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Elerond

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Everything posted by Elerond

  1. If you say so, what I remember it did not really do that, but as can't read it again as it is moved behind paywall and I don't think that I will pay for subscription just to check, so lets say that you are right. EDIT: As I don't feel that this need any more talk I would say that article doesn't talk about it. As it just glance over idea that politicians needs to debate which exit model to follow, but main point is that writer thinks that it is more important that there is exit strategy than that exit strategy actually works as it gives people hope and feeling that things will return normal. So as I said article has tone where every theory is equal and we need to just pick one that sound best
  2. From where politicians dig those workable solutions if not from technical reports and prediction models based on available data? Should the just guess and hope for best? Of course one should except that politicians have enough understanding to be able use those reports and models to decide actions that best serve their constituents (this includes to holding on ideologies, morals, worldviews, etc.).
  3. It is the title and tone of article which is quite common these days in media which (based on my unproven hypothesis) helps to create atmosphere where scientific evidence and expert testimonies are viewed by many just opinions among others, which leads culture where people just pick opinions/beliefs that fit their worldview best, which has lead many to see conspiracy theories as actual proven things. Politicians are elected to be people's representatives in governmental bodies to decide which direction and how country should proceed. Their decisions are supposed to based on scenarios/options given by experts and bureaucrats of multiple fields so that they can pick best possible route for people they represent and country's chosen path should be option picked by majority of people's representatives and execution of that chosen path done by bunch of experts of their fields and bureaucrats who run governmental institutes and is overseen by cabinet of ministers which consist of representatives, bureaucrats and experts multiple fields. So we need experts to give us possible exits strategies from which we (our representatives) can pick one which we think is best for us and then let experts in our institutes to do and give guidance what is needed to execute that strategy.
  4. In my understanding unclaimed are buried in mass graves instead of incinerated because policy to give their families ability to claim bodies in later date. Also in tv series cops always find evidence helping them to catch serial killer from some poor soul buried in the mass grave whose death was not properly investigated, which may or may not have influenced officials in their decision to keep using mass graves.
  5. I wonder why there are people who trust conspiracy theories and don't care what scientific evidence says
  6. https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/intelligence-report-warned-coronavirus-crisis-early-november-sources/story?id=70031273 "As far back as late November, U.S. intelligence officials were warning that a contagion was sweeping through China’s Wuhan region, changing the patterns of life and business and posing a threat to the population, according to four sources briefed on the secret reporting." Is it really intelligence if it is only read when people do retrospect analyze?
  7. It is only mentioned that help from Pentagon by sending letter to 20-30 people
  8. According NYT's article Captain Crozier had repeatedly asked his superiors to make speedy action to evacuate the ship and because there was no action made to evacuate the ship he sent letter to 20-30 people in different high positions of government to ask help. Said letter was then leaked to press by somebody who received it. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/us/politics/coronavirus-brett-crozier-theodore-roosevelt.html
  9. Funny thing is that he doesn't need to attract people all over the spectrum in case he is selected as democratic candidate, as democratic candidate regardless of anything will win blue states in over 90% probability and lose red states with same probability and in battle ground states it is usually question of tens of thousands voters who decide which party's candidate wins. And before current crisis Bernie would had had quite high change to win against Trump in those states , as in those states question isn't usually which candidate success to attract more people but which candidate repels more people from their side.
  10. It is quite understandable when you look for example how DNC's and GOP's primaries are tied to local elections and are organized in many states by state official instead of party official and how they get covered by media. It is extreme difficult to get elected even on city council as non-establishment candidate in countries where multi party system is part of political establishment, and it is even more difficult in first-past-the-post voting and even more difficult in USA because of how much everything is build around two party system. There is reason why Sander tries to get democratic nomination instead of going as independent candidate.
  11. Before Boy wonder's speech After Boy wonder's speech It is nice how you can avoid responsibility with change couple lines text in web page
  12. Boy wonder's answer gives me new understanding why GD doesn't like federal government
  13. Case show why EU can't help in member states during crisis, as minor help for country suffering crisis needs 5 years fight in courts and even after highest EU court rules against them, said member states proclaim that they will not offer help they have agreed (noted that agreement was given under political pressure) to give, even when there is already another crisis ongoing
  14. Huawei's strategy is to offer it stuff so cheap that their solution is picked over over other solutions in order to ensure that their standard is what dominates. Meaning that evil commies are out capitalizing, freedom loving capitalists
  15. That is not really true, as diseases that have named after place are rarely named after place where they actually originated. Like Spanish flu originated from USA, but it is called Spanish flu because Spanish reported about it when other countries were busy to kill each other in WW1. West Nile fever/virus was discovered in Uganda which is source of Nile and most of thee Uganda including are where discovery was done is locates east side of White Nile. Zika fever/virus is named after Zika Forest in Uganda, even though it was first found on human in Nigeria, because it was first found from monkey in cage in Zika forest. Also Covid-19 (Corona virus disease 2019)/ SARS-CoV-2 (Severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus 2) was not named after place where first cases of it were identified, although as current official naming convention produced name that don't have easy vernacular nickname (like SARS or MERS or swine flu / bird flu) some people insist to call it names that don't actually help to identify it but with their political agenda. And lots of people really don't care what its name is and just call it corona, even though there is billion different corona strains, but people seem to still know which disease people are referring to.
