Gromnir

which toe? am knowing multiple people who had to end their athletic careers after serious cases o' turf toe. god forbid, dancing career could be over for shady. small toe? get out the pruning shears and bactine. go ronnie lott on that sucker. ... not serious 'bout the ronnie lott advice. HA! Good Fun!

in a closet where we keep med/first aid stuff we found a box o' procedure masks-- 50 count. not n95 and not even surgical masks. they are hospital garb blue, and they got a bendy metal nose strip, so they give the impression o' being more effective than the cloth petri dish medicine dan described in another thread even if they ain't. have used one. the masks is likely near a decade old, and have a dusty odor, but as their only function is to keep us from spreading via respiration whatever foulness we may have contracted, am thinking they will be good enough. functional near a year supply as am only needing weekly. am thus set for masks. huzzah. Here’s what we know about Minnesota’s model for predicting the toll of COVID-19 Scenario 3.1: Two weeks of stay-at-home followed by physical distancing until June 12, followed by requirement that the vulnerable stay home until about Aug. 14: Date of peak cases: July 6, or 15 weeks (10-20 weeks) Date of peak ICU need: June 29, or 14 weeks (9-19 weeks) Number of beds needed at peak ICU: 3,300 (2,600-4,000) Mortality: 20,000 (9,000-33,000) ... "MDH officials have said they believe the oft-cited University of Washington model, which predicts fewer than 500 deaths for Minnesota, makes unrealistically optimistic assumptions about how well Americans’ succeed at social distancing and about the accuracy of death data from China." ... numbers is only for minnesota and their health folks admit their models is leaning towards pessimistic compared to other state models, albeit not most pessimistic. nevertheless, the mdh mistrust o' china numbers is looking reasonable in light o' recent info which suggests china cases and deaths were much higher than reported. HA! Good Fun!

in our experience, the hardest part 'bout helping grandma has been unnecessary politeness. we get lists from grandmas on day previous to doing our shopping sojourns. brief. small. minimalist. ... we keep telling grandmas how particular as stocks is still not normalized, is better to add a bit o' bloat to the lists as 'posed to trimming out o' some misplaced sense o' not wanting to be a burden. am suspecting it would help if we were an actual grandson to the folks for whom we shop. is a bit easier to ask family for help as 'posed to neighbors even if such neighbors is friendly and have a good foundation/relation. every grandma is channeling mary mcdonnell. HA! Good Fun!

one o' the more unreasonable recent arguments we have seen from folks who complain 'bout dnc, and keep in mind Gromnir is one o' the folks who complains. after 2016 is hard not to question every dnc choice, yes? from start, the democrat debate rules for 2020 were arbitrary. the changes were rational and reasonable but no less arbitrary. with so many candidates, dnc decided it were not making sense to let everybody on stage during televised debates, so they came up with cutoff points. original cut-off were 1% in at least three polls. there were also a unique donor prerequisite, but am forgetting the number. no more than 20 and a tiebreaker were also part o' rules? goal were so there would be no more than 20, but admitted, all the numbers requirements were arbitrary. rules were adjusted many times before bloomberg were added and tulsi were blocked. goal were always to keep pool number smallish and nevertheless provide candidates with a legit chance o' victory the opportunity to speak on a national stage to relevant issues. mindless following arbitrary rules is the perverse nature o' bureaucrats and ignoramuses. got some rule which says husband and wife need sign a form for school registration in the event o' married couples but make no provision for same-sex couples even in states which permit such unions? failure to change such a rule or make a workaround is example o' bureaucrat stoopid, and happens all the time. we criticize when no changes is made, and for good reason. exclude tulsi were not arbitrary. the arbitrary rules for the debates were not penned in the Constitution and had in fact been changing with almost every debate since september o' 2019. exclude tulsi were intentional and rational as 'posed to the arbitrary rules. tulsi had negligible chance o' winning the nomination and keeping her on the debate stage because of the earlier arbitrary rules woulda' been asinine. 1 delegate were a rule, but such ignores fact tulsi had failed to meet polling requirements for multiple previous debates. keep gabbard on a debate stage with biden and sanders woulda' been reflexive bureaucratic stoopid which has persons adhering to arbitrary in the face o' ludicrous results. alternative, bloomberg were polling better than candidates who would appear on the stage in february, so exclude him 'cause o' those same arbitrary rules were deemed unreasonable. nevertheless, democrats had to make a tough choice as it appeared bloomberg were buying his way into the election which brought a stink to the democrat party as a whole if he should debate on even playing field with those who had been meeting thresholds from day 1. nevertheless, democrats side with the democratic choice and allow a popular candidate to debate. again, the rules which woulda' allowed tulsi and excluded bloomberg were arbitrary. there weren't some profound civil rights or fundamental fairness issue which were the basis for the dnc rules for debate candidate eligibility. the purpose o' rules were to get relevant candidates on stage for debates. ignore purpose and instead blind follow arbitrary? stoopid, the kinda stoopid most of us justifiable criticize. now is arguable the dnc rules failed when the result were to exclude viewpoint diversity o' candidates so early in the race, but that is a different and much more serious question. HA! Good Fun!

