Ukraine Conflict - Continues

[Mamoulian War]

A little in-depth look at Russian military recruitment ads, which were shared here some time ago. They are getting even more ridiculous, and Moscow Times has they looks more like NATO propaganda mocking Russia

https://nickcohen.substack.com/p/escape-your-worthless-life-join-putins?r=333vp&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

[Mamoulian War]

7 hours ago, Malcador said:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/06/us/politics/ukraine-war-plan-russia.html

Leaky Americans, tsk.

Unfortunately not able to open the article due to paywall, but here is the official stance of Ukrainian General staff on leaks about counteroffensive

 

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/04/6/7396754/

[Lexx]

Apparently the leaks are barely anything. Just some numbers about KIA and a map. Funny though, apparently someone photoshopped the KIA numbers on the photos to show less dead on russia side and way more dead on ukraine side. Saw the before and after photos, and you really need to smoke a lot of copium to believe the fake.

Edited April 7, 2023 by Lexx

[Gfted1]

Thats not a leak, thats a heroic whistleblower. This person should receive a commendation.

[Malcador]

6 hours ago, Mamoulian War said:

Unfortunately not able to open the article due to paywall, but here is the official stance of Ukrainian General staff on leaks about counteroffensive

 

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/04/6/7396754/

Sounds like a way to say there is no plan.

[Mamoulian War]

13 minutes ago, Malcador said:

Sounds like a way to say there is no plan.

We’ll see in a month or two, how this all will work out.
 

Ukraine needs to get more land back to be able to get as much funding as today in the months to come. The more land they grab, the more likely will be the West to fund it more. 

[pmp10]

1 hour ago, Lexx said:

Apparently the leaks are barely anything. Just some numbers about KIA and a map. Funny though, apparently someone photoshopped the KIA numbers on the photos to show less dead on russia side and way more dead on ukraine side. Saw the before and after photos, and you really need to smoke a lot of copium to believe the fake.

There was one thing of some worth in the training and equipment plan for 9 new Ukrainian brigades.
According to the leaked document these were clearly not going to be ready for April.

But chances are that Russians already knew that from other sources.  

[Malcador]

 

[Gfted1]

[Mamoulian War]

Now, IIRC, there was a similar “leak of secret documents” before landing in Normandy in WW2. Do I remember it correct?

[Malcador]

Blue team never makes mistakes.  What a time, people leaking stuff on Discord, though.

[Zoraptor]

Yeah, leaking on Discord makes a break from traditional leak vectors like, uh, the war thunder forums.

1 hour ago, Mamoulian War said:

Now, IIRC, there was a similar “leak of secret documents” before landing in Normandy in WW2. Do I remember it correct?

Operation Mincemeat before Sicily is likely what you're thinking of as that was a 'leak' of the entire invasion 'plan', found on a dead 'officer'.

Operation Bodyguard before D-Day was more traditional.

[Mamoulian War]

Another milestone has been achieved during the invasion.

[BruceVC]

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/4/8/ukraine-children-returned-from-russia-after-alleged-deportation 

Russia has started returning some of the Ukrainian stolen children, amazing how quick ICC war crimes charges can change Russian attitudes

[pmp10]

And the results of China visits are now in.
Far from convincing Xi to dump Russia, Macron was convinced Europe should dump US.

Or maybe he was just looking for an excuse to get back to his old position. 

[Lexx]

"Europe must resist pressure to become ‘America’s followers,’" bruh, we are america's followers for 70something years.

[Malcador]

Well, a few of the Euros were smart enough to not follow into Iraq, at least

“The paradox would be that, overcome with panic, we believe we are just America’s followers,” Macron said in the interview. “The question Europeans need to answer … is it in our interest to accelerate [a crisis] on Taiwan? No. The worse thing would be to think that we Europeans must become followers on this topic and take our cue from the U.S. agenda and a Chinese overreaction,” he said.

Seems reasonable.

[Azdeus]

1 hour ago, Lexx said:

"Europe must resist pressure to become ‘America’s followers,’" bruh, we are america's followers for 70something years.

The hardon our politicians have for yankee politics and policies here is embarrassing as ****.

[HoonDing]

If China attacked Taiwan tomorrow it'd be funny to watch how quickly Zelenskiy would be dropped like a hot potato.

[kanisatha]

22 hours ago, Malcador said:

Well, a few of the Euros were smart enough to not follow into Iraq, at least

“The paradox would be that, overcome with panic, we believe we are just America’s followers,” Macron said in the interview. “The question Europeans need to answer … is it in our interest to accelerate [a crisis] on Taiwan? No. The worse thing would be to think that we Europeans must become followers on this topic and take our cue from the U.S. agenda and a Chinese overreaction,” he said.

Seems reasonable.

Because Macron gets to speak for all of Europe?

"We Europeans" my ass. LOL

[Malcador]

I think this is the interview in full - https://www.lesechos.fr/monde/enjeux-internationaux/emmanuel-macron-lautonomie-strategique-doit-etre-le-combat-de-leurope-1933493

Google translate isn't terrible.

At least he wound up that worm Rubio with this

[Malcador]

https://apnews.com/article/classified-documents-leaks-chatroom-discord-social-media-5fff130f2ca9581bc14514a4e29c7b64

The dead man's switch is probably a poor bluff

The Discord user who spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity says he was on a call with others — including the person who for months had been posting documents he or she said were classified — when the Times story broke.

“We all just kind of lost it,” the Discord user said. “We couldn’t believe what was happening.”

The person said his primary motivation for speaking to the media was to clear the reputation of a third person, who uses the screenname “Lucca.” Posts from Lucca featuring many of the documents were widely shared on Twitter and other social media. Those documents were reported on by The New York Times, The Washington Post and other media outlets.

Lucca “is just a kid,” said the poster who spoke to the AP. “He was just consistently posting it to mess with people.”

The poster declined to identify the person who originally uploaded the documents to Thug Shaker Central or confirm whether that person worked for the U.S. government. He referred to the original uploader with a nickname, “the O.G.”

But the poster said the person who first posted the documents did not appear to be driven by ideology or to expose government secrets broadly, but rather to impress people in their group.

Were that person to be arrested, the poster said he had copies of “way past hundreds” of pages of files.

[pmp10]

According to leaked documents US expects limited gains in Ukrainian offensive.
Seems consistent with previous predictions of a stalemate in 2023.

The real question is what happens afterwards.

Edited April 11, 2023 by pmp10

[Mamoulian War]

Ben Hodges on the other hand, predicts UA getting close to Crimea, if the West gets more consistent with the help. Only the time will tell

Many people expected limited gains even last year. And UA has surprised everyone, with their Kharkiv liberation (including me ). RU were already appointing collaborators to "referendums" there. Few analysts have said, that Kherson was expected to be liberated only this year

[Malcador]

Psychos always have to film their war crimes, latest one is Russians beheading some Ukrainian POW.