  16. It is good to see that journalist are at fault on what is written in opinion piece by person who is not a journalist
  17. In Finland they opened our apocalypse vaults (security of supply storages), in order to ensure that hospitals will not run out of protective gear, as for reasons those vaults contain among other things millions of surgical masks and protectors, which were running out until someone remembered that we actually have more than enough stored for in case of bad day.
  18. Yeah governments don't have any other means to collect money than borrowing money until economy crashes
  19. I have lived through time when my country's economy crashed because of our national debt and people's individual debts rise too high and our government had to nuclear options to give any hope for recovery. I can say that those weren't fun times. In comparison 2000s global economic crises were minor inconveniences.
  20. that sound quite familiar strategy
  21. “The fact that we found that many B and T cell epitopes are highly conserved between SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 provides a great starting point for vaccine development,” Professor Sette said. “Vaccine strategies that specifically target these regions could generate immunity that’s not only cross-protective but also relatively resistant to ongoing virus evolution.” They are hoping that because they found so many similarities between the viruses that it means that it could be possible to develop vaccine that works generally against similar corona viruses and that constant evolution of said viruses will not make vaccine obsolete in couple years. Meaning that they have only working theory for such cure, nothing concrete. But if it works it could work as general vaccine against quite many corona viruses.
  22. There has been reports from Japan and China people getting testing positive again after recovered from the infection https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-japan/japanese-woman-confirmed-as-coronavirus-case-for-2nd-time-weeks-after-initial-recovery-idUSKCN20L0BI Although there isn't consensus if these case are actual reinfection or failures in tests. National Science Review says that more severe L strain mutated from original S strain, but it seems that human intervention has prevented L strain spreading as far as original S strain. Chinese study also suggest that it seems currently both strains are mutating towards direction where they cause less severe symptoms, but spread faster. It is possible that virus mutates fast considering that S strain jumped for first time from animal to human in end of November or start of December 2019 and month later more aggressive strain L, although it is typical that viruses evolve faster when they first jump from one species to another as they try to adapt new host type. But if we let virus spread freely to population in hopes to gain herd immunity against it it is more than likely that it will develop more strains as more host virus have it has more changes to pick up new material to evolve https://www.contagionlive.com/news/investigators-identify-2-circulating-sarscov2-strains https://www.cbc.ca/news/health/covid-19-2-strains-1.5487672 Previous work SARS-CoV vaccine is used as base for SARS-CoV-2 vaccine because both viruses use ACE2 enzyme to invade human cells, and they tried to find method that inactivates said enzyme (something that your own immune system doesn't do). But as there is no working vaccine for SARS-CoV, it is not necessary fruitful path for working vaccine for SARS-CoV-2. But that is not only research path, others are whole virus vaccine (which is the more traditional approach where person is infected by dead or inactive version of virus in order to let body build immunity against it), then is subuit vaccine which purpose is to make person immunity system sensible towards S-spike protein, which is protein that SARS-CoV-2 uses in its process to intrude ACE2 enzyme. And there are studies for RNA vaccine, which is artificially created RNA that produces similar proteins that mimic proteins from pathogen (in this case SARS-CoV-2 ), so that immunity system will antibodies against pathogen.
  23. Gaining herd immunity against Covid-19 through infecting people with it seems to effort that is doomed from start as there are multiple strains of it and person who has one strain can be infected by another, so in order to gain immunity against covid-19 trough infection person needs to be 2-4 times and even that does not necessary is enough as it seems that covid -19 can mutate quite easily. I would say that our only hope to get herd immunity is to develop vaccine which contains weakened versions of all the known strains.
  24. Not taking in consideration that you used that as hypothetical example that is not meant to be realistic comparison. It not skills of Chemical Engineer that are valuable but their knowledge. If you measure only value of skills then expert ornamental basket weaver wins chemical engineer every day . I think it would be better to make bit more every day choices that people picking their careers face, like for example comparing careers and salaries of Chemical Engineers and Registered Nurses, as both have high demand on job market and both careers demand high level knowledge and skill, but later one pays less and have less benefits but costs for the degree is about same (which may most likely be reason why quite lot hospitals and clinics are facing issues to find enough qualified nurses).
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