robbie robertson is, by most accounts, kinda a am nevertheless a fan o' the band and much o' robertson's solo work. have mentioned previous on this board how the weight is one o' the songs which is frequent our favorite, as the honor has changed multiple times over the years. much enjoyed the playing for change folks giving it their treatment. spontaneous and unrehearsed. our fave song around the world from the playing for change folks is for fans o' reggae, am gonna highly recommend checking out a few o' the song around the world offerings. oh, what the heck is also more than a few bob marley songs and they is done well. HA! Good Fun!

Nearly 10% of carrier's crew of 4,800 has coronavirus "“A U.S. Navy Sailor assigned to USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) was admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of the U.S. Naval Hospital Guam April 9,” said a Navy statement. "“The Sailor tested positive for COVID-19 on March 30 and at the time of hospitalization was in a 14-day isolation period on Naval Base Guam. More details will be released when they become available.” "The sailor was found unresponsive Thursday morning while in isolation at Naval Base Guam, according to a U.S. official. Emergency personnel administered CPR and the sailor was transferred to the base hospital to be placed in ICU where the official the sailor is in critical condition." has taken a long time to get most o' the sailors tested, which might not be a huge surprise considering number o' sailors involved and fact they is in guam. HA! Good Fun!

Former NFL exec unloads on Tua: Uncovers previously unreported injury, failed physical "Beyond his well chronicled hip injury. "Here are the previously reported and undisputed injuries, according to Forbes: "Broken left index finger (March 2018; no games missed) "Sprained right knee (October 2018; no games missed) "Left high ankle sprain (December 2018; surgery; no games missed) "Right high ankle sprain (October 2019; surgery; 1 game missed) "Dislocated right hip with posterior acetabular wall fracture (November 2019; surgery; missed final 3.5 games) "But Mike Lombardi, who worked for the San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles, Oakland Raiders, Cleveland Browns and New England Patriots front offices and is plugged in among some scouts and personnel departments, recently unloaded on Tagovailoa’s injury history and reported previously unknown information about multiple broken wrists." with no way to get tua in to do team physicals before the draft, it will be interesting to see what happens. no doubt many teams will be dismissive of info or will see as an opportunity to snag a franchise qb if he drops a bit. regardless, tua will be generating a great deal o' drama before he ever steps on the field to play an nfl game. HA! Good Fun!

Former watchdog Walpin loses suit over firing "On Thursday, U.S. District Court Judge Richard Roberts threw out a lawsuit Walpin brought in an attempt to be restored to his position at the Corporation for National and Community Service, which runs Americorps and other programs. Walpin has claimed that his firing was political retaliation for his opposition to wasteful spending by the agency and for his aggressive investigation of a friend of Obama, Sacramento Mayor and former NBA player Kevin Johnson. The White House stridently denied any such motivation." reason obama offered for firing in his letter to Congress were lack of confidence. as the tralfamadorians would say, so it goes. HA! Good Fun!

so we heard a commercial which included renegade by styx we never owned a styx album, but one o' our first 8-tracks were k-tel's the rock album (1980). hearing renegade made us recall how much we enjoyed fantastic blues guitar. gonna recreate the ktel album... even the john waite tune. HA! Good Fun!

