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213374U

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Everything posted by 213374U

  1. The Imperial College London paper that has informed the UK gov't course corrections observed precisely that. Lifting of interventions can lead to a rebound in transmission. But the paper being a purely scientific document glosses over the question of the sustainability of these measures even short-term. Mitigation strategies will possibly lead to more deaths, but suppression may not be enforceable for long. People are already being charged by the tens of thousands in Italy for violating lockdown, and it hasn't been even a month. The most fantastically optimistic estimates for a vaccine being ready are looking at 8 months.
  2. Thankfully, but that says nothing of the magnitude of the challenge. It merely proves that it was handled well enough that it didn't lead to the Cold War turning hot. That's the thing with hindsight. If this outbreak is managed so that we're looking at something closer to the best-case scenarios, it won't mean the situation was never any more serious than a bad flu season -- only that the response averted the worst-case scenarios. I didn't live through the disruptions to daily life in Cold War Germany, so I can't speak to that. But now we're talking about people being scared and subjective impressions, which is several steps removed from crisis planning that was done in megadeaths. I'd expect government officials to stick to cold, hard figures and not add to the hysteria.
  3. I'm not one to agree with Skarpen often, but yeah, that statement made me raise an eyebrow as well. Though seeing as how she was born in '54, it stands to reason that Angela doesn't remember the Berlin blockade of 1948. Sure, it didn't directly affect the whole of Germany, but indirectly it could have as war with the Soviet Union would have been a thing across all of Europe. And this was before the Sino-Soviet split, so probably a global conflict as well. I would expect her to have some memory of the wall being built in 1961 and its ramifications, however. In both cases we're potentially talking about a literal literal nuclear apocalypse with a much bigger death toll than COVID-19.
  4. @ShadySands I can recommend Clan Quest Mod. The Sabbat content is pretty good, even if it's obviously not quite up there with original content. It adds a full new act to the game that can be wrapped up in several ways. It also adds the possibility of going full Sabbat, with the corresponding new ending for the game. The new characters are voiced by "semi-professional" (?) actors. I don't remember much about the actual clan quests themselves, though. And there's actual diablerie mechanics. Keep in mind that It comes bundled with some other stuff, though. I didn't find it to be all that game-changing but ymmv.
  5. It's not just starting out at low level. The whole BG1 experience is about playing low level D&D -and only low levels because of the 161k XP cap- which judging by the post I quoted, is something you enjoy specifically. The other, more recent post, seemed to take issue with the fact that level cap is ten, and not just because it may interfere with multiclassing, as you said "not to mention", when quoting someone else who was pointing out another perceived issue caused by the cap. Seemed to me like a clear contradiction, but I am perfectly happy to apologize if I have misunderstood what you meant. No one quite knows how BG3 multiclassing will work yet, but it's not a stretch to assume it'll work at least as well as in BG1 where dual classing was either not very useful if you did it too early, or actively counterproductive if you did it too late because you wouldn't gain enough XP for your original class to be reactivated. Multiclassing on the other hand was fantastic because you had two classes at almost the same level you would be if you had gone single class, with no real drawbacks (muh balance!). Then came BG2 with its completely different XP curve where you found that your multiclass cleric/mage fully deserved every bit of derision that Edwin directed your way.
  6. Here it is. I'd like to think that rule won't apply to dungeons, dragon lairs etc. but we'll have to wait and see. Honestly, I'm really not a fan of spells per day or anything that breaks the flow of play and forces you to run back to camp to click the power nap button. It works great in tabletop where there's a DM stopping you from resting every other fight, and the tempo is completely different. In CRPGs, it encourages gaming the system and taking constant breaks, and I've really grown to hate when that's the optimal way to play a game.
  7. I remember reading about this in the AMA. Short rests are apparently abstracted and unless specified otherwise, every time a (combat) encounter ends, the benefits of a short rest are applied. Clerics, wizards, druids and other long rest classes need to head back to camp for the night to get their spells back. I haven't played 5e, but just from that I'm getting strong Warlock Master Race vibes...
  8. Yeah, but honestly, those people don't matter. Seriously though, SFC was not "pure" Trek either, as I recall. It was based on the Starfleet Battles tabletop which included a lot of non-canon stuff. And part of what made it so good was the adapted SFB ruleset, which they mostly ditched for SFC3. The move killed the franchise, to the consternation of the "annoying baggage" as you put it who had warned Taldren about it. I think a potential problem when considering whether to make a Trek game is that with the push to make the IP more mainstream, people would immediately imagine something the size and production values of Mass Effect. Whereas I'd be perfectly happy with a Unity game comparable in scope to Dragonfall. Also the last Trek game was that VR gimmick published by Ubisoft. It's a safe bet that it didn't sell much because of the peripheral requirements. So even if it wasn't necessarily the game's quality or the IP themselves that brought poor sales, I would expect that said sales are considered by publishers thinking about licensing the IP.
  9. I guess the patch does as much for performance as 2.2 did then, despite promises to the contrary? Did you buy the DLC too?
  10. Nah. Pointing out inconsistencies is a bit of a hobby of mine. The rules don't forbid it, in the same way they don't forbid being inconsistent, either. Feel free to keep slamming whatever, of course. But people (even mods) have memories and all that.
