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Everything posted by Elerond
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Border control is issue to countries that have lots of non-registered refugees like for example, how Greece feels isolated and Austria has expressed their displeasure towards Germany's plans to block refugees on border. Also France didn't like Belgium's decision to control their border. If this countries can't form some sort agreement how border control in EU will work it will only strengthen anti-EU parties in said countries which will lead disintegration of EU. It as single would not be enough, but there is lots issues which EU member states currently have different opinions and have hard time to come up solution that all would be agree. We can see clear examples for this in how Greece feels that it is closed of from rest of EU and how UK (although border control issue has little do with UK's desires to leave as it isn't part of Schengen area) wants to leave from EU.
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Although Sweden and Germany have started to close their boarders, even though that goes against those EU framework agreements that I was talking about. Also Greece has problems because others have closed borders for it. If there isn't soon comprehensive solution that all member states will follow, EU will have quite lot of problems to keep itself working.
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Yes but the initial number is very low, so the figure 822 % may seem excessive but not if you consider there were only 3490 immigrants in 2014 and now there are 32150 Its not a large number? It depends how you look that number. For example UK which has 12 times of Finland's population took only 6k more than Finland. And France that also has twelve time population of Finland took only bit over twice that Finland which seems to already case quite lot problems to them. And when adjust first time asylum applicants to population, then even Germany took less people than Finland. Only Hungary, Sweden and Austria have taken more people adjusted to population than Finland. So 32k isn't that big number put its more than population in most of Finland's cities. Fair enough, I can see the concern both you and Meshugger have..its valid but only if the Finnish government continues to allow 30K of refugees into Finland every year..but it wont. I think there will be far less if any refugees coming into Finland in the future Although this year prediction is that number of refugees will be much higher than last year. And it isn't just question about allowing them to come, but what is number that forces us to break international conventions and go back what we have said to be fundamental human rights. Also EU's framework agreements will come under question and which can lead results like disintegration whole union, if we can't find balance in crisis like this.
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Yes but the initial number is very low, so the figure 822 % may seem excessive but not if you consider there were only 3490 immigrants in 2014 and now there are 32150 Its not a large number? It depends how you look that number. For example UK which has 12 times of Finland's population took only 6k more than Finland. And France that also has twelve time population of Finland took only bit over twice that Finland which seems to already case quite lot problems to them. And when adjust first time asylum applicants to population, then even Germany took less people than Finland. Only Hungary, Sweden and Austria have taken more people adjusted to population than Finland. So 32k isn't that big number put its more than population in most of Finland's cities.
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In this hard economic times it is good to be number one in something, maybe... Edit: Source http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/7203832/3-04032016-AP-EN.pdf/790eba01-381c-4163-bcd2-a54959b99ed6
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He quickly reiterated that he was talking about high skilled immigration and not about H1-B visas. Take it as you will. Politicians gonna politick and all that (thinking about Rubio and Cruz and how they increased the number of such visas). H-B1 visas are meant to be way for companies hire foreign workers to jobs when they can't find American workers. So they are meant to bring high skilled people, but lots of companies are criticized to use them mostly to cut costs. So I would be bit skeptic how Trump plans to change that.
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I would like to see a remake of Forbidden Planet, just to see if it would work for current audience.
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Too much text ......
Elerond replied to Brimsurfer's topic in Pillars of Eternity: General Discussion (NO SPOILERS)
I can't speak for all dyslexics, but for me writing in the game or fonts they used didn't cause any problems. Although I have got used to read long and difficult texts in language that is much less dyslexics friendly than English. So maybe I am not best example of average dyslexic. -
I was more referring to Republican turnout, they have now eagerness and desire to change leadership, like democrats had in 2008. So in general election democrats need to rise movement that gets people to vote, where GOP (Trump) has already one behind him. So republicans have fever for change where democrats feel content to current situation, and those who aren't content how things are run have higher likelihood to vote. Getting people vote somebody just to block somebody else is often more difficult task than continue snowball effect that Trump for example seems to have created (as he just don't win republican primaries but draw new people to vote).
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http://dailycaller.com/2016/03/02/democratic-turnout-down-32-in-super-tuesday-states-compared-to-2008/ Overall Super Tuesday turnouts: Democrats -32% compared to 2008, GOP +61% compared to 2008 and +73% compared to 2012. Which don't give democrats best predictions about general election.
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The Weird, Random, and Interesting things that Fit Nowhere Else Thread
Elerond replied to Blarghagh's topic in Way Off-Topic
17th-Century Female Spies Smuggled Information Through Eggs and Artichokes -
He drive his reform (Obamacare) to US health insurance market through. He ended US mission in Iraq. He increase US drone strikes against their enemies. He droved deals lowering sanctions with Cuba and Iran through even though Congress was against them. And so on. So about as memorable decisions as GWB but he didn't start two wars.
