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Everything posted by Elerond
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Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Invasions need resources, which Russia seems to lack currently and building said resources under heavy economical sanctions isn't that easy when your industry heavily relies on imports. But after tomorrow there is high likely hood that US help to Ukraine will decrease lot, as Republicans with candidates that either support Russia or are against helping Ukraine will most likely take control over the senate. -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Here is non-computer translated English version https://news.yahoo.com/butusov-says-russian-claims-ukraine-170400235.html It seem that attack occurred in August. Ukraine was able to do successful counter offensive in Kharkiv after the breach, so it maybe that Ukraine's surprise re planning of their counter offence was because of this data breach. Russia seems to have published data about their attack just to spread doubt in Ukraine troops and increase morale of their own troops -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
In Finland universities are free for Finnish and EU/ETA decree students. Universities started to collect tuition from students outside of EU/ETA in 2017. If you have not enrolled in university you can still study university course through so called Open University, but then courses cost 15€/study point (26.67h worth of estimated work) It depends on company, usually they want representative in company board because of strategic significance of company. In not so strategically important companies they just own stocks through investment funds, to increase state income. For example state owns over 50% of shares in Finland's largest energy company Fortum, and closer to 40% in Finland's largest fuel company Neste, to ensure that they are able to give their opinions how those companies operate. State also owns big share of Finnish postal company Posti and Finland's largest railway company VR. EU rules put limits on what companies states can fully own and control, which is why Finland privatized most of state owned companies in 1990s when it seek membership in EU. Pension companies in Finland are mostly private mutual insurance companies (so they are owned by their customers) -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
All of the universities are private, which get state funding equal to private capital they are able to rise. In past it was depend on how many people graduated from university in year. Finland is capitalist, where even fundamental services like electric grid and postal service are privately owned. State only owns percentage of stocks in several companies, but can't directly control even companies which it owns majority of shares. Although cities own several companies which they have direct control over. And cities fund public health care and schools. Although in end of this year public health moves to be funded by state. Police is state funded, as is military and border guard. -
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/oct/28/paul-pelosi-nancy-pelosi-attack-san-francisco-home Paul Pelosi, husband of Nancy Pelosi, in hospital after being attacked at home Paul Pelosi, husband of the House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, was taken to hospital early on Friday after he was attacked at the couple’s home in California with a hammer by an assailant who was reported to have shouted “Where is Nancy, where is Nancy?” San Francisco police said that they were called to the Pelosi house in the city on a “wellbeing check” at about 2.27am local time on Friday morning. They found an adult male confronting Paul Pelosi, and a hammer was being grasped by both men. “The suspect pulled the hammer away from Mr Pelosi and violently assaulted him with it. Our officers immediately tackled the suspect, disarmed him, took him into custody,” said Bill Scott, chief of the San Francisco police department. Scott named the suspect as David DePape, 42, adding that any motive was still being determined. Charges are to be brought at the San Francisco county jail, including attempted homicide, assault with a deadly weapon, elder abuse, burglary and other felonies. It was reported by CNN that the suspect intended to tie the victim up “until Nancy got home” and that he had posted rightwing and conspiracy theories online, including content promoting the lie that Donald Trump was deprived of victory in the 2020 election because of voter fraud. ...
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Considering that platforms are private businesses so they can't themselves hinder freedom of speech as freedom of speech is concept where government right to limit people's speech has been limited by constitution. It is private business freedom of speech to moderate their platform as they see fit, platform users don't have freedom of speech rights against private platform owners, they only have obligation to follow platform's terms of service.
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Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
They are idle because they get more money in future, because there are limited capacity to serve them, which is why gas buyers are able to pick sellers who sell gas in lower price just to get their ship free to other deliveries. But some sellers sell their gas to future markets even though it is already in ship close to LNG terminal where they will deliver it, because they have calculated that they will make more profit that way. So limited LNG terminal capacity has caused situation on gas market where there are more supply than demand and sellers are looking ways to ensure that they don't need to dumb (as spot prices went below zero1 ) their gas just to free their ships for more profitable shipments by making their ships as floating storages waiting months where there are much more demand because energy companies are willing to pay more (126% more than last October, so about 240€/MWh) for guarantee that they will not run out of gas during winter months. 1. -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Stored gas is constantly used so there are constantly room for that amount gas that was used. But LNG ports have limited capacity to serve ships which has lead to situation where there are ships which contents are sold to be used in January and February next year because price was higher on future market than it is currently in exchange. So companies decided that their ships will act as storage and idle in ports until is is time to unload their tanks instead of competing of limited LNG port capacity -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
And prices on future markets are higher than current prices, meaning that it is in some cases more profitable to sell gas for January and let ship idle near harbor -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