  11. I remember our NBC gear drills in the army. They are a ****ing pain to get into and out of if you want the suit to protect you for ****, and you'll be completely miserable the whole time you're wearing it. I'd imagine the folks in the units being deployed for that crap would prefer just about any other kind of emergency...
  12. Spain: round-the-clock curfew is now in effect, you may not leave your home except under force majeure circumstances and never in groups, keep your distance from others at all times Also Spain:
  13. Sarevok was level 15 in OG BG, where the level cap was 7-8. And his henchmen were level 10-12. Mind Flayers in 5e are CR 8 if memory serves. No idea about dragons.
  14. Uh, yeah. We get it. You hate that Larian is making this game, and no matter what is revealed about the game, they can't seem to do right by you. Regardless, it's happening so...
  15. Yeah, that was discussed earlier. As I said, limited occurrences are most likely a result of faulty testing, misdiagnosis, virus deposits left in people after being discharged or instances of weakened immune systems. Antibodies for SARS remain on people who have fought it off for ~2 years. It's a complex topic so ruling anything out at this point is unwise, but other than some news reports, there is no actual evidence that reinfection is a thing. That's your own addition and unsupported by the literature. A different strain that circumvents immunity could appear tomorrow, in fall, next year or never, because of the large fraction of the population that is expected to get it at some point or another. If other known human coronaviruses are anything to go by, it will become endemic with seasonal fluctuations regardless of control measures as Zoraptor suggested. So, two types of the virus are known as opposed to several, and no indication that types are different enough that immunity to one doesn't prevent infection by the other strain, even if simultaneous infections are possible (unclear wording on my part previously). Yes, the approach I mentioned is not the only strategy, but that's beside the point. The point is that researchers believe that the SARS and 2019-nCoV are similar enough that a vaccine targeting immunodominant epitopes common to both is a workable possibility. This would be a non-starter if different types of 2019-nCoV were different enough among themselves to require specific immune responses. http://www.sci-news.com/medicine/targets-immune-responses-sars-cov-2-coronavirus-08221.html
  16. Yeah, they mostly stick to CK2 and Stellaris, too. They might publish it, even if they would almost assuredly not make it themselves. Paradox Development Studio is exclusively grand strategy.
  17. Do you have a source on this? Because I've read that there are two types (S and L) of the SARS-CoV-2 rather than "multiple", and I have seen no reports that patients can be infected independently by each type -- which is to be expected seeing as how it's a new development. Likewise, I have not seen any rigorous reports that people can indeed be infected again after recovering, but a study in macaques seems to indicate the opposite. In fact, a potential vaccine strategy seems to be aiming at common features shared by SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 that are likely to trigger an immune response, resulting in a vaccine that is effective against both -- I doubt different different strains of the current virus would be more different from each other than from the SARS virus.
  18. FWIW, it's misleading that it has a 15-20% hospitalization rate. That's for confirmed cases, which by definition are only a fraction of total infected. It's the same with the death rate -- CFR as opposed to IFR which is unknown (estimates from mathematical modeling I've read go from .5 to .9%) because some of the infected will be asymptomatic, and others will not present symptoms severe enough to warrant even a check-up. For comparison, SARS had little to no subclinical manifestations which means that clinical cases ~ total infected, while other CoVs are asymptomatic in up to 35% of cases per serological analysis. Discount Trump is taking one hell of a gamble, but he may have the last laugh yet.
  19. Counterpoint: he invented the Riker Maneuver. Your argument is invalid. No, the other Riker Maneuver.
  20. Bad decision. Scarcity of TP is going to keep driving value up. They could probably get a few cases in exchange for all that TP in a few days. Can't expect people to make rational decisions in the face of panic beer, news at 11.
  21. Reddit AMA. "We really don’t want to spoil anything but we wouldn’t call it Baldur’s Gate 3 if there wouldn’t be a link. Let me just say that we touch upon the story of BG 1 & 2 in meaningful ways, there are returning characters and what happened in BG 1/2/tob leads to what happens into BG3. You won’t necessarily see that at the start of the adventure but you will quickly understand once you get further into the game."
  22. Tyranny belongs to Disney Paradox, as far as I'm aware. I would love a sequel, but it's as unlikely as Alpha Protocol 2.
  23. We're going into lockdown. All venues and businesses except pharmacies and groceries stores must close. The gov't has decreed a state of alarm which restricts personal freedoms such as free movement and gives it power to requisition goods, assume direct control of all security forces and deploy the army as it sees fit. This will undoubtedly work well, as it has in Italy, without any risk of mass layoffs. No sirree. Meanwhile in South Korea, smart application of tech, widespread and efficient testing and a well-organized bureaucracy seem to have managed to defeat the epidemic without having to resort to CCP methods. But hey, both left and right agree on this, so we'll call it high statesmanship instead of simply recognizing that both sides are equally blithely incompetent and stupid, and when push comes to shove, they both give strictly zero ****s about the open society.
  24. You're joking, but remember the Witcher MOBA and Gwent. So I wouldn't put it past them to try chasing another fad again.
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