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I would say that Trump, Kasich and Sanders would be ideal winners. Cruz and Rubio are decent choices and Clinton is probably worse. Trump promises to destroy USA's ability to compete on global market to ensure USA's safety against illegal immigrants from Mexico and Muslims. I predict that his presidency would boost European economy greatly, even if UK closes it borders and exits EU. Kasich promises to give military assistance for Finland even if Finland is not part of Nato, which is always nice and as president he actually would be somewhat capable to keep that promise. Sanders social reform would mean that USA needs to focus their own country instead of meddling affairs of other countries. Also such social reform will give great opportunity for European companies steal market shares from American companies that need to focus their home market. Cruz, seems to be very similar to GWB, which was also excellent president for Europe as his poor foreign policies made rest of world form tighter ties just to balance against those policies. His reign would had given excellent economical boost for Europe if there had not been those big banks in USA that caused economical crash (coincidence??) Rubio seem to be weaker version of Cruz, so not optimal candidate, but I believe that he and GOP will do what is good for Europe like they have done in past. This analyses aren't meant to be take seriously or reflect reality. :)
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In poll averages: Clinton vs Trump: Clinton wins with 3% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html Cruz vs Clinton: Cruz wins with 1.5% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_clinton-4034.html Clinton vs Rubio: Rubio wins with 5% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_clinton-4034.html Clinton vs Kasich: Kasich wins with 7.4% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_kasich_vs_clinton-5162.html Clinton vs Carson: Clinton wins with 1.3% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_carson_vs_clinton-5119.html Sanders vs Trump: Sanders wins with 8% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html Sanders vs Cruz: Sanders wins with 9.7% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_cruz_vs_sanders-5742.html Sanders vs Rubio: Sanders wins with 3.3% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_rubio_vs_sanders-5564.html Sanders vs Kasich: Sanders wins with 0.5% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_kasich_vs_sanders-5817.html Sanders vs Casrson:Sanders wins with 1.3% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_carson_vs_sanders-5677.html Match ups against Trumps are polled most and which usually gives highest prediction accuracy about winner. But of course general election has not yet even started so poll prediction accuracy is very in this point of the time. Clinton and Trump both suffer from fact that even within their own parties there are people that will not vote them in any circumstances, which rise possibility of unpredicted result in certain parts of country very high. It also means that third party candidates have high chance to have quite high support if they are Dem and GOP nominees. Although American media seems to want Trump to become nominee (at least) as amount of articles written about him is mind staggering compared to other candidates. Visibility brings votes regardless of nature of that visibility.
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Prediction after super Tuesday seems to be same as in going in it Clinton and Trump will be the party nominees and Clinton will win general election. Only interesting thing that I see in predictions is that Clinton is weaker of two democratic candidates when it comes to winning general election and Trump is GOP's weakest candidate in general election.
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If Trump becomes president, then he becomes a politician and because of that fact he will change his mind in many things and eventually he will not even resemble person that was voted in the office. That is politics. Although there is always Bernie, who seems to be immune for this politicians' occupational illness
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Somebody has had quite funny campaign idea
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Some kids accidentally (?) crushed a dove's breastbone and it suffocated, making a peace ceremony have some macabre undertones when they tried to launch it into the air and instead of flying away it pancaked. No. http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/woman-held-russia-after-handing-7463406 I have no words. To be honest this looks like some serious mental issue, but then again, you never know with dem middle east ninjas Central Asian (Uzbekistan) ninja according to BBC http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35685981
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There are only total number of crimes, number crimes by foreign citizens and number of crimes by asylum seekers. Ethnic background and religion of suspects aren't regularly documented for suspected/reported crimes. When cases go in court such things can be found out, because of fact that then identity of suspects comes part of public record. Usually asylum seeker status also isn't recorded for suspects, but police started to do so with sexual crimes in September of last year, because of refugee crisis and public worry. Which is why tracking period starts in 1 September 2015.
