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Everything posted by Zoraptor
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There is potential dual use stuff for weapons/ civilian use, but not that much and that is definitely going (plus they'd already got rid of most of their potential dual use stockpile). You can also reprocess spent fuel for plutonium, the only Iranian plant that can do that is being repurposed as part of the agreement. Not without reason. The previous Brazil-Turkey-Iran deal on nuclear fuel supply was scuppered as the position was that enrichment by Iran was/ should be prohibited- unreasonably so, since there is no legal provision for stripping a country of the right to enrich. Their position has changed, now, but it was the stated position at that time.
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They can kick Greece out, easily, they just have to vote against the bail out and the 85% target cannot be met. It's politically problematic for them to do so, but the adherence to politics over reality is to a large extent what has caused this problem in the first place, and is something that has to be tackled every bit as much as the economic reality if things are going to be fixed and not be repeated. The Euro is an economic entity based on political rather than financial considerations first and foremost, hence near everyone ignoring the rules and having a currency union before having anything approaching a proper fiscal union. Still, if they do it then good on them; ultimately Herr Schauble is correct and Greece would be better off outside the Euro, and it doesn't matter if I think his overall position is rich given that Germany killed 40 million people in a war of wanton aggression and genocide- then got their debts forgiven eight years later. That was the right thing to do and still is; now if he's convinced that kicking Greece is the right thing then ffs show some spine and do it. As below, it'll be a godsend for eurosceptics, but the situation already is that. Heh, 'set things right'. I'm not sure an EU Kommissar/ Gauleiter could be the answer even with the best will in the world, the relatively mild agreement is already seen as a neo colonial putsch by a large number of Greeks, put a formal stamp on that and there's a fair chance you'll have Euro Paul Bremmer cowering behind concrete barriers and need EU troops on the streets. Or have to go back to the 70s and having a bunch of Colonels backing Euro Bremmer- which would hardly endear the EU to anyone, let alone the sceptics who this whole situation has already been a godsend for. Sheesh, they've already got pro EU brits changing sides, have the Kommissar approach it'll be a landslide UK exit. Realistically there isn't any 'setting things right' anyway and we both know it, it's too far gone for that unless they go for proper debt relief instead of piling on more loans to pay back the old loans, and that is politically unfeasible. Pretty much everything related to this issue is a triumph of politics over reality. Which is, ultimately, one of the things I think we both agree on even if we differ on the reasons for that view. Now, sure, though the figures are somewhat different from the ones I've seen; I did say that the gap had widened rather than contracted with austerity. And it is pretty clear that Greece is not extraordinarily corrupt from those figures, there are plenty of countries in the EU worse than them on that front. I've already read the wikipedia article. I'm always sceptical of that sort of stuff because I know that we vote ourselves least corrupt in the world, every year, when we have a pretty horrible crony capitalist model where legislation is actively bought and sold, but people think we're not corrupt because a policeman won't ask you for a bung. Unless you're young and female or a prostitute or a drug dealer or whatever, been a spate of popos getting caught out pressuring sex, or stealing drugs to sell, or making sure their child doesn't get investigated properly for gang rape, or heh, [redacted] because the dude who may or may not have political relationships got name suppression though everyone knows what he's being investigated for. I also know there's a huge amount of cash-in-hand grey economy here as well as the selective enforcement of laws, but most people here think that, heh, that just doesn't count as corruption. Perception is key, whether it be outside or inside. That goes right back to the beginning of the whole argument- they cannot be productive because they cannot produce stuff cheaper than Germany because their currency is too high and they started from too low a base, so they lose their productive factories and the like, never to reopen because their currency and competitiveness is still tied inexorably to Germany. And what do you have left after the productive private sector has gone? Public sector and services like tourism, maybe some agriculture. That is what Greece has. You aren't going to replace the public sector with 'productivity' with the magic of austerity, you'll just, well, drive up unemployment and slaughter GDP further. So long as they're tied to the Euro they cannot be productive in the sense you'd like them to be. Of course they cannot keep funding it with borrowing either, that isn't fair on anyone, but gutting the public sector ultimately won't help either at this point unless it happens along with a default/ nuDrachma. Inflation <-> devaluation has a positive side though, unlike straitjacket austerity- which has lead to large scale deflation, an even greater sin than inflation. Printing money does pay back the debt and it makes you more competitive by lowering your currency, it makes you more competitive by lowering the price of your exports while increasing the cost of imports; you may see some of those factories reopening when they get competitive enough. OTOH austerity alone does nothing, it's pure donkey-chasing-carrot. I've been through why austerity is moronic, its doctrinaire