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Ukraine Conflict - Continues


Malcador

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Why has elegance found so little following? Elegance has the disadvantage that hard work is needed to achieve it and a good education to appreciate it. - Edsger Wybe Dijkstra

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Timothy Snyder in front of UN security council on Rusophobia.

 

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7 hours ago, Mamoulian War said:

Timothy Snyder in front of UN security council on Rusophobia.

 

This is one of the most insightful and accurate assessments I have ever seen around debunking the term " russophobia " 

"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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12 minutes ago, xzar_monty said:

The Russian discourse can be seriously weird. (Btw, it would take some serious demonstration to convince me that Mr. P is using body doubles.)

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65007289

Real Putin or body double visiting Mariupol?

Edit: Not expecting you to know, just a guess (I think it's not a double visiting the place)

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11 minutes ago, xzar_monty said:

The Russian discourse can be seriously weird. (Btw, it would take some serious demonstration to convince me that Mr. P is using body doubles.)

 

I watched this Codex, apparently he has been using doubles for years but I question the number of doubles he has 

"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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1 minute ago, Gorth said:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65007289

Real Putin or body double visiting Mariupol?

 

Thats the real Putin IMO, it provided a good propaganda opportunity especially people thanking him for having a new flat 

"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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As someone who favors Occam's Razor[*], I would say it's the real one. I would basically vote for the real one every time unless there's some pretty strong evidence to the contrary.

 

[*] Using Occam's Razor, the most probable explanation is that the term refers to the razor of someone called Occam.

 

EDIT: That address by T. Snyder is excellent. Thanks a lot, @Mamoulian War.

Edited by xzar_monty
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This warrant puts SA in another invidious position

In 2015 we should have arrested al-Bashir when he came to SA. We were correctly criticized and after this SA decided to " leave " the ICC which we never did. This month we now officially back in the ICC

And now this new warrant with attention back on SA around " what we going to do " ....obviously we should arrest Putin but we also neutral in this conflict. I hope Putin doesnt come because it just puts more pressure on our government around something they are trying to be neutral about

But then we must leave the ICC but we have just reaffirmed our commitment :ermm:

 

 

 

 

"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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14 hours ago, Malcador said:

 

Whoops, wrong Tweet

The official position is that it has been clipped out of context.
Supposedly he only spoke about 'west in general' and not Poland, also meant 'war with Russia in the eventual future' not this one.
Besides the idea is absurd, Poland is way too soft to fight even if it had the means or independence to do so.

The really curious part is if this clip was made by Russians or Ukrainians. 

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Probably the journalist being overly dramatic, but the Russians have made relatively rapid gains there recently.

Why has elegance found so little following? Elegance has the disadvantage that hard work is needed to achieve it and a good education to appreciate it. - Edsger Wybe Dijkstra

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The attack on Avdiivka started in march 2022. So almost half year sooner than attack on Bakhmut. It is much smaller stronghold than Bakhmut, and IIRC smaller than Soledar. It was always within high possibility, that it can fall sooner, than Bakhmut.

 

@xzar_monty and a little bit more "speculations" about the visit of Mariupol. :) The "citizens" are again the same people, which are on all of his pictures :)
 

 

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11) Star Ocean: The Last Hope International - PS3 - 750+ hours

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13 minutes ago, Mamoulian War said:

The attack on Avdiivka started in march 2022. So almost half year sooner than attack on Bakhmut. It is much smaller stronghold than Bakhmut, and IIRC smaller than Soledar. It was always within high possibility, that it can fall sooner, than Bakhmut.

 

@xzar_monty and a little bit more "speculations" about the visit of Mariupol. :) The "citizens" are again the same people, which are on all of his pictures :)
 

 

OMG...so the visit is probably a fake :lol:

"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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And he didn't greet Xi today, obviously fearing assassination (or something).

Why has elegance found so little following? Elegance has the disadvantage that hard work is needed to achieve it and a good education to appreciate it. - Edsger Wybe Dijkstra

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With winter officially over it is a good moment to summaries the energy war.
So in short term it clearly failed.

The European gas storage levels are still over 60% and are unlikely to drop much by now.

9lz09m73muoa1.png

And that's partially because the winter was second warmest on record.

media%2FFrRgAtMXwAsilzx.png

Consequently the demand dropped and gas prices are back to 2021 levels.

image.png.42024f38c1dd8e7cf1033ec73b9e408b.png

Of course it still has a nasty effects of driving up prices and inflation but it is no longer enough to shake-up the politics in Europe.
I'd say that barring a record-cold winter it is now unlikely EU will change its policy over Russian energy. 

