-
Posts
2874 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
12
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Everything posted by Leferd
-
*Reminds self to start fantasy baseball research*
-
I liked the Clueless remake of Emma.
-
At my agency, I'm working with a gov contractor in the next office over who retired 20 years ago with 20 years as an E6 in the Navy. Of course, he says he's using this job to pay off his monthly AMG payments...so I don't really know too much about his financial situation. I suppose his high 3 would be a matter of public record considering his rank/grade and retirement year...
-
Beem awhile since I read it, but I believe the answer is yes. This is a perfect casting. NSFW
-
Nate Silver's take: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/after-super-tuesday-can-republicans-still-take-the-nomination-away-from-trump/ CANDIDATE CUMULATIVE POPULAR VOTE Donald Trump 34.2% Ted Cruz 28.1 Marco Rubio 21.7 John Kasich 6.6 Ben Carson 5.8 Jeb Bush 1.7 Chris Christie 0.4
-
Had to scroll further down... Carson: 350/1
-
I was more referring to Republican turnout, they have now eagerness and desire to change leadership, like democrats had in 2008. So in general election democrats need to rise movement that gets people to vote, where GOP (Trump) has already one behind him. So republicans have fever for change where democrats feel content to current situation, and those who aren't content how things are run have higher likelihood to vote. Getting people vote somebody just to block somebody else is often more difficult task than continue snowball effect that Trump for example seems to have created (as he just don't win republican primaries but draw new people to vote).The problem is, though Trump has managed to garner the most votes, a clear majority of Republican voters detest the guy. This isn't even counting moderates and democrats who certainly won't vote for him in November. Clinton may very well double down and select Elizabeth Warren as her running mate to rally the liberal base and not count on disaffected mainstream Republicans.
-
Clinton has the Democratic mandate with 60% of the overall vote. Trump only has about 35%. If Republicans were to successfully form an anti-Trump coalition, it's possible they can beat him.
-
That shouldn't be the takeaway at all. The Clinton juggernaut isn't mobilizing voters to come out and vote in the Primaries/Caucii as most democrats see the Clinton nomination as inevitable. Aside from 538's pollster modeling, the best predictor of future election outcomes are the betting markets. History and record has shown this to be true. Of course, the models become more accurate as we get closer, but the current temperature is a Clinton victory -barring a momentous shift. As of today, the Hibernian elites have the following odds for the November General Election: Clinton: 1/2 Trump: 9/4 Rubio: 18/1 Cruz: 22/1 Sanders: 25/1 Kasich: 80/1
-
Wait, how is that racist ? Clear to me she means Iranians as in their state not every single one in existence. Suppose the Ayatollah said that he was proud that his enemies were "the Jews". Or that Obama should say that "the Jews" have been undermining his talks with Iran. Does that sound racist to you? It should, and those are all equivalent. If this is not apparent then it's a sign of how easy it is to objectify and lump together people in the public debate. It's not hard at all to say "the Iranian regime" or "the Iranian government". In fact, those are the two commonly used terms which Hillary seemed almost to deliberately avoid in this case, possibly to sound more brash and tough. It is very, very incriminating that someone who makes a living in part out of shilling for hawkish special interest groups fails to distinguish between an entire people and an authoritarian clique ruling them. It is this type of toxic and careless attitude which led to prejudice against Germans during and after WW1, with very awful resulting backlash. Lols. That's a stretch.
-
Probably 30 million or so, just a WAG based on last year's numbers. http://variety.com/2015/tv/ratings/oscar-ratings-abc-telecast-down-10-in-overnights-to-four-year-low-1201439543/ 34.3 million, per ABC.
-
Or that there are a lot of idiots out there voting for Trump just because he's a white male who's said some bigoted and chauvinistic things.
-
Relax. Leo's odds of winning is 1/100. (That's extremely good) And Mad Max was awesome.
-
Marketing and sales. Most of us mere mortals of the non-Adonis variety aren't ripped enough to pull off a tank top. But they can still sell "official" t-shirt jerseys.
-
From The Donald's Art of the Deal. He absolutely knows what he's doing.
-
Have to save the highlights for posterity in this here Obsidian forums. Wardell Stephen Curry II is absurd. PS That end of regulation sequence culminating with Andre Iguodala actually making both free throws! That was a basketball game for the ages. Curry going clinical, twice hitting the record books and hitting the game winner from Tulsa. Durant matching up toe to toe with Steph. Westbrook being Westbrook. Draymond Green having a halftime meltdown Draymond Green playing out of his mind the second half Andre Iguodala staring down his free throw demons to tie the game with virtually no time left.
-
Ventrue dude died in a car crash I think. Since he was the main character they didn't bother. At least thats what I heard Never seen it. Back in the late nineties on a whim, I ended up going on a quest to find the dvd set. Must've hit atleast 5 video stores. None had it.
-
^She can shred that violin.
-
38.4ft away in rythm. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44so--eID5U
-
I don't acknowledge the spelling form here of the esteemed Colonel.
-
Not familiar with this.