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Everything posted by Elerond
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If EU countries needs to increase their military spending with billions, they would like to cut cost elsewhere and Russian gas has been cheap, which is why many EU members states relied on it so heavily before 2022. Where UN budget comes? Especially if USA will cut its payments The approved budget for UN Peacekeeping operations for the fiscal year 1 July 2021 - 30 June 2022 is $6.38 billion. The top 10 providers of assessed contributions to United Nations peacekeeping operations for 2020-2021 are: United States (27.89%) China (15.21%) Japan (8.56%) Germany (6.09%) United Kingdom (5.79%) France (5.61%) Italy (3.30%) Russian Federation (3.04%) Canada (2.73%) Republic of Korea (2.26%)
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I am not sure of other EU countries but salaries for 1 million troops on foreign operation would cost in salaries for Finland over 10 billion euros in month. Total cost with all expenses would be over 50 billion euros per month, with assumption that there is no fighting Cost are based on how much our UN peace keeping operations cost in past. Although here is picture form highly secure border between Finland and Russia - blue white pole tells where Finland starts and red green tells where Russia starts.
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Didn't Russia already escalate conflict by striking with over 100 missiles against Ukraine's powerplants yesterday? As it was one of the their largest strikes and its timing also isn't coincidental or promising de-escalation anytime soon.
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Article 5, does not come with written obligations, but country that fails to help in defense of another member state can as well leave the alliance, because they will most likely never themself receive aid in case they are attacked.
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Iranian hostility towards US can be traced here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d'état Of course during the road there has been quite lot of back and worth to build the hostility more. As side note not surprisingly reason behind the coup was that democratically elected Iranian government had decided to nationalize Anglo-Persian Oil Company which British saw as stealing from them so they first wanted to invade Iran, but ended to up to organize coup after USA refused to give military support.
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In Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin got 1,672,394 votes - Harris got 1,667,852 , so at least 4,542 people that voted Baldwin did not vote Harris In Michigan Harris got 2,720,831 votes - Elisa Slotkin got 2,705,115 votes, so at least 15,716 Harris voters didn't vote Slotkin In Pennsylvania Harris got 3,352,343 votes - Bob Casey got 3,314,888 vote, at least 37,455 Harris voters didn't vote Casey, if all Harris voters would have voted Casey, Casey would have won. Some reason quite lot Trump voters didn't vote any senate candidate, which is clear indication of voter fraud
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Peace plan sound like no plan at all. I am sure that Russia approves idea that Nato will have heavy fortification and large amount troops in their border, when idea of Ukraine possibly joining Nato lead them to attack Ukraine in first place https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/11/7/7483362/
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EU already has well resourced and funded military. EU's defense expenditure is over 200 billion euros per year (so only USA and China use more money to their military), but EU's military is controlled by member nations and their military alliances, not the union itself.
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Don't worry this election result will mean that European countries will build their military up in fast pace which is not anything to worry over considering that nationalist have won last elections almost every country in Europe in countries past elections. And as history teach us Europe never goes war when it has nationalist governments that put trillions in new armaments.
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One thing that people don't talk yet is that Harris can still declare herself as president in January 6
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That in many states they removed people from voter registry just before election. In case where couple swing states decide president, the system isn't that democratic, it is more stateratic. But as system was created to give states power so it is what it is. Trump won Pennsylvania so it seem that he will be the president. And it looks that Trump will win all swing state, but it also looks that after California's vote is counted Kamala will have popular vote
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I that really true though? Considering how elected officials selected who can vote.
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I am not absolute sure of that it was zealotry that sold Lutheranism considering for example that in Sweden (and Finland, as it was then part of Sweden) converted to Lutheranism because Sweden had acquired heavy debt during Swedish War of Liberation that it had hard time to pay back to Lübeck, so when Luther started to preach that church should not have worldly possession, then king of Sweden Gustav Vasa saw opportunity get rid of political influence of Rome (as then Pope Clement VII insisted that Gustav should reinstate Gustav Trolle ally of king Christian II of Denmark and Kalmar Union) and pay Sweden's debts same time and ordered The Reformation. Same time in England Henry VIII also reformed English church and founded Anglicanism, because he also wanted get rid of political influence of Rome and take Church's money and lands to the Crown. In 16th Protestantism was able to success because Pope Clement VII wasn't that good in diplomacy even though he was elected because of his high reputation as a stateman. Although Pope Clement VII didn't have easiest time as Charles V of the Holy Roman Empire and king Francis I of France were in cold war, both demanding that Pope would take their side, Ottoman Empire was invading Eastern Europe. But one would have probably should considered that such time is not the best time to make enemies among European royalty, especially among those who control border lands and therefore are farthest from Roma's influence. But at end Pope Clement VI succeeded to lose Sweden, England, big sunk of current Germany, get Rome sacked by Charles V and get himself imprisoned, I don't think any other Pope has been such big influence in European religion and politics.
