Seeing how fast primary goal was achieved, I can't but wonder how epic this fundraiser will be. What do you think? Will Obsidian get over 10 million and create the greatest RPG ever?

I think they're going to trickle to a halt on or about 2mil.

 

EDIT: Unless more major gaming publications carry the story within the next week or two.

Edited September 16, 201213 yr by Chaos Theory

Seeing how fast primary goal was achieved, I can't but wonder how epic this fundraiser will be. What do you think? Will Obsidian get over 10 million and create the greatest RPG ever?

 

You gotta realize less people will be willing to donate as their initial goal becomes more and more secure.

Some people donate solely out of neccesity, and they've already crossed that line. The further they get away from that line, the more donations will slow down.

I think 3-4mil is a good estimate for now.

Ah... no.

 

Hell no.

Maybe if we convince Bill Gates about how good our cause is...

it will dry up in between then shoot up at the end. I seriously doubt it will reach 10 million, I will be surprised if it made even 5 million. I am thinking MAYBE 3 or 4 million.

Wait till media actually pushes stories etc. I would say over 3 million should be doable. My guess is something between 3-5 million max.

Maybe if we convince Bill Gates about how good our cause is...

 

Am I the only one that saw "Bill Gates' Son" lurking the forums earlier?

WE GOT THIS.

Currently, I'd say they'll defo get 1.6 - 1.8m. Pretty optimistic they'll get to 2.2m and possibly beyond when the next tier of stretch goals are posted.

 

Anymore than 4m I'll be surprised, but I don't think it's impossible in a final donation rush. 5m I'll be speechless.

With the right amount of new information (videos, screenshots, concept art, articles, etc.) released in due time, I think Obsidian won't have much of a problem getting to 1.6-1.8M. After that it won't be so easy.

 

Perhaps a stretch goal which entails adding more of the legendary designers of old-school RPGs (ex-Obsidian, ex-BIS, ex-Bioware) to the Eternity development team (ala the Wasteland 2 team including Chris Avellone) may actually induce people to up their pledges to 2.5M and beyond.

Yeah, I agree that meeting first funding goal will impede the later funding. They would be better off if they asked for 3M and then added big stretch goals.

But it's only second day so i'm sure that they will think of something to raise more money.

I'd be happy with Wasteland 2 level of funding. Ouya level of funding seems too incredible.

I'd say they'll reach the 2,2 M but I may be too optimistic. For the 10M mark however I'm fairly certain that they won't reach it in 30 more days or even 300.

I think Longknife is correct. The pledges have slowed down. I have put the information out where ever I can and know some people have pledged because of that. Pass the word around. Once we get more information, more screenshots, more videos showing us something the pledges may pick up some.

It'll gradually slow down in the interim and then pick up in the last few days. 3-4 million is probably a better estimate. Unless we get lucky and they release something huge that causes a massive media blitz.

Depends what they reveal over the upcoming weeks.

 

Methinks the Kickstarter will end at around or short of 4 Million. Hoping for even more of course.

With the right amount of new information (videos, screenshots, concept art, articles, etc.) released in due time, I think Obsidian won't have much of a problem getting to 1.6-1.8M. After that it won't be so easy.

 

Perhaps a stretch goal which entails adding more of the legendary designers of old-school RPGs (ex-Obsidian, ex-BIS, ex-Bioware) to the Eternity development team (ala the Wasteland 2 team including Chris Avellone) may actually induce people to up their pledges to 2.5M and beyond.

 

They have not really started with the game. That is why you will get it in 2014 and not tomorrow^^

 

Also they almost reached 1.4 million. By the end of next week they should easily have reached their stretch goals.

Yeah, I agree that meeting first funding goal will impede the later funding. They would be better off if they asked for 3M and then added big stretch goals.

But it's only second day so i'm sure that they will think of something to raise more money.

 

They were playing safe, I think, and didn't expect that the initial goal will be reached in 24 hours or so.

It will reach 4 or 5 million MAX. It will probably end at 3 to 4 million though.

 

They would either have to name this game Badlur's Gate III or make some kind of fantastic announcement for it to reach 10 million.

Edited September 16, 201213 yr by dlux

It doesn't matter if the push loses steam and they get little more than what they have so far, the real question is the game. If they take the kickstarter funding and create an awesome game, there's a good chance we'll see even greater amounts in the future. Once kickstarter gets real widespread street cred, it's going to be much bigger than I think a lot of folks realize. Someday, I think we're going to see end runs that folks today would probably say right now is nothing more than a pipe dream. I think this is gonna be big.

Not a chance. It'll easily hit the 2 million stretch goal though.

They have not really started with the game. That is why you will get it in 2014 and not tomorrow^^

 

I know they have not started working seriously. That's why I'm expecting mostly articles and interviews with the developers describing the setting for Eternity in a little bit more detail, as well as the occasional piece of new concept art. I think that should satisfy most of the people saying that we don't have enough info to pledge (or, to pledge more).

10M is highly unlikely. I am hoping to see 5M, but that would require the Kickstarter to pick up pace again.

I think it'll end at around ~4 million.

Is there any possibility that kickstarter funds could be used to raise further development funds? If we raise 3-4 million in donations purely for a concept, couldn't you go to a bank and take out a loan based on "Hey, there's clearly a market for this. Give us a couple of million and we'll pay back with interest."? Could do the same thing with some investors. I'm not talking about going to a publisher or relinquishing any amount of creative control. It'd be a purely financial thing.