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Mamoulian War

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Everything posted by Mamoulian War

  1. I have found and interesting analysis by Timothy Snyder published on 5th october. https://snyder.substack.com/p/how-does-the-russo-ukrainian-war?r=f9j4c&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
  2. Once again, you are forgetting, that we are speaking about Russia, where 9 out of 10 Rubles from every state contract gets lost. So comparing buildtime of 14 months in USA with 14 months in Russia is a prime example of comparing apples with oranges 🙈
  3. Well maybe that is one of the reasons, why it was so easy damaged 🤔
  4. Well, I really wish our government could support UA more, but we have currently in the government even bigger clowns than the the British one... We are the last country in EU, which still has no plan how to get over winter, with elevated energy prices for small businesess and for low incom people... Our minister of finance is a plagiarist, who refused to step down, after he was convicted that he really did it... Oh and one of his most noteworthy quotes, before becoming Minister of Finance was "I do not care about family finances, everything at our home is sorted by my wife." 🤷‍♂️ Also, the lower funding by EU, is caused a lot due to need of preparing for the winter, and to cut off the EU from Russian blackmail. Which is understandable. But this week, Germany donated its first IRIS-T and they upped they offer from 2 to 4 IIRC. And that is hell lot of money... Which is probably not counted in the data above, yet.
  5. Seems to me, they are so desperate on the battlefield, that they do not know anything better to do. Still more missiles destroyed, than hit the target. All that they have achieved so far, with some of the infrastructure and a lot of civilian objects destroyed, are new sanctions, and even the “weaker” EU leaders stopped to suggest to negotiate with Russia. Which means more deliveries to UA on all fronts… Russia have shot 700+ million in rockets alone to Ukraine yesterday. Just an example of Surovikin doing things, which wants things to go fast to impress Putin, because Russian economy bleeds as never before… UA reaction to it: “Now a very large percentage of missiles are being shot down by Ukraine’s Armed Forces. But there are several possible explanations. The first is that the Russians seek to keep (Ukrainian citizens - ed.) in their basements and shelters. They launch several rockets in batches so that the air raid is long. So that we are morally exhausted. The second possibility is that they are testing our anti-aircraft defence. Where are our weak spots that can be hit massively. We understand that, too. And the third reason may be that they are just illogical idiots, which is also a very likely scenario". Edit: Oh, and Ukraine has already retaliated back at some energy infrastructure in Belgorod. And I bet, there will be more to come 🤷‍♂️
  6. Buying cheap oil and gas from Russia is the only thing, which still holds India kind of neutral to Russia, but Modi's rhetoric has already signs of small shifts away. Especially, after they have seen how all the hardware, they've purchased from Russia is "under-performing" in Ukraine. USA and other western countries has already started to reach for this new opportunity, and the closer the China will be with Russia, the more reasons will India have to not do business with Russia. The other issue is the trivialization of use of nuclear strike by Putin. Because this is already starting to affect tensions between India and Pakistan... Edit: And the last but not least issue, is the current influence vacuum in Central Asia, where India wants it's cake too, but is very concerned with rising Chinese influence. Especially in Kazakhstan... IMHO China and US will sooner or later come to some sensible solution. The rhetoric coming out of the China is pretty much in line with their rhetoric since Xi overtook the party. You have to keep in consideration, that China is going into new "leadership season" now, so a lot of powerful rhetoric will go out of China in very close future. Which should stabilize as soon, as this shifting period ends... Oh and if any Chinese leader would decide, that they will need some landgrab to empower his position, the most logical choice with the least resistance would be invasion of ex-Manchuria, not Taiwan 🤷‍♂️
  7. Even Armenia? That is unexpected... I've read/noticed only about KGZ and KZK refusing it.
  8. Yup, India has already started to slowly shift away from Russia, since they loathe the increasing lovey-dovey between Russia and China.
  9. With all the respect due, I have asked for someone with an insight. And you’ve already proven, you hardly have one 🤷‍♂️