am gonna go out on a limb and guess she don't read this board's posts. today we went to costco for neighbors, which reminded us how tomorrow we were gonna be starting our trip to sw desert locations-- week one with a companion and two additional weeks solo. *sigh* signage at costco let us know there were no windex, disinfectant wipes, toilet paper, paper towels, etc. however, there were children's diapers and bottled water. we also noticed the shelves were stocked with plenty o' adult diapers, no doubt an unexpected boon for the hoarders who has been having so much difficulty holding their water. plenty o' rice at reasonable prices. no flour save almond flour. almond flour? have been seeing all kinda compliments on news channels for CA success in flattening their curve, but social distancing behavior were a bit disappointing in costo. positive side were, unlike last week, our 5:45 pm trip did not result in needing deal with an enormous line to gain entry to the store. more positive, davis ranch has plenty o' fresh asparagus, and they got the best asparagus we has found anywhere, evar. davis corn, tomatoes (roma and heirloom) and melons is also some o' the best anywhere, but such stuff is not available so early in the season. davis ranch also has fresh garlic and ginger, so am breathing a sigh o' relief. HA! Good Fun!

y'know, this has been an issue for us since the mask thing took hold. am understanding how the cloth masks may help lower chances of a person with the disease passing it to others, and given how asymptomatic persons are transmitting the virus unknowing, such a precaution makes sense on a grand scale. however, those "cloth petri dishes" is increasing the chances o' catching something, particular for those with comorbidities. if it makes you feel better/worse, when the covid-19 thing became all too real, we couldn't help but think o' you having recent joined the nursing ranks. am knowing, given shortages o' supplies it is no doubt impossible for you to stay safe, but am nevertheless hopeful he who destroys passes your door w/o entering. thank you. HA! Good Fun!

am noting sanders has been less visible as well. biden and sanders is in a difficult position 'cause at the moment, direct and overt criticism o' trump will be seen by many as petty opportunism. if you don't rally to support AMERICA in a time o' crisis, then you are unAmerican, yes? wisconsin, pennsylvania, north carolina, michigan, florida and a couple others, maybe, is battleground. nightly criticism o' trump, particular during the initial rally to the flag time after trump declares himself a wartime President, might not play well 'mongst moderates and independents in battleground states. as of april 8, the only issue which matters is covid-19. is not what should be but rather what is. fox and other conservative media outlets is working overtime in an attempt to gaslight and rewrite history. reason why is covid-19 will determine who is the next President in spite o' all the other issues which deserve considerable attention. like it or not, is nothing biden or sanders can do 'bout covid-19. trump is running 'gainst covid-19 and his own record o' incompetence in the early handling o' the pandemic. vaccine won't be distributed 'til after november elections, so covid-19 is gonna continue to be an issue. even if social distancing works and we diminish the impact o' the virus during next couple months, a possible second wave and threats o' a coronavirus resurgence in the fall means covid-19 stays relevant 'til election and beyond. terrible recognition o' a no-win situation. if, in spite o' trump bumbling and mendacity regarding covid-19 'nuff American voters agree trump did a good enough job during the initial crisis, then trump wins reelection. alternative is situation stays dire or gets worse making impossible for undecideds to vote trump. am not seeing a silver lining. HA! Good Fun!