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Our national broadcast company YLE has made report about sexual crimes committed by refugees from 1 September 2015 to 31 of January 2016. Numbers in map are based on statistics of individual police districts. White numbers under police district name are total number of registered sexual crimes in said district and yellow numbers are number police reports where perpetrator/s are proven to be refugees (this two numbers aren't fully comparable as one police report can produce multiple crimes, like for example rape, sexual harassment and sexual abuse of child or there is multiple perpetrators). Helsinki's numbers are red because they include uncertain cases (meaning that refugee status of suspects isn't certain). Here is number of refugees on this districts (total population in brackets) [percent of sexual crimes committed by refugees], {number of sexual crimes committed by foreign national (percentage of all sexual crimes)}: Sisä-Suomi: 4 334 (779 048) [about 2%] {31 (22%)} Oulu: 3 178 (484 713) [about 7%] {12 (13.6%)} Länsi-Uusimaa: 2 990 (448 334) [about 21.5%] {26 (31%)} Helsinki: 2 772 (622 240, capital city) [about 10-21%, 10% if compared to all sexual crimes, 21% if compared to sexual crimes where perpetrator is known ] {46 (39%)} Lounais-Suomi: 2 683 (697 197) [about 5%] {36 (30%)} Pohjanmaa: 2 524 (443 584) [about 1%, one case] {10 (17.5%)} Häme: 2 508 (377 595) [about 11%] {10 (19%)} Lappi: 2 272 (181 815) [about 4%] {9 (21%)} Itä-Suomi: 1 873 (565 476) [about 7-8%] {14 (16.7%)} Itä-Uusimaa: 1 637 (534 702) [about 1.5%] {21 (20%)} Kaakkois-Suomi: 1 623 (311 804) [about 6.5%] {10 (21%)} Total number of sexual crimes committed by refugees is 76–79 from which 63–67 member native population has been victim. From this crimes 31 has been rapes (including aggravated rapes and attempts). Number of know perpetrators is 73–75, but total number maybe 104–106 (uncertainty because suspects is known to be foreign, but it isn't know for sure if they are refugees [meaning that police has yet to apprehend them]) Number of gang rapes: 2 Number of sexual crimes where there are multiple perpetrators: 8 Number of sexual harassments: 26–28 Number of sexual abuse of children (includes aggravated cases): 13 Number of forcing in sexual act: 4 Number of other sexual crimes (buying or attempt to buy sexual services from minor, public indecency, attempt to lure child to sexual act): 6 Number of undefined cases: 1 (Pohjamaa's district has not specified in their statistic what was the crime which refugee is the suspect) Percentage of all sexual crimes committed by refugees is 7-8% In about 1/3 recorded sexual crime perpetrator isn't known by police Police's statistics about all sexual crimes include all reported cases even those where police find that any crime has not been committed Also it is notable that sexual crime numbers aren't stable, and for example in this tracking period Sisä-Suomi district's numbers have been inflated by one suspect that has been accused of multiple sexual crimes during long period of time and they all have come light during this tracking period. In all cases we are talking about suspects and suspected crimes until courts have given their judgement about the cases in some time in future (in some cases courts have already given judgement, but there isn't yet statistics of those cases for this tracking period) Map and YLE's article about their report http://yle.fi/uutiset/yle_selvitti_yli_sata_turvapaikanhakijaa_epailtyina_seksuaalirikoksesta__joukkoraiskauksia_kaksi_perattomia_tapauksia_useita/8707863 Statistics https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KFOaO5LQtzptYeu3kQwyajV3C75bnBVQGtNDZCCpO0c/edit?pref=2&pli=1#gid=0
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I would say that it seems that John Oliver don't like Drumpf very much, maybe it is because of his British roots
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So... what's exactly the stash?
Elerond replied to Elthalas's topic in Pillars of Eternity: General Discussion (NO SPOILERS)
Infinity stash and not explaining it is just one of multiple design decision in game to prevent cumbersome gameplay features even if it makes game less simultaneous or immersive elements. It goes with such decisions like, merchants having infinite coffer, every item has fixed price, weapons, armor, etc. don't break, you can enchant, cook, etc. every where, people don't question that you run every where weapons drawn, you don't need to wait days, weeks, months that your party heals up, you don't need actually carry/consume food, you have journal that keeps track your quests, you can change your companion in and out from your party regardless where they are in world, you can respec your characters, you have infinite wallet, there is just one currency, and so on. Official explanation for stash is that it is bottom of party's backpacks (making accessing stuff put there quite slow process, which is why access to stash is limited in expert mode), where inventory slots or top of said backpacks (and therefore somewhat easy to access but not so that you cold access them in combat) and equipment slots and quick items are items that characters wear, carry in their hands and belts etc. where they are quickly to access. -
Keyrock thanks for that vision, which is no burned in my brain eternally
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Yeah when his whole campaign runs on premise that we should not care what others think but do what is best for us, I would agree that one probably don't get much response by arguing that such would make USA look bad in eyes of other countries. I would argue that much better strategy would be to point out that what Trump is offering (or not offering) isn't actually that good for USA or its citizens. But it is really impossible to win his supporters over by arguing against the premise that has drawn them to support Trump in first place, I would say.
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They probably went home back to Syria....so technically they aren't lost ? Most of them are most likely still in Germany or other EU countries. They just live with their relatives or other acquaintances illegally in Germany or they seek asylum in other countries with possible new name or live in those countries illegally (similarly with relatives or other acquaintances). And then some of them are victims of human trade.