Elerond

Iran has knowledge of how to make nukes. They have tried to make deals to trash their nuclear program several times and each time other countries have broken the deals. They have seen that non-attack and promises to protect deals are not hold by countries. And they were in process to negotiate of to end their nuclear program only to be attacked when main part of negotiation was meant to start. And they know from Russian example that nukes are reason why western countries avoid becoming parts of the conflict and avoid giving too much help to Ukraine. Israel's bombing campaign at most has delayed their nuke program for month or two, according to military experts. So why would they not continue and speed up their nuke program, when they know that with bombs only Israel and even US can't prevent them from producing nukes, considering that they already have everything they need to make them? And longer Israel is allowed to bomb Iran without sanctions more Iran will see that there is no benefits from the negotiations and that Israel and west are seeking of total destruction of Iran.

This campaign will most likely ensure that Iran will acquire nuclear weapon. Only full invasion and occupation of Iran will prevent that in this point.

US resigned from nuclear agreement and ensured that other countries can't either to remove sanctions as promised, which is why IAEA doesn't have full access. Also Israel has failed to hit Iran's more advanced nuclear lab Fordow and US official estimate is that Israel can't hit it without US help and without destroying it Israel isn't able to really effect Iran's capacity to produce weapon grade uranium and nuclear weapons.

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/17/politics/israel-iran-nuclear-bomb-us-intelligence-years-away?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc "When Israel launched its series of strikes against Iran last week, it also issued a number of dire warnings about the country’s nuclear program, suggesting Iran was fast approaching a point of no return in its quest to obtain nuclear weapons and that the strikes were necessary to preempt that outcome. But US intelligence assessments had reached a different conclusion – not only was Iran not actively pursuing a nuclear weapon, it was also up to three years away from being able to produce and deliver one to a target of its choosing, according to four people familiar with the assessment."

There were news that Russia gifted 10 S-400 batteries to Iran. But it is difficulty to say if they were actually delivered and if they were where Iran deployed them. Also air defence systems also need missiles to work, S-400 with older missiles isn't any better to hit f-35 than s-300 variants.

I don't think nuclear deal is what Israel wants from this, considering that last time there was deal Israel convinced Trump to resign from it. So I am pretty sure that purpose of the attack is to prevent Iran and USA signing the deal they are currently cooking.

Does it really? Single court may block something but as soon as that happens appeal court lifts the block and then supreme court may hear case year later or accept government position with shadow docket https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/may/28/us-court-blocks-trump-tariffs

Not much, but at least they demanded that Israel needs to allow food trucks to Gaza

But even when they criticize Russia they don't seem to follow that criticism with actions which is quite different from their actions against other countries where they seem everyday to do new actions. Playing home audience is quite different from actually being something. In past 6 months their actions have been quite pro Russian. They have but more pressure on Israel than Russia. So I can see where their critics are coming from.

I am not sure how much people should read in this deal as current peace proposal from US would leave majority (about 70%) of known mineral deposits to territories controlled by Russia.

I just wonder how politicians are able to talk so much about inflation and not understand what it is, what causes it and especially what is its relationship with product prices.

Not going for more, when battle lines have been about same for year isn't really compromise even for the "winner" as they really don't have resources to go for more.

You can also ask why Russia wanted Ukraine.

Really only Ukraine makes compromises Areas that Russia gets contained 28% of Ukraine's population before the war Areas contain almost all Ukraine's major ports Areas contain majority of active mines in Ukraine Areas contain majority of Ukraine's minerals counted by value Areas contain majority of Ukraine's manufacturing Peace plan does not contain any actual protections for Ukraine in case Russia breaks it Ukraine will not be able to join EU in next 100 years, because they can't meet requirements Ukraine can't join military alliances not just NATO Russia gets areas that they have lost for Ukraine Russia does not give up anything Russia gets all sanctions removed I see how it is very good peace plan for Russia, for Ukraine though it is just little better than full surrender

Considering that Congress prevented Biden's admin to get through their policies to prevent illegal border crossings, because Trump asked them to do so that he can use those illegal border crossing in his campaign and now those polices have been enabled and border crossing are decreasing. So how much credit we should give Trump and republicans for solving issue they themselves created in order to win election? https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/23/senate-democrats-immigration-border-bill https://apnews.com/article/congress-ukraine-aid-border-security-386dcc54b29a5491f8bd87b727a284f8 https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/senate-republicans-block-bipartisan-border-package-scrapping-deal-they-had-demanded-from-democrats https://eu.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/ej-montini/2024/08/22/trump-border-bill-arizona-visit/74898253007/

It is just physical goods. There is now tariffs for services, which software and digital sales are counted. USA more than balances its trade 'deficit' with other countries with it service sales, but some reason they don't tell that in their announcement.

One would think that department of government efficient would look this case and fire people wasting governments money by mistakenly deleting and then restoring pages, that seem to be such bureaucratic waste they are trying to get rid of

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/19/ukraine-war-briefing-russian-drone-strikes-immediately-follow-trump-putin-talks

I wonder do these people even think little bit what they are saying? How measles has not disappeared from world when everybody is immune to it because they have had it or they got protection from their mother's milk? He forgets to say that measles infection weakens immunity response against other infections, making especially children more vulnerable against other infections and making those more morbid.

Question is about optics How will Russian leadership sell that they got about million men killed or maimed in war and all they gained was lift of sanctions put on them because of that war especially when you take account that Russian leadership has constantly said that sanctions have not have any impact. Even in Russia that will cause unrest among the people

As in official Russian narrative sanctions have had zero impact, lifting them will not be seen as win and I am pretty sure that Russia wants to have win to sell their people especially know as Ukraine has problems thanks to its allies kind efforts

https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/03/04/congress/gop-town-halls-richard-hudson-00210024 No more in-person town halls, NRCC chief tells House Republicans "If you’re running in fear of your own voters, there is nothing America can do for you" - JD Vance I didn't understood at first that he was speaking about his own government

Isn't that just additional insult towards Trump and USA, as he says things like signing mineral and security deal Russia needing to release prisoners. Asking long range missile ban Russia needs to stop their blockade on Black Sea Stopping bombing energy and other civilian infrastructure All things that were last Friday too much to ask and preventing possible peace negotiations. It looks more like that Zelenskyy still don't understand that he does not have any cards left and only way he can have cards is to sign announcement of surrender peace deal that the Trump gives him.

If EU countries increase defense spending by 1% of EU's GDP it is same sum if Russia increase their defense spending by 10% of Russia's GDP So if Russia uses 200 billion dollars in their military, it is 10% of their GDP, if EU uses same 200 billion dollars, it is 1% of their GDP

Forced in sense that it was really his only option to speak with Trump and co about US security guarantees. So his options were to fail or try to play Trump's games. Considering high price of failure in this case it is bit disingenuous say that he had option to say no.