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Gromnir

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Everything posted by Gromnir

  1. welcome to america. North Dakota state legislature candidate who died of COVID-19 apparently won his election Sen.-elect Tommy Tuberville botches history facts, including three branches of government “Our government wasn’t set up for one group to have all three branches of government — wasn’t set up that way,” Tuberville continued, saying incorrectly: “You know, the House, the Senate, and the executive.” ... Tuberville also misidentified what America fought against in World War II. When asked about the biggest takeaways from the election, Tuberville stated he was concerned that President-elect Joe Biden had promoted a vision that Tuberville claimed “leads more to a socialist type of government.” “That’s concerning to me, that we’re to the point now where we’ve got almost half the country voting for something that this country wasn’t built on,” Tuberville said. “I tell people, my dad fought 76 years ago in Europe to free Europe of socialism.” Jared Kushner insists Trump can still win if his parents make a big enough donation to the Electoral College the last article we linked were intended as a joke article, but more fool is us for not recognizing how the real joke is on the american people for not recognizing en masse that trump would actual attempt to undermine the electoral college if his campaign and subsequent legal efforts failed to win him an additional four years. keep in mind if any of trump's legal claims thus far appeared to be legit or have any serious chance o' changing the election results, we would advise caution. recall how after many police shootings we advise caution. is best to wait for more information when facts is in short supply. however, current situation is not trump advancing his reasonable and credible claims in an effort to maintain the dignity and accuracy o' this and future elections. unlike all o' trump's slapp lawsuits over the decades, state and fed Courts is not gonna cave to trump 'cause o' fatigue or financial inability to maintain a prolonged legal battle. HA! Good Fun!
  2. update on lawsuits: pennsylvania 3rd circuit court of appeals (3rd circuit covers pennsylvania... as well as delaware, new jersey and the virgin islands) threw out a sequestered votes case 'cause plaintiffs lacked standing... and 'cause the claim were stoopid. were a chastising tone from the court which did not go unnoticed. a montgomery county case which woulda' tossed 59 ballots 'cause address on one o' the envelopes were (PA uses two envelopes) not legible or partial omitted. the judge in the case rejected the trump campaign claim noting that while there were an entry for the address on the secondary envelope, state law didn't require the address be added to the envelope. philadelphia county court o' common pleas dealt with a case which were similar to the montgomery case related to minor omissions o' non-requisite info. coulda' affected a few thousand ballots. judge tossed. there is at least one more major pa case, but we won't be able to communicate results 'til next week. in the as yet unresolved case, the trump campaign is attempting to invalidate the entire vote-by-mail results for pa? will try and read up on this one but at first blush am reluctant to find much merit in a theory which would disenfranchise millions o' voters. the state legislature voted to implement an excuse-free mail-in-ballot scheme during a pandemic. is not at all like the sequestered vote situation where the secretary o' state made a decision on their own. the pa state legislature voted to make the change for more widespread mail-in and the governor signed law. am unsure what legal theory is being advocated by the plaintiffs, but we will review. @BruceVC if barr has not already quit, am expecting one o' the first orders o' business for biden will be to fire barr and replace him with an acting ag. is no more difficult for biden to fire barr than for trump to do so. barr is dangerous. if he were to maintain intellectual honesty, he would be no less dangerous under a democrat President. non issue as barr is unlikely to be around much past january 20, 2021, and might very well be quits before that date. ... now that ga and az has been called... HA! Good Fun!
  3. 306 "landslide" HA! Good Fun!
  4. quick legal update: --the mi case which were filed in the dc court of federal claims was "transferred" to the mi fed district court... where the case had already been filed. lawyers blamed the filing mistake on a software error. sure. the state case related to what were described as widespread voter irregularities in detroit counties were dismissed today. the judge specific noted any ruling w/o going through the legislative mandated certification process would amount to improper judicial activism. am not certain exact when the fed case is scheduled to be heard in mi, but making the claims o' election shenanigans a fed case were always kinda a hail mary. not equal protection or due process claims save by stretching meaning o' the law to a tortured extreme. were always far more likely to get a sympathetic judge in a state case. --the maricopa, az case we mentioned yesterday were withdrawn by the trump campaign today. moot. as we noted yesterday, it became apparent the sharpiegate and red-green button concerns would only affect, at most, 191 ballots. biden is likely to win az by ~10k. pointless to argue over 191. moot. am suspecting the judge gave the trump campaign a chance to withdraw or need suffer a what woulda' been a particularly caustic dismissal. am not sure if we adequate conveyed how bad the testimony went for trump in az yesterday. were cringeworthy and by the end o' the day we were actual expecting rule 11 sanctions for the trump campaign lawyers. -- in pennsylvania... am honest not certain where relevant cases stand as is kinda confusing what claims has been dropped or resubmitted. will know more by the end o' the day. Trump lawyers withdraw from key Pennsylvania case challenging vote count "On Tuesday, the firm took down its Twitter account amid a barrage of negative attention from users on the platform critical of the firm’s work with the president. In a statement, a spokesperson noted Porter Wright’s “long history of election law work” on behalf of Democratic, Republican and independent candidates." the other marquee firm representing the trump campaign in pennsylvania is jones day. there have been protests outside jones day offices 'cross the country, but am gonna admit we would be shocked if the j/d lawyers withdrew. ... will update later if there is new news or if we can figure out more 'bout where things stand in pennsylvania. HA! Good Fun!
