You forgot a quite obvious 4th theory: influence of poll so far
Knowing how your favorite option is doing can certainly manipulate your behaviour. It could convince you to vote at all, you could not vote for options you would have voted for if they weren't higher than your favorite option, and so on. My theory for Quest-Xp going down is actually that combat xp supporters stopped voting for that, just to change the balance further in it's favor.
Your theory is just a self fulfilling prophecy for your self. Don't drag the rest of us through the mud because of how you voted.
I can tell you right now that the most vocal Combat XP supporters all voted quest XP too.. (Some of them haven't voted yet.. I mean the ones who have already)
Where do you get your information about how I voted?
As a matter of fact: I didn't vote at all. Although I find (kind of) all xp sources justifiable, such a vote could be misunderstood as actually demanding all xp sources - which I don't. I would have picked the 'whatever Obsidian decides' option. Not because I think that would be best, but because it't their game and therefore their decision.
Nevertheless, I think no quest xp is not justifiable if there is lock pick xp. But the poll wasn't about dependencies.
I don't care how you voted.. I just don't want you spewing crap all over the thread. You just accused us of fudging numbers because we want Quest XP to lose against Combat XP.
Combat XPer's want both of them in the game.. Just like the IE games had.
"...spewing crap all over the thread"? Wow!
I merely pointed out a very well known confounder of polls and I did that once.