pmp10
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Posts posted by pmp10
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2 hours ago, Lexx said:
Why is there suddenly such detail information. Also... really curious that this happens now, while Ukraine is directly attacking Russia? Maybe it's just conspiracy brain, but the timing of the release of that information is kinda awkward.
This was likely an open secret for a while now.
Chances are that news release was timed to distract from Kursk.Just another shot in the propaganda wars.
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First F-16s have finally been delivered to Ukraine.
For now they are supposed to be few in number. -
If FT is to be believed, the US will now redirect recent Patriot production to Ukraine.
That's in addition to one more battery that is to be transferred soon.Precaution, reaction or desperation?
We won't know until winter bombing campaign begins.-
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4 hours ago, BruceVC said:
I am not sure how updated this is or accurate but it seems to be?
Putin is prepared to end the invasion of Ukraine and has a list of demands that include giving up the Donbas and NATO aspirations and then " demands for peace that the Russian leader listed included Ukraine's non-nuclear status, restrictions on its military force and protecting the interests of the Russian-speaking population in the country. All of these should become part of “fundamental international agreements,” and all Western sanctions against Russia should be lifted, Putin said "
There was more to it then that.
He also wants remainder of Zaporizhzhia and whole of Kherson before talks even start.
It's likely a response to the Ukrainian summit in Switzerland, but even so he clearly he has no problem with a long war.-
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The US-Ukraine security deal is about to be signed at G7.
It seems that after one year of negotiations US is finally ready to commit to high level consultations in case of another invasion.These used to be called 'security guarantees' a year ago.
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Interesting piece on Shoigu's replacement.
Tweet of note from it:
Looks like attrition war for years to come.
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Russia is slowly resuming strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
Seems a little sub-optimal to do this only after the winter.
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Some interesting weaponry lessons from Ukraine emerged.
Most interesting point being:QuoteThe peak efficiency of a new weapon system is only about 2 weeks before countermeasures emerge.
Chances are that whatever technological edge Ukraine enjoyed has been lost by now.
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Another update in the forever search of wunderwaffe:
The GLSDBs have failed in Ukraine.
I bet that played a part in finally officially transferring ATACMS. -
It seems ATACMs will be part of the US weapons package.
That should be about the last entry from Ukrainian wish-list.It will also increase the pressure on Germany to send Taurus missiles.
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Zelensky lowers Ukrainian draft age.
Seems the need is finally serious enough for him to take the political hit.
It still leaves Russia with at least 6 months of manpower advantage before this can make any difference on the frontline. -
I was giving Dragons Dogma 2 a try but gave up after reaching the second city.
They managed to stay too faithful to the original, just a bigger map with no notable improvements to speak of.
A shame since the original had great potential, this could have been a great game if only they were willing to work on it. -
Russia attacked Ukrainian power facilities last night.
It's long past winter by now, so these would likely be a response to strikes on Russian refineries.
Interestingly enough there are no signs of any escalation as a result of the terror attack. -
At least 40 dead in terror strike on Moscow concert.
We will soon see just how desirable war escalation is for Russia. -
23 minutes ago, Malcador said:
Still have to conquer Rafah before this will end.
That's assuming Israel is really interested in ending anything.
I'm sure they see a lot of advantages in turning current situation into a new normal.
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If FT is to be believed US is asking Ukraine to end attacks on Russian refineries.
Predictable outcome since the tactic was making a difference. -
It seems Macron is not backing down from alarmist talk about Ukraine.
His usual attention-seeking aside, it shows that Europe is slowly waking-up to the possibility that the war may not end in a stalemate.Then again, Ukrainian defeat was a risk they decided to take.
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I would think the whole point of officially admitting there are NATO troops present is to dispense with deniability.
That leaves the option open for a slippery-slope of reinforcements in case Ukraine starts to lose ground. -
3 hours ago, Malcador said:
Nice tiff with Scholz revealing French and UK personnel are helping with cruise missiles. Although, surprised they need to be in country.
That was always going to happen given all that advanced weaponry provided.
No-one was about to learn all the intricacies of western air-defense systems within few months.More interesting is if the rumored French combat contractors are really present there.
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On 2/19/2024 at 9:09 AM, Mamoulian War said:
According to reports, RU lost 47k soldiers since October at Avdiivka front. The most casualties have been incurred on them during first and last month. This averages to 300 casualties per day. According to general staff, the casualty ratio was 1:7 in favour to UA. According to documented OSINT, the equipment destruction was 1:12 - 1:25 ratio in favour of UA. depending on type of equipment- the worst for RU were manpower transporting vehicles, which goes in line with high casualty rate of RU army. Some russian soldiers from this frontlines are saying, that up to 70% of their brigade manpower is gone.
Avdiivka had pre war population of 32000 people. As being said above, the biggest issue for the defense were non-existent fortifications behind the initial lines made in 2014.
someone made a calculation, that if Russia would like to conquer whole Ukraine, with this casualty rate, they would need 8 billion soldiers
If these numbers are even remotely accurate we will see the front stabilize long-term.
I would expect Russia to at least have some forces saved for the US election. -
Remember GLSDMB ordered by US for Ukraine one year ago?
Seems they are finally arriving.Now if that aid bill ever passes they might even be delivered in volume.
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8 hours ago, Gorth said:
Entirely a thought experiment, not having any idea about the person involved, but...
If he decides to remove Zelensky and declare the military to be the sole power in Ukraine (old fashioned autocrat style/military coup), would the west still support him?
Individual counties most likely would, but the EU as a whole not so much.
Ukraine would end up with plenty of weaponry and not enough cash to pay the bills. -
9 hours ago, Malcador said:
Looks like NAFO clowns need to apologize to Ollie Carroll and maybe go grab a rifle.
I know one Ukrainian officer that's going to have a stroke over this
It will be interesting to see if Syrski somehow tries to prove himself as a new commander.
And if he does, will it be militarily or politically.I wonder what his stance is on that request to conscript 500k men.
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19 hours ago, Lexx said:
I don't get how anyone can expect them to do elections under those circumstances. They are at war, lol.
They can't put it off forever either.
Given current situation we might see a forever war stretch on for years.
Ukraine Conflict - continuing
in Way Off-Topic
Posted
Iran is said to have delivered ballistic missiles to Russia.
That's an escalation a level (or two) beyond suppling Shahed drones.
But also likely means no bigger war brewing in the middle-east.