kanisatha
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Everything posted by kanisatha
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Indeed. The Ukrainian strategy here is brilliant. Gievn RU softness currently in the Donbas the UA is hitting them hard there, including the new offensive now into Luhansk. But the Donbas is what Putin and co. have been insisting the war is ALL about now for months. So how can they justify losing the Donbas while holding onto Kherson and the southern areas? So I now fully expect the Russians will have no choice but to pull out a lot of their forces in the south, including their best forces there, and move them (back) to the Donbas. And the instant that happens, based on that awesome real-time battlefield intel from the US, the UA will launch a big push in the south to take advantage of the Russian pullout. But even in the Donbas, those RU reinforcements will end up being too little too late (and they will take a pounding from UA artillery as they move). Many Western intel analysts now say RU has lost the ability to mount large-scale offensive ops, and can barely handle large-scale defensive ops. This is why all of this could be the endgame for the war ... and maybe why Lavrov yesterday finally came out of the hole he's hiding in to say that he was 'ready' for negotiations with the Ukrainians whenever they are willing to talk. Side-note: We can now also see in Libya, Syria, and the south Caucasus anti-Russian forces on the move because they all sense Russia's conventional military weakness.
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As a political scientist I am quite impressed how well, and consistently well, Zelenskiy has been with his political performance since the RU invasion. This particular line in that interview, which I had seen elsewhere, is pure political gold (and just plain awesome too): "Cold, hunger, darkness and thirst are not as scary and deadly for us as your 'friendship and brotherhood.' But history will put everything in its place. And we will be with gas, light, water and food ... and WITHOUT you!" (his emphasis)
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Yup, this is the biggest part of the disaster for RU forces in the east right now: that their forces are abandoning most heavy equipment in their frenzy to escape UA encirclement. Tanks, IFVs, artillery, rocket launchers, SAMs, everything being abandoned as they flee, which is not only a boon to the UA but also will make it very difficult for Russia to reconstitute new units from the remnants of their defeated forces. Bad enough they're deploying reserve units with untrained conscripts, now those conscripts will not have decent equipment either even while the equipment of the UA is only getting better and better.
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According to US defense sources, the UA is operationally using only five tactical brigade groups in their offensive in the east. And they confirm that US Special Operations Command is relaying tactical battlefield intel on the Russians in real-time to the UA. So this is why my guess is the US saw the redeployment of RU forces from Khar'kiv to Kherson (which included RU spetsnaz and airborne units which are the last remaining Tier 1 RU units), and gave UA real-time intel on exactly where to attack on the eastern front. The UA in turn has been excellent in acting very fast on the intel they're receiving, and being able to make very rapid battlefield changes to their attack plans, because the US is literally telling them in real-time exactly where RU units are located and the strength of those RU units. Furthermore, read this article about how awesome the triple-7 has been in UA hands; way more of a game-changer than the much-more widely discussed HiMARS systems. The UA is now in the position of teaching us and NATO how to effectively fight a modern conventional war in an urban setting. https://www.sandboxx.us/blog/the-m777-is-deadly-in-ukrainian-hands-but-even-deadlier-in-americas/
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LOL! Cannot resist the call of D&D. I even backed this game on Kickstarter. But it is definitely a case of loving it in spite of it being TB. I think that for 5e D&D, TB combat is tolerable because it can work well when done properly, as TA has done with Solasta. It's quite amazing, though, that a tiny developer like TA, using Kickstarter funds, has done a waaaaaaaaay better job of creating a decent combat system than Larian has done with BG3.
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There's no "failure" in Kherson. It's a harder fight there, and yet UA is making slow but steady progress. My analysis is that the Kherson front was always the main front for the UA offensive. Then, when the Russians shifted forces from the Khar'kiv area to reinforce the south, the Ukrainians very quickly organized an opportunistic offensive in Khar'kiv. It's not just the significant quantities of relevant weaponry the US is giving Ukraine but also the high-quality, real-time intel the US is feeding them that is a game-changer.
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Yup, and sugar too. Even restaurants put sugar into everything including their entres. So very annoying. I hate even the slightest of sweetness in my main meal. Sweetness should be limited to drinks, desserts and some breakfast foods and that's it.
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Damn. Scrubbed for today. Engine bleed is dangerous, so I'd have to agree with the call. Waiting on the new launch date.
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Artemis I is a go for tomorrow morning. A whole heck of a lot is riding on this launch, including whether we stay ahead of the Chinese in this second space race: https://www.nasa.gov/specials/artemis-i/ It's the most powerful rocket humans have launched since the Skylab Saturn V shot in 1973. 8.8 million pounds of thrust at launch, and hauling 154,000 pounds to the moon. YEE-HAW!!
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I have to agree with you here that *some* of the writing in PoE1 was needlessly excessive. But for me that was specific to Chris Avellone's writing. He is the one who tended to throw up walls of text everywhere, and for some strange reason people seem to be taken up by this as representing *awesome* writing. I find Avellone's writing pedantic, pompous, and boring. Remove Avellone's writing from PoE1 and the problem goes away (effectively what we had in PoE2).
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Hey thanks! Everything you say here is exactly how I feel also and are my preferences as well. Even when it comes to playing Civ, I play exclusively by using the game options to make myself the only civ on the map and play purely against myself to build the most efficient empire I can. I too have no interest in the military/political/extermination elements of Civ, and only in "perfectly" placing my cities and then building them up (until that gets boring).
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Like me you seem to have a love for these kinds of city-management games, so let me ask you a question. I've tried out quite a few of these games: Dawn of Man, Patron, Settlers, Surviving Mars, and of course Civilization (and on my wishlist: Old World, Kingdoms Reborn, Terraformers). The problem for me with these games always is that I love how they start out, and love the early turns in the game. But eventually, at some point in the development of my settlement, the job of managing the city becomes a painful, repetitive chore and I lose my interest in further developing my city. For all the many times I've played these games, I've never once finished a single game. So, is there some secret to getting around this problem? Are there any city management games that have successfully overcome this problem?
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Based off of what I read on our military preparedness, including both academic/think-tank and journalistic sources. There are plenty of analyses out there on such things as widespread obesity in the ranks, inability of the military to find enough recruits and so standards being lowered/ignored (off the record) so that quotas may be filled, merit being practically nonexistent and politics driving command promotions, and soldier surveys showing that service is not among the main reasons young people nowadays join the military.
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Yes it does also apply to China. But in China's case such things as poor training, poor logistics, and general incompetence of soldiers are already factored into US analyses of Chinese capabilities. But our spin on our own soldiers is that they are "awesome," and I'm quite certain many in the Pentagon have bought into their own spin and propaganda. So it's a matter of expectations v. reality. Our expectations of performance for the average Chinese soldier will be low, and this will be matched by reality. Our expectations of performance for the average US soldier will be high, but this will NOT be matched by reality, hence this will be a rude shock.
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Good article. Their point about being able to "cheat" yourself during peacetime but then paying the price for it when in war strikes me as being just as relevant to the US as Russia. I believe the average American soldier today is incapable of standing and fighting in any competent form. In peacetime the generals and politicians are able to spin and cover up this reality. But soon war with China is going to happen, and then we the American people are going to be devastatingly shocked to learn of the extent to which our military prowess has been allowed to deteriorate and wither.