ideological puritanism makes no concession to reality any more than the political considerations do. It says: drop corporate tax rates from 40 to 20%! You get growth and massive investment! Except, of course, nobody in Greece has any money to buy whatever is being made, you're bringing in anti consumption taxes like VAT (which disproportionately hits the poor as a side effect) it drives businesses out of business because you have fewer buyers, raised prices due to VAT etc, further exacerbating the problem rather than helping it, and that exacerbation ensures that you aren't going to get the investment the tax cut for businesses should theoretically mean because there are far better places to invest in whether you be a rich Greek whose wealth has barely been touched or Chinese or German. And, of course, ludicrously decoupled tax rates for business and private use encourages tax avoidance by tricks such as becoming a company then not paying yourself a wage, but a dividend from your wholly owned company- if you have the nous and money to do so, of course, won't work Ioseph Publikos if they even have a job; and if you do that you're probably investing the money in London property to get a 15% return. You then get a fire sale of assets for less than their true value to pay unsustainable loans that remain unsustainable, minimal actual investment, massive unemployment ensuring that 25% of the population makes no contribution to tax base or GDP and cannot buy Greek products driving Greek businesses under- whatever their tax rate is. Austerity is not synonymous with running a balanced budget, because so long as it has that debt level Greece simply cannot run a balanced budget. They already have the largest primary surplus as % of GDP in the Eurozone, and they're still accumulating debt even with that. Of course they're being humiliated, that is perhaps the basic political consideration of the whole thing, to make it clear what anyone else will get if they transgress.
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Nah, OECD. Same people who had the Greeks being the hardest working in Europe. The difference went up with austerity, too, perhaps unsurprising when you have massive VAT hikes and a slumping GDP, but was still better than nine other EU economies.
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Well yeah, exactly. If Germany wants Greece out then they should do so instead of waffling and vacillating, same as Tsipras and the Greeks should leave instead of prolonging the agony. That would be best for all parties- except perhaps those with political obsessions that trump reality (France, main sponsor of the Euro project). Money would be lost, but I think everybody accepts that that money is gone anyway, no need to throw good after bad. A parting, preferably with a minimum of bad blood, is now (though five years ago would be better) necessary and someone has to bite the bullet. If it's Germany doing so then at this point, good on them even if I think they're a bunch of self righteous hypocritical economic puritans. Trouble is, when it happens there is not going to be a minimum of bad blood, it's going to be monumentally messy and there will be a vested interest in knifing Greece and ensuring it won't do well lest the other weak economies decide to follow a successful Grexit. And even outside of the Euro there's a ton of really nasty stuff that can be done to them pour décourager les autres. Because the Euro can survive an unsuccessful Greek exit, it certainly won't survive a successful one so the same vested interests that will contort economic logic and reason to try and keep them in will be put to keeping them down once they do go. I posted the figure previously, but Greece's black/ grey economy was actually only 5% worse than Germany's was at the same time. That isn't enough to make any significant difference and was better than many others.
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Real names were largely a holdover from the academic roots that it had, and having an anonymised name being seen as a bit dodgy in that context. It certainly did change towards more anonymity as time went on and more people joined the internet. To an extent it is reflexive, ie if Kotaku is attacked by gamergate- and the biggest GG group on reddit is 'KotakuInAction'- then it must be defended because they don't like it, and partly it is because it is a SJW site, if you don't know or don't care about the mothership's morals then you don't know or don't care. At its heart Gawker is pure clickbait, they will publish anything that they think they can get away with and will get them clicks. Any 'moral' considerations and any unified policy on that is purely secondary to getting those clicks.
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He also seems to be an actual patriot concerned with what is actually best for Greece rather than a donkey perpetually chasing the carrot*. It seems exceedingly likely that his view is also absolutely correct so far as it comes to motivations and the like, and that Greece is gone anyway after another attempt to get a pound of flesh inevitably fails just leaving in an even worse position than now. I'd hope that the measures won't make it through various parliaments especially the Greek one, but the Pasok/ ND hacks who got Greece into this mess will no doubt vote for it even if much of Syriza don't. Austerity is to the neoliberal is as the obsession with leeching or bleeding patients was to medieval doctors- if it doesn't work don't worry, more will. If the patient dies, well, it was inevitable, deus vult, victim should have been less sinful, not our fault we followed our prescriptions based on best practice, further weakening a weak person is totes sensible, trust us we know what we're doing! With appropriate apologies to Sledge Hammer, who was positively restrained, sensible and flexible in comparison. *Though a fair bit of his valvenomics did involve people perpetually chasing carrots, go figure.
