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Everything posted by Zoraptor
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Bush (and Kasich/ Romney) have pretty much shut up, at this point at least. I know there's talk of Bush/ Romney endorsing Johnson but at present that's talk only, and they aren't making speeches at the convention. Ironically, Cruz may have done a lot more for Trump by not endorsing him. And a Bush endorsement would hardly be an unequivocal benefit either.
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Farsnews is OK, at least in these circumstances- I don't believe the details of the report without corroboration (which won't come) but I'd strongly suspect that they genuinely were given that information. Iran doesn't really benefit from making it up while it's a source that will be discredited automatically in the west but reported in Russia. Best of both worlds since it further repairs relations with Russia- along with all the throwing of the F16 pilots under the bus, not quite literally*- and won't impact relations with the west too much. I'd say that Putin likes leaders who can be manipulated or who stay out of his way. I suspect he's pretty agnostic towards actual corruption elsewhere except insofar as it means that that leader can be bought/ influenced. I'm not sure that Erdogan falls into either of those categories as he's too unpredictable and far too emotional- but at least he's unpredictable and overly emotional to everyone, including his supposed western partners. *Which is, of course, a load of opportunistic bollocks. Davitoglu and Erdogan were pretty explicit about ordering the shoot down, back when they were beating their nationalist chests at Russia instead of domestic opposition.
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Russia alerts Turkey to coup? Possible, I guess, but doesn't seem likely. PR seems far more likely, much like the reports that the pilots who shot down the Russian Su24 were coup plotters and killed (at first)/ arrested. Having said that, Turkey has cut off support for one of their two most direct proxies in Syria (and even did so a few days before they decided to show how moderate they were by decapitating a 10 year old on camera) so there's definitely some quid pro quo going on. And of course anything that potentially weakens ties to either NATO or the EU is in Russia's interests, and there's no one with as much ability to alienate others as Erdy especially when he's full of righteous fury. He's managed to alienate... everyone except Qatar at some point over the past few years. He even had a fight with Saudi over Morsi and their sponsored coup in Egypt let alone his fights with Merkel, Netanyahu, Putin, Assad etc.
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Turkey was never going to get into the EU anyway. If they couldn't get in with the moderate secular CHP* in power they certainly won't with a wannabe Sultan religious nutbar in power. Recep Tayyip Erdogollum certainly knows that, hence the strongarming to get EU lite concessions like visa free travel over the refugee crisis. EU is the dangling carrot, but the donkey has got wise. Kind of lol though that there are people (eg Kerry) openly insinuating that Turkey could be kicked out of NATO. In one sense not before time but everyone knows that ain't going to happen either. *I literally cannot write that acronym without the theme to CHiPs going off in my head. Aleppo, Syria. Red = government, green = rebels, yellow = kurds. The last route into the rebel areas of urban Aleppo at left of map, Castello Rd, is now cut as of about a day ago. Why oby didn't just say that who knows. Ironically Oby's image comes from a notoriously pro rebel source that also hosts perhaps the most anti Russian 'analysis' of Ukraine in existence.
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That's a pretty safe bet- the recent BBC Robin Hood was not great. It had some lol SJW tropes such as Tuck being black, the Nasir (? too long since I saw 80s RH) equivalent was an arab girl and the lead was just too weedy to be convincing; but they weren't actually the worst thing about it. On the other hand, Keith Allan as the sheriff was inspired in his scenery chewing (not quite as awesome as he was in 'Bodies', but close) and while Richard Armitage wasn't as good as previous Guy he did a good job.
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That's seems unlikely to help. You'd presumably still have the manipulatable local control just with additional state/ federal layers on top and you'd still have a culture that protects 'bad' cops at the ground level. A national and genuinely independent police complaints investigation authority seems like a far better idea, along with mandated body cams and the like. The first tackles the problem that you often have other cops andor prosecutors who have to work with them regularly investigating their colleagues or those they want to be innocent/ not prosecute while the second provides a proper and at least theoretically impartial record of what actually happened.
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You can force vsync on in your video card's control panel if you want it on. That works fine.