  5. quick update on trump legal claims: a pennsylvania court agreed the secretary of state did not have the authority to unilateral extend the date when ballots could be submitted. this does not invalidate those votes, as voters reasonably relied on the secretary o' state. regardless, it makes it less likely the sequestered votes received after the original election date deadline will be counted. ~10k. biden is current ahead by 54k, so the sequestered votes are not actual relevant to the Presidential race. this case only has relevancy to down ballot state races. the other pennsylvania cases have not fared well in Court and there hasn't been a new claim. am gonna keep watching but so far the biggest news from pennsylvania regarding non-sequestered votes were the usps employee who recanted a claim o' witnessing fraud by a supervisor. as we type, an arizona judge is expressing a bit o' frustration with trump lawyers. turns out the case in question would possibly affect 191 votes... total. 'ccording to trump campaign lawyers, "this is not a fraud case. we are not alleging fraud. we are not saying anyone is trying to steal the election." trump campaign is suggesting there were, "good faith" errors. voter witnesses is admitting that they became convinced that their vote for trump didn't count either based on conversations with family members, internet research or 'cause o' attorney advice. a couple poll watcher witnesses has now testified that they didn't actual see anything nefarious, however there is a curious argument over red v. green button depression by poll workers. the trump poll watchers don't know if the pressing o' a green button were a bad thing, but they saw it happen numerous times. is getting kinda close to rule 11(b) territory. trump campaign just rested. will update if anything further happens, but were not a good day for trump in az. ... michigan is... the latests michigan case were filed not in michigan but in the dc court of federal claims. if a plaintiff is making a monetary claim 'gainst the fed government, then the court o' federal claims is having jurisdiction. ... am admitted confused. however, michigan is kinda unique in that certification requires an okie dokie from a bipartisan commission o' two democrats and two republicans. if both republicans decide not to certify, then there is no certification and the state legislature needs decide the outcome o' the state election. red state legislature. regardless o' court cases and evidence, all that needs happen in mi is for two republicans to claim there were enough suspicious activity to prevent certification. HA! Good Fun!
  6. it is still veterans day. thank you.
  7. update: about 10 million o' the 50 million vaccine doses available by the end o' the year will be distributed in the US. is a 2-dose vaccine. so, 5 million people in the US could be vaccinated by the end of the year... assuming the vaccine is safe and there is no major production/distribution/storage snafus. please continue to social distance and wear mask when you cannot maintain distance. HA! Good Fun!
  8. but again, we disagree. focusing on biden vote totals is misleading. after all, he were running against trump and point were to get more votes than trump and trump did better in urban areas in 2020 compared to 2016. the largest % o' votes biden got were in urban, but overall he underperformed and in numerous key urban areas such as milwaukee and philadelphia, he underperformed substantial. it were actual his performance in all the smaller areas which won the day for biden... but such a generalization is only mostly true. as we observed, atlanta were a huge get for biden and he improved there dramatic, but the effort to get out the vote in atlanta were no more focused in atlanta than philadelphia. the democrats focused a massive amount o' effort on philadelphia 'cause everybody assumed pennsylvania would be pivotal. failed... relative failed. after the 2016 election, automatic voter registration were implemented in georgia, and almost overnight georgia started shifting purple and it may now go full blue. however, am not suggesting auto-registration= a blue shift. oh, and michigan, which shifted from red to blue in 2020, adopted auto-registration in 2019. alaska and west virginia have auto registration. is not as if making easier to vote turns a state blue. am not suggesting such. however, am thinking such stuff made a difference... particular with young voters with whom biden much overperformed. HA! Good Fun!
  9. covid-19 situation is getting worse in az, and the delta is not good. a possible slowdown o' already plodding pace o' the remaining ballot count is likely. however, 5pm today is the deadline for curing ballots. HA! Good Fun!