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Emil would like to see western countries to give Ukraine permission to use long ranged weaponry against targets in Russia, so his reporting may have bit more pessimistic view in order to influence western politician that listen his analyzes
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When there isn't any living soul in Gaza then war ends naturally, if Trump wins this outcome becomes more easily reachable when US don't anymore try to blackmail Israel to offer humanitarian aid to Gaze by withholding weapon deliveries and US will also "Blow Iran to Smithereens" and give Israel green light to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities So I can see why Trump is gaining support among Muslims and especially Arabs that are concerned about Israel's actions in Middle East and how people's lives there are destroyed, as he promises to rebuild Gaza best place in Israel .
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Results are quite bad for Moldova's hopes to join EU. Big sunk of 'Yes'-side's votes come from moldovians that don't live in Moldova Majority of moldovians that live in Moldova voted 'No'. President does not currently have people's favor. There is high change the politician that favor Russia will win parliament election next spring. And it will anyway be uphill fight to make changes that EU requires. So Moldova will most likely fail to make them in soon enough to get their application to EU processed now when EU countries see that it could be good move against Russia. So if politicians that favor Russia win then Moldova probably will not join to EU in next 20 years. Especially when Georgia sided with Russia and will to support Ukraina is vanishing. So at end it looks that moldovians voted against EU membership
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Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is left
Elerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic
In UN report of implementation of there treaty also states Israel had broken daily one of the fundamental parts of the treaty full withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon "Israeli violations of Lebanese airspace continued almost daily with unmanned aerial vehicles, and often with fixed-wing aircraft, including fighter jets" So it is typical situation where all the parties break the agreement constantly an UNFIL's role is to prevent escalation of hostilities. -
Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is left
Elerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic
Not having outside threat would be existential threat for Netanyahu -
Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is left
Elerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic
Company in question (BAC Consulting KFT) is Hungarian, but it is just consulting shell company, that does not have any production facilities, even though it had license from the Taiwanese company to use their brand and design to make pagers. Hungarian officials say that those pagers have not made in Hungary or never been in Hungary. Also BAC Constulting's web pages disappeared from the net today. So it looks that plot has been much more complex than intercepting shipment somewhere and putting explosives in the devices. Also plan has been in process multiple months or even over two years considering that BAC Consulting was established in 2022. Also it looks like that company didn't have any employees only its founder is listed as shareholder. Company has reported about half million euro revenue from 2022 and from 2023. Company also claims that it has done jobs for European Commission and UK Department of International Development, but these claims could have not been proven to be truth when journalist have asked about them from the Commission and DoID. Also founder claimed for NBC that her company is only intermediate and does not produce pagers. Founder also says that she has been employed by European Commission on her linked page, but Commissions spokesperson says that this is false, but says that it is possible that she may have worked for Commission through external providers and consultancies (because there isn't usually any list of employees of such companies in Commission's records). There is possibility that BAC Consulting and its founder does not have anything to do with this case, except that it has been used to make it possible for Hezbollah to buy the pagers in first place, meaning that company is used to get production license for the pagers and they have been then produced actually by some other company that didn't want their name anywhere near to those pagers. -
Gaza - War does not determine who is right - only who is left
Elerond replied to Zoraptor's topic in Way Off-Topic
It seem that Mossad may have committed terrorist crime in Europe, but they probably will not get charged as the victim aka company which provided pagers for the Hezbollah should acknowledge that it has also broken anti terrorist laws by exporting pagers to Hezbollah. But targeting production lines of consumer goods will create bad precedent anyway. -
Biden announced that he will drop out
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That does not mean anything. For example in Finland we have currently in government an anti-immigration, anti-EU, formerly pro Russian, traditional family values party, who had member in EU parliament that demanded that all immigrants regardless of their background needs to be deported. He himself is married to immigrant from south america. Party eventually kicked him out because he was too pro immigrant. In recent European parliament elections same party's member that got highest vote count is gay man who is married to immigrant from africa, which does not prevent him from advocating deportation of all immigrats and making gay marriage illegal. So personal lives of the politicians don't tell anything about what kind policies they will try to enable
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There is no point, president is immune for such charges
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It tells about Russians that fight against Russia, it focus on group called Karelian team, which claims that they are willing to fight to separate eastern Karelia from Russia, which is interesting for Finland ad Russia (Soviet Union) conquered Eastern Karelia from Finland in WW2. Writer of the article tells that there are little knowledge about Karelian team and some say iy is Russian psyop in order to find disloyal people, then article moves to interview of man they call Dante who says they are part of Karelia team. In interview Dante tells that Karelia team is currently doing operations in Belgrod area for Ukraine. He says that they do operations mainly during nights and they are lightly armed and fast moving with good night vision gear. He then tells Karelia team wants independence for Eastern Karelia and team welcoms all finno ugric and nordic russsians that want freedom from Russia. There are couple pictures of Dante which show his gear and him holding Eastern Karelian flag from time when it was part of Finland.
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If we look Trump's first term, we can say there isn't ideas that are too extreme for the Trump. Question is more about how much support he gets in congress to push the ideas. Trump himself is principleless vane that goes where wind (his base's opinion) at that moment blows.