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Moderate is just a relative term. Moderate islam doesn't exist in the sense that there's a sect called 'moderate islam' any more than moderate christianity exists in the same sense as catholicism or greek orthodox exists. But moderate islam certainly exists in the sense that it's moderate compared to ISIS takfirism or Saudi Wahhabism. The real problem with Islam is the same as the real problem with Christianity, you can interpret it however you want to justify whatever you want then pat yourself on the back for being morally correct too. While Erdogan is taking advantage of it- it's more than just suspicious when you're dismissing as many judges as you have arrested soldiers following a coup attempt, there was clearly a list of wrong thinkers drawn up waiting for an opportunity to be used- there's very very little to no chance that the coup itself was a set up. If there's anything everyone agrees with about Erdogan it's that he's an egotist and there was far too much stuff happening that damaged his image, even just the fact that a coup was attempted damages it. If it was a set up he wouldn't be using facebook to try to address the nation etc. He just plain isn't that pragmatic; quite the reverse he's made a multitude of errors based on emotion and ego.
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If you're going to go for a coup you've got to be prepared to be ruthless about it because you can bet the other side will be if you're not. That's what the Egyptian military did when deposing Morsi, and it worked. If you're not prepared to really go through with it then you're better off not doing it at all. And doing it requires, basically, both the will and a proper plan to decapitate the government both figuratively and if necessary, literally. They're not necessarily the same people. Most foreign people want Erdogan gone whether or not they're pro Assad. And publicly at least the big anti Assad players all came out for Erdogan.
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There weren't kamikaze at Pearl Harbour, the closest is some of the midget submariners who weren't expected to be able to return. If Al Qaeda/ ISIS had done it there would have been. On the individual level? The average Japanese would just know their own cultural norms, and that's all. On that level their extremism is understandable and rational, so not a sign of mental illness. You certainly cannot say the same for the average western muslim terrorist though, if anything it's 'cultural shock'/ rebellion against societal norms rather than their adherence which is the breaking point for them- and when it comes right down to it it's deviation from societal norms which is usually a sing of mental illness, not adherence to them. I wouldn't necessarily say that all muslim terrorists in the west are mentally ill, much as I wouldn't say the average burglar suffers from kleptomania rather than just being a self entitled dong, but I'd bet that most would be if you could test them. And when it comes right down to it that burglar isn't likely to blow themselves up while nicking your telly.
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There's clearly a mental health issue there. These people are generally committing suicide as well as killing people, which is seldom a sign of mental stability in the young and healthy.
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My logic is that if a group hasn't appeared to support Erdogan through force of arms at this stage, its less likely (practically impossible) to appear with each passing hour. Would we know if there was? If units on the Syrian border, say, were loyal to Erdogan it would take them a long time to get to Ankara let alone Istanbul. And any fighting would likely take place in army bases or rural areas and not be reported by the state media which is controlled by the coup forces. With much of social media not working there's plenty of scope for fighting or loyalist troops to be around and for us to simply not know. After all, it's in the coup's best interests to minimise coverage of any resistance so as to discourage any others who are thinking of resisting either in the civilian populace or military/ police/ intelligence. Also while we may dislike the AKP and Erdogan it has to be remembered that he genuinely, regularly, won elections with actual majorities and not just pluralities. There are a lot of Turks who like him every bit as much as there are a lot of external and internal people who dislike him.
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'Holier than thou' implies religion and uppity implies class aspiration; I prefer the more neutral 'smug and self important', ta muchly. Anyone over 30 here remembers that the only terrorism we've had was from the French Government, which makes the usual narrative far more difficult to sustain.
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Doesn't look like they've nabbed either Erdogan or his PM though. That really should have been the first step if they wanted to succeed or not end up with different army groups fighting each other. It is kind of ironic that a military coup probably would increase Turkey's chances of EU accession.