  10. Hmm, I just found this yesterdays tweet. One bill is from june, one from july, one from september. Is here anyone from US, who has an insight what is going on with these bills?
  11. Someone was suggesting here few times that trusting “unnamed” officials giving their opinion to mass-media is not the brightest thing to do. And he was right. After a while, it became clear, that a lot of unnamed American officials in a lot of media were just spreading bollocks. I think after this experience, it would be wise to take all opinions of any other unnamed official with a hefty portion of salt… Especially when they are from a country, where significant portion of the officials were already sacked due to collaboration with the enemy… My own opinion is, that UA did it. But without a proof to back up my claim, this opinion is still worth as much as few ounces of horse****… 🤷‍♂️
  12. According to GRU (UA secret service) this missile strike was planned some time ago…
  13. Well, 10 casualties and 60 wounded out of 75 missiles shot is pretty good statistics for Ukraine. If they blew up the bridge, they surely knew, what would happen, and they still did it, because strategically it was still worth for them. And I bet, they even have statistic numbers, how many Ukrainian lives they saved with slowing up the Russian GLOCs over Crimea… Still no one has given a plausible explanation, how Ukraine was able to manage to fill a truck owned by Russian company deep inside Russian territory with tens of tons pf explosives, and pass all the control checkpoints on their way to Crimea… 🤷‍♂️
  14. As of 11:00 or so, Russia has launched 75 missiles, 41 of them was shot down by air defense systems. And as we can see many of the rockets, which hit the target, did not hit the crucial infrastructure. Yet. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/10/10/7371095/ Edit: so far critical infrastructure hit “only” in Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kharkiv and Khmelnitsky Oblast. Edit2: as of 11:00 the UA confirmed critical infrastructure hit in 8 Oblasts. With the observations, that most of the missiles hit non-critical civilian objects. As you have seen above.
  15. It is unimaginable for most of the civilized people. But Ukrainians stopped being afraid long time ago. And this how they see it after this morning. For them, these attacks are just an evidence, that they are winning.
  16. And this is why they will lose in the end. By wasting valuable war resources, which they cannot replenish under sanctions, on non-military targets 🤷‍♂️
  17. LOL… now I have seen everything…🙈🙈🙈 and you actually proved my point, why are people dehumanizing supporters of Russian Army… 🙈🙈🙈
  18. I didn’t knew Russians dehumanized Iraqis as well… I know, that this might be useless… you probably wave it away, as any other of their atrocities, but this is one small example among thousands, why people are calling Russians orcs, and are cheering every time a HIMARS is launched 🤷‍♂️
  19. You both are forgetting one crucial thing. Most Russians, which did not run away from the country yet, are supporting the acts of RuAF in Ukraine. You should not be surprised, that because of this, most of the people are judging all of them, based on these gruesome actions. 🤷‍♂️
  20. @Gorgon The only people dehumanizing Russians in the eyes of general populace, are Russians themselves, with their own actions…
  21. Well, if it was a truck bomb and not something under the bridge, it makes things even more interesting, as the truck was driving from Russia to Crimea. According to BBC Russians are already investigating someone from Krasnodar area. edit: probably unrelated to this event, yesterday started big purge in Moscow, and army officers have been detained (report by Ukrainian intelligence, Russian media did not report such things happening). Some Russian milblogers started writing, that this explosion helped Shoygu to stay in his function a little bit longer, and there are starting to be rumours (probably psyops, but in Russia you never know 🤷‍♂️). That the Crimea Bridge incident was also a part of the ongoing war between Russian MoD, FSB and Prigozhin. Just few hours after the explosion, the security of the bridge was handed to FSB by Putin himself.
  22. After few hours of theorycrafting, According to some (ex)firefighters in the discussions, the explosion was under the bridge. Their conclusion is, that top of the bridge with traffic lines do not show the marks of explosion on top of the road. So the explosion was definitely not from missile, nor from truck full of explosives.
  23. The thread has one more explosion on camera. And it looks to big for the Truck Bomb. That video looks to me, that something big hit the bridge from the north… Of course I might be wrong 🤷‍♂️

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