Mamoulian War

From local radio news: According to Ukrainian military sources, 10 aircrafts have been destroyed at Crimea. The damage might be even bigger as it is impossible to assess from the satellite images, how many of the aircraft were made inoperable by smaller shrapnel damage from explosion. As the geolocated pictures shows destroyed cars 600meters away from the closest ammunition warehouse, which was destroyed, the number of such damaged aircrafts is probably in higher than lower numbers.

It might have been psyops, to get as much of Russians into a place, where Ukraine can completely control the logistics of the enemy, which is pretty much what really happened. There are 25000 Russian soldiers in Kherson, being supplied by two improvisional ferries and a single damaged bridge near Nova Kakhovka dam. Every other way into the region was destroyed by UA army. I might be mistaken, but I cannot see a single possitive outcome for Russian soldiers out of this situation in the long term. The situation will be a stalemate for a long time, but in last two weeks, Ukraine have liberated more land, than they have lost, especially around Izyum, and in Kherson, despite all Russians running there. Also, there are slowly emerging reports, that because of Russians employing new soldiers with very low training, and Wagner are recruiting criminals, that the resistance in occupied Ukraine is raising even among the Ukrainians, which were more favourable towards Russia. All of that is happening, because these new “recruits” are acting pretty much as complete utter garbage and ****… but yes, conflict will be long, with Ukraine hitting away all of the Russian military infrastruction, even in the territories, which Russia will referendum away, like what happened now in Crimea. 40 SU-25 is probably year and half of presanction Russian production in aviation industry, lost overnight. With sanctions in place, it will take Russia in some sectors twice or thrice as long to replace lost equipment than before the war. The only thing which is immune to sanctions is pretty much artillery, and as everyone can see, after the HIMARS spree, the artillery strikes dropped tenfold compared to the times around Sieverodonetsk/Lysychansk siege. Will the Ukraine win this war? I do not know, but if the West stays behind them and will supply them through the winter, they will have a slight advantage in the war of attrition against Russia, due tomthe fact, that Russia does not have industry fit enough to sustain all the damage at the pace the Ukraine is destroying their army. It is clear that the current strategy is, that Russia wants to take as much of land as possible by sham referendums, and blackmail the west to peace out. That’s why they turned off the oil flowing to their only ally in EU yesterday, as they hope Orban will break first and starts to sabotage the EU working together.

The thing is, which you also need to take into account is, that most of the war in Soviet Union has happened in Ukraine, and nowadays, most of the fighting on the side of Russia are done by ethnic non-russians, which was not the case during WWII. So if we look back at WWII lessons, that Ukraine has an advantage in this regard as well.

Last post for tonight, but I have found one tweet very deep in the rumour department, but what the heck Even the Neptune missiles were considered rumours before Moskva was reassigned to submarine division.

Back to the Crimea airport kaboom. Russian MoD has stated, that no aviation was destroyed. In Ukraine though, the rumours say, that close to 40 aircrafts were destroyed, as 4 hours before the attack, satellite picture was taken, where you can count 45 aircrafts. (Picture in the Twitter thread). I am really curious how is the real damage, as destruction of 40 out of 45 targets is IMHO news from to good to be true department… EDIT: The image in the thread is just a part of the airport. I have found out the image of whole Airport 4 hours before the strike though… Some aviation enthusiast here, who can estimate, how much would that be in USD?

Hmm Russian MoD has distanced itself from the report about General Vasilyev, and says, it was fake again sorry for the white outline, but I am unable to do anything with it on my iPad Western and Ukrainian outlets circulated a report, likely false, of a Russian general allegedly threatening to destroy Europe’s largest nuclear facility, the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (NPP), if Russia could not hold the plant. Multiple news outlets shared a screenshot from the Russian social networking site Vkontakte that claimed to cite the Russian head of the Zaporizhia occupation garrison, Major General Valery Vasilev, stating that Russia had mined the Zaporizhzhia NPP and that the plant would be “either Russian land or a scorched desert.” The screenshot appeared to be a news report posted in a Vkontakte group run by Russian outlet Lenta Novosti Zaporizhia. The outlet itself claimed that the screenshot was from a faked group and denied writing the report. The Russian Ministry of Defense condemned the report and screenshot as a “fake” and claimed that Vasilev was in Uzbekistan at the time he was purported to have made the statement to forces at Zaporizhzhia. Regardless of the origin (or existence) of the original post, the reporting is unreliable. It is indirect and does not claim to cite an official statement or a statement made on any official Russian news or government website.

Free 20th anniversary goodies up for grabs fromGOG homepage.

Well, if we take into the account a device made in Ukraine, then the most plausible option would be a big box of Ukrainian Vodka set at the right spot. The drunk Russian Soldiers then took care of the rest Edit: on more serious note, some theorycrafting after this message already appeared which are pointing to Neptune being the culprit.

