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Elerond

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Everything posted by Elerond

  1. It would be first time after 1959 when soviets blocked resolution against Vietnam because of their aggression towards Laos. Usually countries that opposite issues that have been brought up using article 99 just refuse to participate in the vote. Although last time when article 99 was invoked was in 1989 for Lebanon crisis.
  2. That may have been one of the Russia's goals in beginning. First market Finland as easy port to EU and offer short term visas to Russia in masses to anyone that ask without any actual processing. Second take immigrants moneys and bring them to Russia. Third guide immigrants to cause political issues in Finland and cause Finland current right wing anti immigration government to do predictable closing of the border that Russia also can use in their propaganda to Russians to tell how Finland is russophobic Fourth force immigrants to join Russian foreign legion by threating to charge them of breaking their visas. And blame Finland for leaving those poor immigrants to starve.
  3. In Finland there is no minimum required amount of votes for party to get seat in parliament, but we have 13 electoral districts, switch have certain amount seat based on population of the district and seat per district are divided between parties using D'Hondt method, which causes that party needs ~3% of all the votes in district in order to get 1 seat in parliament, which means that small parties almost never get even 1 seat. In last election we had 16 parties, from which 8 have been in parliament now for 30 years or more. These main parties again took 199 of 200 seat and 8 other parties got 1 and it went to billionaire business man that left one of the main parties and formed own party. And even from that starting point winning that 1 seat very difficult. Usually in elections parties outside of main 8 don't get any seats. This is because parties in the parliament have supreme advantage of getting all press time before the election and almost all the press time during election, so building voter base is expensive and difficult process that can take decades, which usually lead parties breaking because of infighting before they have even one member in parliament. Also main parties are supported by fact that government's funding for parties is divided between parties based on how many members they have in parliament and that election advertisement is only allowed from couple months before election to election day. Which has caused that almost all the viable candidates will register themselves one of the main parties list instead of trying to fight almost unbeatable fight to get one seat for minor party, as even with that one seat you need to do cooperate with main eight in order to get anything to done.
  4. They didn't deport Arabs from the area that was proposed as Jewish state by British in 1936, as proposal was rejected and Arabs and Jews continued to move in the area. Haifa city has now population of 282,832 and its metropolitan area has 983,500. so bit less than 4x more. In 1922 before British established Haifa city as their main port of the area, population of the city was 24,600 and before WW1 started population was about 20,000. In 1936 population of Haifa city had grown to about 100,000 thanks to industry that British build in the city and during Israel independence war in 1947 population was grown to 145,140 (70,910 Arabs (41,000 Muslims and 29,910 Christians) and 74,230 Jews). Current metropolitan area had less population by estimates, but there is no official number, but most of the residential buildings for that area have been build post 1948. Time magazine wrote on their 3 May 1948 publication that reason why Arab population of Haifa city fled/left by their own accord when British withdraw their forces was "The mass evacuation, prompted partly by fear, partly by orders of Arab leaders, left the Arab quarter of Haifa a ghost city. ... By withdrawing Arab workers their leaders hoped to paralyze Haifa.". Of course it is The Times and they have very British perspective of things, but regardless in end of 1948 only 5000-6000 Arbs were left in the city so bit less than 10% of Arab population in beginning of 1947. So it wasn't really expelling of Arab population, but of course they did have good reason to fear for their lives, as Jewish terrorist Irgun constantly targeted Arabs with their bombings and other attacks and Jewish Haganah militia committed multiple massacres in their retaliation attacks against Arabs with blessings of Jewish leadership.
  5. That 20% was already owned by jews that had bought it with backing of rich Zionist jews around the world. Haifa has not had 90% Muslim population after Ottoman Empire collapsed. The 1922 census of Palestine, conducted by the British authorities, recorded Haifa as having a population of 9,377 Muslims, 8,863 Christians, 6,230 Jews, and 164 others. By the time of the 1931 census of Palestine, this had increased to 20,324 Muslims, 13,824 Christians, 15,923 Jews, and 332 others. In 1938, 52,000 Jews and 51,000 Muslims and Christians lived in Haifa
  6. It should not surprise no one that 1 million has yet to delivered, considering that in March when pledge was made, EU's and Norway's total production capacity of all types of artillery shells was 650 000 per year and they pledged to deliver 155mm shells, which even though are majority of that 650 000 is not the full capacity. EU also gave funds to build new ammunition factories, but those aren't build instantly (meaning that first of them start to produce ammunition next year). And of course because of EU politics all the ammunition needs to be bought from the EU manufactures. And some of the capacity has went to restock EU members own storages as they have send ammunition to Ukraine. DPRK in my knowledge has only send old stock to Russia, so those numbers aren't comparable, as it EU's number does not take account ammunition that member states have send from their own stocks. I am not sure how it comes as surprise to any foreign minister in EU, especially in Baltic states that EU members have decreased their ability to build conventional weapons and ammunition as there has been belief to that peace will last and possible future conflicts will be handled be the new intelligent weapons. I wonder what kind of optimism has taken over EU's defense ministers considering that Finland has largest artillery in western Europe, but not that many that use promised 155mm shells, so who in that meeting though that there would be such manufacturing capacity in Europe that they should announce that they will deliver million shells to Ukraine.
  7. Afghanistan(Mujahideen) won against Soviet Union. After nine years of waring Soviet Union collapsed and war evolved as Afghan civil war, which lead to taliban taking over the country.
