Mamoulian War

I presume, that the main culprit of these numbers would be “no retreat” order for the RuAF in the city of Lyman. I do not believe the Russia would had time to push any mobiks into this specific cauldron yet. On the other hand, the first PoWs from the pools of mobiks have been already taken around Kupyansk area. And a lot of Crimean Tatars are in Kherson cauldron. But there are no other information about them circulating around, yet.

The creation of such a deal needs to be kept in secret, so all the Vatniks would not go ****posting all over the internet all day long, how is NATO again prolongating the war in Ukraine 😁

Well as English is not my primary language, I am pretty sure, that some of my post on this forum might be a direct violation of some English language conventions 😁 My curiosity is off the charts now, as there are even more crazy rumours flying around, especially about Kreminna, but these are according to my short research into it, most likely in the false/psyops area atm.

@Malcador Defmon also spoken about these rumours, which I got from few different sources including WarMonitor. Approximately hour ago 😁 And here is the initial source of the rumours, The infamous Igor Girkin, who mentioned Dudchany on his Vkontakte account: https://m.vk.com/wall347260249_665113 bellow the take of Defmon on these rumours.

You would be surprised, but these are from Wartranslated direct translations of Russian social media 🤷‍♂️ But yes, Dudchany has been mentioned in the WarMonitor tweets. Russians are speaking only about Beryslav direction, which is approximately 75km away from frontline. In the light of these information, deepstate map UA and the official AFU media from Zolota Balka and Shevchenkivka, which are away 15-20km away form Dudchany, it seems pretty much plausible. I am tripple checking what I am writing with at least three to five different sources, sometimes even including Girkin nowadays 😁 and yes, there are still a lot of rumours running around. But I believe you and other people on this board, can see from what I post, what is considered as rumour and what is stated as a fact easily 🤷‍♂️

👀 Some Russian sources are in panic mode over Kherson front as well. Some of them claim, that Russian defense line has been moved to the town of Dudchany which is 25-30kms away from the closest liberated cities in northern Kherson Oblast, even on the most optimistic front maps… AFU still maintain operational silence in the area…

More and more people, including Russian sources are hinting, that defense of Lyman was actually commanded by Putin himself.

A humble reminder, that this war started in the winter as well, and in this period, the Russians had the biggest casualties in this war so far. No wonder, than most of the Russian PoWs captured in this period were wearing stolen UA army underwear. Also, Because of their tactics of scorched earth, they pretty much made a lot of cities in their possesion undefendable during the winter due to completely destroyed infrastructure… A little prediction

@xzar_monty I have found the BLR journalist statement.

Kadyrov and Prigozhin (Wagner owner) are criticizing General Lapin and Russian MoD. Girkin blames Shoygu. Kadyrov even published the localization of General Lapin’s HQ in Starobilsk on social media. LOL. Putin is starting to lose control over some individuals. And these uncontrolled officers are now in lead of tens of thousands of mobiks 🤷‍♂️

I have read an excerpt by an Belarussian independent journalist, and she said, that because of things, you’ve said, she decided to not cover his speech. Just made a statement how delusional the whole thing felt.

It also says, that their leaders are using brains. War population needs to be at the balance, to many conscripted people means that the economy will sooner or later end in even deeper ****, than it is due to the war.

And it looks like, that the liberation of Lyman started pretty big ****storm and Blaming Games in Russia 🙀 One sample bellow.

Another brilliant trolling by Ukrainian MoD 🤣 in the Meanwhile Zelenskyi has cancelled autumn consription. They have enough volunteers for training and ongoing operations.

Well they are trying to blackmail new Italian government already? What a surprise. It’s good that before Draghi stepped down, thatbhe visited Algeria and signed big deal with them 🤷‍♂️

Hmm, it looks like the Lyman situation is pretty much solved. It looks like, that AFU left intentionaly road to Zarichne free yesterday night, to pick on fleeing Russians, to save their own soldiers lives. And later closed it today. There are some videos not suitable for this board, which makes this claim pretty plausible. Now the AFU is cleaning the city from the remaining Russians, which did not run away last night.

Anyway, one of the units, inside the city is BARS-16, which were few days ago voiceing serious dissatisfaction with the exchange of Azovstal PoWs, and have released the statement, that they will be taking no PoWs from Azov Batalion. That didn’t age very well, but these peope are definitely brainwashed by propaganda so much, that I would not be surprised to see them fight to the last man. I hope, this will not be the case, and they surrender, so UA can exchange them later, in ideal circustances for the rest of Azovstal guys.

First one was Mariupoľ, though. EDIT: UA soldiers entered the outskirts of Lyman already.

Serhii Haidai says, about 5k soldiers are currently surrounded in Lyman. Other sources are talking between 1500-5000 soldiers there. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/10/1/7369934/

As far as I understand it, it is banned only to use it against civilian targets. Someone will probably correct me, if I am wrong.

Looks like the ban on usage of HIMARS outside Ukraine applies to all countries in the end. https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/eng/interview/2022/09/30/7147819/ Also she speaks why some of the western weapons/vehicles cannot be given to Ukraine, yet. Including 300km rockets.

We’ll probably see in few days/weeks. I do not believe, that they would use them against the Russian positions in cities. They are not Russians, so they would probably cherry-pick a lot the targets for these rockets. Maybe they will shoot into Belarus bases, as the UA has threatened Lukashenko with “serious consequences” if he allows Russia to attack Ukraine from his territory again. And no one required UA to promise to never attack BLR with them…

Oh, and UA received new M30A1 rockets for HIMARS and M270, to deal with Russian mobilization.

Biden just announced more sanctions on Russia, and Zelenskyi is ready to negotiate with Russia, but with new Russian president, as the current one knows no honesty, nor dignity. Quote from Zelenskyy: "Ukraine was and remains a leader in negotiation efforts. It is our state that has always offered to negotiate with Russia on coexistence on equal, honest, dignified and fair terms. It is obvious that with the current Russian president, this is impossible. He has no idea what dignity and honesty are. Therefore, we are ready for a dialogue with Russia, but with another Russian president."

We’ll get Ukrainian view on the matter very soon, including some good news from the talks with NATO. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/09/30/7369808/