Elerond

Most important thing in the trade deal is that coffee price should drop. I am am willing to let farmers to lose their livelihood for cheaper coffee

It seems that Venezuela has new president, as Trump declared that he is acting president of Venezuela.

Considering how poorly maintained some of the US government databases have been, I would not be surprised if all the ICE agent's personal data is already in sale in darker corners of the internet. And when public hatred towards official rise there is always those who see it as opportunity make fame and publish data from one of the many data breaches in past.

Interesting how qualified immunity has been upgraded to absolute immunity.

No worries current regime of love and peace has already declared her domestic terrorist.

Clearly she is even worse drug dealer, she should repent as soon as possible and send oil instead of drugs to US

Maduro didn't get in power without support (from politicians, officials, judges, military etc.). And those that supported him and his questionable leadership, most likely will not suddenly want in power members of opposition that they have persecuted. Member of opposition are now boldened and they will see that this is their opportunity to cease the power. It also seems that Venezuela's armed forces are divided of who they want to support. So the likelihood of civil war is high. There are also those actual drug barons in South America that see this as opportunity to have their puppet in control.

Likelyhood of civil war in Venezuela increased quite lot. They were already quite close, and now current regime is in chaos, but probably will not give up their position willingly and I am not sure that opposition has enough power to force regime change without bloodshed. This will also most likely start new era of forced regime changes all over the world. Or at least attempts. As what is allowed to one is seen allowed to all.

Carbon import tax is already implemented, it comes in effect starting from today. It adds same tax/cost to imported steel, cement, hydrogen, aluminum, fertilizers and electricity which is paid for those products if they are produced in EU via EU's emission trading system. It has been in transitional phase from 2023. During transition phase importers only needed to declare emissions and buy Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) certificate. Producers in EU also lose their free CO2 allowances and now they need to pay for each CO2 ton they produce. EU parliament and commission are looking to extend hard cut deadline for combustion engines, so that there would be no total ban for combustion engines in 2035, because of lobbying from European car manufactures. Current plan is to allow production of new combustion engines after 2035, but they need to use renewable fuel or hydrogen. Renewable energy become cheaper today compared to energy produced by fossil fuel, because energy producers using fossil fuel lost their free CO2 allowances. Renewable Energy Financing Mechanism (RENEWFM) is the largest EU financial aid tool for building new energy production.

AlphaFold is specialized AI model, which was the norm before LLM and other generative models took over the market. Amount of memory and processing time it needs to run is much lower than what the generic generative models need. Models like AlphaFold will not save AI bubble from bursting because they don't need those trillions of dollars worth of hardware, that has caused the bubble to form.

Somewhat ironic to use second and third generation migrants as example how migrants are bad for America

Considering that they followed EU rules still 5 years ago in this matter, I would say no. Issue with importing food from America is in USA's poor documentation of origin of many of their foods. Like for example there is no need for cattle famers to document where their cows have been born. So they have lots of cows imported from Mexico and Canada and there is currently no way to trace origin of most of the beef they sell. In order to allow American foods in EU, EU would need to remove many restrictions from its own members, because otherwise they would give US companies exorbitant advantage on the market. And if politician give market advantage for US food companies, they need to be prepared on fact that EU farmers will bury their homes in literal **** even more than they currently do https://www.instagram.com/reels/DSNrgY-gCTP/

Proposed peace deal also is not a treaty (as joining to legally binding treaties demand quite long political and legal process in most of the countries and they don't have anyone that has authority to actually sign such deal without parliament vote), but BM like agreement. So if BM does not have any legal merits so does not this proposed peace deal. It is just agreement between countries without anything behind it to enforce it. And so like BM all the signatory countries can just abrogate it when they think they don't feel like it should beholden them. Even though politicians and media speak article 5 like security guarantees, those can't be given in proposed peace deal, because it would actually need Nato like organization behind it to enforce it, which the proposed peace deal says that Ukraine can't be member of. Also article 5 is not that strong guarantee of anything when you go just by the text.

Ukraine did have security guarantees from USA, UK and Russia also later on France and China promised to guarantee it borders as part of deal stop all nuclear weapon research. But any way it will be much more difficult to put sanctions and give weapons in future by European nations. Europe's political climate has changed from 2022 and support for EU level sanctions has dropped and also EU's Russia supporting block has got new members, in 2022 there was only Hungary, now there is also Slovakia, and in Czech the new prime minister Babis is not keen to put sanctions on Russia. Weapons are also much more difficult question now, for now EU countries have mostly given weapons from their old stock piles, but with modern weaponry countries have mostly said that they don't want to escalate the conflict. So in possible future conflict support is less certain and in case where USA is reluctant to offer support, then support that you can except from European Nato members, maybe next to nothing if security guarantees that they need to offer aren't clearly spelled out in the peace deal.

As it is, it does not provide any security guarantee, as it gives any signatory country to decide how they will help in case Ukraine is invaded. No troops, no weapons, no sanctions, nothing concrete is promised and as it also means that Ukraine can't join any military alliance not accepted by Russia it will most likely give even less security than guarantees given in Budapest Memorandum.