the undercounting is a known problem. is not a hidden problem or a problem which is being systematic covered up as it is elsewheres... not yet at least. from a recent reuters article. "The city will now try to quantify how many of those died from coronavirus-related causes and add that to the its official death toll, New York’s health department said. "“People are dying outside the hospital, unfortunately. It happens every day,” Oren Barzilay, the president of the Local 2057 labor union representing city paramedics, said. “I think those numbers, those statistics in New York for deaths would significantly go up if they tested everyone that expired.”" am thinking is gonna be years 'fore we get a genuine accurate guess as to costs o' covid-19. during a crisis, particular one such as this which is outside the experience o' most persons, recordkeeping suffers. worse, 'cause o' initial fumble regarding testing, there just ain't enough resources to generate accurate numbers. will be folks from february and early march who were still being listed as pneumonia 'cause covid-19 weren't on the radar for too many health professionals. die alone in your home and become food for your cat for some number o' days is gonna make your covid-19 diagnosis less certain, yes? etc. and yeah, will be some folks who die o' covid-like symptoms who is added to tally improper to boost numbers. such cases will be smallish in number, but is gonna happen. is gonna be folks with late stage metastatic cancer who die of pneumonia and doctor needs decide whether to indicate cause o' death as covid-19 or not. there is gonna be errors in tally and many such errors will be innocent. if fed and state is clear fudging the numbers to make situation look better than it is, then we would be angry. pretend as if the current official numbers is very accurate, then am becoming discouraged as such obvious misleading nonsense is what you see from china and russia... and trump. "Somebody dies, I think they've been pretty accurate. The death counts, I think they are very, very accurate." don't believe it. as long as the government representatives is honest 'bout the shortcoming o' the cases/death tallies, am personal ok with the situation. obvious and intentional bs, on the other hand, is unacceptable. that said, most state-level actors we has heard from is cognizant o' the accounting problem and is admitting their failure to achieve true precision in case and death tallies. there should be a realization arguable accurate numbers is gonna be a matter o' rigorous scientific guesswork done perhaps years from today. the resources don't exist to do accurate counts at this time, and even if the resources were available, such accounting would be suspect 'cause o' the nature o' this crisis. however, anybody from government tells you otherwise, tells you the numbers is "very, very accurate," is probable lying. HA! Good Fun!

avarice is 4th hell, but no specific envy. HA! Good Fun!

2 quick observations: 1) sympathy for the devil modly and a few other former trump guys must needs be a bit confused. no doubt must come as a surprise when they get pilloried after saying and doing stuff which is identical to what their boss is doing and saying. 2) is this a nightmare for mattis and kelly? yeah, am willing to bet those guys heaved a great sigh o' relief when they were no longer forced to perform daily in the trump circus. nevertheless, they gotta wonder how things might be different today if they had managed to hold out and endure the constant indignities. is impossible to predict alternate realities, though is curiously lucrative for scifi authors to do so nowadays. am not suggesting we avoid current crisis if mattis and kelly is still part o' the trump administration, but is hard to imagine situation plays out same. is curious dante didn't mention pride when describing punishments in hell. HA! Good Fun!

Coronavirus response delayed despite health officials’ private alarm "“We are now well past the equivalent 5:45 moment at Mann Gulch,” Mecher wrote in his email Feb. 27, referring to the moment in a historic wildfire when responders realized too late that they needed to turn around. “You can’t outrun it.”" so much wasted time. HA! Good Fun!

the small business admin, which is overseeing $350 billion in loans made available by recent stimulus, informed congressional leaders they will not be enforcing limits on tax dollars going to organizations sole involved in religion. these administration goons ain't even pretending to follow the Constitution. HA! Good Good Fun!

regarding the roosevelt, is curious (not) how there has been no update to the number o' infected crew. more than a day ago we knew how with 40% o' crew tested, there were 155 infected. we do know near 2000 crew has been quarantined on guam and ship is being sanitized, but no updated numbers for infections. also, Navy Secretary apologizes after calling USS Roosevelt's fired captain 'stupid' "In a stunning reversal, Modly apologized to Crozier, his family and the Navy in a statement late Monday night. ""Let me be clear, I do not think Capt. Brett Crozier is naive or stupid," Modly said, according to the statement released by the Navy. "I think, and always believed him to be the opposite."" HA! Good Fun!