  8. And tolerance of Jews is not only fuzzy thing in western history textbooks. They forgot to tell that many people that were liberated from Nazi concentration camps, like for example gays were just moved to german prisons to serve their sentences that they received during Nazi regime and they were not acknowledge or compensated as victims of mass murder until 1985 when they got mentioned in speech by German president. Romani people didn't get much better treatment by their 'liberators'. And quite rarely you hear mentioned things like that State of Croatia annihilated about 25000 romani people which were virtually every romani that lived in Croatia. And after the war The courts in the Federal Republic of Germany determined that romani weren't persecuted because of their race but because their crimes, even though it is estimated Nazis killed 250k-500k romani (although no one knows for sure because no one was interested to know how many romani there were Europe before the war and how many were left after the war). Also romani who were forcibly sterilized or illegally deported from the Germany were left without compensation. West Germany acknowledge that Romani were racially persecuted in 1965. And in 1982 Helmut Schmidt acknowledged that romani were also victims of genocide. I have still not seen history textbook that directly tells that Europeans, even allied countries continued to persecute victims of Nazis long after the liberated them from the Nazis.
  9. Sometimes I wonder how people have missed the almost two thousand years worth of propaganda that jews killed God's son and our savior Jesus and they should be punished for that crime.
  10. ICC does investigations and gives judgements but there usually is no enforcement because USA and Russia threaten with severe actions if anything is done to their citizens, which also limits quite lot ICC's power to make actions against any one from countries that aren't members. Even member states, ignore ICC's arrest warrants when target is anyone with political power.
  11. Members of IDF are conscripts, from most don't actually have any experience of war that have been now forced to clean corpses of civilians worst massacre in Israel's history and it seem that next there is plan to send them among people that are hostile towards them, whom those members have seen in social media celebrating deaths of those civilians whose corpses they have just picked and send to be buried to look terrorist that they have hard time to identify among the hostile civilian population. And they have political leadership that tells them to avenge the attack. So IDF "taking the gloves off" is more question how well IDF leadership can keep discipline of troops up. Israel is not member of ICC, only way they will be hold as responsible by ICC is that some other country invades and conquers Israel. ICC is pretty powerless, from which big thanks goes to USA and Russia.
  12. Finland's northern neighbor is our Nato partner Norway In south we have our Nato partner Estonia In west there is unallied Sweden In east, there is great yellow and we don't talk about it Also every nation except Sweden (and yellow, which we don't talk about) around Baltic sea are members of Nato So it has to be Sweden
  13. There needs to happen miracle, in order to avoid absolute tragedy. But I am not sure that such miracle is showing up. Israel's current government is hardcore zionists and they got in power by promising security, but now deadliest attack in Israel's modern history has happened and it targeted primary civilians. So they most likely use more harsher methods than needed in order to save their faces. Gaza has been controlled by Hamas now for 16 years, and they are extremist whose main goal is destruction of Israel and killing all the jews. So there is high likelihood that they will pour more fuel in the flames. And forces that could put some restrictions in conflict have their own issues that hinder quite lot how much effort they will put in UN has failed for long time get any meaningful resolutions because there never seems to be any unity in world anymore Ukraine war has eaten lot of resources and will to prevent conflicts. In many European countries far right parties that most likely will not put any effort to prevent mass killing of Muslims, have won most recent elections. USA is divided and its governance is paralyzed and they usually by default support anything that Israel does. Iran is flexing its muscles when no one is looking because of other conflicts. Russia and China have their own agendas that benefit from conflict that draws world eyes aways from them. Turkey wants to be leader of muslim world, but also has its own internal issues and they usually don't want vex USA in Israel questions. Saudi Arabia does not have much love towards Palestine as they are too chummy with Iran So we can only hope that extremist leaderships of Israel and Palestine will see reason even though they have seek destruction of each other for long time.
  14. They have probably at least same level warm feeling as they have towards they ally and security partner Russia, that declared that area belongs Azerbaijan and that conflict is Azerbaijan's internal struggle and that they will not get involved with the conflict.
  15. That video is bit bad evidence of anything as it does not actually show that tank was destroyed in the end as it cuts just before smoke clears and picture is so blurry that you can't identify the tank model from the video. But Turkey's Leopard 2A4 have outdated anti tank protection, because Germany refused to upgrade them because Turkey used them against Kurdish forces and in they original deal Turkey promised not to use them against Kurdish people. Which was one of major reason why ISIS were able to destroy and capture 8-10 of them.
  16. That seems odd considering that American way is supreme air superiority and Biden refused to give air crafts to Ukraine
  17. Niger has been so stabile for past 63 years, only 7 republics from which are 5 military regimes have ensured that it has been able to build good foundation for country and ensure bright future especially considering that there are less than 20k soldiers in country of 22 million, but it is still military is able keep control over the state and there are not thousands and thousands people belonging in radical groups like al-qaida and isis in the state.
  18. People are just being broken telephones and citing things they have only half understood when they heard them. Claim that it is impossible for a white person to be racially discriminated against, is distortion on phrase that White people don't face systemic racism in countries where there are white majority population. But even that is too simplistic way to look issue because minority ethnicities among white population will face systematic discrimination from majority population.
  19. Corn is fruit, but it is often classified as vegetable if it's fresh and grain if it's old
  20. They seem to get lot of corn and sunflower meal. I looked typical grain products like wheat.
  21. China does not directly import grain from Ukraine, but they are one of the largest (4th in 2021) grain importers in world and heavily depend on global grain market and Ukraine is one of the largest (5th in 2021) grain exporters in world (they export twice as much as China imports), so if when Ukraine's wheat is off the market, China's import bill increases lot and their reliance to USA (where they buy about half of their grain).
  22. It isn't like South Africa has not in past just ignored ICC's warrants their own court decisions. For example 2016 and Sudanese president Omar al Bashir visiting summit in South Africa with open ICC warrant, South African official refused to arrest him because foreign head of states have immunity in South Africa, although their court had different opinion, but Omar left South Africa without being arrested.
  23. I guess he was reminded that Cyprus is EU member and not in NATO, making entry talks quite complicated
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