About millennium ago European nations were able to defend against invasions from east and south by more advanced nations, which lead era where European nations focused big sunk of their resources to develop more advanced warfare, which lead about 500 years later in era where European nations started compete against each other on discovering 'new lands', which they were able to conquer with relative ease with their new armament and we still live age where people descending from those European nations have advantage in warfare they use. -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Funny thing is that currently Iran gets almost automatic place in World Cup from Asian Qualifiers because how few Asian countries are able to run high level football league, but even though Iran has been in World Cup now 6 (1978, 1998, 2006, 2014, 2018 and 2022) times it has been able only to win two matches, one against USA (1998) and one against Morocco (2018). Ukraine has had hard time to qualify from European qualifiers, as they have qualified only once (2006), then they advanced to knock out state where they advanced in Quarter finale where they lost to Italy, which won cup that year. But as how qualifiers are done in World Cup, Iran isn't able to take place from Ukraine or vice versa. World Cup is mainly just Germany vs Italy vs Brazil (as they have won 13 of 21 cups) and others are there just make it look like it is world wide event -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Russian military has more legal rights to order people around and force them to things. It seem like a way to combat against low morale among Russian troops that are ordered to control civilians on those areas than trying to change anything that Russians are already doing. -
Ukraine Conflict - "An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war"
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
With Cohesion's Action for Refugees in Europe aka CARE EU gave members states 10 billion euros for 2022 to help refugees in 8th of March (although it for all refugees not only Ukrainians) Addition to that EU gave in same day 85 million euros to Ukraine to help refugees inside of Ukraine and 5 million euros to Moldova to help Ukraine refugees in Moldova EU also gave all boarder states 15 million euros to help with increase costs of ensuring border security EU also remove bureaucracy that would prevent people fleeing from Ukraine to earn income in host countries in EU In 11th of March EU gave 300 million euros economic aid to Ukraine In 23.03.2022 EU opened ERA4Ukraine to help researchers that had fled from Ukraine to continue their research. EU also coordinated 10000 beds for people fleeing Ukraine needing medical care and increased funding of REACT–EU for 2023-2027 and allowed to used funds from 2021 to help refugees from Ukraine. 25.03.2022 EU and Canada started with Global Citizens organization campaign to collect funds to help refugees from Ukraine everywhere in world 01.04.2022 EU accepts EU wide arrangement to easily changes Ukrainian hryvnias to euros 06.04.2022 EU gives guidance to accept Ukrainian qualifications for researches, doctors etc. in EU member states easily and rabidly 09.04.2022 EU Commission gave 1 billion euros to Stand With Ukraine fund raising 15.04.2022 EU gave 50 million euros of humanitarian funding to Ukraine 27.04.2022 EU removed for year tariffs and dumping safety methods from products from Ukraine 29.04.2022 EU member states have used 3.5 billion euros of 10 billion euros of CARE's cohesion fund 05.05.2022 EU created new 200 million euros fund to help people fleeing from Ukraine 20.05.2022 EU gave 600 million euros of Economic aid to Ukraine 09.06.2022 EU gave 20 million euros to support Ukrainian companies through EU's innovation fund 9.6.2022 EU gave 205 million euros of humanitarian aid to Ukraine 28.6.2022 EU's electric controller ENTSO-E announced that Ukraine is connected to European electric market starting from 30.06.2022 22.07.2022 EU increases its economic aid to Ukraine with 1 billion euros 01.09.2022 EU opens its own evacuation center in Poland for patients that needs to moved to other EU countries 7.9.2022 EU gives Ukraine 5 billion euros economic aid in loans -
Both Ukraine and Russia are able to lose 300k men if they are willing. Ukraine has population over 41 million people and Russia has population of over 144 million people. For example during WW2, Finland lost about 100k men from population of 3.3 million. Soviet union lost over 27 million men from population of 170 million. Question is about how many men their governments are willing to sacrifice for millimeter of land gained.
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That is the difficult question as there is no simple definition of being Nazi, as it is ideology that consist of social, economical and political views. But if person views include racial purity, supporting political alternative for capitalism and socialism, opposing liberal democracy, disdain towards minority groups especially in form that minorities are threat to said person livelihood and way to live. And if person uses 'science' to prove their superiority. Then you can be pretty sure that you are dealing with person that would have been at home in Nazi Germany.
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It is difficult these days, considering for example that in Italy party that won the election Brothers of Italy was founded by original fascist and its leader has multiple times proclaimed that Mussolini was great man and politician. But quite lot people seem to think that calling them fascists is just sore losers If it looks like duck, moves like duck, sounds like duck, we should give it benefit of doubt
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In the Winter War political merit was more important than knowledge about warfare for soviets, which lead soviets to use bad strategies (for example mass assault to strongest Finnish positions over frozen lake, leading thousands men to drown after soviet forces were hit by Finnish artillery that broke the ice), and they didn't use combined arms until end of the war when they changed leadership to people who actually had know how about wars and how different forces should be used. And Soviets weren't prepared to long campaign in record cold winter. As soviets send their divisions from Black Sea area that had fought victoriously in Romania. Those divisions didn't have any experience of fighting in winter and they didn't even have winter clothing. And someone in soviet army had brilliant idea that soldiers can warm themselves by drinking vodka. Finland ended up to lose after winter ended and soviets started to combine their arms in their attacks (meaning that air planes, artillery, tanks and infantry attacked in same time instead of taking turns) and Finnish forces run out of ammunition and other supplies as promised help from France and UK never arrived. But to the point Russia has forces that are more than capable to fight in winter and snow, most of those forces are from divisions that have been situated to garrisons close to Finland's border. Like arctic brigade in Alakurtti (as name gives away the area was part of Finland before WWII) and northern fleet in Severomorsk (close to Murmansk). In Ukraine war, winter probably will not play big role as Ukraine fights in its own territory and is familiar with weather there. Russians forces have lots of people who are familiar with weather of territories they are currently fighting in. Most significant thing that winter may bring is frozen swamps and fields maneuvers they make possible, which can give new advantages for both sides.
