airfield in a pretty vague wording. Equipment caught fire therefore it went kaboom. full statement (feel free to run it through google translate, unable to do it on my tablet now) https://t.me/modmilby/16963

I know, therefore I have put the Telegram source as well. It is telegram channel of one of the ”newspaper” in Ukraine. Feel free to put it through google translate, and of course take it with adequate grain of salt, but as I said, it is more plausible then the Arestovych numbers, as some of the OSINT guys have counted 16-17 completely destroyed aircrafts from the satellite pictures @xzar_monty High contrast satellite image, where it is possible to discern more than 7 hits.

But he might still be pretty close to reality Edit: Also, some reports say, that approx. 60 military personel, including pilots died during the blast, with another 100 being injured. edit 2: and another report on what was destroyed. This seems to me littlw bit more plausible as the IL-76 in Arestovych report, was the only IL-76 4 hours before the hit on the airfield, and there are videos of that aircraft flying away with haste very soon after the explosions. Source from telegram: https://t.me/UAonlii/34939

That’s 22 more than reported in the morning news here.

From local radio news: According to Ukrainian military sources, 10 aircrafts have been destroyed at Crimea. The damage might be even bigger as it is impossible to assess from the satellite images, how many of the aircraft were made inoperable by smaller shrapnel damage from explosion. As the geolocated pictures shows destroyed cars 600meters away from the closest ammunition warehouse, which was destroyed, the number of such damaged aircrafts is probably in higher than lower numbers.