  10. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ 2020 presidential has been far more accurate than most suggest. is all the other stuff which failed. polarization made the closeness o' the Presidential race less surprising than may claim, but am thinking the degree o' polarization somehow caught many off guard. down ballot didn't work as expected. polls were too blunt, which is why Presidential ended up reasonable accurate, but as you narrowed focus, the polls got worse and worse. HA! Good Fun!
  11. assuming trump leaves the wh voluntarily, he will be facing almost a dozen criminal and civil charges/cases. am suspecting trumpTV becomes a thing almost asap if for no other reason than that trump is gonna need a whole lotta money yesterday to pay off a massive amount o' debt. as such we will be hearing from trump constant until he ends up doing time, which is increasing likely... but a convicted felon may nevertheless run for President. ... based on typical time frames for such stuff, trump's tax fraud cases will probable only start in 2023, which is when he would need be campaigning. HA! Good Fun! ps am gonna need check, but more than a few states preclude felons from appearing on their ballots.
  12. as an aside, even our generalization 'bout biden underperforming in urban areas is kinda wrong. for example, in atlanta, biden did fantastic and way better than clinton. am thinking automatic registration and young people voting made the biggest difference in georgia, and we would like to see auto-registration become ubiquitous, but regardless, current polling is based on overbroad generalizations and those generalizations need be tailored a fair amount if they is gonna prove useful in the future. HA! Good Fun!
  13. they are waiting for trump support among his base to diminish, and that ain't happening. HA! Good Fun!
  14. biden actual underperformed in urban areas. biden did better than did clinton as a matter o' % as posed to total votes in college towns not in the major urban locations and he did better in the burbs. biden also managed to shrink the losing margin in a few key rural areas. philadelphia, for example, were +63 for biden, but it were +67 for clinton. converse, erie were +1 for biden... and were +2 for trump in 2016. overall, latinos voted same percentages for biden as clinton. +33. by now we have all seen those maps o' texas and florida, yes? biden ran a digital campaign which didn't genuine start 'til 'bout 100 days before the election. 'cause o' covid, the biden campaign were barebones as far as emphasizing personal involvement. perfect reasonable. given covid, it were kinda irresponsible to be going door to door and holding in-person events, but irresponsible didn't stop republicans from mounting an effective targeted campaign. biden, when all is said and done, will have a +5 million popular vote advantage, but because his campaign were unfocused, he underperformed in key geographic areas. in 2016, clinton didn't bother to show up in wisconsin and michigan. in 2020, biden made similar mistakes even if the reasons were understandable and perhaps even unavoidable. weren't that biden skipped campaigning in florida, but he focused on digital media and tv advertising and that clear didn't get the job done in dade county. the various minority populations in this country are polled as if they are monolithic, and that is obvious a mistake. for example, cuban latinos in florida is not same as those in nyc or even california. pretend as if latinos everywhere have same needs and will vote similar is a persistent democrat mistake and is gonna be a tough obstacle to overcome when party itself is almost as polarized as is democrats and republicans. will be interesting to see what democrats learn from their post mortem. HA! Good Fun!
  15. +72 million americans will have voted for trump once all ballots are tallied, and trump is not a republican in any traditional sense. deficit spending. boarderwalls. tariffs and trade wars. distancing self from nato. nevertheless, trump has redefined the party. 70% o' those 72 million trump faithful believe he won the election. loeffler, who is in that senate runoff in georgia, made it a cornerstone o' her campaign that that she is 100% in lockstep agreement with trump on every issue. GOP Senator Says She’s ‘Not Familiar’ With Trump’s Infamous ‘Access Hollywood’ Tape is likely trump will be extreme busy fighting legal battles the next few years, but he is gonna remain the most influential voice in the party for some time. given how trumpers has bought into the faith, am not certain what it will take to end his influence. release documents and compel witnesses to testify once there is no executive privilege may prove just how far trump broke the law to serve himself rather than america, and it still won't make a difference 'cause trump's faithful follow him because of what he says as 'posed to what he has done. am agreeing many traditional republicans want to distance themselves from trump, but they are more concerned with getting reelected than freeing themselves from chaos and pettiness. trump is bigger than the party even if he does leave office. and please recall the main reason trump fired esper is 'cause the former secretary o' defense made it clear he would not sign off on using US military troops to suppress civilians. gd may not believe the US government as a whole (whatever that means) has any reluctance to exact violence on the citizenry o' this nation, but the military brass disagree. it should worry people that trump, who is refusing to concede, replaced a defense secretary who wouldn't legitimize the use o' US military troops to quell protests.