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Heh, these threads are always a fountain of wisdom and repository of measured and well thought out arguments. Or perhaps they're just replete with false dichotomies, absolutism and a war on common sense with a few gems thrown in? I get confused between the two options, sometimes. You can have people who are disadvantaged being a factor in them being asterisked off without it being the only factor, you can have immigration being a factor without it being 'bolt the doors, rape gangs incoming' vs 'open the floodgates, peace love and lentils for all' and you can have pretty much every single thing here mentioned being a factor without it having to be true of everyone/ everything to the exclusion of everything else. Anders Breivik may not be equivalent to the Bataclan, but he certainly is near equivalent to this guy- practical differences are choice of weapon and lack of a political manifesto, and that's about it. And that isn't even mentioning any SJW type stupidities. The 'answer' is neither sending tanks into the banlieue nor is it to convert everyone to Islam and impose Sharia and it's certainly not to do what most will do: wankery intended mostly to make themselves feel better by doing Something Utterly Ineffectual like #StopKony2012/ #JeSuisCharlie etc To illustrate, a random comment: Well, we all know what we're meant to answer, don't we. It's those evil muslims. Except, of course, there's another way to answer the question. The common denominator in most terrorist attacks is that the victims are muslim. 3 attacks in France over the last 18 months, that's an average week for Iraq. Poor muslims, what have they done to be the target of all that terrorism? I blame Bliar, Bu$h, drones and the US and UK etc etc. Both answers manage the difficult (heh) task of being both true and an utterly pointless rhetorical construct designed to push an agenda at the same time. A measured response to terrorism regards a bunch of stuff as being factors- economics, religion, integration, displacement/ war, radical ideologies of various types, social media, and in the case of muslim terrorism the big one: Saudi Arabia's sponsorship of stone age ideology/ takfirism- and a range of different potential solutions that are very unlikely to be quick and easy single action fixes. You have to address and acknowledge all the underlying issues not just the ones that suit your worldview, but fitting that narrative is just so much easier.
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God damn community organisers, with their, er, communities and organising? Looking at the average US police force it's pretty clear which group is prepared for 'waging a war', and it ain't the community or their organisers; it's the ones with all the surplus corporate welfare military hardware.
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You can't rebind cursor keys in DS, never have been able to. Only way to do it is with one of the key binding utilities. It's not the sort of thing GOG can really fix as it isn't a bug per se, it's just how the game is built. The vysnc issue is a bug but since EA never fixed it in three games I wouldn't expect it to be fixed either- and it does have a relatively easy solution. I have to admit I really liked Dead Space. It's very derivative of System Shock 2 and parts of it are almost directly cribbed from its design docs (hydroponics) but it's derivative in a good way. The lack of HUD and having Isaac take up a third of the screen plus be lumbering and imprecise seems like bad ideas as well, but they just work practically. Plus, I get some amusement that Isaac is basically Arnold Rimmer, vending machine repair man, rather Master Chief McDoomGuy like nearly every other equivalent protagonist.
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Unfortunately their #1 choice had to turn the role down since he was too busy being married to the Queen. 2016, you have been an... interesting year so far.
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Half a league, half a league, half a league, onwards? (He did have a magnificent conk, and he was an excellent general. Shame about being named after gumboots and being perhaps Britain's worst prime minister of all time (of all time!) though)
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That is essentially it. The issue of violence in their formation is a parallel one- you can have peacefully formed organic and artificial states, and either can be formed via violence as well. The main difference is whether they're intrinsically stable and made up of people who are mostly/ entirely happy to be part of that country, or not. It's all pretty subjective though, and there's certainly no hard definition.