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Standard split for every DD outlet so far as anyone knows is 70/30 with the latter being the vendor cut. If it were within 30 days of release Origin would be best, as they don't take a cut on kickstarted games during the first thirty days, but it is well outside that. Only difference now is who gets the 30%, Paradox want to pimp their own store because they keep the 30% from there, steam gets the 30% from direct steam sales, GOG gets it from GOG sales etc. If Obsidian were still selling via the backer portal that would be best as they would get all the cash, but they aren't- though I guess they might re open it for expansion pre orders I suspect they cannot direct sell PoE themselves until their contract with Paradox runs out. It's possible that Obsidian get a greater share from sales made via Paradox, but it seems unlikely. Only other possible consideration is referrer links, if a website you like has a GOG referrer they will get a cut of sales made via their referral link. But long story short it likely makes no difference at all to Obsidian who it is bought from.
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Much like that 'teenage boy' survey it will depend just about entirely on how you ask the questions as to how and how strongly people are pro 'status quo' or 'anti change' or 'conservative' or 'progressive' or pro/ anti 'inclusivity' with respect to gaming. My general observation is that most people object to perceived overt politicisation of gaming, not any shift from the 'status quo'- which is itself a rather nebulous concept really, when gaming runs the gamut from stuff which is rather obviously already aimed at women (albeit most often of the Facebook/ mobile type) to obscure wargames/ CoD/ WoW etc it is difficult to decide exactly what the 'status quo' entails and it tends to morph into whatever is convenient for whoever is making the argument regarding it. So it isn't really an objection to changing things around a bit, it's an objection to pressure that is at least perceived as trying to change everything around a bit, in ways that are incompatible with both the gaming that [person] likes at present and a desire not to be preached to. Given that perception it is understandable that there is push back. And much as there tends to be push back against 'progressive' stuff for trivial reasons sometimes there is also some hopelessly trivial push back against perfectly sensible 'traditional' gaming from the other side as well. It isn't just 'progressive' type politicisation that is objected to either, I've seen plenty of people who loathe stuff like "America's Army" for being outright propaganda.
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Plus Microsoft didn't have a stellar record during the lead in to the on3 launch- always online, higher price, forced kinect etc- would make sense that they cancelled a good game while backing something like Ryse instead. Actually, given that they've reversed all those other decisions we might have a valid candidate for the unannounced game...
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Cleve thinks everything is evil/ racist so that won't prove anything.
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What's on the idiot box Part 4 (or something)
Zoraptor replied to LadyCrimson's topic in Way Off-Topic
Stephen Moffat is finding doing Sherlock and Dr Who simultaneously difficult, so he is combining the two series' Christmas Specials? -
Why, I remember when Peter was seen as a visionary, rather than someone who sees visions; back in the pre 'Black and White'* era. Bullfrog did some good stuff, back then. *Oh yeah, those horrible greenscan VDUs, wasn't sorry to see them go. They probably have hipster cred now though, wouldn't be surprised if people paid actual money to turn their iPhones into a low fi greenscan PDA with a gimmick interface based on a game. Hipsters, hipsters never change, one might say.
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Shrug, collective responsibility, you want the benefits you accept that there won't always be benefits in everything. Like if, say, Russia attacked Lithuania you could get a "sorry bro', you're not worth any Greeks dying over" response from Greece, despite them being in NATO and ignoring their collective responsibility. I bet that would be despicable conduct though, and Completely Different to many people. And as has been pointed out numerous times, the EU has bailed out their banks while labelling it as a bail out of the Greeks- Slovakia and Lithuania have contributed primarily to rescuing French/ German/ Brit/ US banks, not Greece itself which after all is still 420 bn on the hook. Those are possible consequences, but none of those are realistically going to be worse than the consequences of Versailles, World War 2 and the like. The only ones which are likely are bits of 2 and yeah, the Europe wide recession but that has happened before and is/ was also inevitable due to the stupid rules/ fundamentals of the eurozone and rules which near nobody follows. A lot of the stuff which is going on now is not so much about Greece itself, but on shifting the blame to Greece and away from irresponsible lending, rubbish rules that were not followed with the collusion and active participation of nearly every EZ country and the stupidity/ pandering at the heart of the EZ's establishment. It will be interesting to see how history treats this in ten, twenty, fifty years and whether they blame the Greeks or the EZ/ its rules for whatever happens.
