Watching Zimbabwe

[Walsingham]

Any takers?

Perhaps. There's already some discussion about whether Mugabe is still really in power or not, or whether we have a military junta with him as a figurehead. That's not something that will necessarily become clear anytime soon, and I don't think they'll shoot him if he's happy enough to remain in place drawing all the attention. I don't think it will get as bad as Rwanda because I don't think they need that to stay in power and it would attract too much international attention and calls for intervention. That said, these things aren't always rational. It's also possible that the 'war veterans' have now been stirred up too much and the government won't be able to restrain them any longer.

 

My impression is that what you are describing was precisely teh kind of thing which happened in Rwanda. The interahamwe got out of control once off the leash.