would be nice if you were right, but am believing you are wrong. need for ag use land is gonna remain relative constant regardless o' economic tragedies. residential rental property, much like during the recent recession, is gonna be in greater demand. ... to be blunt, a disproportionate number o' older americans is gonna die. those who have assets to leave behind to families will be enriching their children, and statistical, those children won't be needing much help compared to the average american. converse, far too many americans is gonna be suffering severe economic hardship-- those with the least will suffer the most. not a hunch: is gonna be many families who lose businesses and homes. simple is. people lose homes and they is gonna have much difficulty buying a new home for at least a couple years. that is a situation ripe for exploitation by the haves. is a fundamental misunderstanding that is pervasive regarding who is hurt when modern market catastrophes hit. sure, the wealthy take the biggest loss in terms o' total dollars 'cause o' their investment is larger, but such harm affects upper middle class and middle class who is perhaps overinvested in products which do not have fixed roi. the genuine wealthy is gonna lose many millions and billions o' dollars, but they is nevertheless gonna come out the other side o' this recent cataclysm with disposable income. we need make major changes to the economy 'cause as bad as were the recession, the covid fallout is gonna make income inequality far worse than it is today. modern day robber barons (and even folks like Gromnir if we had an urge to do so) will take advantage o' current tax breaks and fact they is particular well suited to buy property on the cheap and then rent to desperate folks. a few years pass and cheap property appreciates and the rich get richer. HA! Good Fun!

Read: Federal watchdog warns of 'severe' hospital shortages Government watchdog: Hospitals face severe shortages of medical gear, confusing guidance from government Ann Maxwell, assistant inspector general for HHS, said she was startled by what she heard from the hospital directors and the findings detailed in the report. "It is unprecedented," Maxwell said in an interview. "I think one moment that stands out for me is when I was talking to a hospital administrator and he told me that he had staff in the hospital out trying to procure masks and gloves from auto part shops, from home supply stores, from beauty salons, from art supply stores," Maxwell said. "I was just taken aback."

y'know, this is kinda misleading as it gives obama a whole lotta credit which he don't deserve. obama shut down bush 43's pandemic response efforts early in his administration and then obama had to resurrect such stuff. the actual playbook trump and obama were using, with few changes, were created by bush 43. National Strategy for Pandemic Preparedness and in spite o' fact many o' his constituents were 'gainst spending money to save folks suffering from aids, bush is the guy who championed President's Emergency Plan For AIDS Relief dr fauci has suggested that PEPFAR alone saved many millions o' lives worldwide and were the most significant health related action by any President... evar. nowadays even republicans who think bush weren't as bad as portrayed tend to think o' him as an embarrassment. however, when it comes to worldwide disease response, he is, and we shudder to say this, the gold standard for US Presidents. 'course the thing is, pre 9/11, bush did similar as obama and trump and actual reduced wh pandemic response resources, resources which his father were the one who started in earnest. clinton didn't do much to bolster pandemic response efforts, but he is the only President since bush 41 to not initial gut pandemic efforts of the previous administration. hurrah for bill clinton. ... am not posting/reposting to spam or to make this another covid-19 thread but rather to drive home notion that most recent US Presidents has dropped the ball when it comes to global disease efforts. is genuine amazing how they has each needed to overcome their own myopia before moving forward, though 'course trump degree o' ambivalence and obtuseness is admitted on a scale different than his predecessors. recognizing the pervasive pandemics blindspot our Presidents has shared, regardless o' party and in spite o' history, is the kinda thing which adds legitimacy to @Guard Dog otherwise lunatic fringe posts 'bout the evils and stupidity o' the government. HA! Good Fun!

‘Too Naive Or Too Stupid To Be CO’: Leaked Speech Transcript Shows Acting Navy Secretary Modly Trashing Fired Carrier Captain To Group Of Sailors "An anonymous Navy officer familiar with the situation told the Daily Caller that commanders immediately began to try and keep Modly’s speech from getting out. "“And the CAG (carrier air wing commander, the guy in charge of the aircraft on the carrier, an O-6) sent an email to the entire crew after the SECNAV was done saying ‘in order to publish a speech you need that person’s explicit permission and you don’t have the secant’s permission to publish what he just said, so if you recorded what he just said delete it immediately,'” the Navy officer said." *chuckle* am laughing at the CAG statement and not the situation. given the send off captain crozier received from his crew, modly speech were an odd tack to take. HA! Good Fun!

