Mamoulian War

Police, FSB and Rosgvardia in Belgorod Krai on High Alert. And another Mi-8 chopper crashed there.

Free Russia Legion and Russian Volunteer Corps are claiming to have under control a village in Belgorod People’s Republic. https://t.me/legionoffreedom/785 edit: two villages in Belgorod People’s Republic have been liberated from the oppresion of Russian regime, and there are reported clashes ongoing in the third village on the way to the capital.

I think your math is little bit off. Russia has killed/maimed 0.077% of its population (100k) to conquer 0.00024% (41.2sqkm) of Ukraine’s territory. So if the current loss rate sustains, Russia will only need to sacrifice 1 billion more of its people to capture the rest of Ukraine. 🤷‍♂️ Disclaimer: Calculations provided by @wartranslated

**** Girkin has also decided to give some analysis on the Bakhmut “victory”. Also UA Gen. Syrsky has released statement, that Bakhmut is close to operational encirclement by UA forces. How much of that is true and how much of that is psyops, is impossible to predict, but if that would be true, it would be really hilarious (if man can say something like that in a situation where hundreds of lives are lost daily ) turn of events… Meanwhile more of the flanks near Bakhmut have been cleared of Russian presence in last 24 hours. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/21/7403178/

Funny that you mention Soledar, where Wagner have claimed capture of the city, then RU MoD claimed that it is not true, then RU MoD claimed the capture of the city, then UA MoD, denied the claim, and then there was one more week of fighting reported from city before UA army fully retreated 🤷‍♂️ For now, Zelenskyi has released official statement, that the city is not completely captured, and there are still operations performed by UA forces inside the city, although pretty vaguelly 🤷‍♂️ So I expect pretty much the same as in Soledar. Few more days of fighting inside the city before UA army either completely retreats, or pushes forward with the encirclement of the city, which they started about a week ago. It would be pretty ridiculous, if they would manage to encircle the city in a month or two, after RU spent 224 days and tens of thousands of meatbags, trying to get the prime example of Pyrhic Victory. Probably it will not happen, but this would definitelly break a lot of necks in Kremlin 🤷‍♂️ https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/21/7403171/

And some analysis, what might have been hit deep in occupied territory near/at Mariupol Airport with Tochka-U or Storm Shadow last night.

How long it took you to finish Encased?

Another giveaway on GOG. https://www.gog.com/game/fiendish_freddys_big_top_o_fun?source=news

But got forbid to show female characters in MMA-like outfits 😂

A little bit insight, why there why the number of dead Russian soldiers are so big. Crazy big numbers of them just die, due to non-existant treatment of anything more serious than light wounds… The RU paramedics are not even able to perform some life-saving procedures, due to them being in risk of breaking RU law and get arrested for performing unauthorised surgical intervention 👀

And according Pentagon, the damage on Patriot is already repaired 👀 https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/18/7402855/

Nah, it will be part of OW3 for sure!!!

An analysis of satellite images of the site, where Patriot has been most likely deployed in Kyiv.

CIA started to recruit Russian on Telegram, they published two videos the Russian officials is going all crazy about it, and the funny thing is, that Peskov and Zakharova are helping a lot to spread these videos in Russia 😄

US officials have confirmed to AFP, that UA Patriot is damaged but in working condition. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/17/7402682/

According some Russian sources, they destroyed Patriot not only in Kiyv, but in Mykolaiv as well. From Mykolaiv, there is only an explosion in Supermarket reported. So it looks like, as soon as RU hits some civilian target, it will reported as another Patriot destruction 🤷‍♂️

😁

Here is some analysis of the impact. Most likely one of eight launchers has been damaged, if it was hit at all. So pulling it back seems from the footage unlikely, but posiible. We’ll see in a day or two. Still one of the launchers for 6 Kinzhals would not be a bad exchange rate, if it was really only the launcher hit.

Here is the official statement for the incident. They are talking about debris as well. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/16/7402387/

Yes it is not. TBH CBA to surf for more evidence around the web while at work, so I hope someone finds something better. So far, the we have this: -UA airforce states 6 Kinzhals were downed. -Ru MoD is silent. everything else is just speculation.

Besides UA official info, I have found only this. It is fresh info from this morning.

And Macron in his latest interview in TF1 has hinted about providing long range missiles to UA as well.

Last night, UA intercepted all missiles launched by Russia. Including 6 Kinzhals 👀 https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/16/7402373/

That might be good idea, IF Beth ever learns how to write non-eye-rolling dialogue 😂