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Elerond last won the day on May 29
Elerond had the most liked content!
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3069 ExcellentAbout Elerond
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I am sure that Ukraine would target Moscow if it becomes strategically effective. Currently targeting Moscow has only fear effect which does little against Russia as pressure from population towards their leadership is minimal. But I am pretty sure that they would bombard Moscow if they were able to drive Russian forces away from Ukraine and their goal was to force Russia to surrender. Now it more important for them to hinder Russia's capability to push their forces forward in Ukraine and hope that Russia will exhaust so much resources that they need to find different solution. So far situation looks quite bleak even though it looks like that Russia's war economy has peaked and may start to decrease rabidly, Russia still has resource to fight several years without too much issues, where Ukraine's ability to continue the fight still relies mostly on support from other countries.
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The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
I would guess that tech bros like that Trump and republicans don't look regulations for AI, except for their Chinese competitors. During Biden era OpenAI, Meta etc. tried to be proactive with regulation for AI research, but after Trump take office all talk about regulating AI has halted, giving tech companies free ability to break copyright and use people private information to teach their models, tech companies even push spy modules on computers to log how people are using their computers, use their data in cloud services and social media and feed that to learning data for their models. They are able to do lot of things that should be blocked by data protection, copyright and trademark laws and they clearly hope use this situation to make situation such that there is no point create regulations in future either, because all the information is already permanently pushed in the models and trying to remove that data would lead lot of things breaking because AI is pushed everywhere. -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
£2 Billion sounds quite low, considering that with OpenAI's current pricing it would cost over £10 billion and if OpenAI has not done something meaningful to cut costs then even that £10 billion would most likely causes them losses, even though it probably would give them virtual monopoly in UK. Maybe OpenAI count that most of the people would not actually use the service and hope that number of super users will be relatively low, but still I am bit sceptic that it would be profitable for them, but they have not pursued profits for now anyway and investors still throw them money with unfathomable speed. -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
I didn't watch it. But I have watched lots of other videos of his debates and seen how he does things most of the time Here is one student telling about her debate with Kirk Point of the debate is to bring up the merits of the point of the view that you are debating for, but if you always pivot to another question or topic when you are challenged then that isn't mark of good debater, but it maybe indication that you can think fast, which may allow you to win over the audience even though you weren't able to actually defend you point Lets say that in doctorial candidate defends their dissertation, when questioned their facts that by questioning questioner about facts of different topic. Would you say they are defending well their dissertation and their research or are they just hoping to distract questioner so that they don't see that they can't defend their research? Also I would point out that people can easily have fun in debates even if everyone involved is absolute garbage in debating, because having fun doing something does not mean that you are good at it. I have fun playing football, but at best I am bit worse than you 7th division player. -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Kirk was awulf debater that always pivots to new point when his opponent ask difficult question. It is bad faith debating meant only to market their own points. Sadly that seems to be the style of debating that people like to watch instead of actually trying to find actual merit in the topics. World did not lose anything with him, and he himself agrees with that and to honor his views we should not waste any empathy to him or anyone to close to him, it is what he would want. -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Kirk was a poor debater who constantly pivoted to new points whenever faced with difficult questions. His style was rooted in bad faith, serving only to market his own views rather than engage with the actual substance of the discussion. Unfortunately, this kind of shallow performance is exactly what many people seem to enjoy, rather than seeking genuine merit in the topics themselves. The world lost nothing with his passing. By his own words and attitude, he would not want empathy wasted on him or those close to him—and honoring that wish is the most fitting response. -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Only if it isn't commercial, but is marked as gift and still it may not go through -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/aug/25/postal-services-in-europe-suspend-parcel-shipments-to-us-amid-uncertainty-over-tariffs It seems that our wise rulers forgot something and now new rules or maybe better say lack or rules block all small trade from EU to USA -
In Iraq war UK send 47k troops. Poland send 194 troops that were already in area to particitipate the ivasion. US invasion force was 150k troops. No other European coutries participated in the invasion. After Bush declared victory, multinational force than has mostly troops from Nato countries was formed to help keep peace, it had about 20k troops. In Afganistan international alliance sent at peak about 40k troops and US 90k troops. Both were wars that US started and its allies send help. (Notable exception Israel which didn't help in either war)
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The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Even GDP (PPP) per capita isn't the greatest metric, as it doesn't show how capital has been divided in the country. Ireland is good example where GDP (PPP) per capita does not give accurate picture how much average Irish person has money, because they have inflated GDP because they have so many mega corporates flowing money through Ireland, but most of the Irish don't benefit from that money, because corporate taxes there are so low and corporations don't really invest in Ireland. -
The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?
Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic
Tariffs has not had yet effect long enough that they would show anywhere but in imf's prediction data which draws trend that shows that China will pass EU again in 2026. And EU would have survived economically full trade war with USA, now long term it means that EU will slowly lose its US trade. -
Security gurantees need willinges to send troops otherwise they aren't security gurantees. Selling weapons does not work as security gurantee, it is just way to make amrs trade look better. Logistical support for European jets could make security gurantees by some European countries easier, but mostly that is empty talk as USA does not have logistical capacity in the area where those jets needs to operate and USA does not have plans to have logistical capacity there. So USA will not provide any security gurantees for Ukraine in Trumps current pland.
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I am not sure if they take security seriously, as they are handling classified documents in public wifi,which we know because in order to use public printer in hotel they need to connect in hotel's public wifi. I am pretty sure that they can't make that wifi secure even with secure vpn, but instead all the communication has been quite easy to access by any spy that has seen little effort