gd got us thinking. is ez for us to name our favorite movies, but such choices is gonna be familiar on many critical best lists, and where's the fun in that? three movies we like which we do not claim is great or even good. rosencrantz and guildenstern are dead is the film linked 'bove. am such a big beowulf fan, and has never been a particular good beowulf film. even with antonio banderas' insta language skills and other curious additions to the michael crichton book, we enjoyed the film. (cheat addition: tdkr is following beowulf surprise close) we also much approved o' the 2012 version. so a bit more than three. HA! Good Fun!

similar, until as late as march 17, mass shipments o' critical supplies were leaving the US on a daily basis. now keep in mind am understanding why some such foreign aid would be advisable as covid-19 is a global pandemic, however, there were a sharp change o' course in fed behavior in mid-march, which at least suggests awareness or situation changed. if trump were genuine aware from early january when he were first getting briefings, then why the sudden and abrupt changes in orders and shipments beginning in march? edit: Exclusive: The Military Knew Years Ago That a Coronavirus Was Coming "Denis Kaufman, who served as head of the Infectious Diseases and Countermeasures Division at the Defense Intelligence Agency from 2014 to 2017, stressed that US intelligence had been well-aware of the dangers of coronaviruses for years. (Kaufman retired from his decades-long career in the military in December of 2017.) "“The Intelligence Community has warned about the threat from highly pathogenic influenza viruses for two decades at least. They have warned about coronaviruses for at least five years,” Kaufman explained in an interview. "“There have been recent pronouncements that the coronavirus pandemic represents an intelligence failure…. it’s letting people who ignored intelligence warnings off the hook.”" am gonna concede we have not read the entire report, but will get to it. couldn't help but notice how the background portion were almost a recital o' the bush speech we shared a bit earlier in the thread. HA! Good Fun!

which would be a worthwhile observation if such were the only quarters available to passengers and crew on cruise ships during a freaking pandemic. unlike an aircraft carrier, passengers and crew on a cruise ship can be quartered so as to maintain social distancing to a much greater degree than an aircraft carrier. (genuine can't believe you are still arguing this point.) much like hotels, cruise ships rare face 100% occupancy. assuming ship captains would be idiots and not space out passengers and crew as much as possible as soon as dangers o' transmissibility tween persons became apparent is your hunch, yes? a cruise ship is a giant freaking floating hotel. the one thing it has in abundance is living quarters for gawd's sake. again, doubling o' infections on the roosevelt were progressing at a rate o' every two days for approximate ten days. assume even a mere 70% eventual infection rate for a novel virus and you are nevertheless hitting multiple thousand infected in another ten days. anticipate some kinda significant slowdown 'fore a majority o' the crew is infected is a hunch on #s part. aside: +30% o' enlisted men is smokers, far 'bove the national average. the military does need to step up their efforts to decrease smoking. and again cruise ship analogous to aircraft carrier is the worst coronavirus argument we seen outside a trump presser and/or fox. why you would keep plugging away at that point so tenacious is genuine baffling... and just be thankful we don't link the frozen song. more relevant Desperate for medical equipment, states encounter a beleaguered national stockpile "Anecdotally, there are wide differences, and they do not appear to follow discernible political or geographic lines. Democratic-leaning Massachusetts, which has had a serious outbreak in Boston, has received 17 percent of the protective gear it requested, according to state leaders. Maine requested a half-million N95 specialized protective masks and received 25,558 — about 5 percent of what it sought. The shipment delivered to Colorado — 49,000 N95 masks, 115,000 surgical masks and other supplies — would be “enough for only one full day of statewide operations,” Rep. Scott R. Tipton (R-Colo.) told the White House in a letter several days ago. "The Federal Emergency Management Agency inherited control of the stockpile barely a week ago from HHS. Lizzie Litzow, a FEMA spokeswoman, acknowledged the agency maintains a spreadsheet tracking each state’s request and shipments. Litzow declined repeated requests to release the details, saying the numbers are in flux. "Florida has been an exception in its dealings with the stockpile: The state submitted a request on March 11 for 430,000 surgical masks, 180,000 N95 respirators, 82,000 face shields and 238,000 gloves, among other supplies — and received a shipment with everything three days later, according to figures from the state’s Division of Emergency Management. It received an identical shipment on March 23, according to the division, and is awaiting a third." well, ok then. HA! Good Fun!