  16. complete unrelated, but our second favorite Congressman is a progressive, lesbian, lawyer (JD from from cornell) and ex-mma fighter who trained at pine ridge for a few years when she were active. congrats on ms. davids winning the kansas 3rd district in 2020. 2nd term. HA! Good Fun!
  17. unlikely. proof is an issue for criminal and you are needing a beyond a reasonable doubt kinda standard for any possible criminal. knowing misrepresent mueller report is criminal and TWO federal judges accused barr o' doing just that... which in any other administration woulda' been huge headline news and woulda' had the nation and media going nuts. hardly anybody noticed. still, one need prove actual criminal intent and am thinking most o' us forget just how difficult it is to reach that level. virtual everything skeevy action barr engaged in will have contemporaneous memos showing he did so with the belief he were following the law and giving legal explanations for his behaviour. gonna be extreme difficult to prove criminal intent for somebody such as barr. more significant is fact the proper remedy is impeachment. you wanna wait on this senate impeaching barr? HA! Good Fun!
  18. didn't know we had to provide every misstatement and mischaracterization by aoc. we offered multiple as well as her own quote on the relative importance o' factual accuracy. again, as seems to have been forgotten already, in response to a a misrepresentation o' pentagon spending (so, another example,) she opined, "I think that there's a lot of people more concerned about being precisely, factually, and semantically correct than about being morally right." and you are assuming we don't like aoc politics. progressives don't bother us. am bothered by folks such as bernie and aoc who make grandiose statements and promises w/o saying exact how their programs is gonna work in the real world. economic, elizabeth warren is as much o' a progressive as bernie and aoc, and while we criticized her native american stuff and her tax scheme, feel free to review the democrat debate coverage on this board. with perhaps one exception we observed how warren were the best prepared and most effective debater on stage. we liked warren. we preferred booker and klobuchar to bernie and the progressives, but find where we criticize warren 'bout anything save the native american stuff and her tax-the-rich scheme. converse, find where we has said positive 'bout aoc. not hard... 'cause we are fair. as much as we do not like how aoc ignores need to provide facts and seems not to care if facts is accurate when she presents 'em, we observed aoc were fantastic cross-examining cohen when he had to testify before congress. we also observed how while her claims that rich people were getting covid tests in march were unsupported by evidence, the fact the entire oklahoma thunder team managed to get tested when the entire state o' oklahoma had less than 200 available tests proved her correct... which is actual yet another example o' aoc making claims w/o facts and evidence. am fair. like with bush and wmds, blix and Gromnir criticized the cherry picking and the lack o' patience regarding inspections... but both Gromnir and blix disagreed with claims o' willful lies... whereas zor quoted a report which concluded no willful lies were made, but you attempted to bend the quote to fit your belief. opposite o' what Gromnir and blix did. so thanks for once again, in your tiresome and predictable way, bringing up the wmd bit. we criticized the US regarding how they handled wmd intelligence, and we were even more critical o' how the US did indeed lie 'bout post invasion troop estimates required for regime building. we don't have any difficulty calling the US liars... when lies is told. am fair. zor might try and be more like blix... or Gromnir for that matter. HA! Good Fun! ps blix wmd berkeley
  19. makes sense, 'cause have not seen any estimate of remaining georgia votes which exceeds 5,000 much less 12,000. saw one estimate which suggested GA total votes remaining could be less than 500. DOJ official steps down over Barr's voter fraud investigation memo am knowing some folks may believe Gromnir is exaggerating the possible threat trump and barr pose in this post election situation, but pilger quit in an effort to make a statement 'bout just how wrong this all is. this ain't normal. this isn't right. trump and barr are not constrained by rules and norms. if the senate won't stop trump and barr, they can do just about anything. mitch mcconnell, lindsey graham and the other senate republicans is the people who will ultimate be responsible for making sure trump doesn't go too far, whatever that means, in this brave new world we have created.
  20. ... anybody wanna let mick in on the news that there is less than 55k votes left to be counted in az, and ~4k o' those is needing be cured by 5pm tomorrow or they go in the round file along with all those ballots the USPS failed to deliver on time? poor dear. trump can still win az. a bit better than 1/2 votes remaining is from red counties, but they is mostly provisional which makes 'em less red if they follow trends. the other 27k votes is from maricopa and pima, and pima has been skewing better than +20 for biden since election day. could be less than a 5k vote gap, but needs be something like 200 total for a recount. HA! Good Fun! ps am not certain what it will take to call georgia. perhaps waiting 'til after the anticipated recount?