One more video of Kaboom, and it is ****ing HUUUUGE… And this is the official version by Russian MoD. https://t.me/bbbreaking/132365 Russian ministry of defence says explosions of several aerial bombs as result of accident caused the fire and further explosions at airbase in Novofedorivka. No damage to aircraft It’s either one of the rare occassioń that Russia does not lie, or they just do not want to admit, that their S400s all accross Crimea sucks walrus balls… I leave up to you, version you’ll consider to be more plausible

Yup, it was definitelly mistranslation. The article in Ukrainian Language is talking about “енергоблоків”, wich means indeed when translated literally into english “Energy Blocks”. The same article written in English is talking about “reactors”.

I think, that was mistranslation in that tweet. The article in Ukrainian Pravda is talking about mined reactors. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/08/8/7362321/

Speaking little bit about humanitarian laws, here is an example of Russian take on it, By General Major Vasilyev from their Outpost in Zaporozhia Nuclear Power Plant.: "This will either be Russian land, or scorched earth," he said. He also told his soldiers that no matter how difficult orders they could receive, they had to execute them "with honour," calling them "liberators." And another report about how the AI was doing it research in Ukraine's occupied territories and filtration camps:

The director of the Ukrainian Amnesty resigned in protest against this report. At the same time, she accuses the management of publishing incomplete evidence, and that they excluded her colleagues from the investigation.

Looks like the perpetrators of Bucha atrocities have found their judgment…

AFAIK GOG blocked both Belarus and Russia

I’ll tried it, and for some reason, It did not worked for me. Maybe issue with forum software as Gorth said

More about the Olenivka penal colony available at various sources. (sorry for the colour, but I am unable to remove it from the copypasta of the source material) “Open-source intelligence (OSINT) analyst Oliver Alexander published an examination of satellite imagery from July 27 showing open graves at the Olenivka prison, noting that July 29 satellite imagery appears to show that the same graves have been covered. Investigative journalism group Bellingcat founder Eliot Higgins stated that lower resolution satellite imagery indicates ground disturbances after July 18 and prior to July 21, suggesting that the Russians may have planned the incident in advance.” https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-31

US has assessed HIMARS were not used in Olenivka prison. Full article on it published by Politico. They were used against military echelon moving to Kherson though. 40 wagons full of ammunition, military vehicles and military personnel were hit.

After almost 11 years, I decided to visit Atelier Totori again on my PS3, and start my second second playthrough of the game. I wanted to finish everything, what the game has to offer and achieve all prerequisites for the True Ending. I was able to get all the missing playthrough trophies, but unfortunately, I must have missed some character event, and as a result I was awarded with Rorona's Who's the Teacher? ending instead. It was a lot of busywork, especially getting 500,000 money, but thankfully, it is transferred together with the equipment to New Game+, so all subsequent playthroughs will be more easygoing . I am little bit sad, due to the time spent on planning of all of the in-game events during last two weeks, which I spent with the game, but well, at least I was able to finish all tasks in my Adventurer's License and defeat all of the super-bosses Hopefully next time, I will have more luck

Very interesting piece by Timothy Snyder on what comes next for Russia. https://snyder.substack.com/p/putins-rule-is-weakening?r=f9j4c&s=r

Odesa regional administration: "attack in Sevastopol" is provocation and manipulation by Russia. https://t.me/UkraineNow/15784 Google translation: The "attack" in Sevastopol is an open provocation of Russia A number of Russian media reported on Ukraine's alleged attack on the headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol. These are lies and manipulations of the enemy. "The liberation of our Crimea from the occupiers will take place differently and much more effectively," - Odesa OVA

You are correct, I t looks like I have mistranslated few of the sources I read and watched about that incident. They were indeed speaking about HIMARS and GRADs, but they were more or less trying to rule both of them out... my bad, so sorry for providing incorrect info I have seen some of the pictures yesterday from the site, and the most plausible outcome is, that it was an explosion inside of the building. The remnants of the building are pretty much ruling out any kind of explosion from the "sky". Some of the evidence seemed like, that some of the POWs were dead before the explosion and a some soldiers were definitely burned, which also shows the evidence of the unlikeliness of use of HIMARS or GRAD. Most of the sources are also coming to the same conclusion as you. Cover up of mistreatment of POWs. There is also one theory, that the owner of Wagner did order this, due to the "mismanagement" of funds, paid out by Kremlin to cover the expenses with POWs...

Two days ago, This Russian Soldier (Vitaliy Valerievich Aroshanov) has released a video, how he tortured, castrated and then killed a Ukrainina POW. Yesterday, Russia attacked a public bus stop in Mykolaiv with a rocket. Not linking here, due to clearly violating the board rules, but if someone would really like to see the proof, you can find in somewhere in the thread about that **** above. Yesterday also Russia put all imprisoned Ukrainian POWs from Maripoľ in a single building in occupied Olenivka, and launched MLRS Grad into it. Resulting in 50 dead POW and 130 wounded. And you are wondering, why some people might think, that it is acceptable to celebrate every Russian and collaborator demise in this war

University of Yale has published a study about how Russia is obfuscating their economy performance under sanctions, and gives an insight about the real impact. 118 pages long. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4167193 very short summary can be found here: This content cannot be displayed until agreeing to our use of Social Media cookies. Learn more. Manage cookies

Meanwhile in Russia You know, that your army is in deep ****, when some units give you an opportunity to become lieutenant in 4 months