BruceVC Posted Friday at 04:27 AM Posted Friday at 04:27 AM 5 hours ago, Zoraptor said: To be fair to them, when the formal investigation was launched a decent number of 'rules based order' countries did say they'd enforce it against Bibi/ Gallant as a matter of course, if warrants were issued- the Dutch and Italians at least off the top of my head. That does rely on them being dumb enough to go to those countries though, so it's a fairly low risk statement in terms of having to follow through. UK and Germany, well, they seem so far to be hoping the issue will just disappear so they don't have to commit. And obviously the US was never going to be exactly pleased with the indictments let alone enforce them. There are certainly a few things which may get interesting as a result- eg those countries that have laws against weapons trade with war criminals, or if Netanyahu decides to turn up to the UNGA again next year. Not like the US would arrest him, but even with the ICC not being a UN body having a wanted war criminal address the UN General Assembly would be... interesting, if only to see how many walk out in protest vs the number doing it for Iran or similar. Im sure Putin has attended UNGA or similar international meetings since his warrant was issued? Anyone with an ICC warrant just avoids countries that are part of the ICC "Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss” John Milton "We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” - George Bernard Shaw "What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela
Malcador Posted Friday at 06:32 AM Posted Friday at 06:32 AM 8 hours ago, PK htiw klaw eriF said: I'm sure the rules based international order will follow the rule of law and enforce those warrants. Trudeau said Canada would But Pollievre basically wants us to obey Israel and he's our next PM. Why has elegance found so little following? Elegance has the disadvantage that hard work is needed to achieve it and a good education to appreciate it. - Edsger Wybe Dijkstra
pmp10 Posted Saturday at 04:02 PM Posted Saturday at 04:02 PM On 11/22/2024 at 5:27 AM, BruceVC said: Anyone with an ICC warrant just avoids countries that are part of the ICC That's not likely to last. I bet Bibi will show up in Berlin or Warsaw before too long.
BruceVC Posted Saturday at 06:11 PM Posted Saturday at 06:11 PM (edited) 2 hours ago, pmp10 said: That's not likely to last. I bet Bibi will show up in Berlin or Warsaw before too long. Yes, its possible but then those countries that dont enforce an ICC warrant must leave the ICC because whats the point if you dont enforce its warrants We went through that embarrassing reality in 2016 when South Africa refused to enforce the warrant for AL-Bashir from Sudan and then the ANC decided to leave the ICC because at the time they considered the ICC " an instrument of regime change " But this decision was blocked by our high courts which ruled the ANC cant unilaterally decide to leave the ICC without Parliamentary approval Now we love the ICC and all countries must respect its decisions, amazing how much you can change your views in 8 years Edited Saturday at 06:12 PM by BruceVC "Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss” John Milton "We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” - George Bernard Shaw "What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela
Gorth Posted yesterday at 06:00 AM Posted yesterday at 06:00 AM 11 hours ago, BruceVC said: Yes, its possible but then those countries that dont enforce an ICC warrant must leave the ICC because whats the point if you dont enforce its warrants We went through that embarrassing reality in 2016 when South Africa refused to enforce the warrant for AL-Bashir from Sudan and then the ANC decided to leave the ICC because at the time they considered the ICC " an instrument of regime change " But this decision was blocked by our high courts which ruled the ANC cant unilaterally decide to leave the ICC without Parliamentary approval Now we love the ICC and all countries must respect its decisions, amazing how much you can change your views in 8 years That's why monarchies are the superior form of government... Politicians and governments come and go every few years 1 “He who joyfully marches to music in rank and file has already earned my contempt. He has been given a large brain by mistake, since for him the spinal cord would surely suffice.” - Albert Einstein
BruceVC Posted yesterday at 07:02 AM Posted yesterday at 07:02 AM 41 minutes ago, Gorth said: That's why monarchies are the superior form of government... Politicians and governments come and go every few years Dont joke but our latest " socialist\progressive " political party is called MK which is a stolen name from ANC military wing during Apartheid which is called MK (uMkhonto weSizwe ) And its leader is the former SA president Jacob Zuma who was deeply complicit in the worst corruption we have ever seen from 2011-2017 which was called the " Stare Capture " era Anyway MK has this confusing political manifesto thats a combination of openly anti-Constitutional objectives and bringing back tribal laws because according to them " Democracy has failed black people " And 2 of the things they want to do is change the Constitution so we end up with a Parliamentary sovereignty system which to them means Parliament and politicians arent accountable to the Constitution because "the Constitution is responsible for inequality " and then they want tribal chiefs to be able to create there own customary laws that surpass our own normal laws Can you imagine the state South Africa would be in if we abandoned the checks and balances that the Constitution provides for politicians and we no longer maintained our society through laws like how the judicial system works The good news is they only got 14% in the last national election and there political growth remains to be seen as future elections unfold 1 "Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss” John Milton "We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” - George Bernard Shaw "What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela
Zoraptor Posted yesterday at 10:42 AM Author Posted yesterday at 10:42 AM (edited) 18 hours ago, pmp10 said: That's not likely to last. I bet Bibi will show up in Berlin or Warsaw before too long. Bibi is a monomaniac who'd love to showcase his international support to the world, but that narcissism does also mean he won't take risks when it's his arse on the line. In theory, he could not fly through the airspace of any country honouring the ICC warrant (irrespective of him landing) either*. If Greece says they'd arrest him then the route to Germany or Hungary becomes extremely convoluted. Not like he can fly over Syria/ Iraq/ Iran to avoid Turkey/ Greece/ Italy/ France, after all. Indeed, you could theoretically get a situation where he couldn't get to the US due to being denied transit. Chances of that happening practically aren't high since you could almost certainly rely on someone turning a blind eye, especially if leant on by the US. The almost certainly part is likely to be enough for him to go to the US, since that's big stakes, but to hobnob with Orban? Not so much. *which is why Putin won't go to, say, Brazil. Whether Brazil would arrest him is only half the relevant threat. Edited yesterday at 10:44 AM by Zoraptor
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