  21. shoulda' stayed loathe to do what you invariably do... 'cause as we has noted innumerable times, we criticized the US govt. for cherry picking only the intelligence supporting their wmd beliefs. we observed, as did blix, that the US were so convinced o' a conclusion that they ignored the intelligence which did not support the conclusion. blizx admitted he thought the iraqi's had wmds as late as the winter before the invasion. were foolish. US were stoopid. were wrong. not sure how many times we need say. however, were no knowing mistruth. blix and Gromnir agree and were once again zor reading and twisting specific quotes out of context to reach a conclusion no supported by the senate finding you quoted... or blix, who you claimed agreed with your assessment o' US lies. aoc is also stoopid all too often. she only sees what she wants to see. she willful ignores evidence which would diminish her cause and just pulls nonsense outta thin air, like the bread silliness, to lend credence to what she believes. bs artists made worse because she believes she is moral right. her and **** cheney should get along. and as for chairchucker "that strong"? *snort* r we stated, "aoc recent tweeted and did interviews claiming how the progressive platform actual insulated democrats from failure." just one article providing example. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/08/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-ends-truce-by-warning-incompetent-democratic-party again, how would you react if trump did similar? create a chart with covid-19 death rate compared to total cases as 'posed to total population. similar funny number nonsense to make a point. sure, you can argue the validity, but is a misrepresentation. you defend 'cause you like her and her policy and when trump does similar... converse, we criticize both aoc and trump when they pull similar shenanigans. she told you what her priorities are and it don't bother you. factual accuracy matters less than being moral right? HA! Good Fun! ps blix berkeley wmd and kp should know reposting paywall articles in full is a copyright violation... and wrong.
  22. you didn't say anything new in the rest o' the post. and again, aoc came right out and admitted she prioritizes moral right over factual accuracy. even now you aren't willing to call her out over her claim o' moral right v. factual accuracy. avoiding does not strengthen your defense. aoc didn't apologize for her theft o' bread mistake or hoax mistakes or her campaign funding claims or her attempt to recharacterize the difficulty o' running as a progressive democrat in a country that looks very red when you get outside of major metropolitan areas. just like trump. yeah, trump does more often. he is constant talking and constant lying. aoc just doesn't seem to care 'bout facts 'cause again, as she said, it is better to be moral right than factual accurate. you like her policies. as for az... we explained above how trump is fighting in multiple states to delegitimize the vote counts, and all he really needs is a couple o' judges to delay long enough to give republican legislatures in states such as michigan and pennsylvania an excuse and time to overturn the results o' the election. say it can't happen? say republicans wouldn't go so far? haven't been paying attention these past 4 years. trump will do anything. he won't need work near so hard to break american democracy if a state such as az ends up going his way. also, fox and ap called az for biden. if az goes red, it proves to trumpers that the media calling elections is obviously flawed. az and georgia may not be necessary, but this is a post trump world in which we live. have you never watched a zombie film? HA! Good Fun!
  23. why should it matter? call out the wrong. if you don't call out a wrong when it is your guy, what does that make you? this were the biggest single drop o' the day, and pretty much all red counties has exhausted everything but provisionals and those ballots waiting to be cured. https://arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html am suspecting yavapai will release a significant % o' their remaining 1300 tabulated this eve, and those should be serious in favor o' trump. isn't over, but is a tough road for trump to gain enough with the remaining votes being mostly maricopa and pima. HA! Good Fun!
  24. dear lord. the hypocrisy is thick. if trump, in defense o' his misleading statements and factual inaccuracies defended by observing it were more important to be moral right than factual accurate, would chairchucker or any other aoc fan let trump forget it? *shakes head sadly* some folks never change. you accuse others o' the sins for which you most frequent commit. HA! Good Fun!
  25. hardly thefts were down 7%... homicides up +20% the thing is, is fun to call out trump and is easy Tapper: I Did Not Fact Check AOC "Mischaracterizing" Trump Because He Didn't Say The Truth Either different treatment? why? in the more liberal media homesteads, they like aoc. trump does fail fact checks more than aoc... but is 'cause of volume. on a per statement basis? dunno. we assume both is talking out their arse until we verify. as we noted earlier, the last time we heard aoc making public statements, she were clear misleading. only days ago. the democrats in rural parts o' this country who failed to win their elections would not have had a better showing if they embraced medicare for all. duh. trying to spin numbers to create an alternate reality is gaslighting whether is aoc doing or trump. if you can't call out both when they do same bad thing, then you are no better. HA! Good Fun!
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