Everything posted by Mamoulian War
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Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
Not gonna link the tweet, as it would probably breach the forum rules… Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en Russian army shelled civilian humanitarian column at exit of Zaporizhzhia 23 people dead, 35 wounded, incl. 4y.o. girl People gathered to go to occupied territories (for relatives/documents). There is only 1 entrance point & columns leave every morning - strike was deliberate. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/09/30/7369748/ Meanwhile in the US, there was prepared whitepaper for lawmakers, which deep-analyzed consequences of assigning Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism… I hope this will pass soon…
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Random video game news... RNG 4 EVA
We had that Lee guy who ran in the center for a while in our guild during BC expansion 🤣
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
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Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
I think, at the start, it was the same issue as with the tanks, but they got first 4 and then another 4. Currently IIRC they are using 12 HIMARS units. So some kind of logistics must have been prepared before the first 4 arrived. IMHO the big factor in not giving HIMARS to UA right away was big fear, that it really escalates the conflict. But as soon as most of the western heads visited Irpin, Bucha and Hostomel, they rhetorics about escalation changed. Also due to Romania having HIMARS already deployed since february 2021. There is already existing maintenance infrastructure with servicemen very close to Ukraine, and I think this also played a role in deploying it. The westenr tanks on the other hand: Bulgaria - 0 Czechia - first 14 Leopards will arrive soon as a reimbursement for Soviet tanks donayed to Ukraine this year Hungary - 44 + 12 Leopards still on order, not delivered yet Romania - 0 Slovakia - 0 (IIRC 15 will be delivered at some point as a replacement for BMPs donated to Ukraine. Poland - 180 Korean K2s ordered, 116 M1 Abrams delivered soon as a replacement for Soviet tanks donated to Ukraine, 249 Leopards already there. So only Poland has at the moment capacities to service western tanks, and only Leopards. And because they are German tanks, well, we all already know how theie current willingness there looks like. They are willing to reimburse NATO allies for donation of Soviet tanks to Ukraine, but not willing to made that last required step yet. Every other western tank model has no maintenance infrastructure in the immediate vicinity of Ukraine (unless something classified happened in the kast 7 months). EDIT: IMHO the Kharkiv Oblast liberation might have made some countries more willing to deliver some tanks to UA, than before, so I believe (my personal feeling, which I cannot back with any data) there are already some hard talks going on about these deliveries. And the current nuclear blackmail and Nordstream situation, might accelerate it further.
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Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
Igor Girkin, as much as he is a c**t, is against using nuclear weapons in Ukraine. On the other hand, he is vocal, that with proper equipment and leadership, the 300k mobiks would be successful in fulfiling the wargoals of SMO. He has a lot of followers and some influence in Russia, so hopefully his statement will deescalate the nuclear tensions a little bit.
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Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
No, tanks is not much taboo, than logistic and mechanical issue. Poland was able to give Ukraine 200 tanks, because they were all Soviet Ear tanks, and Ukraine has already very big repair/mechanical/service infrastructure, to take care of them. On the other hand, giving few hundred NATO manufactured tanks would require not only training for riding it, but also training for servicing them, and in many cases, that would need thenpresence of NATO trainers in Ukraine. Few dozens HIMARS, CEZARs, Zuzanas, or PH2000 can be serviced outside of UA. Which is already done in Poland and Slovakia, and most likely Romania as well. For hundreds of tanks, IMO that would be bordering with unsustainability for logistics, unless as I’ve said, NATO people would be present in Ukraine. Which could be seen as direct involvement and escallation. I bet, that NATO is already working on solving that, but unless Russia would cross the red line tomorrow, I do not see to happen that overnight.
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
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Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
@Darkpriest I understand your worries, but Thankfully, not being able to afford to give much more ‘aid’ did not stop the allies from providing the aid to Soviet Union against Hitler, else many Slavs on this board would not be commenting on this board these days 🤷♂️ So far, the West got the memo… Doing nothing would in the end cost us much more. The extremists, nationalists and neonazis would rise to power anyway, just with much bigger flow of money to fund their collaboration from Russia… Our family lived under their boots for 41 years, and we do not want to experience forced evictions and jailing on daily basis again 🤷♂️- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
Google translate of current energy situation in EU and Slovakia from Slovak Data Crunchers from 1 day ago: source: https://www.facebook.com/databezpatosu/ “OVERVIEW OF ENERGY k 2️⃣6️⃣. SEPTEMBER ⤵️ EUR/USD EXCHANGE: We have expanded the table and in the last line you can find the development of the EUR to USD exchange rate. All energy raw materials are quoted in USD and therefore a 20% year-on-year exchange rate drop is in itself very bad news and the trend is still unfavorable for the EU (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EURUSD=X/) GAS STOCKS: We have also added the status of gas storages in the EU. The absolutely fantastic news is 87.4% occupancy yesterday and an increase of 9% over the last month and 2% over the last week (https://gas.kyos.com/gas/eu) DEVELOPMENTS IN THE LAST WEEK: 📉 The price of oil, both BRENT and URAL, dropped significantly. The Urals are lower today than they were a year ago 📉Finally, following the increase in production capacities (MOL started) in the refineries, the price of diesel fell below 1.80. Gasoline is stable, but in the next few days both types of fuel will certainly drop further. Production at OMV is to start at the beginning of October. 📉 Gas reserves increased by 2 billion m3, France is at 96%, Germany at 91%, Italy and the Netherlands are at 89%, Slovakia reached 87%. Stocks were by no means this high last year, and the EU aimed for such high values by the end of October. The development is very good and soon the stacks will be full. 📉 The price of gas fell to less than half of the maximum values like this a month ago. This happened despite the fact that just a month ago, the flow through Nordstream I was stopped and there should have been less gas. It's not like that. Russia delivers about 8% of EU imports on a daily basis and it is 1/5 of the deliveries from previous years. 📉 The price of "base load" electricity also dropped to less than half of the maximum values like this a month ago. 📈 In the EU, French nuclear reactors started up after repairs (+8GW), the wind is starting to blow in Western and Northern Europe (+25GW in the short term) and the output of hydropower plants has increased due to the increase in precipitation. Coal-fired power plants (+8GW) also started up after the rise in the level of the Rhine and after the resumption of coal supplies in Germany. 🥰 We put a heart here, because most of the fundamental factors are developing WELL and prices are falling. This is due to the increase in supply and sometimes in combination with a decrease in demand. This applies to oil, fuel, gas and electricity. The exception is the EUR/USD exchange rate, which remains a pain.”- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"
- Ukraine Conflict - "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"