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Everything posted by Elerond
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	  The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic Current governance has already deported US citizens without any court procedures. So I would say he can do it, as no one will prevent it even if it is illegal
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	  The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic That is just farce. Awful decision all around as it will not increase European defense, countries already have plans for creative counting how to make it on paper look like they are "spending" 5% of their GDP in defense. We could for example take Finland as example, we currently spent bit over 6 billion euros in defense, after this increase we would spent 16 billion euros in defense each year. Finland's military uses bit less than 2 billion euros to run itself (this does not include cost caused by compulsory military service, which will be left out from the increased budget). Two largest military procurements in past decade are our navy buying two corvettes with 2 billion dollars, which were ordered in 2015, and first will be delivered in 2027, so that 2 billion dollars is divided over 15 years, so about 133 millions per year. The largest purchase in past decade has been 64 F-35 with 8 billion, with 10 year delivery window, so 800 million per year. With new budget Finland can run its military and repeat both of these purchase every year and have still 2 billion to spend other things. Which is quite absurd thing to do. Only way we could actually spent that much money is to start building up massive stock of cruise missiles. But most likely we will just write all public funding for defense contractors that are selling weapons to other countries as "defense spending". Also Trump may changes his mind about Nato next week if he feels like it.
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	  The All Things Political Topic - What's Going On...?Elerond replied to Lexx's topic in Way Off-Topic https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-parliament-approves-bill-suspend-cooperation-with-un-nuclear-watchdog-2025-06-25/ Iran is kicking IAEA out from Iran and speeding up their "peaceful nuclear programme"
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	  Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is leftElerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic Iran has knowledge of how to make nukes. They have tried to make deals to trash their nuclear program several times and each time other countries have broken the deals. They have seen that non-attack and promises to protect deals are not hold by countries. And they were in process to negotiate of to end their nuclear program only to be attacked when main part of negotiation was meant to start. And they know from Russian example that nukes are reason why western countries avoid becoming parts of the conflict and avoid giving too much help to Ukraine. Israel's bombing campaign at most has delayed their nuke program for month or two, according to military experts. So why would they not continue and speed up their nuke program, when they know that with bombs only Israel and even US can't prevent them from producing nukes, considering that they already have everything they need to make them? And longer Israel is allowed to bomb Iran without sanctions more Iran will see that there is no benefits from the negotiations and that Israel and west are seeking of total destruction of Iran.
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	  Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is leftElerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic This campaign will most likely ensure that Iran will acquire nuclear weapon. Only full invasion and occupation of Iran will prevent that in this point.
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	  Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is leftElerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic US resigned from nuclear agreement and ensured that other countries can't either to remove sanctions as promised, which is why IAEA doesn't have full access. Also Israel has failed to hit Iran's more advanced nuclear lab Fordow and US official estimate is that Israel can't hit it without US help and without destroying it Israel isn't able to really effect Iran's capacity to produce weapon grade uranium and nuclear weapons.
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	  Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is leftElerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/17/politics/israel-iran-nuclear-bomb-us-intelligence-years-away?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc "When Israel launched its series of strikes against Iran last week, it also issued a number of dire warnings about the country’s nuclear program, suggesting Iran was fast approaching a point of no return in its quest to obtain nuclear weapons and that the strikes were necessary to preempt that outcome. But US intelligence assessments had reached a different conclusion – not only was Iran not actively pursuing a nuclear weapon, it was also up to three years away from being able to produce and deliver one to a target of its choosing, according to four people familiar with the assessment."
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	  Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is leftElerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic There were news that Russia gifted 10 S-400 batteries to Iran. But it is difficulty to say if they were actually delivered and if they were where Iran deployed them. Also air defence systems also need missiles to work, S-400 with older missiles isn't any better to hit f-35 than s-300 variants.
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	But even when they criticize Russia they don't seem to follow that criticism with actions which is quite different from their actions against other countries where they seem everyday to do new actions. Playing home audience is quite different from actually being something. In past 6 months their actions have been quite pro Russian. They have but more pressure on Israel than Russia. So I can see where their critics are coming from.
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	Really only Ukraine makes compromises Areas that Russia gets contained 28% of Ukraine's population before the war Areas contain almost all Ukraine's major ports Areas contain majority of active mines in Ukraine Areas contain majority of Ukraine's minerals counted by value Areas contain majority of Ukraine's manufacturing Peace plan does not contain any actual protections for Ukraine in case Russia breaks it Ukraine will not be able to join EU in next 100 years, because they can't meet requirements Ukraine can't join military alliances not just NATO Russia gets areas that they have lost for Ukraine Russia does not give up anything Russia gets all sanctions removed I see how it is very good peace plan for Russia, for Ukraine though it is just little better than full surrender
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	Considering that Congress prevented Biden's admin to get through their policies to prevent illegal border crossings, because Trump asked them to do so that he can use those illegal border crossing in his campaign and now those polices have been enabled and border crossing are decreasing. So how much credit we should give Trump and republicans for solving issue they themselves created in order to win election? https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/23/senate-democrats-immigration-border-bill https://apnews.com/article/congress-ukraine-aid-border-security-386dcc54b29a5491f8bd87b727a284f8 https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/senate-republicans-block-bipartisan-border-package-scrapping-deal-they-had-demanded-from-democrats https://eu.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/ej-montini/2024/08/22/trump-border-bill-arizona-visit/74898253007/
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	  The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicapElerond replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic It is just physical goods. There is now tariffs for services, which software and digital sales are counted. USA more than balances its trade 'deficit' with other countries with it service sales, but some reason they don't tell that in their announcement.
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	  The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicapElerond replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic One would think that department of government efficient would look this case and fire people wasting governments money by mistakenly deleting and then restoring pages, that seem to be such bureaucratic waste they are trying to get rid of
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	  The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicapElerond replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic I wonder do these people even think little bit what they are saying? How measles has not disappeared from world when everybody is immune to it because they have had it or they got protection from their mother's milk? He forgets to say that measles infection weakens immunity response against other infections, making especially children more vulnerable against other infections and making those more morbid.
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	Question is about optics How will Russian leadership sell that they got about million men killed or maimed in war and all they gained was lift of sanctions put on them because of that war especially when you take account that Russian leadership has constantly said that sanctions have not have any impact. Even in Russia that will cause unrest among the people
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	  The All Things Political Topic - In politics stupidity is not a handicapElerond replied to BruceVC's topic in Way Off-Topic https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/03/04/congress/gop-town-halls-richard-hudson-00210024 No more in-person town halls, NRCC chief tells House Republicans "If you’re running in fear of your own voters, there is nothing America can do for you" - JD Vance I didn't understood at first that he was speaking about his own government

 
			
				 
         
                 
					
						 
					
						 
					
						 
					
						