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Everything posted by PK htiw klaw eriF
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Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
If you view minor party voters as disaffected Republicans or Democrats who are still invested in keeping the big other out of office, then viewing votes for Jorgenson or Hawkins as throwing the vote away is consistent. The error is in assuming that minor party voters are disaffected Rs or Ds and not people outside such parties but still devoted to electoral politics. Given how GD declares eternal loyalty to the Libertarian Party bimonthly and how ComradeMaster pines for Jesse Ventura to run as a Green this board should understand that, but videogame enthusiasts probably do better fact checking than professional pundits. I doubt it will be accepted widely enough to make a difference, Republicans will reject it because it cuts into their big advantage and Democrats will struggle to get it in places it will matter, like Florida, Texas, and Ohio. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
It shows how much of a clustercuss the election system is when a turnout for a county can decide an election in favor of someone who is on track to lose the popular vote by 4 million. I do believe there is voter fraud in this election, simply by size it would be surprising if there wasn't. However if it tracks with recent cases of fraud it won't even amount to a rounding error, let alone decide the election. More relevant than maybe a few hundred cases of voter fraud (to be extremely generous) is how many mail in ballots were discarded and how it just so happened to occur to Black and Latino voters at a significantly higher frequency. Of course there is a reason folks like "The Reactionary Imperative" and other Trump stans are more concerned about the non-issue. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
I'm not convinced about Georgia or Pennsylvania, if they do go Biden it will be by razor thin margins. I guess we'll know by Friday. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
There's no data to support it, but I just have a feeling that the remaining 25% in Nevada will skew Trump and edge out Biden's 8k lead. I would love to be wrong, but sometimes you roll a 1 on a d100 and this is 2020. Florida voted for a $15 minimum wage, California voted against protections for gig workers, and one state decriminalized drugs. I have no idea why some folks vote the way they do, Americans are just ****ing neurotic. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Biden is ahead by 2.2% and 3 million votes, which is around the same as last time. In addition to the larger voter turnout, it seems that the parties outside the big 2 lost all momentum they picked up in 2016 and then some. They will probably end up being further marginalized in the next cycles. I still think Trump will end up winning the electoral vote through Nevada, but have nothing to support it besides gut instinct. Hopefully I'm wrong tho. Regardless, it seems Trump has deeper support from Republicans than he did in 2016 and the next candidate will be Trump 2.0 because the strategy works at winning primaries and the Republican base, NeverTrumpers can kiss the party goodbye. Some Democrats are already trying to triangulate to the right in accordance with galaxy brain centrism, so unfortunately CHAOSBIDEN is probably off the table and we'll get ambitious plans that have thousand word qualifiers like forgiveness for student loans if they're gnomes running a vegetable business in less affluent communities for at least three years. Unfortunately they haven't left the world behind tho. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Old people. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Looking right now Biden has won just over half the percentage of votes and leads by over 2.5 million. Both have at a few million more than they did in 2016 as well. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Increasing voter turnout has been their strategy for years though. It looks like Biden is going to lose Florida and Ohio, both of which are probably the most real swing states. He may pull it out with wins in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin but if he doesn't pick up at least two of those he's probably done. Lady G is a political vampire who will survive as long as there is a US government to be elected to. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
While that may be true, I'm expecting a concession by tomorrow morning. Especially if Trump gets Ohio and North Carolina. They didn't learn from 2016 or 2004 tbh. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Right now I'd predict that Biden wins the popular vote but Trump wins the electoral vote. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Not if they didn't have a grasp of reality. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
I wish I didn't. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Enough that Trump winning reelection is a likely occurrence, by which I mean something reasonably within the realm of possibility as opposed to favored statistically. I don't know their methodology, but you also have to factor in voter suppression, throwing out ballots, or legal tomfoolery when considering the outcome as that will overwhelmingly favor Trump. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
If BLM gets their way, some folks won't have police protection from their slaves. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Americans love a conman, Trump is a conman, and his supporters feel like they're in on it rather than being rubes. That they're chanting how much they love him shows where they are. -
Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
If they're vampires yeah, otherwise no. I don't think the people killed or their loved ones care so much about the method of murder so much as there was a murder. -
I will take your word for it, but my googlefu turns up some tasty looking pictures that I would probably enjoy eating.
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I am drunk off some bourbon and I am happy.
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It's pretty much biscuit dough (the US kind, more of a bread than a sweet treat) that gets cooked in the soup. It's sort of like Matzo Ball soup, but often has some kind of cream or roux or something added to make the broth thicker like a gravy.
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Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1245065 I guess Trump decided covid-19 wasn't killing off his base fast enough. -
Seared tuna is the best way to do it imo, but I've only had success with fresh tuna with frozen tuna tasting just bad. And the lime topo chico is better than grapefruit my dude.
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I thought rice in chicken soup was normal? Chicken and dumplings is the best chicken soup tho. I'm off today and the temperature dived so it's a good day to bake something, will probably bake some squash and sweet potatoes.
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Politics 20/20 now with extra hindsight!
PK htiw klaw eriF replied to Gorth's topic in Way Off-Topic
Depends on your point of view. -
I'm sure we all are at this point.
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Where I am there are lines you can spend hours in waiting to vote. I do live in a dense urban area though, and the administration seems to like choking off voting venues.