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Mass Effect 4 - will a dispraiser of Mass Effect 3 enjoy it?
Zoraptor replied to samm's topic in Computer and Console
Yeah, I like the premise well enough, it's a bit generic and derivative sounding but, well, the premise of the existing MEs isn't highly original and they were enjoyable enough. So long as I don't take them too seriously. It's actually sounds a bit like something I previously said I would have liked to see tried with Mass Effect- and if that post is accurate seems a sensible enough extension of what they brought in with ME3 and what worked well enough there. -
That probably means you're a millennial who has never heard of usenet, Battlecruiser X000 AD nor fake/ not fake doctorates of philosophy. These things were important back in those dark, obscure days of the twentieth century when we were on dial up (using a phone to dial up an internet provider, and not like ADSL or 4G) or scumming the uni connection and used things like NCSA Mosaic or Netscape for our graphical web needs at 14.4 kbps. Yeah, kilobits per second, not megabits. People played games without mouselook or even mouses, and if you had a 640x480 16 bit display you were privileged indeed, John Carmack was making games more than rockets, Looking Glass was still around and Brian Fargo owned Fallout. Young whippersnappers these days, no sense of history. Something something get off my lawn something something Clint_Gran_Turismo.gif something something now where did I put my teeth?
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Pretty sure that wasn't the last time. The sanctions on Russia in 2014 would be the last time, though certainly not the only one between 1919 and now. Not that Versailles wasn't stupid, but I'm not sure it's possible to stuff the current crisis up sufficiently to get to Versailles levels of consequence.
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Mass Effect 4 - will a dispraiser of Mass Effect 3 enjoy it?
Zoraptor replied to samm's topic in Computer and Console
If anyone wants the rumoured general gist of the game from the reddit/ survey leak it's here though it's conjecture at this point as to its overall accuracy. It was preE3 and got the Andromeda aspect right though, so has some credibility. -
Varoufakis said he was quitting because he was a barrier to a deal on his blog. His quitting is not surprising though as he's said that he isn't in for the long haul since he took the job. Unsurprising that he was the guy throwing most of the punches given those circumstances, he had nothing to lose and allowed Tsipras et al. to have cleaner hands than otherwise; plus he gives the Euro types a small victory to make up for the big defeat which is always a politic approach. I think it actually shows some sort of genuine good faith approach, from the Greeks side at least.
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Turnout's been less than two thirds, though. Given how things are, I'd have expected it to be in the high 70s. Of course now everyone is going to try and take advantage of the referendum result. If the powers that be are smart, they won't give an inch of ground in the coming days and force Greece out of the euro by denying access to credit, cutting their losses. If not, if SYRIZA is allowed to negotiate advantageous terms, the left elsewhere will be emboldened and the risk of a contagion may increase. That would spell certain doom for the EU. After all, ~€320bn is chump change compared to what TTIP represents. Less than 2/3s is about the same as the turnout for the last election (64% per wikipedia), so I don't think too much more could be expected. After all, the last election was in many ways seen as a referendum on austerity at the time. I can't see it leading to the end of the EU either. Perhaps it is the death knell for the 'European Dream' version of the EU (and perhaps/ quite likely the euro as a predestined pan-european currency) with its theory of constant, irreversible integration, but that always needed to be wedded to practicality rather than political expediency and too often wasn't. It may end up going back to a more lite 'EEC' type model instead, but that is not necessarily a bad thing if the current hybrid system is fundamentally flawed.
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I'm glad they went No, and reasonably convincingly too. A 51/49 type No would have been worse than a convincing Yes. Now, hopefully, there will be some good sense and good will shown by both sides. And the best way to get rid of the sanctions is to have Greece veto their prorogation/ extension. They have to be renewed every six months, they aren't permanent, and they have to agreed unanimously. Indeed, that would be a main reason why they'd do it (along with south stream and just to generally asterisk around with geostrat enemies in EU/ NATO), not because of any 'orthodox brotherhood' or whatever it would be dressed up as. Russia can still do it easily too as they don't have to pay the whole 420bn USD off, only the part(s) that come due over (whatever) period of time. Russia still has 360 bn in reserves despite some people insisting they should be out of cash already, they can pay off Greece's arrears and this year's principle repayments, if they want to. They almost certainly don't want to though, and certainly not yet. If they do do it they'll want maximum effect for minimum effort having had maximum damage to the EU, and that means riding in to the rescue at the last moment preferably after debt reduction or when lenders are willing to accept that, while looking a bit reluctant to do so. And it should be all rhetorical too, it can certainly be prevented by the lenders/ troika showing some good sense.