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It isn't the use of violence during formation that meant they weren't organic, it was that they had to put effort in- threat of violence, usually- to simply maintain themselves as a country. Without that effort they just kind of... fell apart into bits which didn't require as much effort to hold together. If they'd been organic they would not have fallen apart when the opportunity arrived. There isn't any sort of hard taxonomy as to what constitutes being an organic country and it would be possible with sufficient effort and time to become organic through assimilation- it's more that if you were to draw 'low energy' boundaries around areas in Europe linking those with similar cultures/ religions together you would tend to put them more or less where the borders currently are. That certainly isn't the case in the 19th century; nor is/ was it the case for arbitrarily created countries. (That's a 'chemistry' view of geopolitics where low energy states are more stable and high energy ones tend to decay. Blame the use of the term organic for it if you want)
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Isn't that pretty much the nature of nation states? Not necessarily; the 19th century situation was quite artificial and the EU is effectively an attempt to go back to an even more extreme version of that situation with one 'empire'. Then, Europe was dominated by large multi ethnic empires held together, ultimately, by threat of force; military force probably does not now apply but there's certainly implied economic... leverage that can be applied. Then, even somewhere like Spain (or the aforementioned France) which had 'natural' borders that had been established, more or less, for 500 years were multiethnic, and an amalgam of even older proto-countries that theoretically at least they could revert to. That's largely not true for France nowadays except for some lingering sentiment in Brittany, but is for Spain. However, if you look at the break ups of the empires after WW1 the countries which ended up stable and surviving long term where the ones which formed 'spontaneously' via popular sentiment and which were 'historical' entities. Poland, Lithuania, Hungary, Czechoslovakia (~Bohemia) and to an extent Finland all had long term identities prior to ending up in their respective empires. Same for the organic part of the Ottoman break up too, Bulgaria, Serbia, Greece and Romania (via Wlach/ Moldova) all had long term identities. The 'non organic' approach is always fraught with danger, as with the non organic/ imposed parts of the breaks ups of the Austro Hungarian and Ottoman empires. From that you got Yugoslavia on one hand and that cretinous artificial arbitrary mess in the middle east that still causes so much trouble on the other. That's why an imposed EU is not just a bad idea but verges on being outright dangerous. If it's going to be done it has to be done via genuine popular approval rather than just acclamation from the political elite. Otherwise it risks springing apart, and potentially springing apart violently.
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Most nation states in Europe did evolve organically. At, say, the end of the 19th century almost all the states in existence had a long history of being in existence. Even today there are only a handful of European states with little to no history of being independent going back centuries- Latvia, Estonia, Kosovo (if you support arbitrarily seizing land off another country via military force at least), Slovenia, Bosnia and Macedonia/ FYROM. Plus a couple of arguable ones like Italy ~ Rome, Belgium/ Luxemburg or Greece which were never formally countries prior to the 1830s; but even then it's nearly 200 years ago. They all show a progression to where they are now. Personally, I dislike nation states in theory; but there has to be a better alternative and powerful supra national entities tend to be either ineffective (UN; deliberately neutered also systemically biased) or just another layer of power atop or replacing the countries' like the EU. Reality is that you could scarcely get a more top down development of something than the EU. It's tended to use manufactured consensus tactics to increase it's own power via parliamentary (or equivalent) votes rather than referenda; when it tries popular approval such via referenda it tends to lose rather too much so, as with the EU constitution, it cancels everything after some embarrassment from Frenchies and Dutchies then fiats everything in via amendments with only parliamentary approval (which get rejected by the Irish in a referendum, so solution is to... re-run the referendum until you get approval, of course). EU is a case study on railroading tactics. Having said that the EU certainly is bottom up, in a sense- the 'bend over and take it from your betters' sense. OTOH, Nationalism in the 'Springtime of Nations' sense was about as spontaneous and bottom up as you could get at the time: not particularly so, but far more than the existing situation. Nationalism can of course easily be used for bad purposes as can religion or any other belief, but that's just human nature. People kill each other over even more trivial guff all the time.
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"Founder's Edition". Basically a badge for not being patient and paying over the odds as an early adapter. 1060 looks like it's a spoiler card for the 480 more than anything else. Can't see it having wide availability at its stated price point either.
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That really depends on how he endorses her. He's already said he'd be voting for her if he lost which is an endorsement to most practical purposes. If he talks about how bad Trump is rather than how awesome Hillary is there's no principle violation, and he can actually hit most of his talking points without directly criticising Hillary. It would only violate his principles if he actually thought Trump was a better candidate since Hillary is the only other viable candidate or if he starts waxing lyrical about Wall Street, SuperPACs and the like. More realistically he could order his supporters to vote Hillary, which would definitely be a mistake- I'd expect only a personal and fairly limited endorsement.