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Sort of the level of Ja Rule chiming in, but hearing from Bolton on this was too amusing to not share.

Why has elegance found so little following? Elegance has the disadvantage that hard work is needed to achieve it and a good education to appreciate it. - Edsger Wybe Dijkstra

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2 hours ago, Malcador said:

Sort of the level of Ja Rule chiming in, but hearing from Bolton on this was too amusing to not share.

To be fair, John Bolton has a vested interest in not wanting someone arrested for war crimes.

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10 hours ago, pmp10 said:

With winter officially over it is a good moment to summaries the energy war.
So in short term it clearly failed.

The European gas storage levels are still over 60% and are unlikely to drop much by now.

9lz09m73muoa1.png

And that's partially because the winter was second warmest on record.

media%2FFrRgAtMXwAsilzx.png

Consequently the demand dropped and gas prices are back to 2021 levels.

image.png.42024f38c1dd8e7cf1033ec73b9e408b.png

Of course it still has a nasty effects of driving up prices and inflation but it is no longer enough to shake-up the politics in Europe.
I'd say that barring a record-cold winter it is now unlikely EU will change its policy over Russian energy. 

Yes I didnt ever believe anyway  that people were going to freeze and starve to death in the EU despite the Russian propaganda due to sanctions on Russia 

Do you remember this video, it was so cringe  it made me laugh :lol:

 

 

 

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"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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4 hours ago, xzar_monty said:

No, that doesn't follow at all. Putin probably went there, but he went with his troupe.

just for the sake of more speculations 😛
 

 

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Sent from my Stone Tablet, using Chisel-a-Talk 2000BC.

My youtube channel: MamoulianFH
Latest Let's Play Tales of Arise (completed)
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Let's Play/AAR Europa Universalis 1: Austria Grand Campaign (completed)
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1) God of War III - PS3 - 24+ hours

2) Final Fantasy XIII - PS3 - 130+ hours

3) White Knight Chronicles International Edition - PS3 - 525+ hours

4) Hyperdimension Neptunia - PS3 - 80+ hours

5) Final Fantasy XIII-2 - PS3 - 200+ hours

6) Tales of Xillia - PS3 - 135+ hours

7) Hyperdimension Neptunia mk2 - PS3 - 152+ hours

8.) Grand Turismo 6 - PS3 - 81+ hours (including Senna Master DLC)

9) Demon's Souls - PS3 - 197+ hours

10) Tales of Graces f - PS3 - 337+ hours

11) Star Ocean: The Last Hope International - PS3 - 750+ hours

12) Lightning Returns: Final Fantasy XIII - PS3 - 127+ hours

13) Soulcalibur V - PS3 - 73+ hours

14) Gran Turismo 5 - PS3 - 600+ hours

15) Tales of Xillia 2 - PS3 - 302+ hours

16) Mortal Kombat XL - PS4 - 95+ hours

17) Project CARS Game of the Year Edition - PS4 - 120+ hours

18) Dark Souls - PS3 - 197+ hours

19) Hyperdimension Neptunia Victory - PS3 - 238+ hours

20) Final Fantasy Type-0 - PS4 - 58+ hours

21) Journey - PS4 - 9+ hours

22) Dark Souls II - PS3 - 210+ hours

23) Fairy Fencer F - PS3 - 215+ hours

24) Megadimension Neptunia VII - PS4 - 160 hours

25) Super Neptunia RPG - PS4 - 44+ hours

26) Journey - PS3 - 22+ hours

27) Final Fantasy XV - PS4 - 263+ hours (including all DLCs)

28) Tales of Arise - PS4 - 111+ hours

29) Dark Souls: Remastered - PS4 - 121+ hours

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My take would be "all three", given what can happen with differences in angle, lighting, etc.

You can see a similar phenomenon with some "Before and After" photos that are intended to portray the effectiveness of, say, some fitness regime. Generally what you see, once you subtract the extraneous effects, is that essentially nothing has happened.

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18 minutes ago, xzar_monty said:

My take would be "all three", given what can happen with differences in angle, lighting, etc.

You can see a But  phenomenon with some "Before and After" photos that are intended to portray the effectiveness of, say, some fitness regime. Generally what you see, once you subtract the extraneous effects, is that essentially nothing has happened.

But do you accept that a Putin double could have made the Mariupol trip?

Monty never underestimate  how deep the rabbit hole can go :unsure:

"Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is and saw Virtue in her shape how lovely: and pined his loss”

John Milton 

"We don't stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.” -  George Bernard Shaw

"What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others that will determine the significance of the life we lead" - Nelson Mandela

 

 

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