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Mass Effect 4 - will a dispraiser of Mass Effect 3 enjoy it?
Zoraptor replied to samm's topic in Computer and Console
There isn't much information at present, but what there is sounds like more action, less RPG with perhaps some sort of attempt at a more meaningfully open galaxy approach to the previous games. From the list it's likely to favour the dislikes, rather than the likes. I wouldn't mind personally if they went full on 3rd person shooter though, they're most of the way there already. -
Its non functional/ non intuitive site layout is worse than it being hideous, I'd say. It's pretty much a browser based late 90s gui for usenet ((Free)Agent or similar) with added up and down votes and reduced functionality. Don't really care much about reddit one way or the other in terms of the site itself, I read stuff there sometimes and it's unnecessarily janky but ultimately that's a fairly minor complaint.
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Why do you troll Bruce? Don't worry, rhetorical question. Pretty lulzy trying to say that I like Silvio, given my previously shown great love of billionaire media barons, but as always you try too much, with far too little wit and far too obviously. Study Bubbles, with time and a great deal of effort you might just scrape in at mediocrity, eventually. Until that time I'm back to little i ignoring you again. Financial services were a greater proportion of Iceland's GDP than Britain's, and they would have had far more debt from their banks' failure if they'd taken it on. Though I do agree that they aren't comparable to Greece, but then nowhere is really. In any case, the main point was of pragmatism, I'd be as dismissive if the course set was for collectivisation as for neoliberalism, but it is set for neoliberalism. Under the current circumstances there is no such thing as 'solid fiscal principles' because all that is left is voluntary debt reduction or bankruptcy, the Greeks cannot do any more until one or the other happens. The whole question is a bit naive, the other two options are Pasok and New Democracy who were in power in the early 2000s and responsible for the policies then. There's no saviours there.
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It's hardly surprising, they did exactly the same thing to Berlusconi; kicked him out of office then appointed their own technocrat. It was somewhat amusing to see that technocrat then try to run for election and get beaten by a (close to) literal clown, who got the highest vote share of anyone. The EU is basically Emperor Palpatine, they 'love' democracy when it's a rubber stamp, not so much when it's something like a pesky referendum. They'll keep holding referenda until they get the 'right' result, they'll incorporate undemocratic institutions and they'll subvert elections. As the old joke goes, the EU would reject its own application for membership due to not being democratic enough. Yeah, like the Tories have done in the UK. Economy still below 2008 levels, by a fair bit, GDP: debt ratio up to ~85% from 40% in 2009, despite all the rhetoric no actual surplus in sight. Iceland is doing better than that, despite their default. What's needed is pragmatism, and not slavish adherence to some Eton knob end's entirely on paper in Excel economic model that bears as little resemblance to reality as an 18 year old liberal art student's who has just read Marx for the first time. To be fair it would have been far better for the UK if your government had followed our Labour's 2000 era example in its pragmatism (ie paying back debt and establishing a proper pension fund- at 17% returns p/a- while the going was good in the early 2000s; in contrast our Tories have more than doubled debt and never had a surplus, just like yours) but it's too late to go back in time and tell Gordon and Tony that maybe they should pay back some money in the good times and not allow banks to be morans.
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Anders Breivik sues Norway for breaking Human Rights
Zoraptor replied to Darkpriest's topic in Way Off-Topic
But as an advocate of human rights even for those who kick said rights with their feet you're not allowed to ignore him. Its his right to be heard out in this matter since the maximum amount of time a prisoner spends in isolation is indeed regulated by law. So you have to listen to this child murderer and deal with his valid concerns. I can ignore him, I'm not Norwegian let alone a part of their judiciary or prison service. He can hold his appeal, it's his right and if his complaint is valid then it's his right to get that problem fixed every bit as much as if he were in prison for tax evasion or crimes against lutefisk. It's not his right for anyone else to pay him any attention except those necessary.