pmp10
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Posts posted by pmp10
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I was giving Dragons Dogma 2 a try but gave up after reaching the second city.
They managed to stay too faithful to the original, just a bigger map with no notable improvements to speak of.
A shame since the original had great potential, this could have been a great game if only they were willing to work on it. -
Russia attacked Ukrainian power facilities last night.
It's long past winter by now, so these would likely be a response to strikes on Russian refineries.
Interestingly enough there are no signs of any escalation as a result of the terror attack. -
At least 40 dead in terror strike on Moscow concert.
We will soon see just how desirable war escalation is for Russia. -
23 minutes ago, Malcador said:
Still have to conquer Rafah before this will end.
That's assuming Israel is really interested in ending anything.
I'm sure they see a lot of advantages in turning current situation into a new normal.
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If FT is to be believed US is asking Ukraine to end attacks on Russian refineries.
Predictable outcome since the tactic was making a difference. -
It seems Macron is not backing down from alarmist talk about Ukraine.
His usual attention-seeking aside, it shows that Europe is slowly waking-up to the possibility that the war may not end in a stalemate.Then again, Ukrainian defeat was a risk they decided to take.
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I would think the whole point of officially admitting there are NATO troops present is to dispense with deniability.
That leaves the option open for a slippery-slope of reinforcements in case Ukraine starts to lose ground. -
3 hours ago, Malcador said:
Nice tiff with Scholz revealing French and UK personnel are helping with cruise missiles. Although, surprised they need to be in country.
That was always going to happen given all that advanced weaponry provided.
No-one was about to learn all the intricacies of western air-defense systems within few months.More interesting is if the rumored French combat contractors are really present there.
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On 2/19/2024 at 9:09 AM, Mamoulian War said:
According to reports, RU lost 47k soldiers since October at Avdiivka front. The most casualties have been incurred on them during first and last month. This averages to 300 casualties per day. According to general staff, the casualty ratio was 1:7 in favour to UA. According to documented OSINT, the equipment destruction was 1:12 - 1:25 ratio in favour of UA. depending on type of equipment- the worst for RU were manpower transporting vehicles, which goes in line with high casualty rate of RU army. Some russian soldiers from this frontlines are saying, that up to 70% of their brigade manpower is gone.
Avdiivka had pre war population of 32000 people. As being said above, the biggest issue for the defense were non-existent fortifications behind the initial lines made in 2014.
someone made a calculation, that if Russia would like to conquer whole Ukraine, with this casualty rate, they would need 8 billion soldiers
If these numbers are even remotely accurate we will see the front stabilize long-term.
I would expect Russia to at least have some forces saved for the US election. -
Remember GLSDMB ordered by US for Ukraine one year ago?
Seems they are finally arriving.Now if that aid bill ever passes they might even be delivered in volume.
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8 hours ago, Gorth said:
Entirely a thought experiment, not having any idea about the person involved, but...
If he decides to remove Zelensky and declare the military to be the sole power in Ukraine (old fashioned autocrat style/military coup), would the west still support him?
Individual counties most likely would, but the EU as a whole not so much.
Ukraine would end up with plenty of weaponry and not enough cash to pay the bills. -
9 hours ago, Malcador said:
Looks like NAFO clowns need to apologize to Ollie Carroll and maybe go grab a rifle.
I know one Ukrainian officer that's going to have a stroke over this
It will be interesting to see if Syrski somehow tries to prove himself as a new commander.
And if he does, will it be militarily or politically.I wonder what his stance is on that request to conscript 500k men.
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19 hours ago, Lexx said:
I don't get how anyone can expect them to do elections under those circumstances. They are at war, lol.
They can't put it off forever either.
Given current situation we might see a forever war stretch on for years. -
23 minutes ago, Zoraptor said:
According to The Times Zaluzhny was asked to resign, told he'd be fired when he refused but wasn't due to Syrsky and Budanov refusing the post (plus push back from allies).
This most likely means that Zelensky is under increasing pressure to plan the presidential election and is starting to getting rid of potential competition.
He needs Zaluzhny out as soon as possible so that his popularity has time to fade. -
Ukraine has started hitting Russian energy infrastructure with domestic made drones.
The west won't like this but I guess it's about the last escalation option that Ukraine has. -
China was told that Russia will wage the war for 5 years.
That's from March so things might have changed since then. -
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11 hours ago, Zoraptor said:
Not sure any news on accession from the EU is good for Ukraine at the moment unless it comes with a way to get around Orban's veto on funding and more than 6% of the million shells promised as well; else it's just encouragement to Russia to harden its stance. Ukraine is never getting into the EU anyway unless it excludes its agricultural sector from subsidies.
It gives them better access to EU funds so it's not all bad.
The real problem is they don't seem to understand the 'timeline: never' approach and fully expect to be admitted in a few years. -
Putin just ordered another army expansion.
He didn't even bother to wait until Russian elections were done with.A bad sign for any near-term freezing of this war.
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5 hours ago, Gorth said:
They just don't do genocide like they used to in the old days... Europeans used to be good at that. No rebellions or uprisings when there is nobody left to rebel or rise up. The world has grown soft...
Just kidding of course, but they are still all discussing fighting the symptoms of a problem instead of addressing the cause.
The impact is just not serious enough for anyone to care.
Israel will get its way and all that remains is to make useless fell-good statements and monetize the angertainment. -
7 hours ago, BruceVC said:
Yes and that's a ridiculous and unhelpful suggestion from far-right Israeli politicians and no one's going to take it seriously. You notice they suggest "the West "must take them in
Israel definitely cant expect anyone to absorb 2 million Palestinians, who is going to take that economic and social burden? The only realistic solution to sustained peace is a 2 state solution
But leadership on both sides isnt prepared to compromise and there is a lack of political will. I predict the Palestinians will stay in Gaza but it needs to be rebuilt
One of these politicians is actually on the Israeli left.
There is no telling what consensus emerges in Israel after the fighting is done.But rumors are already flying that southern Gaza is next and may end up as little more than 50km² 'safe zone'.
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8 hours ago, BruceVC said:
Well its assumed that Palestinians will return to northern Gaza once the war is over but not until its rebuilt.
That's far from given.
Israeli officials are testing the waters on unloading refugees to other countries.Their record on allowing Palestinians to move back is not that great.
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Washington Post is openly saying Ukraine bombed Nord Stream.
Supposedly Zelensky was not consulted, might be because his administration is thought to be soft and compromised by the Russians.
Interestingly even US objections were ignored.Timing on this news is a little suspicions as well.
Winter bombing of Ukrainian energy infrastructure is expected to start soon and they threaten retaliation on Russia’s oil and gas.-
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10 hours ago, Malcador said:
Is a very small world then. But half that lot has NATO so that's not going anywhere what with Poland arming to the teeth and the US still being a potent force - then we'd get to see who wants to get nuked over Estonia. Still unconvinced a Russian tide will swarm the globe.
If Ukraine has shown anything is that without US NATO is completely toothless.
Next time Trump or Trump-like is in power will be very tough on eastern Europe.And I wouldn't count on Poland to save the day unless soldiers found only on paper can materialize and do real fighting.
Ukraine Conflict - continuing
in Way Off-Topic
Posted
Zelensky lowers Ukrainian draft age.
Seems the need is finally serious enough for him to take the political hit.
It still leaves Russia with at least 6 months of manpower advantage before this can make any difference on the frontline.